Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 35.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 67.7

Total Profit: -32.4



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Brandon Stone 12 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.59% 1.6% -3.98% T23
2 SCO Robert MacIntyre 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.84% 3.78% -1.06% T6
3 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.27% 1.59% -2.68% 1
4 RSA Wilco Nienaber 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 1.62% -1.54% 12
5 RSA George Coetzee 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 2.33% -0.17% MC
6 RSA Shaun Norris 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 1.23% -1.28% MC
7 ENG Eddie Pepperell 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.5% 0.95% -1.55% T64
8 RSA Garrick Higgo 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 2.15% 0.02% MC 9.43
9 ENG Laurie Canter 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 2.08% -0.05% MC 9.43
10 DEN Joachim B Hansen 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.94% -0.2% T20
11 AUT Matthias Schwab 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.21% -0.92% T13
12 NED Joost Luiten 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.09% -1.04% T31
13 ENG Marcus Armitage 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.49% -0.53% T6
14 USA Johannes Veerman 35 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% 1.12% -0.89% T25
15 ENG Matthew Jordan 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.79% 0.02% T25 7.82
16 ESP Adrian Otaegui 40 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.12% -0.66% T20
17 SCO Scott Jamieson 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1% -0.77% T6
18 ESP Adria Arnaus 40 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0.63% -1.14% T6
19 RSA Darren Fichardt 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 1.62% 0.05% T55 6.97
20 WAL Jamie Donaldson 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 1.38% -0.2% MC
21 RSA Dean Burmester 45 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 0.97% -0.61% MC
22 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 45 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 0.86% -0.72% T39
23 MAS Gavin Green 45 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 0.74% -0.84% T47
24 ESP Jorge Campillo 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 1.33% -0.09% MC 6.29
25 RSA Zander Lombard 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.42% 0.44% -0.98% MC
26 NED Wil Besseling 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.3% 1.54% 0.24% T13 5.73
27 RSA Richard Sterne 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.26% -1.04% T47
28 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% 1.1% -0.09% T2
29 ENG Richard Bland 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.33% 0.25% T2 (tied w/4) 4.79 +34
30 RSA Louis de Jager 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.22% 0.14% MC 4.79
31 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.08% 1.02% -0.07% MC 4.79
32 ENG David Horsey 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.32% 0.29% T31 4.52
33 IND Shubhankar Sharma 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 0.84% -0.18% MC
34 RSA Jacques Blaauw 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 2.74% 1.85% MC 3.96
35 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 1.24% 0.34% T23 3.96
36 USA Sean Crocker 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.88% -0.02% T2 (tied w/4) 3.96 +33.7
37 SCO Calum Hill 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.75% -0.14% T13
38 RSA Bryce Easton 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.75% -0.15% MC
39 USA Julian Suri 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.4% -0.49% T35
40 RSA MJ Daffue 90 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.87% 0.08% MC 3.53
41 CAN Aaron Cockerill 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.83% 0.03% MC 3.53
42 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.71% -0.09% 11
43 ENG Steven Brown 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.88% 0.17% T51 3.18
44 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.58% -0.14% T6
45 RSA Jaco Ahlers 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.26% -0.46% MC
46 RSA Justin Walters 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% 0.7% 0.05% T25 2.89
47 FRA Matthieu Pavon 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% 0.57% -0.08% T57 2.89
48 RSA Neil Schietekat 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.62% 1.05% MC 2.55
49 SWE Joel Sjoholm 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% 0.67% 0.09% MC 2.55
50 FRA Adrien Saddier 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.61% 0.04% MC 2.55
51 ZIM Scott Vincent 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.52% 0.49% -0.03% T17
52 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.51% 1.03% MC
53 RSA Martin Rohwer 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 1.16% 0.68% T44
54 POL Adrian Meronk 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 1.07% 0.59% T2
55 ENG Ben Stow 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.81% 0.33% MC
56 FRA Joel Stalter 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.6% 0.12% MC
57 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.42% -0.06% MC
58 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.36% -0.13% MC
59 RSA Keith Horne 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.26% -0.22% MC
60 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.26% -0.22% 54
61 RSA JC Ritchie 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.23% -0.26% MC
62 FRA Julien Guerrier 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.67% 0.21% MC
63 SCO David Drysdale 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.45% 0.38% -0.08% MC
64 NED Lars Van Meijel 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.63% 0.21% MC
65 ESP Nacho Elvira 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.39% -0.02% MC
66 BRA Adilson da Silva 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.26% -0.15% MC
67 RSA MJ Viljoen 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.26% -0.15% T51
68 ENG Dale Whitnell 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 1.25% 0.89% T17
69 ENG Toby Tree 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.83% 0.47% MC
70 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.63% 0.27% T20
71 ENG Jack Senior 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.54% 0.18% MC
72 ESP Alvaro Quiros 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.35% -0.02% MC
73 RSA Thriston Lawrence 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.26% -0.1% MC
74 RSA Casey Jarvis 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.24% -0.12% MC
75 ENG Ross McGowan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.08% 0.79% MC
76 NED Darius Van Driel 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.86% 0.57% T44
