Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 8.3

Total Profit: -91.9

Portugal Masters

21/09/2017 - 24/09/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 14 6.67% 5.9% 1.95% -3.95% 74
2 IRL Shane Lowry 17 5.56% 4.92% 2.16% -2.76% T29
3 ENG Andy Sullivan 19 5% 4.42% 1.77% -2.66% MC
4 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 22 4.35% 3.85% 1.57% -2.28% T34
5 RSA George Coetzee 28 3.45% 3.05% 1.12% -1.93% T7
6 ENG Eddie Pepperell 29 3.33% 2.95% 1.45% -1.5% T3
7 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 29 3.33% 2.95% 0.99% -1.96% MC
8 NZL Ryan Fox 31 3.13% 2.76% 1.42% -1.34% MC
9 SCO Russell Knox 35 2.78% 2.46% 1.56% -0.9% T34
10 SWE David Lingmerth 36 2.7% 2.39% 2.04% -0.35% T20
11 RSA Haydn Porteous 41 2.38% 2.11% 1.09% -1.02% MC
12 NED Joost Luiten 43 2.27% 2.01% 1.38% -0.63% T12
13 IRL Padraig Harrington 54 1.82% 1.61% 0.87% -0.73% T25
14 RSA Richard Sterne 56 1.75% 1.55% 1.22% -0.33% T20
15 ENG Lee Slattery 57 1.72% 1.53% 1.64% 0.11% T65 6.7
16 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 58 1.69% 1.5% 0.84% -0.66% 1
17 SCO Stephen Gallacher 59 1.67% 1.47% 1.48% 0.01% WD 6.48
18 ESP Adrian Otaegui 60 1.64% 1.45% 1.59% 0.14% MC 6.37
19 ENG Tom Lewis 60 1.64% 1.45% 1.42% -0.03% T39 6.37
20 ENG Callum Shinkwin 60 1.64% 1.45% 1% -0.45% T46
21 BEL Thomas Detry 60 1.64% 1.45% 0.76% -0.69% T20
22 RSA Dean Burmester 63 1.56% 1.38% 1.44% 0.05% T7 (tied w/5) 6.08 +8.3
23 CAN Austin Connelly 69 1.43% 1.26% 1.23% -0.03% MC 5.56
24 ESP Nacho Elvira 69 1.43% 1.26% 1.07% -0.2% T7
25 FIN Mikko Korhonen 72 1.37% 1.21% 0.59% -0.62% T46
26 ENG Matt Wallace 73 1.35% 1.2% 1.36% 0.16% T39 5.26
27 FRA Victor Dubuisson 79 1.25% 1.11% 1.09% -0.02% T12 4.86
28 ENG Robert Rock 80 1.23% 1.09% 1.53% 0.44% MC 4.8
29 ENG Chris Paisley 83 1.19% 1.05% 0.73% -0.33% T12
30 ENG Danny Willett 89 1.11% 0.98% 0.66% -0.32% T68
31 ENG Aaron Rai 92 1.08% 0.95% 0.57% -0.39% T52
32 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 93 1.06% 0.94% 0.65% -0.29% T12
33 WAL Bradley Dredge 97 1.02% 0.9% 0.59% -0.31% T46
34 ESP Jorge Campillo 100 0.99% 0.88% 0.74% -0.14% T29 3.85
35 GER Marcel Siem 101 0.98% 0.87% 1.54% 0.67% T25 3.81
36 FRA Gregory Bourdy 104 0.95% 0.84% 1.03% 0.19% MC 3.71
37 RSA Justin Walters 105 0.94% 0.83% 0.65% -0.18% MC 3.67
38 GER Maximilian Kieffer 106 0.93% 0.83% 0.76% -0.06% MC 3.64
39 AUS Wade Ormsby 111 0.89% 0.79% 0.88% 0.09% T34 3.47
40 AUS Jason Scrivener 115 0.86% 0.76% 0.97% 0.21% T29 3.35
41 RSA Thomas Aiken 116 0.85% 0.76% 0.64% -0.11% T46 3.33
42 GER Sebastian Heisele 120 0.83% 0.73% 0.82% 0.09% T34 3.22
43 SCO David Drysdale 120 0.83% 0.73% 0.82% 0.09% MC 3.22
44 ENG Paul Waring 120 0.83% 0.73% 0.62% -0.11% T39 3.22
45 ENG Oliver Fisher 120 0.83% 0.73% 0.57% -0.16% T62 3.22
46 FRA Matthieu Pavon 130 0.76% 0.68% 0.93% 0.26% T39 2.97
47 ESP Alejandro Canizares 130 0.76% 0.68% 0.92% 0.25% T59 2.97
48 USA Paul Peterson 150 0.66% 0.59% 1.08% 0.5% MC
49 FRA Julien Quesne 150 0.66% 0.59% 0.97% 0.39% MC
50 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 0.66% 0.59% 0.86% 0.27% T12
51 FRA Joel Stalter 150 0.66% 0.59% 0.53% -0.06% T12
52 DEN Lasse Jensen 150 0.66% 0.59% 0.53% -0.06% MC
53 SWE Johan Carlsson 160 0.62% 0.55% 1.15% 0.6% MC
54 RSA Zander Lombard 160 0.62% 0.55% 1.12% 0.57% MC
55 ENG Ashley Chesters 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.88% 0.33% T52
56 ENG Graeme Storm 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.73% 0.18% T3
57 ESP Carlos Pigem 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.61% 0.06% MC
58 SCO Marc Warren 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.6% 0.05% 2
59 ENG Ben Evans 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.57% 0.02% T52
60 GER Bernd Ritthammer 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.53% -0.02% MC
61 USA Patrick Newcomb 160 0.62% 0.55% 0.16% -0.39% MC
62 CHI Felipe Aguilar 180 0.55% 0.49% 1.03% 0.54% T68
63 SWE Jens Fahrbring 180 0.55% 0.49% 0.79% 0.3% MC
64 SCO Scott Jamieson 180 0.55% 0.49% 0.58% 0.1% T20
65 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 190 0.52% 0.46% 0.96% 0.5% T39
66 SCO Paul Lawrie 190 0.52% 0.46% 0.68% 0.22% T34
67 SWE Robert Karlsson 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.66% 0.22% MC
68 AUS Todd Sinnott 200 0.5% 0.44% 0.48% 0.04% T52
69 FRA Gregory Havret 210 0.47% 0.42% 1% 0.58% T39
70 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 210 0.47% 0.42% 0.38% -0.04% T5
71 ENG Steve Webster 220 0.45% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% T59
