Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 25.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 49.9

Total Profit: -50.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.37% 3.38% -1% T9
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.37% 1.5% -2.87% T37
3 ENG Sam Horsfield 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.61% 2.15% -1.46% 1
4 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.61% 1.8% -1.81% T2
5 POL Adrian Meronk 25 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.2% 2.11% -1.08% 6
6 ESP Adrian Otaegui 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.2% 1.4% -1.8% T15
7 RSA Justin Harding 28 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.86% 1.98% -0.88%
8 FRA Victor Perez 30 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.68% 1.05% -1.63% T33
9 RSA Oliver Bekker 31 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.13% 2.6% 3.75% 1.16% T4 (tied w/2) 11.41 +49.9
10 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.94% 2.44% 1.53% -0.91% MC
11 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.03% 1.79% -0.24% T15 8.91
12 RSA Thriston Lawrence 45 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.81% 1.55% -0.25% T58 7.94
13 ITA Edoardo Molinari 50 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 1.1% -0.53% T9
14 DEN Joachim B Hansen 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.63% 0.84% -0.79% T55
15 RSA JC Ritchie 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.48% 1.23% -0.26% T64
16 USA John Catlin 55 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.48% 0.76% -0.72% T23
17 RSA George Coetzee 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.34% 0.6% -0.74% MC
18 CHN Wu Ashun 66 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1.91% 0.67% T44 5.45
19 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.24% 1.37% 0.13% T52 5.45
20 GER Hurly Long 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.23% -0.01% T58 5.45
21 SWE Alexander Bjork 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 1.19% -0.05% T23 5.45
22 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.8% -0.44% T15
23 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.62% -0.62% T37
24 NED Joost Luiten 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.37% -0.87% MC
25 ARG Daniel Vancsik 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.24% 0.24% -1%
26 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.17% 0.77% -0.4% MC
27 ENG Richard Mansell 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.09% 0.79% -0.3% T23
28 FRA Antoine Rozner 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.09% 0.76% -0.34% MC
29 CHN Li Haotong 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 1.96% 0.94% 4.51
30 SCO Ewen Ferguson 80 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.03% 1.63% 0.61% T58 4.51
31 NED Wil Besseling 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.03% 0.65% -0.37% T23
32 ENG Matthew Jordan 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 0.92% 0.84% -0.08% T15 2.03
33 GER Yannik Paul 94 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.05% 0.87% 0.91% 0.04% T2 1.93
34 FRA Victor Dubuisson 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 1.55% 0.73% T48 3.62
35 AUT Lukas Nemecz 100 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 1.09% 0.27% T58 3.62
36 ENG Callum Shinkwin 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.86% 0.03% T37 3.62
37 ENG Daniel Gavins 100 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.77% -0.06% MC 3.62
38 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.2% -0.62% MC
39 THA Jazz Janewattananond 104 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.95% 0.79% 0.9% 0.1% MC 1.74
40 ESP Jorge Campillo 104 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.95% 0.79% 0.51% -0.28% T15
41 DEN Jeff Winther 110 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.75% 1.02% 0.27% T55 3.29
42 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.73% 1.88% 1.15% MC 1.61
43 RSA Wilco Nienaber 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.67% 0.67% 0% MC 1.48
44 ITA Guido Migliozzi 123 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.81% 0.67% 0.51% -0.16% T52 1.48
45 AUS Wade Ormsby 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.92% 0.26% MC 2.9
46 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.66% 0% MC 2.9
47 ENG David Horsey 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.65% -0.01% T23 2.9
48 NOR Espen Kofstad 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.61% -0.05% MC 2.9
49 ENG Eddie Pepperell 125 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.39% -0.27% MC
50 ESP Santiago Tarrio 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.24% -0.41%
51 USA Chase Hanna 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.62% 0.88% 0.26% T4 1.38
52 SCO Grant Forrest 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.59% 0.69% 0.1% T9
53 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.58% 0.83% 0.24% T23
54 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 1.06% 0.51% MC
55 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.87% 0.32% T23
56 FRA Frederic LaCroix 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.79% 0.24% MC
57 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.59% 0.04% T15
58 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.55% 0.44% -0.11% MC
59 IND Shubhankar Sharma 151 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.66% 0.55% 1.73% 1.18% MC
60 ENG James Morrison 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.51% 1.29% 0.78% MC
61 MAS Gavin Green 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.51% 0.85% 0.34% T44
62 WAL Jamie Donaldson 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% MC
63 FRA Benjamin Hebert 175 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 0.23% -0.25% MC
64 SWE Niklas Lemke 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.51% 0.05% MC
65 RSA Brandon Stone 189 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.53% 0.44% 0.53% 0.09% MC
66 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.61% 0.2% T15
67 GER Marcel Siem 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% 63
68 RSA Zander Lombard 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.55% 0.14% MC
69 ESP Nacho Elvira 200 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.08% T9
70 POR Ricardo Gouveia 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.37% -0.04% MC
71 IRL Niall Kearney 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.3% -0.11% T15
72 USA Sean Crocker 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.38% 0.48% 0.1% T7
73 ENG Paul Waring 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.37% 0.4% 0.03% T37
74 ENG Matthew Southgate 227 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.57% 0.21% MC
75 ENG Andy Sullivan 227 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.39% 0.03% T9
76 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 227 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.2% -0.17% MC
77 ITA Nino Bertasio 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.62% 0.27% MC
78 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.26% -0.09% MC
79 ENG Jack Singh Brar 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.74% 0.41% MC
80 ENG Ashley Chesters 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.69% 0.36% T44
81 ENG Richard McEvoy 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.61% 0.28% T37
82 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.49% 0.16% MC
