Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 72.2

Total Profit: -27.9

Portugal Masters

20/10/2016 - 23/10/2016

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Alexander Noren 8 11.11% 8.22% 4.59% -3.63% T37
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 16 5.88% 4.35% 1.56% -2.8% T37
3 ENG Andy Sullivan 16 5.88% 4.35% 1.35% -3% 2
4 BEL Thomas Pieters 17 5.56% 4.11% 1.84% -2.27% T31
5 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 17 5.56% 4.11% 1.74% -2.38% T50
6 ESP Alejandro Canizares 19 5% 3.7% 1.56% -2.14% T31
7 USA David Lipsky 19 5% 3.7% 1.39% -2.31% T5
8 ENG Callum Shinkwin 19 5% 3.7% 0.93% -2.77% T17
9 SWE Joakim Lagergren 25 3.85% 2.85% 1.21% -1.63% T17
10 RSA Thomas Aiken 25 3.85% 2.85% 1.04% -1.81% T37
11 RSA George Coetzee 26 3.7% 2.74% 1.01% -1.73% T31
12 FIN Mikko Korhonen 26 3.7% 2.74% 0.7% -2.04% T3
13 IRL Padraig Harrington 28 3.45% 2.55% 1.41% -1.14% 1
14 SCO Marc Warren 31 3.13% 2.31% 1.26% -1.05% T12
15 SCO Stephen Gallacher 32 3.03% 2.24% 0.87% -1.37% T12
16 ESP Nacho Elvira 35 2.78% 2.06% 0.94% -1.12% 9
17 SWE Peter Hanson 43 2.27% 1.68% 1.45% -0.23% T29 20.83
18 GER Florian Fritsch 45 2.17% 1.61% 0.88% -0.73% T44
19 GER Marcel Siem 46 2.13% 1.57% 1.06% -0.51% T50
20 ENG David Horsey 49 2% 1.48% 1.82% 0.34% T22 18.33
21 SWE Robert Karlsson 61 1.61% 1.19% 2.08% 0.88% T44 14.79
22 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 63 1.56% 1.16% 2.22% 1.06% MC 14.32
23 ENG Matthew Baldwin 63 1.56% 1.16% 0.33% -0.83% T50
24 ITA Renato Paratore 65 1.52% 1.12% 1.16% 0.04% T73
25 ENG Robert Rock 80 1.23% 0.91% 1.4% 0.49% T5 (tied w/4) 11.32 +72.2
26 ENG Anthony Wall 81 1.22% 0.9% 1.19% 0.29% T37 11.18
27 SCO Scott Jamieson 81 1.22% 0.9% 1% 0.1% T50
28 ENG Chris Paisley 86 1.15% 0.85% 1.08% 0.23% T5
29 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 86 1.15% 0.85% 0.82% -0.03% T12
30 FRA Julien Quesne 88 1.12% 0.83% 1.1% 0.27% MC
31 ENG Paul Waring 91 1.09% 0.8% 0.53% -0.27% T22
32 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 98 1.01% 0.75% 1.2% 0.45% T50 9.26
33 ENG Ryan Evans 98 1.01% 0.75% 0.55% -0.2% T73
34 ENG Eddie Pepperell 107 0.93% 0.69% 0.6% -0.09% MC
35 USA Paul Peterson 110 0.9% 0.67% 1.22% 0.55% T50
36 ENG Matthew Southgate 113 0.88% 0.65% 1.4% 0.75% T17
37 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 113 0.88% 0.65% 1.03% 0.38% T22
38 RSA Justin Walters 114 0.87% 0.64% 0.65% 0.01% T17
39 DEN Lasse Jensen 114 0.87% 0.64% 0.54% -0.1% T31
40 ESP Jorge Campillo 115 0.86% 0.64% 1.19% 0.55% T44
41 ESP Adrian Otaegui 120 0.83% 0.61% 1.11% 0.5% MC
42 SCO Richie Ramsay 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.87% 0.26% T31
43 SWE Jens Fahrbring 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.5% -0.11% T12
44 POR Ricardo Gouveia 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.45% -0.16% T22
45 CHI Felipe Aguilar 130 0.76% 0.56% 1.09% 0.53% T44
46 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.87% 0.38% MC
47 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.78% 0.29% T61
48 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.74% 0.25% T10
49 DEN Anders Hansen 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% T3
50 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.82% 0.37% T50
51 ENG Chris Hanson 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.7% 0.24% 65
52 SCO Paul Lawrie 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.68% 0.22% T5
53 ENG Ben Evans 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.4% -0.06% MC
54 SCO Craig Lee 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.89% 0.49% MC
55 ENG Oliver Fisher 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.7% 0.29% T10
56 ENG Steve Webster 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.48% 0.07% T66
57 ESP Pedro Oriol 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.24% -0.17% MC
58 AUS Jason Scrivener 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.88% 0.49% T17
59 SWE Pelle Edberg 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.72% 0.34% T66
60 GER Maximilian Kieffer 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.51% 0.12% T61
61 SWE Mikael Lundberg 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.5% 0.11% T76
62 AUS Richard Green 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.92% 0.55% MC
63 ENG Graeme Storm 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.83% 0.46% T22
