Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 28.5 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 245.8

Total Profit: +145.7



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.45% 1.82% -3.62% T16
2 ENG Laurie Canter 20 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.41% 1.92% -2.49% T5
3 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 4.03% 2.1% -1.93% MC
4 USA John Catlin 22 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 4.03% 1.37% -2.65% T20
5 ENG Andrew Johnston 25 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 3.85% 3.56% 2.22% -1.34% T7
6 ESP Adria Arnaus 26 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 3.7% 3.43% 2.56% -0.87% T54
7 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 3.19% 1.93% -1.27% MC
8 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 33 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.72% 1.29% -1.43% MC
9 RSA Wilco Nienaber 33 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.72% 1.07% -1.66% MC
10 USA Sean Crocker 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.57% 2.75% 0.18% T45 11.24
11 GER Martin Kaymer 35 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.78% 2.57% 0.9% -1.67% T34
12 SWE Alexander Bjork 39 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.5% 2.32% 1.41% -0.9% MC
13 FRA Romain Langasque 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.26% 0.63% -1.63% T34
14 ENG Matthew Jordan 41 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.38% 2.21% 1.71% -0.5% T68
15 ESP Adrian Otaegui 41 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 2.38% 2.21% 0.9% -1.31% T26
16 ENG Richard Mansell 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.82% 1.22% -0.59% T40
17 DEN Joachim B Hansen 51 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.92% 1.78% 1.19% -0.59% T11
18 NED Joost Luiten 51 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.92% 1.78% 0.96% -0.83% T34
19 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 55 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.65% 1.74% 0.09% T16 7.23
20 ITA Renato Paratore 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.65% 1.39% -0.26% T11 7.23
21 SCO Richie Ramsay 61 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.61% 1.49% 1.34% -0.16% MC 3.27
22 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.38% 1.97% 0.59% MC 6.04
23 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.38% 1.63% 0.24% T2 (tied w/3) 6.04 +42.9
24 IRL Niall Kearney 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.38% 1.57% 0.19% MC 6.04
25 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.38% 0.93% -0.46% T20
26 THA Jazz Janewattananond 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.22% 1.6% 0.38% T20 2.67
27 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 75 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.32% 1.22% 0.81% -0.41% MC 2.67
28 ENG James Morrison 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.14% 1.83% 0.68% MC 2.5
29 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.14% 1.77% 0.63% MC 5
30 ESP Alejandro Canizares 80 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.23% 1.14% 1.33% 0.19% T16 2.5
31 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.14% 1.02% -0.13% T40 5
32 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.14% 0.86% -0.28% T20 5
33 SCO Connor Syme 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.14% 0.7% -0.45% T26 5
34 ESP Jorge Campillo 89 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 1.11% 1.03% 1.04% 0.02% T2 2.25
35 ENG Jack Senior 90 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 1.02% 1.47% 0.45% T7 4.45
36 AUS Maverick Antcliff 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.92% 0.8% -0.11% MC 4.01
37 ESP Alvaro Quiros 104 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.95% 0.88% 0.65% -0.23% T11 1.93
38 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.81% 1.79% 0.98% T45 1.78
39 ENG Ashley Chesters 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.81% 1.03% 0.21% MC 1.78
40 DEN Jeff Winther 113 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.88% 0.81% 0.79% -0.02% 1 1.78 +202.9
41 ENG Dale Whitnell 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.74% 0.89% 0.16% T49 3.21
42 ENG Matthew Southgate 132 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.75% 0.7% 1.27% 0.57% T65 1.53
43 ESP Nacho Elvira 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.65% 1.24% 0.59% T49
44 ITA Nino Bertasio 142 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.7% 0.65% 0.73% 0.08% T20
45 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.61% 0.79% 0.18% T5
46 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.61% 0.73% 0.12% MC
47 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.61% 0.63% 0.02% T34
48 WAL Rhys Enoch 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.57% 0.64% 0.07% T61
49 SWE Marcus Kinhult 161 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.62% 0.57% 0.35% -0.22% MC
50 SCO David Drysdale 170 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.58% 0.54% 0.58% 0.04% WD
51 MAS Gavin Green 175 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.53% 0.67% 0.14% T54
52 CHN Wu Ashun 180 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.55% 0.51% 0.66% 0.15% T16
53 WAL Oliver Farr 199 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.5% 0.46% 0.95% 0.49% T34
54 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.46% 0.74% 0.28% T54
55 SWE Niklas Lemke 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.46% 0.53% 0.07% T7
56 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 208 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.48% 0.44% 0.74% 0.3% MC
57 USA Sihwan Kim 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.42% 1.16% 0.74% T65
58 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.42% 0.95% 0.53% T49
59 FRA Adrien Saddier 218 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.46% 0.42% 0.76% 0.34% T54
60 RSA Louis de Jager 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.41% 0.56% 0.15% T26
61 CAN Aaron Cockerill 237 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.42% 0.39% 0.68% 0.29% T26
62 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.37% 0.74% 0.37% MC
63 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.37% 0.62% 0.25% T26