83 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.49% 0.16% T7
84 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.37% 0.04% T44
85 CHI Hugo Leon 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.34% 0.01% MC
86 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.3% -0.03% T23
87 ITA Renato Paratore 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.28% -0.05% MC
88 ENG David Coupland 250 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.26% -0.07% MC
89 NED Darius Van Driel 256 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.39% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
90 ENG Garrick Porteous 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.3% 0.72% 0.42% T48
91 ENG Dale Whitnell 300 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.57% 0.29% T23
92 ENG Andrew Wilson 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
93 AUS Maverick Antcliff 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% MC
94 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% MC
95 SWE Joakim Lagergren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.64% 0.41% MC
96 WAL Oliver Farr 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.38% 0.15% T23
97 ENG Ross McGowan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% MC
98 ENG Steven Brown 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% MC
99 NZL Josh Geary 350 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.24% 0.01% T58
100 USA Julian Suri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.23% -0.01% MC
101 SCO David Drysdale 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.26% 0.03% MC
102 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.21% T9
103 SCO Stephen Gallacher 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.35% 0.15% MC
104 CZE Ondrej Lieser 400 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.3% 0.1% T66
105 NED Daan Huizing 400 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.29% 0.08% T33
106 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
107 KOR Yikeun Chang 400 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.24% 0.04%
108 NED Lars Van Meijel 427 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.89% 0.69% MC
109 BEL Christopher Mivis 474 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% MC
110 ENG Toby Tree 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.27% 0.11% MC
111 ENG Jonathan Thomson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.26% 0.09% MC
112 ESP Pep Angles Ros 598 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.36% 0.23% MC
113 SWE Rikard Karlberg 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% T55
114 DEN Thomas Bjorn 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
115 FRA Robin Roussel 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% T37
116 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
117 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.25% 0.12% T52
118 AUS Zach Murray 674 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
119 ESP Alvaro Quiros 674 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.28% 0.16% T48
120 CHN Zhang Huilin 674 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.23% 0.1% MC
121 SCO Marc Warren 721 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.48% 0.37% MC
122 FRA Joel Stalter 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.38% 0.28% MC
123 ENG Oliver Fisher 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% MC
124 SWE Joel Sjoholm 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% T48
125 BEL Alan De Bondt 826 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
126 BEL Yente Van Doren 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.24% 0.16% MC
127 ENG David Howell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
128 ENG Chris Paisley 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
129 NIR Cormac Sharvin 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% MC
130 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% MC
131 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
132 ENG Ben Stow 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
133 WAL Bradley Dredge 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% WD
134 ENG Matt Ford 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
135 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
136 BEL Lars Buijs 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
137 MAS C. M. Chong 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16%
138 BEL Guillaume Watremez 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
139 BEL Jarno Tollenaire 1000 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
140 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
141 BEL Kristof Ulenaers 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% MC
142 ENG Graeme Storm 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.38% 0.33% MC
143 SWE Jesper Kennegard 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.3% 0.25% MC
144 FRA Gregory Havret 1500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.22% MC
145 KEN Greg Snow 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.22% MC
146 KEN Samuel Chege 1500 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.22% MC
147 ESP Carlos Pigem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.17% T66
148 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 ENG Lee Slattery 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 GER Bernd Ritthammer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Louis de Jager 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
153 RSA Bryce Easton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 FRA Clement Sordet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 GER Max Schmitt 0% 0% 0% 0% T33
156 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T37
157 UKR Lev Grinberg 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
158 BEL Charles Roeland 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 BEL Louis Theys 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 ISR Asaf Cohen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 BEL James Meyer de Beco 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 BEL James Skeet 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.7% 13.7%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 33.2% 17.4%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.2% 19.2%
4 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 35.2% 19.2%
5 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 19.7%
6 Coral 8 @ 1/5 57.3% 19.7%
7 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.7%
8 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 42.8% 28.3%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 55.7% 28.4%
10 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.3% 29.7%
11 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 30.1%
12 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 71.1% 30.3%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34.1%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.4% 34.2%
15 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 65.2% 36.2%
16 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 65.2% 36.2%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 55.8% 37.5%
18 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 38.1%
19 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 38.1%
20 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 42.2%
21 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 42.2%