77 AUS Scott Hend 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.75% 0.46% MC
78 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% MC
79 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.28% -0.01% T13
80 RSA Oliver Bekker 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.26% -0.03% T31
81 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.25% -0.04% MC
82 ENG Chris Wood 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.23% -0.06% T39
83 SCO David Law 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.23% -0.06% MC
84 ENG Garrick Porteous 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.99% 0.75% T47
85 ENG Oliver Fisher 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.4% 0.16% MC
86 WAL Rhys Enoch 300 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% MC
87 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T35
88 ENG Steve Surry 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 3.44% 3.23% T51
89 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 1.1% 0.89% T39
90 NIR Cormac Sharvin 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.49% 0.28% T25
91 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.26% 0.05% T25
92 RSA Jbe Kruger 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.25% 0.04% T35
93 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.24% 0.03% T25
94 RSA Haydn Porteous 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.19% -0.02% MC
95 FRA Robin Roussel 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.48% 0.3% T31
96 POR Ricardo Santos 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.33% 0.15% MC
97 ESP Carlos Pigem 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.61% 0.46% MC
98 SWE Philip Eriksson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% T39
99 RSA Hennie Otto 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
100 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T60
101 RSA Christiaan Basson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% T35
102 RSA Keenan Davidse 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
103 RSA Daniel Greene 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
104 RSA Ruan Korb 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
105 RSA Anton Haig 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
106 RSA Jake Redman 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
107 RSA Deon Germishuys 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
108 ENG Jack Harrison 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.1% MC
109 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.08% MC
110 POR Pedro Figueiredo 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% T17
111 RSA Alex Haindl 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% WD
112 RSA Anthony Michael 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T47
113 RSA Louis Albertse 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% MC
114 ENG David Howell 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.2% MC
115 SWE Anton Karlsson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
116 RSA Jean Hugo 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
117 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
118 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
119 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 750 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T60
120 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T57
121 RSA Merrick Bremner 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
122 RSA Jake Roos 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
123 RSA Ockie Strydom 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% T57
124 RSA Estiaan Conradie 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
125 ENG Joe Long 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
126 USA Chris Cannon 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.16% MC
127 RSA Tristen Strydom 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.24% 0.16% MC
128 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.22% 0.15% WD
129 RSA Callum Mowat 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
130 RSA Riekus Nortje 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
131 RSA Luke Jerling 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
132 RSA Dylan Naidoo 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% T60
133 RSA Ruan de Smidt 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
134 RSA Toto Thimba 2000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
135 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% T64
136 RSA Albert Venter 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
137 RSA Musiwalo Nethunzwi 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
138 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.2% MC
139 RSA James Kingston 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% T44
140 RSA JJ Senekal 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% MC
141 RSA Ruan Conradie 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% 63
142 RSA CJ du Plessis 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.26% 0.23% MC
143 POR Stephen Ferreira 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.22% MC
144 RSA Michael Hollick 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21% MC
145 RSA Teaghan Gauche 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.24% 0.21% MC
146 RSA Thanda Mavundla 4000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.26% 0.24% MC
147 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T39
148 AUS Andrew Evans 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 CHI Matias Calderon 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% T55
151 RSA Michael Palmer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 RSA Sean Bradley 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 ENG Jake Bolton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 ENG Thomas Plumb 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 35.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 56.4% 21%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 59.2% 23.2%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 61.8% 25.3%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 61.8% 25.3%
5 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 63.4% 26.5%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 45% 29.2%
7 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 60.2% 34.1%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.8% 36.3%
9 VBet 5 @ 1/4 54.4% 37.7%
10 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 40.4%
11 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 40.4%
12 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 40.4%
13 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 57.5% 40.4%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 43.9%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 43.9%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 44.2%
17 GentingBet 6 @ 1/5 62% 47.6%
18 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 62% 47.7%