Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 49.9

Total Profit: -50.2

Portugal Masters

20/10/2016 - 23/10/2016

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Alexander Noren 8 11.11% 8.25% 4.62% -3.62% T37
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 16 5.88% 4.37% 1.57% -2.8% T37
3 ENG Andy Sullivan 16 5.88% 4.37% 1.36% -3.01% 2
4 BEL Thomas Pieters 17 5.56% 4.12% 1.85% -2.27% T31
5 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 17 5.56% 4.12% 1.75% -2.38% T50
6 ESP Alejandro Canizares 19 5% 3.71% 1.57% -2.15% T31
7 USA David Lipsky 19 5% 3.71% 1.4% -2.31% T5
8 ENG Callum Shinkwin 19 5% 3.71% 0.94% -2.77% T17
9 SWE Joakim Lagergren 25 3.85% 2.86% 1.22% -1.64% T17
10 RSA Thomas Aiken 25 3.85% 2.86% 1.05% -1.81% T37
11 RSA George Coetzee 26 3.7% 2.75% 1.02% -1.73% T31
12 FIN Mikko Korhonen 26 3.7% 2.75% 0.7% -2.05% T3
13 IRL Padraig Harrington 28 3.45% 2.56% 1.42% -1.14% 1
14 SCO Marc Warren 31 3.13% 2.32% 1.27% -1.05% T12
15 SCO Stephen Gallacher 32 3.03% 2.25% 0.88% -1.37% T12
16 ESP Nacho Elvira 35 2.78% 2.06% 0.95% -1.12% 9
17 SWE Peter Hanson 43 2.27% 1.69% 1.46% -0.23% T29 7.21
18 GER Florian Fritsch 45 2.17% 1.61% 0.88% -0.73% T44
19 GER Marcel Siem 46 2.13% 1.58% 1.07% -0.51% T50 6.75
20 ENG David Horsey 49 2% 1.48% 1.84% 0.35% T22 6.35
21 SWE Robert Karlsson 61 1.61% 1.2% 2.09% 0.89% T44 5.12
22 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 63 1.56% 1.16% 2.24% 1.08% MC 4.96
23 ENG Matthew Baldwin 63 1.56% 1.16% 0.33% -0.83% T50
24 ITA Renato Paratore 65 1.52% 1.12% 1.17% 0.04% T73 4.81
25 ENG Robert Rock 80 1.23% 0.92% 1.41% 0.49% T5 (tied w/4) 3.92 +25
26 ENG Anthony Wall 81 1.22% 0.91% 1.2% 0.3% T37 3.87
27 SCO Scott Jamieson 81 1.22% 0.91% 1.01% 0.11% T50 3.87
28 ENG Chris Paisley 86 1.15% 0.85% 1.09% 0.24% T5 (tied w/4) 3.65 +24.9
29 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 86 1.15% 0.85% 0.83% -0.03% T12 3.65
30 FRA Julien Quesne 88 1.12% 0.83% 1.11% 0.27% MC 3.57
31 ENG Paul Waring 91 1.09% 0.81% 0.54% -0.27% T22 3.45
32 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 98 1.01% 0.75% 1.21% 0.46% T50 3.21
33 ENG Ryan Evans 98 1.01% 0.75% 0.55% -0.2% T73 3.21
34 ENG Eddie Pepperell 107 0.93% 0.69% 0.6% -0.08% MC 2.94
35 USA Paul Peterson 110 0.9% 0.67% 1.23% 0.56% T50 2.86
36 ENG Matthew Southgate 113 0.88% 0.65% 1.41% 0.76% T17 2.79
37 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 113 0.88% 0.65% 1.04% 0.39% T22 2.79
38 RSA Justin Walters 114 0.87% 0.65% 0.66% 0.01% T17 2.76
39 DEN Lasse Jensen 114 0.87% 0.65% 0.55% -0.1% T31 2.76
40 ESP Jorge Campillo 115 0.86% 0.64% 1.2% 0.56% T44 2.74
41 ESP Adrian Otaegui 120 0.83% 0.61% 1.12% 0.5% MC 2.62
42 SCO Richie Ramsay 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.88% 0.26% T31 2.62
43 SWE Jens Fahrbring 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.5% -0.11% T12 2.62
44 POR Ricardo Gouveia 120 0.83% 0.61% 0.45% -0.16% T22 2.62
45 CHI Felipe Aguilar 130 0.76% 0.57% 1.1% 0.53% T44 2.42
46 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.88% 0.39% MC
47 ITA Nino Bertasio 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.78% 0.29% T61
48 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.74% 0.25% T10
49 DEN Anders Hansen 150 0.66% 0.49% 0.61% 0.12% T3
50 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.83% 0.37% T50
51 ENG Chris Hanson 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.71% 0.25% 65
52 SCO Paul Lawrie 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.68% 0.22% T5
53 ENG Ben Evans 160 0.62% 0.46% 0.4% -0.06% MC
54 SCO Craig Lee 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.9% 0.49% MC
55 ENG Oliver Fisher 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.71% 0.3% T10
56 ENG Steve Webster 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.48% 0.07% T66
57 ESP Pedro Oriol 180 0.55% 0.41% 0.24% -0.17% MC
58 AUS Jason Scrivener 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.88% 0.5% T17
59 SWE Pelle Edberg 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.73% 0.34% T66
60 GER Maximilian Kieffer 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.52% 0.13% T61
61 SWE Mikael Lundberg 190 0.52% 0.39% 0.5% 0.11% T76
62 AUS Richard Green 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.92% 0.55% MC
63 ENG Graeme Storm 200 0.5% 0.37% 0.83% 0.46% T22
