Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 41.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 22.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Henrik Stenson 8 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.83% 5.03% -2.8% T3
2 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 9 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 10% 7.05% 5.26% -1.78% 2
3 SWE Alexander Noren 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.42% 1.99% -3.43% T40
4 RSA Erik van Rooyen 16 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.15% 3.02% -1.13% 1
5 ITA Andrea Pavan 20 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.36% 1.51% -1.85% T16
6 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.07% 1.56% -0.52% MC
7 ENG Andy Sullivan 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.07% 1.43% -0.64% T20
8 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.07% 0.76% -1.31% T20
9 SCO Robert MacIntyre 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.96% 1.61% -0.35% MC
10 NED Joost Luiten 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.96% 0.85% -1.1% T29
11 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.72% 1.95% 0.23% T68 7.57
12 ENG Jordan L Smith 45 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 1.41% -0.12% MC 6.75
13 USA Julian Suri 45 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 0.95% -0.58% MC
14 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.38% 1.26% -0.12% MC 6.09
15 ENG Tom Lewis 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 0.87% -0.51% T59
16 SWE Marcus Kinhult 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.26% 1.21% -0.05% T20 5.54
17 ITA Edoardo Molinari 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.26% 1.11% -0.15% T75 5.54
18 FRA Victor Dubuisson 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.16% 0.61% -0.55% WD
19 ENG Aaron Rai 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.16% 0.5% -0.65% T29
20 RSA Haydn Porteous 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 1.11% 0.06% T29 4.63
21 SWE Rikard Karlberg 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 0.8% -0.25% T53
22 ENG Paul Waring 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.05% 0.74% -0.31% T20
23 MAS Gavin Green 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 0.69% -0.36% T16
24 SWE Alexander Bjork 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.73% -0.26% T20
25 FRA Benjamin Hebert 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.93% 1.79% 0.87% MC 4.09
26 FRA Alexander Levy 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.93% 0.45% -0.48% T5
27 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.76% -0.11% MC 3.83
28 ENG Andrew Johnston 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.87% 0.69% -0.18% T10 3.83
29 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.68% -0.19% MC
30 ENG Robert Rock 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.67% -0.2% T70
31 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.87% 0.63% -0.24% T10
32 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.61% -0.26% MC
33 ENG Lee Slattery 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.87% 0.51% -0.36% T40
34 RSA George Coetzee 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 1.22% 0.44% MC 3.41
35 SWE David Lingmerth 90 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% 0.71% -0.06% MC 3.41
36 FRA Victor Perez 90 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.6% -0.18% T10 3.41
37 AUS Lucas Herbert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% 0.58% -0.19% MC
38 ENG Matthew Southgate 90 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% 0.51% -0.26% T10
39 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.43% -0.34% T20
40 GER Maximilian Kieffer 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.75% 0.05% MC 3.08
41 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.65% -0.05% MC 3.08
42 USA Sean Crocker 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% 0.92% 0.29% WD 2.8
43 ITA Nino Bertasio 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% 0.9% 0.27% WD 2.8
44 ESP Adrian Otaegui 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% 0.75% 0.11% MC 2.8
45 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.6% -0.04% T59 2.8
46 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.86% 0.3% T40 2.47
47 ENG Oliver Wilson 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.86% 0.3% 84 2.47
48 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.84% 0.28% WD 2.47
49 SWE Robert Karlsson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.82% 0.27% MC 2.47
50 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.77% 0.21% T16 2.47
51 DEN Joachim B Hansen 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.75% 0.2% T16 2.47
52 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.67% 0.11% MC 2.47
53 CHI Hugo Leon 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.63% 0.07% MC 2.47
54 AUS Minwoo Lee 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.44% -0.12% 83 2.47
55 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.4% -0.16% T20 2.47
56 ENG Jack Singh Brar 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.5% 1% 0.5% T37
57 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.99% 0.52% T37
58 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.66% 0.19% MC
59 FRA Romain Wattel 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.58% 0.11% MC
60 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.4% -0.07% T75
61 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.36% -0.11% T5
62 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.32% -0.14% T10
63 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.26% -0.2% T47
64 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.19% -0.28% T53
65 ENG Oliver Fisher 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.6% 0.16% MC
66 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.55% 0.12% MC
67 RSA Dean Burmester 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.36% -0.08% T3
68 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.31% -0.12% T29
69 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.26% -0.17% T53
70 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 1.08% 0.68% MC
71 USA Sihwan Kim 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.46% 0.06% T5
72 WAL Jamie Donaldson 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.38% -0.02% T5
73 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.93% 0.58% T47
74 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.79% 0.44% T53
75 SWE Anton Karlsson 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.64% 0.29% T78
76 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.62% 0.27% 72
77 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.56% 0.21% MC
78 ARG Andres Romero 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.45% 0.1% MC
79 USA John Catlin 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.44% 0.09% T29
