Betting Market Analysis for BMW Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 11 months ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 4/1 9.85% -8.88%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 9/1 8.61% -1.38%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 3.48% -0.93%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 3.21% -1.2%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 2.83% -1.57%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 2.03% -1.54%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 1.86% -1.71%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.16% -1.1%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 2.63% -0.26%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 3.12% 0.71%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 44/1 1.38% -0.82%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 1.76% -0.32%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.68% 0.86%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 2.42% 0.6%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 2.54% 0.92%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 2.21% 0.58%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 1.84% 0.22%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 60/1 1.42% -0.21%
19 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 67/1 2.72% 1.25%
20 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 67/1 1.63% 0.16%
21 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 74/1 1.88% 0.55%
22 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 74/1 1.56% 0.22%
23 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 80/1 1.52% 0.29%
24 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 80/1 1.39% 0.16%
25 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 80/1 1.26% 0.03%
26 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 88/1 1.86% 0.74%
27 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 94/1 1.46% 0.4%
28 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 94/1 1.38% 0.33%
29 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 2% 1.02%
30 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 100/1 1.26% 0.28%
31 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 107/1 1.56% 0.64%
32 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 107/1 1.46% 0.54%
33 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 107/1 0.79% -0.13%
34 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 120/1 1.49% 0.67%
35 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 120/1 1.3% 0.48%
36 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 120/1 1.28% 0.46%
37 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 120/1 1.08% 0.26%
38 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 134/1 1.56% 0.82%
39 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 134/1 1.39% 0.65%
40 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 147/1 1.62% 0.94%
41 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 147/1 1.01% 0.33%
42 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 147/1 0.94% 0.27%
43 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 167/1 1.47% 0.88%
44 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 167/1 0.92% 0.33%
45 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 167/1 0.76% 0.17%
46 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 201/1 0.91% 0.41%
47 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 214/1 0.91% 0.45%
48 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 241/1 1.39% 0.98%
49 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 241/1 0.94% 0.52%
50 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 367/1 1.22% 0.95%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 25.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Star Sports 5 @ 1/4 29.5% 12.6%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 40.6% 22.2%
3 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 41% 22.6%
4 AK Bets 5 @ 1/5 27.5% 23%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 24.8%
6 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 24.9%
7 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 24.9%
8 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 46.9% 27.8%
9 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 27.9%
10 Unibet 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 28.3%
11 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 28.3%
12 BetUK 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 28.3%
13 BetMGM UK 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 28.3%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 46.8% 29.2%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 46.8% 29.2%
16 Ladbrokes 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 32.2%
17 Coral 6 @ 1/5 50.2% 32.2%
18 Betway 6 @ 1/5 51.3% 33.2%
19 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 79% 34.3%
20 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 35.8%
21 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 54.2% 35.8%
22 QuinnBet 5 @ 1/5 45.4% 40.2%
23 BetGoodwin 5 @ 1/5 45.4% 40.2%
24 VBet 1 @ 1/1 40.4% 40.4%