64 ITA Matteo Manassero 210 0.47% 0.35% 1.02% 0.67% MC
65 ENG Tom Lewis 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.71% 0.37% T29
66 SWE Johan Carlsson 220 0.45% 0.34% 0.62% 0.29% T61
67 AUS Brett Rumford 230 0.43% 0.32% 1.07% 0.75% T22
68 ENG Lee Slattery 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.35% MC
69 SCO David Drysdale 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.56% 0.26% T44
70 FRA Edouard Espana 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.15% T76
71 USA Daniel Im 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% T69
72 IRL Paul Dunne 260 0.38% 0.28% 0.83% 0.54% MC
73 ESP Alvaro Quiros 260 0.38% 0.28% 0.79% 0.51% T31
74 ITA Edoardo Molinari 260 0.38% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% MC
75 ENG David Howell 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.75% 0.48% MC
76 ENG Mark Foster 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.54% 0.27% MC
77 FRA Sebastien Gros 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% MC
78 ENG Simon Dyson 270 0.37% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% T44
79 ENG Simon Khan 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.96% 0.69% T12
80 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 280 0.36% 0.26% 0.54% 0.27% T50
81 DEN Jeff Winther 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.48% 0.23% MC
82 THA Prom Meesawat 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.4% 0.14% T61
83 ENG James Morrison 300 0.33% 0.25% 1.58% 1.33% MC
84 ENG Daniel Brooks 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.63% 0.38% T69
85 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.59% 0.35% MC
86 FRA Gary Stal 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.53% 0.28% MC
87 RSA Jean Hugo 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T50
88 WAL Stuart Manley 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% MC
89 RSA Haydn Porteous 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.51% 0.32% MC
90 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
91 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.74% 0.59% T22
92 ENG John Parry 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.68% 0.53% T69
93 NIR Michael Hoey 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.64% 0.5% MC
94 SWE Niclas Fasth 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.54% 0.4% T73
95 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.56% 0.46% MC
96 ENG Matt Ford 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.47% 0.37% T69
97 SCO Jamie McLeary 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% MC
98 FRA Romain Wattel 1000 0.1% 0.07% 1.63% 1.56% MC
99 FRA Gregory Havret 1000 0.1% 0.07% 1.02% 0.94% MC
100 ENG Gary Boyd 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.75% 0.68% MC
101 ENG Oliver Wilson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.69% 0.62% MC
102 FIN Roope Kakko 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.56% 0.48% MC
103 FRA Thomas Linard 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.51% 0.44% T37
104 ITA Francesco Laporta 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.42% MC
105 WAL Rhys Davies 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.42% MC
106 ESP Jose M Olazabal 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.49% 0.41% MC
107 BRA Adilson da Silva 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.47% 0.39% MC
108 ENG Ross McGowan 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.46% 0.38% WD
109 FRA Clement Berardo 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.45% 0.38% T50
110 SWE Bjorn Akesson 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
111 SCO Andrew McArthur 1000 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.19% MC
112 KOR Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 0.79% 0% T50
113 ENG Laurie Canter 0% 0% 0.6% 0% MC
114 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 0.49% 0% T37
115 AUT Lukas Nemecz 0% 0% 0.46% 0% T66
116 ENG Daniel Gavins 0% 0% 0.45% 0% MC
117 POR Pedro Figueiredo 0% 0% 0.33% 0% MC
118 ENG David Dixon 0% 0% 0.32% 0% MC
119 ENG James Robinson 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
120 POR Tiago Cruz 0% 0% 0.26% 0% MC
121 ESP Juan Francisco Sarasti 0% 0% 0.17% 0% MC
122 POR Joao Carlota 0% 0% 0.15% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...