Betting Market Analysis for TOUR Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 10 months ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 1/1 14.89% -26.37%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 3/1 9.97% -16.46%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 14/1 2.93% -3.58%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 4.5% 0.82%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 4.35% 0.67%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 4.84% 2.36%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 2.62% 0.56%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 2.22% 0.16%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 53/1 3.41% 1.57%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 65/1 3.32% 1.81%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 95/1 1.62% 0.58%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 118/1 3.53% 2.69%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 118/1 2.78% 1.94%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 118/1 2.68% 1.84%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 130/1 3.04% 2.27%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 154/1 3.12% 2.47%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 154/1 2.88% 2.23%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 237/1 2.28% 1.85%
19 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 296/1 2.56% 2.22%
20 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 325/1 1.9% 1.6%
21 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 355/1 3.41% 3.13%
22 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 355/1 1.81% 1.52%
23 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 355/1 1.65% 1.36%
24 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 473/1 2.57% 2.35%
25 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 591/1 3.29% 3.12%
26 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 591/1 2.14% 1.97%
27 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 887/1 1.74% 1.62%
28 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 887/1 1.46% 1.35%
29 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 887/1 1.37% 1.26%
30 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 1183/1 1.14% 1.06%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 22.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 AK Bets 3 @ 1/5 13.6% 29%
2 Bet365 4 @ 1/4 35.1% 30.4%
3 888Sport 3 @ 1/4 22.6% 31.2%