Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 18.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 24.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 48.2

Total Profit: -51.9



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 6 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) 14.29% 12.02% 7.71% -4.32% 6
2 USA Dustin Johnson 6 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) 14.29% 12.02% 7.32% -4.7% T3
3 USA Justin Thomas 10 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 9.09% 7.65% 5.33% -2.32% T3
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 11 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) 8.33% 7.01% 1.96% -5.05% T7
5 USA Xander Schauffele 12 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 7.69% 6.47% 5.44% -1.03% 1
6 USA Webb Simpson 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.61% 4.87% -0.74% T17
7 USA Bryson DeChambeau 16 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.95% 4.3% -0.65% T25
8 USA Daniel Berger 18 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.43% 6.06% 1.64% T17
9 USA Collin Morikawa 18 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.43% 5.28% 0.85% T7
10 USA Tony Finau 20 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 4.76% 4.01% 3.48% -0.53% T14
11 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 20 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 4.76% 4.01% 2.49% -1.51% T17
12 USA Scottie Scheffler 28 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.9% 2.78% -0.12% 2 12.04 +48.2
13 USA Patrick Reed 30 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.71% 2.5% -0.21% T7
14 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 33 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.48% 3.32% 0.85% 5 10.27
15 USA Harris English 35 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.34% 4.46% 2.13% 13 9.7
16 USA Billy Horschel 35 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.34% 2.69% 0.35% 30 9.7
17 NOR Viktor Hovland 40 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.05% 3.47% 1.42% T14 8.52
18 USA Kevin Kisner 40 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.05% 2.93% 0.88% T22 8.52
19 CHI Joaquin Niemann 60 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.38% 2.53% 1.15% T28 5.73
20 MEX Abraham Ancer 66 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% 2.97% 1.71% T14 5.21
21 USA Brendon Todd 66 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.26% 2.18% 0.93% 21 5.21
22 KOR Sungjae Im 70 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.19% 1.15% -0.03% 12 4.92
23 USA Ryan Palmer 80 (Boyle Sports: 5 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 4.07% 3.03% T25 4.31
24 USA Mackenzie Hughes 100 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 3.78% 2.95% T7 3.46
25 USA Cameron Champ 100 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 2.02% 1.18% T22 3.46
26 AUS Cameron Smith 100 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 1.09% 0.26% T22 3.46
27 USA Kevin Na 125 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 2% 1.33% 27 2.78
28 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 1.41% 0.74% T17 2.78
29 AUS Marc Leishman 150 (Skybet: 4 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.4% -0.15% T28
30 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T7

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 18.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 18.8 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet Victor 4 @ 1/4 27.8% 27.8%
2 Boyle Sports 5 @ 1/5 28.3% 28.3%
3 Skybet 4 @ 1/4 28.5% 28.5%
4 William Hill 5 @ 1/5 28.9% 28.9%
5 Bet365 4 @ 1/4 29.9% 29.9%
6 Betway 4 @ 1/4 30.7% 30.7%
7 Sport Nation 4 @ 1/4 30.9% 30.9%
8 Betfred 5 @ 1/5 32.5% 32.5%
9 888Sport 4 @ 1/4 35.8% 35.8%
10 Unibet 4 @ 1/4 39.2% 39.2%