Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 46.7

Total Profit: -53.5

Open de Portugal at Morgado Golf Resort

11/05/2017 - 14/05/2017

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 POR Ricardo Gouveia 14 6.67% 6.66% 1.24% -5.42% MC
2 SCO Paul Lawrie 28 3.45% 3.44% 0.76% -2.68% T59
3 ESP Pep Angles Ros 31 3.13% 3.12% 0.95% -2.18% MC
4 ENG Max Orrin 35 2.78% 2.77% 0.54% -2.23% T18
5 RSA Justin Walters 37 2.63% 2.63% 1.72% -0.91% MC
6 ENG Ryan Evans 44 2.22% 2.22% 0.72% -1.5% T15
7 SCO David Drysdale 47 2.08% 2.08% 1.21% -0.87% T48
8 GER Florian Fritsch 47 2.08% 2.08% 0.58% -1.5% MC
9 RSA Jaco Ahlers 47 2.08% 2.08% 0.53% -1.56% T59
10 ENG Robert Rock 49 2% 2% 0.87% -1.12% T12
11 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 49 2% 2% 0.7% -1.3% MC
12 SWE Jens Fahrbring 51 1.92% 1.92% 1.19% -0.73% MC
13 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 56 1.75% 1.75% 0.58% -1.17% 73
14 SWE Anton Karlsson 57 1.72% 1.72% 1.03% -0.69% MC
15 ENG Matt Wallace 57 1.72% 1.72% 0.62% -1.11% 1
16 FRA Clement Sordet 58 1.69% 1.69% 1.04% -0.66% MC
17 ENG Mark Foster 58 1.69% 1.69% 0.86% -0.83% T6
18 DEN Jeff Winther 60 1.64% 1.64% 0.87% -0.77% T68
19 ENG Oliver Fisher 63 1.56% 1.56% 1.17% -0.39% T6 (tied w/4) 6.95 +23.6
20 ENG Tom Lewis 67 1.47% 1.47% 0.73% -0.73% T18
21 SWE Mikael Lundberg 71 1.39% 1.39% 1.99% 0.61% MC 6.18
22 ENG Eddie Pepperell 73 1.35% 1.35% 0.97% -0.38% MC 6.01
23 RSA Erik van Rooyen 80 1.23% 1.23% 0.89% -0.34% T10 5.49
24 GER Sebastian Heisele 80 1.23% 1.23% 0.74% -0.49% T4
25 AUS Richard Green 81 1.22% 1.22% 0.57% -0.65% MC
26 FRA Adrien Saddier 83 1.19% 1.19% 0.71% -0.48% T26
27 WAL Rhys Davies 88 1.12% 1.12% 0.59% -0.53% T64
28 FRA Julien Guerrier 89 1.11% 1.11% 0.83% -0.28% MC 4.94
29 ENG Matthew Baldwin 89 1.11% 1.11% 0.75% -0.35% T26 4.94
30 NED Darius Van Driel 90 1.1% 1.1% 0.58% -0.52% T26
31 SUI Robert Coles 90 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% -0.6% T48
32 SCO Craig Lee 92 1.08% 1.07% 0.84% -0.24% WD 4.79
33 WAL Stuart Manley 93 1.06% 1.06% 1.02% -0.05% MC 4.73
34 ENG Ashley Chesters 100 0.99% 0.99% 0.8% -0.19% T18 4.41
35 NIR Michael Hoey 104 0.95% 0.95% 1.59% 0.64% MC 4.24
36 SWE Jens Dantorp 109 0.91% 0.91% 0.86% -0.05% T42 4.05
37 ENG Steve Webster 110 0.9% 0.9% 1.06% 0.16% T35 4.01
38 ENG Ben Evans 111 0.89% 0.89% 0.77% -0.12% T6 (tied w/4) 3.97 +23
39 FRA Thomas Linard 116 0.85% 0.85% 0.39% -0.46% T12
40 AUS Daniel Fox 120 0.83% 0.83% 1.46% 0.63% T64 3.68
41 AUS Nick Cullen 120 0.83% 0.83% 1.07% 0.24% T68 3.68
42 RSA Zander Lombard 120 0.83% 0.83% 0.81% -0.02% T35 3.68
43 ENG Nathan Kimsey 120 0.83% 0.83% 0.69% -0.13% MC 3.68
44 ENG Marcus Armitage 120 0.83% 0.83% 0.41% -0.42% T10 3.68
45 ENG Simon Khan 130 0.76% 0.76% 0.97% 0.2% T59 3.4
46 SWE Johan Edfors 130 0.76% 0.76% 0.89% 0.13% T53 3.4
47 ESP Alvaro Quiros 130 0.76% 0.76% 0.83% 0.07% T22 3.4