64 ITA Matteo Manassero 210 0.47% 0.35% 1.01% 0.66% MC
65 ENG Tom Lewis 220 0.45% 0.33% 0.71% 0.37% T29
66 SWE Johan Carlsson 220 0.45% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% T61
67 AUS Brett Rumford 230 0.43% 0.32% 1.07% 0.75% T22
68 DEN Joachim B Hansen 230 0.43% 0.32% 0.66% 0.34% T37
69 ENG Lee Slattery 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.64% 0.35% MC
70 SCO David Drysdale 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.55% 0.26% T44
71 FRA Edouard Espana 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.44% 0.14% T76
72 USA Daniel Im 250 0.4% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% T69
73 IRL Paul Dunne 260 0.38% 0.28% 0.82% 0.54% MC
74 ESP Alvaro Quiros 260 0.38% 0.28% 0.79% 0.5% T31
75 ITA Edoardo Molinari 260 0.38% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% MC
76 ENG David Howell 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.75% 0.47% MC
77 ENG Mark Foster 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% MC
78 FRA Sebastien Gros 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% MC
79 ENG Simon Dyson 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% T44
80 ENG Simon Khan 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.95% 0.69% T12
81 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.53% 0.27% T50
82 DEN Jeff Winther 290 0.34% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% MC
83 THA Prom Meesawat 290 0.34% 0.25% 0.39% 0.14% T61
84 ENG James Morrison 300 0.33% 0.25% 1.57% 1.32% MC
85 ENG Daniel Brooks 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.62% 0.38% T69
86 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.59% 0.34% MC
87 FRA Gary Stal 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.28% MC
88 RSA Jean Hugo 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T50
89 WAL Stuart Manley 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.06% MC
90 RSA Haydn Porteous 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.32% MC
91 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 400 0.25% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% MC
92 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.73% 0.59% T22
93 ENG John Parry 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.68% 0.53% T69
94 NIR Michael Hoey 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.64% 0.49% MC
95 SWE Niclas Fasth 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.54% 0.39% T73
96 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.56% 0.46% MC
97 ENG Matt Ford 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.46% 0.36% T69
98 SCO Jamie McLeary 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% MC
99 FRA Romain Wattel 1000 0.1% 0.07% 1.62% 1.55% MC
100 FRA Gregory Havret 1000 0.1% 0.07% 1.01% 0.94% MC
101 ENG Gary Boyd 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.74% 0.67% MC
102 ENG Oliver Wilson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.69% 0.61% MC
103 FIN Roope Kakko 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.56% 0.48% MC
104 FRA Thomas Linard 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.51% 0.43% T37
105 ITA Francesco Laporta 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.42% MC
106 WAL Rhys Davies 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.41% MC
107 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.41% MC
108 BRA Adilson da Silva 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.39% MC
109 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.45% 0.38% WD
110 FRA Clement Berardo 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.45% 0.37% T50
111 SWE Bjorn Akesson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
112 SCO Andrew McArthur 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
113 KOR Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 0.78% 0% T50
114 ENG Laurie Canter 0% 0% 0.6% 0% MC
115 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 0.49% 0% T37
116 AUT Lukas Nemecz 0% 0% 0.46% 0% T66
117 ENG Daniel Gavins 0% 0% 0.45% 0% MC
118 POR Pedro Figueiredo 0% 0% 0.33% 0% MC
119 ENG David Dixon 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC
120 ENG James Robinson 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
121 POR Tiago Cruz 0% 0% 0.25% 0% MC
122 ESP Juan Francisco Sarasti 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
123 POR Joao Carlota 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...