Betting Tips for Portugal Masters

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: 20 days ago | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 13/1 6.34% -0.93%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 2.86% -0.97%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 31/1 2.44% -0.72%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 2.08% -0.43%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.79% -1.01%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 35/1 1.66% -1.14%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 482/1 1.59% 1.38%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.57% -0.57%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 97/1 1.53% 0.51%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 48/1 1.47% -0.55%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 39/1 1.45% -1.06%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 91/1 1.4% 0.31%
13 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 1.37% 0.65%
14 ENG Eddie Pepperell 20 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.46% ≈ 28/1 1.33% -2.13%
15 ITA Nino Bertasio 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 1.24% 0.16%
16 IRL Padraig Harrington 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 1.22% 0.14%
17 ITA Renato Paratore 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 1.21% 0.49%
18 ENG Ross Fisher 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 1.19% -0.58%
19 RSA George Coetzee 25 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.8% ≈ 35/1 1.18% -1.62%
20 IRL Gavin Moynihan 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1.17% 0.69%
21 ESP Alvaro Quiros 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 1.14% 0.57%
22 SWE Joakim Lagergren 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 1.12% -0.66%
23 DEN Jeff Winther 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 1.11% 0.21%
24 ENG Ashley Chesters 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 1.11% 0.21%
25 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 1.11% 0.02%
26 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1.05% 0.57%
27 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 1.04% 0.46%
28 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 1.02% 0.66%
29 ENG Oliver Wilson 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 1.02% 0.54%
30 IND Shubhankar Sharma 60 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.19% ≈ 83/1 1.01% -0.18%
31 FIN Kalle Samooja 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 1.01% -0.01%
32 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 22 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% ≈ 31/1 1% -2.17%
33 NZL Ryan Fox 35 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.02% ≈ 48/1 0.99% -1.03%
34 RSA Dean Burmester 66 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 0.97% -0.12%
35 SWE Alexander Bjork 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.02% ≈ 97/1 0.96% -0.06%
36 WAL Jamie Donaldson 55 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% ≈ 76/1 0.94% -0.36%
37 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.94% 0.36%
38 FRA Romain Wattel 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.91% 0.43%
39 ENG Jack Singh Brar 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.9% 0.42%
40 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.89% 0%
41 ENG Matthew Southgate 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.77% ≈ 55/1 0.86% -0.92%
42 RSA Haydn Porteous 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.84% 0.26%
43 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.83% 0.54%
44 ENG Lee Westwood 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.51% ≈ 39/1 0.83% -1.68%
45 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.81% 0.56%
46 ENG Callum Shinkwin 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% ≈ 69/1 0.8% -0.63%
47 POR Tomas Silva 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2062/1 0.78% 0.73%
48 FRA Alexander Levy 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% ≈ 91/1 0.77% -0.31%
49 RSA Thomas Aiken 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.77% 0.29%
50 ESP Adrian Otaegui 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.77% 0.19%
51 ENG Lee Slattery 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.77% -0.13%
52 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.77% 0.62%
53 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.74% 0.02%
54 SCO Grant Forrest 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.74% 0.37%
55 IRL Paul Dunne 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.74% 0.37%
56 KOR Jeunghun Wang 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.73% -0.17%
57 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.73% 0.37%
58 ENG Steven Brown 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.72% 0.24%
59 ENG David Horsey 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.72% -0.18%
60 RSA Justin Walters 125 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.72% 0.14%
61 SWE Niklas Lemke 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.71% -0.01%
62 ENG Oliver Fisher 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.68% 0.1%
63 ENG Robert Rock 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.67% -0.05%
64 ENG Tom Lewis 22 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.16% ≈ 31/1 0.67% -2.49%
65 GER Bernd Ritthammer 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.67% 0.31%
66 ESP Alejandro Canizares 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.67% 0.19%
67 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.66% 0.17%
68 AUS Sam Brazel 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.64% 0.46%
69 RSA Darren Fichardt 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% ≈ 241/1 0.62% 0.21%
70 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.61% 0.47%
71 ENG Ben Evans 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.61% 0.25%