48 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 130 0.76% 0.76% 0.8% 0.04% T64 3.4
49 ENG Richard McEvoy 130 0.76% 0.76% 0.64% -0.13% MC 3.4
50 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.99% 0.33% MC
51 ENG Steven Tiley 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.61% -0.05% MC
52 WAL Oliver Farr 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.45% -0.21% MC
53 NED Wil Besseling 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.44% -0.23% T59
54 ITA Alessandro Tadini 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.43% -0.23% T53
55 IRL Ruaidhri McGee 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.4% -0.26% MC
56 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.35% -0.31% MC
57 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 160 0.62% 0.62% 0.52% -0.1% T53
58 FRA Damien Perrier 160 0.62% 0.62% 0.43% -0.19% T42
59 ENG James Heath 180 0.55% 0.55% 0.81% 0.26% MC
60 ENG Steven Brown 180 0.55% 0.55% 0.53% -0.02% T48
61 GER Moritz Lampert 180 0.55% 0.55% 0.46% -0.09% T35
62 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 180 0.55% 0.55% 0.45% -0.1% T6
63 SWE Pontus Widegren 190 0.52% 0.52% 0.85% 0.33% T12
64 AUS Ben Eccles 190 0.52% 0.52% 0.82% 0.3% T48
65 ENG John Parry 190 0.52% 0.52% 0.7% 0.18% MC
66 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 190 0.52% 0.52% 0.63% 0.11% MC
67 ENG Simon Dyson 200 0.5% 0.5% 0.72% 0.23% MC
68 ENG Ross McGowan 200 0.5% 0.5% 0.71% 0.21% MC
69 NED Daan Huizing 200 0.5% 0.5% 0.64% 0.14% MC
70 ENG Jack Senior 200 0.5% 0.5% 0.55% 0.06% T64
71 ITA Matteo Delpodio 200 0.5% 0.5% 0.31% -0.19% MC
72 ENG Matthew Nixon 210 0.47% 0.47% 0.75% 0.28% T26
73 FRA Victor Riu 210 0.47% 0.47% 0.66% 0.19% MC
74 ENG Paul Maddy 220 0.45% 0.45% 1.09% 0.63% 72
75 ITA Andrea Pavan 220 0.45% 0.45% 0.75% 0.3% T53
76 NED Reinier Saxton 220 0.45% 0.45% 0.54% 0.09% MC
77 ENG Seve Benson 220 0.45% 0.45% 0.52% 0.07% MC
78 FRA Clement Berardo 230 0.43% 0.43% 0.76% 0.33% MC
79 ENG Matt Ford 230 0.43% 0.43% 0.75% 0.32% T35
80 THA Pavit Tangkamolprasert 230 0.43% 0.43% 0.7% 0.27% MC
81 GER Dominic Foos 250 0.4% 0.4% 0.86% 0.46% T53
82 FIN Roope Kakko 250 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% T22
83 ESP Pedro Oriol 250 0.4% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% T15
84 ENG Charlie Ford 250 0.4% 0.4% 0.54% 0.14% T26
85 ENG Oliver Wilson 260 0.38% 0.38% 3.29% 2.9% MC
86 ARG Rafael Echenique 260 0.38% 0.38% 0.84% 0.46% MC
87 ESP Alvaro Velasco 270 0.37% 0.37% 0.8% 0.43% MC
88 BEL Christopher Mivis 280 0.36% 0.36% 0.59% 0.24% MC
89 NED Maarten Lafeber 280 0.36% 0.36% 0.48% 0.12% MC
90 SWE Simon Forsstrom 280 0.36% 0.36% 0.43% 0.07% MC
91 ARG Estanislao Goya 290 0.34% 0.34% 1.24% 0.9% T18
92 CHI Mark Tullo 290 0.34% 0.34% 0.48% 0.14% T35
93 CHI Nicolas Geyger 290 0.34% 0.34% 0.33% -0.01% MC