80 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.37% 0.02% T40
81 USA Paul Peterson 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.32% -0.03% T59
82 ENG James Morrison 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.26% -0.09% T29
83 SWE Oscar Lengden 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.25% -0.1% MC
84 FIN Kalle Samooja 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.54% 0.23% T47
85 SCO Liam Johnston 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.86% 0.58% MC
86 FIN Kim Koivu 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.85% 0.57% MC
87 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.66% 0.38% MC
88 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T20
89 CHN Wu Ashun 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T20
90 KOR Soomin Lee 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% MC
91 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% MC
92 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% T40
93 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% T10
94 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% T66
95 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.62% 0.39% T5
96 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.38% 0.14% T29
97 RSA Justin Walters 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.36% 0.12% T59
98 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.34% 0.1% MC
99 ENG Laurie Canter 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
100 POR Ricardo Gouveia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% 81
101 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
102 KOR Jeunghun Wang 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% T78
103 WAL Stuart Manley 350 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
104 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
105 ENG David Howell 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
106 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.77% 0.59% MC
107 IRL Gavin Moynihan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.57% 0.39% T47
108 SCO David Law 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.55% 0.38% MC
109 NIR Michael Hoey 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.21% MC
110 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.33% 0.15% 82
111 ENG Ryan Evans 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.11% T29
112 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
113 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% T40
114 SWE Philip Eriksson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.83% 0.69% MC
115 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.63% 0.49% WD
116 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.46% 0.31% T59
117 AUS Adam Bland 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% T75
118 AUS Dimi Papadatos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
119 SWE Henric Sturehed 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T59
120 GER Marcel Siem 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
121 ENG Tom Murray 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
122 FRA Adrien Saddier 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% 74
123 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T37
124 KOR Hyowon Park 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T66
125 SWE Christopher Sahlstrom 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
126 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
127 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
128 SWE Simon Forsstrom 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.6% 0.49% MC
129 DEN Lasse Jensen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.53% 0.42% MC
130 KOR Jinho Choi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% MC
131 ENG Jonathan Thomson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
132 AUS Sam Brazel 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
133 CAN Austin Connelly 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T47
134 KOR Minkyu Kim 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
135 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.52% 0.42% MC
136 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.29% 0.19% T40
137 AUS Deyen Lawson 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T53
138 GER Bernd Ritthammer 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% T59
139 SUI Joel Girrbach 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% MC
140 CRC Luis Gagne 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
141 SWE Alex Wennstam 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
142 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.52% 0.45% MC
143 ENG Max Orrin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.39% 0.32% T70
144 SWE Per Langfors 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% T53
145 AUS Brett Rumford 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% 73
146 SWE Johan Edfors 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% T78
147 SWE Jarmo Sandelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
148 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% MC
149 ENG Scott Gregory 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
150 SWE Stefan Idstam 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
151 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0.2% 0% T68
152 SWE Johannes Axell 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
153 SWE David Nyfjall 0% 0% 0.2% 0% T47
154 SWE Albin Bergstrom 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
155 SWE Vincent Norrman 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
156 SWE Joakim Wikstrom 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 41.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 22.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 61.9% 35.7%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 52.2% 35.8%
3 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 53.6% 37.1%
4 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 65% 38.3%
5 Coral 7 @ 1/5 67.1% 40.1%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 69.2% 41.8%
7 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 61.5% 44.1%
8 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 61.6% 44.2%
9 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 72.7% 44.9%
10 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 63.7% 46.1%
11 Betway 5 @ 1/4 65.4% 47.6%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 65.4% 47.6%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
15 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
16 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
17 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 65.8% 48%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 65% 50.5%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 65.2% 50.7%
20 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 72.4% 53.9%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 70.8% 55.8%