64 CZE Ondrej Lieser 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.37% 0.55% 0.18% T45
65 ENG Lee Slattery 265 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.38% 0.35% 0.51% 0.16% MC
66 ENG Ross McGowan 284 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.35% 0.32% 1.15% 0.82% T61
67 ENG David Coupland 294 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.34% 0.31% 0.7% 0.39% MC
68 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.31% 3.58% 3.27% T11
69 NED Lars Van Meijel 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T54
70 SWE Rikard Karlberg 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.29% 0.71% 0.42% T40
71 RSA Thomas Aiken 322 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.31% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% 71
72 AUS Scott Hend 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% T20
73 GER Max Schmitt 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.28% 0.4% 0.12% MC
74 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 332 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.3% 0.28% 0.3% 0.02% 72
75 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.26% 0.42% 0.16% MC
76 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.26% 0.33% 0.07% T26
77 RSA Bryce Easton 360 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.28% 0.26% 0.75% 0.49% T7
78 POR Ricardo Santos 389 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.24% 1.01% 0.77% MC
79 NZL Josh Geary 389 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.26% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% T40
80 ENG Matt Ford 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.23% 0.57% 0.34% MC
81 ESP Pep Angles Ros 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.23% 0.4% 0.17% T2
82 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 465 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.21% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% T65
83 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.51% 0.32% MC
84 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.43% 0.24% MC
85 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.41% 0.22% MC
86 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.38% 0.19% T26
87 SWE Joel Sjoholm 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% 0.32% 0.13% T68
88 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 550 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.18% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% MC
89 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
90 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 626 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
91 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 645 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.58% 0.44% T68
92 ENG Oliver Fisher 674 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.78% 0.64% MC
93 FRA Robin Roussel 674 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% T26
94 IRL Paul Dunne 693 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.46% 0.33% MC
95 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 721 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.58% 0.45% MC
96 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 750 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
97 SWE Jens Fahrbring 797 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.34% 0.22% MC
98 ESP Carlos Pigem 835 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.39% 0.27% T61
99 FRA Romain Wattel 854 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% MC
100 NIR Cormac Sharvin 883 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.56% 0.45% T61
101 ENG Richard McEvoy 892 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.45% 0.35% MC
102 FRA Damien Perrier 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.65% 0.56% T40
103 FRA Joel Stalter 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.61% 0.52% T54
104 ENG David Howell 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.49% 0.39% T54
105 USA Tyler Koivisto 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% MC
106 SCO Liam Johnston 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
107 IRL Gavin Moynihan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
108 ESP Jacobo Pastor Lopez 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T49
109 USA Samuel Del Val 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.29% 0.2% MC
110 ESP Toni Ferrer 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
111 FRA Gregory Bourdy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 1 @ 1/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.28% 0.19% MC
112 ENG Frank Kennedy 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
113 ESP Carlos Aguilar 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
114 FRA Clement Sordet 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
115 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
116 SWE Philip Eriksson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
118 SCO Daniel Young 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
120 ESP Victor Miron 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -0.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.8% 10.8%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.4% 19%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 45.2% 19.3%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 45.2% 19.3%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36% 19.6%
6 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 36% 19.6%
7 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 36% 19.6%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 35.1% 20.9%
9 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 35.1% 20.9%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 38.5% 21.8%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 38.3% 23.8%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 41.1% 24.1%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 55.1% 27.5%
14 Betway 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 27.5%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.5% 29.4%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 44.7% 29.5%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 30.6%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 31.8%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 33.6%