Betting Market Analysis for DP World Tour Championship

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: one year ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 5/1 8.04% -7.93%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 6/1 3.47% -10.56%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 7/1 6.3% -5.58%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 3.4% -2.47%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 17/1 3.52% -2.13%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 20/1 3.38% -1.44%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 22/1 2.79% -1.62%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 27/1 0.23% -3.33%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 34/1 3.34% 0.44%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 37/1 2.53% -0.12%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 41/1 1.84% -0.54%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 3.07% 0.96%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 47/1 1.72% -0.38%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 54/1 1.72% -0.09%
15 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 56/1 2.2% 0.45%
16 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 73/1 3.6% 2.26%
17 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 83/1 2.48% 1.29%
18 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 94/1 2.75% 1.7%
19 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 97/1 1.45% 0.43%
20 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 99/1 0.91% -0.08%
21 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 105/1 2.03% 1.08%
22 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 126/1 2% 1.21%
23 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 133/1 1.52% 0.78%
24 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 158/1 1.59% 0.96%
25 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 158/1 0.89% 0.26%
26 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 169/1 1.76% 1.17%
27 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 173/1 1.33% 0.75%
28 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 173/1 1.23% 0.66%
29 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 179/1 1.16% 0.6%
30 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 200/1 1.43% 0.94%
31 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 206/1 1.2% 0.72%
32 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 211/1 3.04% 2.57%
33 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 216/1 1.14% 0.67%
34 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 221/1 1.22% 0.77%
35 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 247/1 1.8% 1.4%
36 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 253/1 1.4% 1.01%
37 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 264/1 0.95% 0.57%
38 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 285/1 2.31% 1.96%
39 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 285/1 1.36% 1.01%
40 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 295/1 1.18% 0.84%
41 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 310/1 0.77% 0.45%
42 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 411/1 0.8% 0.56%
43 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 464/1 1.92% 1.7%
44 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 539/1 1.08% 0.89%
45 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 540/1 1.3% 1.11%
46 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 540/1 0.93% 0.75%
47 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 570/1 1.09% 0.92%
48 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 581/1 1.26% 1.09%
49 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 810/1 0.71% 0.59%
50 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 856/1 0.87% 0.75%
51 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 7.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -6.0 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 38.2% 20.3%
2 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 21.7%
3 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 21.7%
4 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 40.6% 23.8%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 6 @ 1/5 42% 25%
6 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 42% 25%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 43.5% 26.4%
8 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/5 32.4% 27.7%
9 Skybet 5 @ 1/5 32.6% 27.9%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 45.3% 28.1%
11 Betfred 5 @ 1/5 33.4% 28.7%
12 Betway 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 30.7%
13 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 74% 30.9%
14 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/5 36.2% 31.4%
15 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 77.1% 33.5%
16 Coral 8 @ 1/5 77.1% 33.5%
17 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 52.5% 34.3%
18 Unibet 5 @ 1/5 45% 39.8%
19 BetUK 5 @ 1/5 45% 39.8%
20 BetMGM UK 5 @ 1/5 45% 39.8%
21 QuinnBet 5 @ 1/5 48.6% 43.3%
22 BetGoodwin 5 @ 1/5 48.6% 43.3%