72 SCO Liam Johnston 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.6% 0.36%
73 SWE Robert Karlsson 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.57% 0.33%
74 ESP Nacho Elvira 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.57% -0.32%
75 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.57% 0.32%
76 RSA Louis de Jager 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.26% ≈ 378/1 0.57% 0.3%
77 FRA Clement Sordet 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.55% 0.19%
78 POR Ricardo Gouveia 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.55% -0.17%
79 USA John Catlin 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.54% 0.06%
80 SWE Anton Karlsson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.54% 0.33%
81 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.54% -0.18%
82 ENG Daniel Gavins 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.53% 0.35%
83 SCO David Drysdale 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.53% 0.24%
84 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.51% 0.27%
85 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.51% 0.36%
86 AUS Minwoo Lee 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% ≈ 110/1 0.48% -0.42%
87 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.47% 0.33%
88 NOR Espen Kofstad 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.47% 0.23%
89 SCO David Law 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.45% 0.31%
90 GER Max Schmitt 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.45% 0.21%
91 ENG Scott Gregory 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.45% 0.35%
92 AUS Jake McLeod 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% ≈ 344/1 0.44% 0.15%
93 SWE Per Langfors 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.44% 0.25%
94 NIR Michael Hoey 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.43% 0.25%
95 SCO Stephen Gallacher 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% ≈ 138/1 0.43% -0.29%
96 WAL Bradley Dredge 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.42% -0.16%
97 KOR Hyowon Park 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.39% 0.3%
98 POR Tomas Guimaraes Bessa 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3437/1 0.38% 0.35%
99 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% ≈ 482/1 0.37% 0.17%
100 RSA Trevor Immelman 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.37% 0.13%
101 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% ≈ 275/1 0.36% 0%
102 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% ≈ 207/1 0.36% -0.12%
103 POR Tiago Cruz 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2062/1 0.36% 0.31%
104 POR Miguel Gaspar 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2750/1 0.36% 0.32%
105 ENG Chris Wood 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% ≈ 172/1 0.35% -0.23%
106 AUS Deyen Lawson 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.34% 0.09%
107 ENG Tom Murray 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.33% 0.19%
108 ESP David Borda Antonana 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.33% 0.21%
109 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.33% 0.15%
110 ENG Max Orrin 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.33% 0.09%
111 ENG David Howell 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% ≈ 825/1 0.3% 0.18%
112 POR Joao Carlota 2000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2750/1 0.29% 0.26%
113 SCO Paul Lawrie 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.28% 0.04%
114 POR Tomas Melo Gouveia 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% ≈ 1375/1 0.28% 0.21%
115 POR Daniel Da Costa Rodrigues 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 1031/1 0.28% 0.18%
116 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.28% 0.13%
117 SUI Joel Girrbach 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.27% 0.12%
118 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.26% 0.08%
119 ENG Steve Webster 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.25% 0.07%
120 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% ≈ 688/1 0.25% 0.11%
121 NZL Michael Campbell 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 2062/1 0.25% 0.2%
122 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% ≈ 550/1 0.23% 0.05%
123 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% ≈ 413/1 0.22% -0.02%
124 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
125 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%
126 POR Pedro Cruz Silva 0% 0% ≈ 0/1 0% 0%

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 13.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 46.6% 22.7%
2 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60.2% 24.1%
3 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.5% 25.9%
4 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 65.8% 28.4%
5 Coral 7 @ 1/5 55.9% 30.6%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 47.5% 31.5%
7 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 49% 32.9%
8 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 49.3% 33.1%
9 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 35%
10 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 52.5% 36%
11 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 37.2%
12 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 51.1% 37.7%
13 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 55.6% 38.7%
14 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 55.6% 38.7%
15 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 55.6% 38.7%
16 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 55.8% 38.9%
17 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 55.8% 38.9%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53.7% 40.1%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 40.3%
20 Betway 6 @ 1/5 54.5% 40.8%
21 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 55.9% 42.2%