Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 20.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 240.1

Total Profit: +140



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Andy Sullivan 16 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.73% 1.33% -3.4% T48
2 ENG Marcus Armitage 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.5% 1.32% -2.18% T38
3 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.09% 2.05% -1.04% T23
4 NZL Ryan Fox 25 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.09% 1.28% -1.82% T34
5 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 25 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.09% 1.05% -2.04% T16
6 ESP Adrian Otaegui 28 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.77% 0.82% -1.95% T38
7 SCO Richie Ramsay 33 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.36% 1.37% -1% T28
8 SCO Calum Hill 33 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.36% 1.01% -1.36% T4
9 ENG Eddie Pepperell 33 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.36% 0.66% -1.71% MC
10 SCO Connor Syme 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.23% 2.27% 0.03% MC 9.35
11 ENG Matthew Southgate 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.23% 1.16% -1.07% 33
12 NED Wil Besseling 45 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.75% 1.36% -0.39% T30
13 NZL Daniel Hillier 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 3.38% 1.8% T23 6.6
14 GER Marcel Siem 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 1.58% 0.01% T56 6.6
15 WAL Jamie Donaldson 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 1.56% -0.02% T34 6.6
16 SCO David Law 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 1.46% -0.11% T4 (tied w/2) 6.6 +36.3
17 ENG David Horsey 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.58% 1.15% -0.43% MC
18 CHI Hugo Leon 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% 1.49% 0.05% T16 6.01
19 DEN Joachim B Hansen 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.44% 1.3% -0.14% T56
20 NED Darius Van Driel 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.44% 1.24% -0.19% T53
21 ENG Matthew Jordan 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.44% 0.97% -0.47% T6
22 ENG Daniel Gavins 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 1.7% 0.5% T38 5.03
23 ESP Nacho Elvira 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 1.48% 0.28% MC 5.03
24 FRA Benjamin Hebert 66 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 1.03% -0.17% MC
25 ENG Ashley Chesters 66 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.94% -0.26% T48
26 ITA Renato Paratore 66 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.2% 0.87% -0.33% T56
27 ENG Dale Whitnell 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 1.44% 0.31% T68 4.74
28 ENG Callum Shinkwin 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 1.03% -0.11% T16
29 SWE Marcus Kinhult 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 0.29% -0.84% T68
30 GER Matthias Schmid 75 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.06% 1.42% 0.36% MC 4.43
31 ENG Garrick Porteous 75 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.06% 0.88% -0.18% T10
32 ITA Francesco Laporta 75 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.06% 0.67% -0.39% MC
33 IND Shubhankar Sharma 75 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.06% 0.39% -0.66% T16
34 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 1.04% 0.05% 1 4.16 +203.8
35 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.97% -0.02% T38 4.16
36 ENG Ross Fisher 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.93% -0.06% T56 4.16
37 DEN Jeff Winther 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.91% -0.08% MC 4.16
38 WAL Oliver Farr 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.84% -0.16% T30
39 RSA Justin Walters 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.83% -0.16% T8
40 ESP Alejandro Canizares 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.82% -0.18% T70
41 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.72% -0.27% T10
42 USA Paul Peterson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.7% -0.29% MC
43 ENG James Morrison 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 0.53% -0.47% 2
44 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 1.43% 0.54% MC 3.7
45 USA Sihwan Kim 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 1.22% 0.33% T10 3.7
46 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.96% 0.08% T34 3.7
47 NZL Josh Geary 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.56% -0.33% MC
48 AUS Scott Hend 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 1.11% 0.31% T56 3.34
49 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.54% -0.26% T30
50 SCO Scott Jamieson 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.51% -0.28% MC
51 SCO Marc Warren 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.72% 0.43% -0.29% MC
52 SCO Craig Howie 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 1.26% 0.62% T23 2.68
53 IRL Niall Kearney 125 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.85% 0.22% T8 2.68
54 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.79% 0.16% MC 2.68
55 ENG Paul Waring 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.46% -0.18% MC
56 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.1% 0.56% MC
57 CAN Aaron Cockerill 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.03% 0.49% MC
58 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.81% 0.27% T10
59 NIR Cormac Sharvin 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.74% 0.21% MC
60 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.7% 0.16% MC
61 ENG Robert Rock 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.41% -0.12% MC
62 SCO David Drysdale 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.39% -0.14% T38
63 SWE Niklas Lemke 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.59% 0.13% MC
64 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.31% -0.14% MC
65 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 1.16% 0.76% T38
66 RSA Bryce Easton 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.91% 0.51% T10
67 ENG Richard McEvoy 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.67% 0.27% T23
68 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.57% 0.17% MC
69 SWE Anton Karlsson 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.32% -0.08% T63
70 ENG Matthew Baldwin 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.36% 0.77% 0.42% T56
71 POR Ricardo Santos 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% T63