94 ENG Richard Finch 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.87% 0.53% MC
95 ENG Garrick Porteous 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.58% 0.24% MC
96 SCO David Law 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.5% 0.16% MC
97 CAN Mike Weir 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.46% 0.13% MC
98 AUS Scott Arnold 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.41% 0.08% MC
99 FRA Edouard Dubois 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.29% -0.04% MC
100 ENG Jamie Rutherford 400 0.25% 0.25% 1.06% 0.81% T42
101 IRL Chris Selfridge 400 0.25% 0.25% 0.26% 0.02% MC
102 NED Jurrian Van der Vaart 400 0.25% 0.25% 0.26% 0.02% MC
103 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 500 0.2% 0.2% 0.41% 0.22% MC
104 BEL Hugues Joannes 600 0.17% 0.17% 0.26% 0.1% MC
105 POR Ricardo Santos 750 0.13% 0.13% 0.45% 0.31% T68
106 AUS Steve Allan 750 0.13% 0.13% 0.37% 0.23% T53
107 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 750 0.13% 0.13% 0.32% 0.19% MC
108 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 1.31% 0% T35
109 USA Julian Suri 0% 0% 1.27% 0% 2
110 FRA Matthieu Pavon 0% 0% 1.17% 0% 3
111 SWE Marcus Kinhult 0% 0% 0.83% 0% MC
112 AUS Ryan McCarthy 0% 0% 0.77% 0% MC
113 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 0% 0% 0.77% 0% T22
114 GER Christian Braeunig 0% 0% 0.72% 0% T26
115 FRA Joel Stalter 0% 0% 0.7% 0% MC
116 ENG Aaron Rai 0% 0% 0.69% 0% T22
117 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 0% 0% 0.68% 0% MC
118 CAN Austin Connelly 0% 0% 0.66% 0% MC
119 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.66% 0% T4
120 SCO Ross Kellett 0% 0% 0.63% 0% MC
121 POR Pedro Figueiredo 0% 0% 0.59% 0% T42
122 IRL Kevin Phelan 0% 0% 0.55% 0% MC
123 ENG Laurie Canter 0% 0% 0.51% 0% T26
124 ENG Tom Murray 0% 0% 0.46% 0% MC
125 POR Tiago Cruz 0% 0% 0.46% 0% MC
126 SWE Oscar Lengden 0% 0% 0.44% 0% MC
127 ENG Gary King 0% 0% 0.43% 0% MC
128 SCO Grant Forrest 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T59
129 SCO Ewen Ferguson 0% 0% 0.38% 0% MC
130 ENG Jamie Abbott 0% 0% 0.37% 0% T15
131 SUI Joel Girrbach 0% 0% 0.36% 0% MC
132 SCO Bradley Neil 0% 0% 0.36% 0% MC
133 SWE Oscar Stark 0% 0% 0.34% 0% T35
134 ESP Scott Fernandez 0% 0% 0.33% 0% T26
135 DEN Martin Ovesen 0% 0% 0.31% 0% MC
136 ITA Federico Maccario 0% 0% 0.31% 0% MC
137 ITA Enrico Di Nitto 0% 0% 0.3% 0% MC
138 POL Adrian Meronk 0% 0% 0.3% 0% T42
139 ITA Luca Cianchetti 0% 0% 0.29% 0% MC
140 CZE Filip Mruzek 0% 0% 0.29% 0% T48
141 IRL Gary Hurley 0% 0% 0.27% 0% T42
142 SWE Niklas Lindstrom 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
143 POR Joao Carlota 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
144 POR Tomas Melo Gouveia 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
145 SWE Niclas Johansson 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...