Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 37.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 97.9

Total Profit: -2.3



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 7 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.08% 2.27% -6.8% T8
2 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 18 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.82% 1.66% -2.16% T35
3 ENG Eddie Pepperell 18 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.82% 0.88% -2.94% T2
4 ENG Matt Wallace 22 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% 1.83% -1.32% T2
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 1.28% -1.52% T6
6 NED Joost Luiten 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.79% 1.25% -1.55% T8
7 FRA Victor Dubuisson 30 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.34% 1.11% -1.23% T23
8 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.14% 1.82% -0.31% T35
9 ENG Andy Sullivan 33 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.14% 1.11% -1.03% MC
10 ENG Tom Lewis 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 1.37% -0.4% T53
11 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% 0.84% -0.93% MC
12 ENG Ross Fisher 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.58% 0.77% -0.81% T15
13 RSA Richard Sterne 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 2.03% 0.61% T58 6.38
14 GER Martin Kaymer 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.9% 0.47% T8 (tied w/7) 6.38 +15
15 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.09% -0.34% T53
16 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 1.01% -0.41% MC
17 BEL Thomas Detry 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.42% 0.67% -0.75% T15
18 FRA Benjamin Hebert 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 1.07% -0.22% MC 5.81
19 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.97% -0.33% T42
20 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.75% -0.55% T70
21 IRL Paul Dunne 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.46% -0.83% T70
22 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.48% 0.4% MC 4.86
23 ENG Paul Waring 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 1.03% -0.06% T6 (tied w/2) 4.86 +34.5
24 ESP Nacho Elvira 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.69% -0.39% T42
25 ENG Sam Horsfield 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.08% 0.62% -0.47% 74
26 RSA George Coetzee 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% 1.12% 0.09% MC 4.58
27 AUS Minwoo Lee 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.86% -0.04% MC 4.02
28 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.78% -0.12% MC 4.02
29 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.68% -0.22% T58 4.02
30 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 1.33% 0.53% MC 3.58
31 AUS Scott Hend 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.93% 0.13% T35 3.58
32 AUS Lucas Herbert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% -0.3% T35
33 AUT Matthias Schwab 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.48% -0.32% T42
34 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.93% 0.21% T58 3.22
35 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.92% 0.2% T8 (tied w/7) 3.22 +14.5
36 SCO Stephen Gallacher 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.79% 0.07% MC 3.22
37 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.78% 0.07% T42 3.22
38 ENG Robert Rock 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.73% 0.01% T25 3.22
39 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.68% -0.04% MC 3.22
40 ITA Andrea Pavan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.63% -0.09% T15 3.22
41 ESP Adria Arnaus 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.57% -0.15% MC 3.22
42 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.56% -0.16% 5 3.22 +33.8
43 ENG Chris Paisley 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.52% -0.2% MC 3.22
44 ENG Callum Shinkwin 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.49% -0.23% MC
45 MAS Gavin Green 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.65% 0.52% -0.13% T15 2.93
46 FRA Clement Sordet 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.05% 0.47% MC 2.58
47 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.66% 0.08% T25 2.58
48 DEN Joachim B Hansen 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.64% 0.07% MC 2.58
49 WAL Bradley Dredge 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% MC 2.58
50 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.45% -0.13% MC 2.58
51 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.91% 0.43% T58
52 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.89% 0.41% MC
53 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.86% 0.38% MC
54 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.85% 0.37% T15
55 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.79% 0.3% T35
56 ENG James Morrison 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.78% 0.3% MC
57 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.76% 0.27% MC
58 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.75% 0.27% MC
59 RSA Dean Burmester 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.74% 0.25% T42
60 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.66% 0.18% MC
61 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.66% 0.17% MC
62 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.63% 0.15% MC
63 ENG David Horsey 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.57% 0.09% T30
64 ENG Ashley Chesters 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T42
65 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% 1
66 FRA Victor Perez 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T15
67 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.36% -0.12% MC
68 ENG Oliver Wilson 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.88% 0.47% T8
69 JPN Hideto Tanihara 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.61% 0.2% MC
70 NIR Michael Hoey 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.61% 0.19% T30
71 SCO Connor Syme 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.39% -0.02% T42
72 ITA Guido Migliozzi 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.81% 0.45% T35
73 SCO Marc Warren 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% DQ
74 SWE Anton Karlsson 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.7% 0.34% MC
75 SCO Robert MacIntyre 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.69% 0.33% T2
76 SWE Peter Hanson 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% WD
77 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.67% 0.31% MC
78 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.51% 0.14% T25
79 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.47% 0.11% T42
80 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
81 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.44% 0.08% T35
82 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% MC
83 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.38% 0.02% T53
84 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.02% MC
85 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.02% MC
86 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.33% -0.03% MC
87 AUS Jake McLeod 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.82% 0.53% MC
88 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.74% 0.45% WD
89 ENG Matthew Baldwin 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% T70
90 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.58% 0.29% T68
91 FIN Kalle Samooja 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% MC
92 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
93 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.5% 0.21% T23
94 ENG Matthew Jordan 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% T15
95 USA John Catlin 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% MC
96 AUS Nick Cullen 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
97 ITA Renato Paratore 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% T8
98 ENG Matthew Nixon 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% MC
99 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% MC
100 WAL Jamie Donaldson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% 73
101 AUS Dimi Papadatos 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.68% 0.44% T15
102 SCO David Law 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.58% 0.34% T53
103 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% 75
104 AUS Sam Brazel 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% MC
105 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% MC
106 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% MC
107 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.49% 0.25% MC
108 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% MC
109 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.23% T25
110 FRA Romain Wattel 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.07% MC
111 ENG Jack Senior 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.29% 0.05% T58
112 WAL Oliver Farr 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% T68
113 CAN Austin Connelly 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.19% -0.05% MC
114 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.88% 0.68% 76
115 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.63% 0.42% MC
116 SWE Niklas Lemke 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.5% 0.3% T8
117 DEN Lasse Jensen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T30
118 ITA Edoardo Molinari 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.62% 0.44% T30
119 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.62% 0.43% T58
120 ITA Matteo Manassero 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.58% 0.4% MC
121 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.32% MC
122 FIN Kim Koivu 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% MC
123 GER Max Schmitt 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.45% 0.27% MC
124 ENG Tom Murray 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
125 SWE Rikard Karlberg 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% MC
126 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.2% T53
127 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.34% 0.16% MC
128 IRL Gavin Moynihan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% MC
129 ENG Steven Brown 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% T58
130 ENG Jonathan Thomson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
131 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.66% 0.51% T42
132 ENG Max Orrin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.65% 0.5% MC
133 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.27% T58
134 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% MC
135 SWE Jens Dantorp 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.17% T58
136 CHI Hugo Leon 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.15% T30
137 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
138 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.13% MC
139 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.51% 0.39% T42
140 SWE Per Langfors 750 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.49% 0.4% MC
141 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.41% 0.31% MC
142 SUI Joel Girrbach 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.24% MC
143 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T58
144 ESP David Borda Antonana 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
145 ENG David Dixon 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
146 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
147 NOR Espen Kofstad 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.12% MC
148 ENG Matthew Cort 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
149 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
150 ENG Scott Gregory 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.17% 0.12% MC
151 ENG Daniel Gavins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.16% MC
152 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.7% 0% MC
153 ENG Andrew Johnston 0% 0% 0.45% 0% T42
154 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T25

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 37.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...