Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 220.6

Total Profit: +120.5

Alfred Dunhill Links Championship

06/10/2016 - 09/10/2016

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 16 5.88% 4.76% 2% -2.76% T53
2 RSA Branden Grace 17 5.56% 4.5% 2.37% -2.13% MC
3 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 5.26% 4.26% 1.3% -2.96% T50
4 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 18 5.26% 4.26% 1.13% -3.13% T7
5 SWE Alexander Noren 22 4.35% 3.52% 2.34% -1.18% T11
6 GER Martin Kaymer 22 4.35% 3.52% 2.13% -1.39% 6
7 ENG Danny Willett 23 4.17% 3.37% 1.36% -2.01% MC
8 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 26 3.7% 3% 1.55% -1.44% T31
9 IRL Shane Lowry 29 3.33% 2.7% 1.12% -1.58% T18
10 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 29 3.33% 2.7% 0.72% -1.98% T15
11 ENG Andrew Johnston 41 2.38% 1.93% 1.55% -0.38% T63
12 NED Joost Luiten 41 2.38% 1.93% 1.07% -0.86% MC
13 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 42 2.33% 1.88% 1.27% -0.62% MC
14 ENG Ross Fisher 45 2.17% 1.76% 1.28% -0.48% T2
15 FRA Alexander Levy 46 2.13% 1.72% 1.05% -0.67% T63
16 ENG Lee Westwood 47 2.08% 1.69% 2.62% 0.93% MC 7.58
17 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 50 1.96% 1.59% 1.42% -0.17% T7
18 NIR Graeme McDowell 58 1.69% 1.37% 1.55% 0.18% T15 6.16
19 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 59 1.67% 1.35% 1.26% -0.09% 1 6.06 +220.6
20 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 60 1.64% 1.33% 1.24% -0.09% T31 5.96
21 ENG Richard Bland 63 1.56% 1.26% 1.1% -0.17% T18 5.68
22 WAL Bradley Dredge 66 1.49% 1.21% 1.29% 0.09% T11 5.43
23 SWE Robert Karlsson 69 1.43% 1.16% 1.27% 0.11% T53 5.2
24 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 84 1.18% 0.95% 0.86% -0.09% T50 4.28
25 ESP Alejandro Canizares 91 1.09% 0.88% 0.85% -0.03% T41 3.96
26 ENG David Horsey 97 1.02% 0.83% 0.76% -0.07% T11 3.71
27 ENG David Howell 99 1% 0.81% 0.92% 0.11% WD 3.64
28 RSA Richard Sterne 101 0.98% 0.79% 0.54% -0.25% T2
29 USA David Lipsky 104 0.95% 0.77% 1.02% 0.24% MC 3.47
30 SCO Richie Ramsay 109 0.91% 0.74% 0.75% 0.02% T63 3.31
31 IRL Paul Dunne 113 0.88% 0.71% 0.8% 0.09% T25 3.19
32 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 113 0.88% 0.71% 0.76% 0.05% T31 3.19
33 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 115 0.86% 0.7% 0.71% 0.01% MC 3.14
34 FRA Gregory Bourdy 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.99% 0.32% T41 3.01
35 ENG Anthony Wall 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.88% 0.21% T31 3.01
36 ENG Matthew Southgate 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.79% 0.12% MC 3.01
37 RSA Brandon Stone 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.68% 0.01% MC 3.01
38 SWE Peter Hanson 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.6% -0.07% T41 3.01
39 GER Florian Fritsch 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.4% -0.26% T7
40 IRL Padraig Harrington 130 0.76% 0.62% 1.02% 0.4% T63 2.78
41 SWE Rikard Karlberg 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.89% 0.28% T41 2.78
42 FRA Benjamin Hebert 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.65% 0.03% MC 2.78
43 ENG James Morrison 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.56% -0.06% T38 2.78
44 FIN Mikko Ilonen 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.82% 0.29% T18
45 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.8% 0.27% T25
46 WAL Jamie Donaldson 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.77% 0.24% WD
47 FRA Romain Wattel 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.83% 0.33% T18
48 ENG Robert Rock 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.69% 0.19% T31
49 AUS Richard Green 160 0.62% 0.5% 0.69% 0.19% MC
50 SCO Marc Warren 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.79% 0.34% 5
51 FRA Julien Quesne 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.71% 0.27% T50
52 ENG Chris Paisley 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.62% 0.17% MC
53 SWE Joakim Lagergren 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.54% 0.09% 4
54 RSA George Coetzee 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.52% 0.08% T25
55 ESP Jorge Campillo 190 0.52% 0.42% 1.07% 0.65% MC
56 KOR Soomin Lee 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.64% 0.22% MC
57 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.62% 0.2% MC
58 ENG Chris Hanson 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.55% 0.13% MC
59 USA Chris Stroud 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.53% 0.1% T63
60 FIN Mikko Korhonen 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.44% 0.01% MC
61 ITA Nino Bertasio 190 0.52% 0.42% 0.42% 0% MC
62 ESP Adrian Otaegui 200 0.5% 0.4% 1.03% 0.63% MC
63 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% T31
64 ITA Renato Paratore 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.51% 0.11% T7
65 SCO Scott Jamieson 200 0.5% 0.4% 0.45% 0.04% T63
66 FRA Gregory Havret 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.74% 0.35% T18
67 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.71% 0.32% MC
68 USA Paul Peterson 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.62% 0.23% MC
69 SCO David Drysdale 210 0.47% 0.38% 0.4% 0.02% T47
70 SCO Stephen Gallacher 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.42% 0.06% T38
71 ENG Tom Lewis 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.41% 0.04% MC
72 CHI Felipe Aguilar 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.81% 0.46% MC
73 ITA Matteo Manassero 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.69% 0.34% MC
74 ESP Nacho Elvira 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.67% 0.32% MC
75 ENG Oliver Fisher 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% T63
76 ENG Callum Shinkwin 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.43% 0.08% T38
77 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.32% -0.03% T63
78 POR Ricardo Gouveia 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.28% -0.07% MC
79 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.61% 0.29% T63
80 ENG Graeme Storm 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.37% 0.04% T25
81 USA Daniel Im 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.34% 0.03% MC
82 RSA Jbe Kruger 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.41% 0.11% T15