72 WAL Stuart Manley 220 0.45% 0.4% 0.46% 0.06% MC
73 FRA Clement Berardo 220 0.45% 0.4% 0.43% 0.03% MC
74 AUS Sam Brazel 220 0.45% 0.4% 0.37% -0.03% MC
75 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 230 0.43% 0.38% 0.64% 0.26% MC
76 DEN Jeff Winther 230 0.43% 0.38% 0.57% 0.19% T52
77 DEN Anders Hansen 250 0.4% 0.35% 0.72% 0.36% T52
78 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 0.4% 0.35% 0.52% 0.17% MC
79 ESP Alvaro Quiros 280 0.36% 0.31% 0.71% 0.4% T62
80 SWE Johan Edfors 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.68% 0.38% 75
81 ARG Ricardo Gonzalez 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.64% 0.34% MC
82 SCO Craig Lee 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.6% 0.31% MC
83 ENG Daniel Brooks 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.57% 0.28% 73
84 FRA Gary Stal 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.56% 0.26% T62
85 ENG Marcus Armitage 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% T20
86 ENG Mark Foster 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.49% 0.19% MC
87 ENG Richard Finch 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% WD
88 RSA Jaco Ahlers 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.47% 0.17% MC
89 AUS Richard Green 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.46% 0.17% MC
90 ENG Simon Khan 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.45% 0.16% MC
91 ENG David Dixon 300 0.33% 0.29% 0.31% 0.02% T65
92 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.7% 0.48% T7
93 ENG Laurie Canter 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.45% 0.23% T68
94 FRA Sebastien Gros 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.44% 0.22% MC
95 THA Phachara Khongwatmai 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% T12
96 AUS Daniel Fox 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.29% 0.07% MC
97 FRA Damien Perrier 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.28% 0.06% T29
98 AUS Jason Norris 400 0.25% 0.22% 0.23% 0.01% MC
99 ENG Nathan Kimsey 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% 72
100 ENG Paul Maddy 500 0.2% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% MC
101 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 0.17% 0.15% 0.47% 0.32% MC
102 ENG John Parry 600 0.17% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
103 FIN Roope Kakko 600 0.17% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T68
104 ENG Simon Dyson 600 0.17% 0.15% 0.31% 0.17% MC
105 USA Matt Davidson 600 0.17% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
106 SWE Richard S. Johnson 750 0.13% 0.12% 2.14% 2.02% MC
107 SWE Niclas Fasth 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.51% 0.39% MC
108 SWE Anton Karlsson 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.47% 0.35% T52
109 ESP Jose M Olazabal 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.43% 0.31% MC
110 ENG Jamie Rutherford 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T65
111 IRL Chris Selfridge 750 0.13% 0.12% 0.15% 0.04% MC
112 AUS Nathan Holman 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.69% 0.6% MC
113 POR Ricardo Gouveia 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.55% 0.46% T5
114 ARG Rafael Echenique 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.53% 0.44% T46
115 SWE Michael Jonzon 1000 0.1% 0.09% 0.41% 0.32% T46
116 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 2.14% 0% T25
117 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 1.04% 0% T7
118 ENG Sam Horsfield 0% 0% 0.48% 0% T59
119 SCO Connor Syme 0% 0% 0.47% 0% T12
120 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC
121 SCO Ewen Ferguson 0% 0% 0.41% 0% MC
122 FRA Romain Langasque 0% 0% 0.38% 0% T39
123 POR Tiago Cruz 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC
124 TPE Chan Shih-chang 0% 0% 0.28% 0% WD
125 USA Sean Crocker 0% 0% 0.25% 0% MC
126 AUS Ryan McCarthy 0% 0% 0.24% 0% MC
127 ENG Jack Singh Brar 0% 0% 0.24% 0% MC
128 ENG Jonathan Thomson 0% 0% 0.2% 0% T25
129 ENG Harry Casey 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
130 ENG Scott Gregory 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
131 POR Joao Carlota 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
132 POR Tomas Melo Gouveia 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
133 SWE Miguel Gaspar 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
134 POR Vitor Lopes 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
135 ENG Alfie Plant 0% 0% 0.08% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...