72 USA Julian Suri 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.36% 0.6% 0.24% MC
73 FRA Clement Sordet 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.36% 0.38% 0.02% MC
74 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.36% 0.31% -0.05% MC
75 NIR Tom McKibbin 250 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.71% 0.39% MC
76 ENG David Coupland 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.64% 0.32% MC
77 ENG Oliver Fisher 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.63% 0.31% MC
78 ESP Pep Angles Ros 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.5% 0.18% MC
79 WAL Rhys Enoch 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.46% 0.14% T72
80 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.44% 0.12% T16
81 FRA Adrien Saddier 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.42% 0.1% MC
82 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.39% 0.07% T63
83 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
84 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 250 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.29% -0.03% MC
85 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 1.02% 0.75% T38
86 AUS Austin Bautista 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.75% 0.49% T72
87 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 300 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.71% 0.44% MC
88 ENG Ben Evans 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% MC
89 SCO Ryan Lumsden 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.36% 0.09% MC
90 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% MC
91 WAL Bradley Dredge 300 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% T38
92 KOR Yikeun Chang 350 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.7% 0.47% T23
93 ESP Alvaro Quiros 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.54% 0.31% T16
94 GER Bernd Ritthammer 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.45% 0.22% MC
95 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.45% 0.22% MC
96 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.36% 0.13% T28
97 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 1.18% 0.98% T34
98 NED Lars Van Meijel 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.61% 0.41% T48
99 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.54% 0.34% 75
100 FRA Romain Wattel 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
101 ENG David Dixon 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% MC
102 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.13% MC
103 ENG Lee Slattery 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% T38
104 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.96% 0.8% WD
105 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% MC
106 RSA Haydn Porteous 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.43% 0.27% MC
107 IMN Tom Gandy 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.41% 0.25% MC
108 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% MC
109 ENG David Howell 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.38% 0.22% MC
110 USA Berry Henson 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.21% T10
111 AUS Jake McLeod 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% T70
112 ENG Matt Ford 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T16
113 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% T63
114 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% T53
115 FRA Damien Perrier 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% T48
116 ENG Laird Shepherd 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% MC
117 IND Shiv Kapur 500 (GentingBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% MC
118 FRA Gary Stal 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.14% T72
119 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.13% MC
120 SWE Philip Eriksson 500 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.28% 0.12% MC
121 ENG Graeme Storm 600 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.55% 0.42% MC
122 ENG Ross McGowan 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.27% MC
123 SWE Jesper Sandborg 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.34% 0.23% MC
124 ESP Carlos Pigem 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% T56
125 SCO Daniel Young 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.27% 0.17% T53
126 IRL Gavin Moynihan 750 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T48
127 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.43% 0.35% MC
128 USA Tyler Koivisto 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% T38
129 ITA Aron Zemmer 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.29% MC
130 FIN Janne Kaske 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
131 ENG Robin Williams 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.26% MC
132 SCO Euan Walker 1000 (Redzone: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.25% MC
133 SCO Chris Doak 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
134 SCO Graham Fox 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.3% 0.25% MC
135 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0% 0% 0.45% 0% MC
136 SCO Paul O'Hara (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0% 0% 0.31% 0% MC
137 CHN Li Haotong 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% 3
141 USA Chase Hanna 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
142 ENG Jake Bolton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 ENG Frank Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% T63

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 20.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 41.6% 26.2%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 51.8% 27%
3 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 51.8% 27%
4 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.4%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.4%
6 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.4%
7 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 43% 27.4%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.7% 28.1%
9 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 41.6% 29%
10 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 45.4% 32.4%
11 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.8% 32.8%
12 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 59.3% 33.3%
13 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 48% 34.8%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 39.1%
15 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 40%