83 ENG Ben Evans 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.31% 0.01% T47
84 GER Maximilian Kieffer 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.36% 0.08% MC
85 ENG Eddie Pepperell 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.34% 0.06% MC
86 ENG Lee Slattery 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% T63
87 RSA Darren Fichardt 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% MC
88 RSA Dean Burmester 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% MC
89 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.63% 0.36% MC
90 SCO Craig Lee 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.6% 0.33% T25
91 ENG Richard McEvoy 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.32% T63
92 RSA Justin Walters 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
93 ENG Steve Webster 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% MC
94 GER Marcel Siem 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% 62
95 USA Troy Merritt 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% MC
96 DEN Lasse Jensen 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.38% 0.11% T11
97 RSA Jean Hugo 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
98 ENG Ryan Evans 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.08% MC
99 FRA Thomas Linard 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% MC
100 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.32% 0.05% T53
101 ENG Paul Waring 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
102 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
103 USA Zac Blair 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.3% 0.03% MC
104 RSA Jaco Ahlers 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.26% -0.01% T25
105 SCO Jamie McLeary 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.24% -0.02% T63
106 ITA Edoardo Molinari 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.24% -0.02% MC
107 RSA Jacques Blaauw 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.19% -0.07% MC
108 AUS Brett Rumford 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.64% 0.44% MC
109 ENG Simon Khan 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% MC
110 ENG Daniel Brooks 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.24% MC
111 SWE Johan Carlsson 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
112 DEN Jeff Winther 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T63
113 AUS Matthew Millar 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
114 FRA Sebastien Gros 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.24% 0.04% DQ
115 SWE Pelle Edberg 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
116 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% MC
117 NIR Michael Hoey 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
118 ENG Gary Boyd 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% MC
119 FIN Roope Kakko 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
120 RSA Merrick Bremner 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.12% MC
121 FRA Gary Stal 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.26% 0.1% MC
122 SWE Jens Fahrbring 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% MC
123 AUS Nathan Holman 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.24% 0.08% MC
124 THA Prom Meesawat 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.21% 0.05% MC
125 THA Natipong Srithong 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.03% MC
126 RSA Oliver Bekker 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.1% -0.07% MC
127 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.59% 0.46% MC
128 CAN Richard T Lee 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% MC
129 RSA Tjaart Van Der Walt 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.29% 0.16% T31
130 ENG Simon Dyson 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.12% MC
131 AUS Jordan Zunic 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.08% T18
132 AUS David Bransdon 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.21% 0.08% MC
133 AUS Andrew Dodt 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.44% 0.33% T47
134 ENG Matt Ford 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% T60
135 ENG John Parry 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
136 WAL Rhys Davies 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
137 RSA Erik van Rooyen 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% 59
138 SWE Niclas Fasth 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% T18
139 ENG Matthew Baldwin 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% MC
140 AUS Kristopher R Mueck 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
141 AUS Mathew Goggin 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% MC
142 IRL Paul McGinley 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
143 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% T41
144 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% MC
145 SCO Andrew McArthur 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% T63
146 RSA Rhys West 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T53
147 FRA Edouard Espana 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
148 ITA Francesco Laporta 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% MC
149 AUS Matthew Guyatt 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% T53
150 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T60
151 RSA Trevor Immelman 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.08% MC
152 SWE Bjorn Akesson 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
153 KOR Jin Jeong 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
154 AUS Daniel Valente 1000 0.1% 0.08% 0.12% 0.04% MC
155 USA Sean O'Hair 0% 0% 1.15% 0% MC
156 CHN Wu Ashun 0% 0% 0.62% 0% MC
157 KOR Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T53
158 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC
159 NIR Cormac Sharvin 0% 0% 0.28% 0% MC
160 FRA Clement Berardo 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
161 ENG David Dixon 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
162 ENG Laurie Canter 0% 0% 0.22% 0% T63
163 USA Kevin Dougherty 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
164 SCO Grant Forrest 0% 0% 0.15% 0% T41
165 SCO Ewen Ferguson 0% 0% 0.14% 0% MC
166 POL Adrian Meronk 0% 0% 0.11% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...