Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 3.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 325.3

Total Profit: +225.2

Mallorca Golf Open

21/10/2021 - 24/10/2021

Up to date as of: 2 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 BEL Thomas Pieters 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.55% 1.85% -3.7% T16
2 ENG Laurie Canter 20 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 4.49% 1.95% -2.54% T5
3 NZL Ryan Fox 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 4.1% 2.13% -1.97% MC
4 USA John Catlin 22 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 4.1% 1.39% -2.71% T20
5 ENG Andrew Johnston 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.63% 2.24% -1.38% T7
6 ESP Adria Arnaus 26 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.6/1) 3.7% 3.49% 2.6% -0.9% T54
7 ENG Jordan L Smith 28 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 3.25% 1.95% -1.3% MC
8 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 33 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.77% 1.3% -1.47% MC
9 RSA Wilco Nienaber 33 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.77% 1.08% -1.7% MC
10 USA Sean Crocker 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.62% 2.78% 0.16% T45 11.44
11 GER Martin Kaymer 35 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.9/1) 2.78% 2.62% 0.91% -1.71% T34
12 SWE Alexander Bjork 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) 2.5% 2.36% 1.43% -0.93% MC
13 FRA Romain Langasque 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.3% 0.64% -1.66% T34
14 ENG Matthew Jordan 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 2.25% 1.73% -0.52% T68
15 ESP Adrian Otaegui 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 2.25% 0.91% -1.34% T26
16 ENG Richard Mansell 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.85% 1.24% -0.61% T40
17 NED Joost Luiten 51 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.8/1) 1.92% 1.81% 0.97% -0.85% T34
18 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 55 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.68% 1.76% 0.08% T16 7.36
19 ITA Renato Paratore 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.68% 1.41% -0.28% T11
20 SCO Richie Ramsay 61 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.2/1) 1.61% 1.52% 1.35% -0.17% MC 6.65
21 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.41% 1.99% 0.59% MC 6.15
22 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.41% 1.65% 0.24% T2 (tied w/3) 6.15 +43.7
23 IRL Niall Kearney 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.41% 1.59% 0.19% MC 6.15
24 FRA Victor Dubuisson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.41% 0.94% -0.47% T20
25 THA Jazz Janewattananond 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.24% 1.62% 0.38% T20 5.42
26 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.24% 0.82% -0.42% MC
27 ENG James Morrison 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.16% 1.85% 0.68% MC 5.09
28 NED Darius Van Driel 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.16% 1.8% 0.63% MC 5.09
29 ESP Alejandro Canizares 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.16% 1.35% 0.18% T16 5.09
30 ENG Eddie Pepperell 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.16% 1.03% -0.14% T40 5.09
31 FRA Matthieu Pavon 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.16% 0.87% -0.29% T20
32 SCO Connor Syme 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.16% 0.7% -0.46% T26
33 ESP Jorge Campillo 89 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16/1) 1.11% 1.05% 1.06% 0.01% T2 (tied w/3) 4.58 +39
34 ENG Jack Senior 90 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 1.04% 1.49% 0.45% T7 4.53
35 AUS Maverick Antcliff 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.93% 0.81% -0.12% MC 4.08
36 ESP Alvaro Quiros 104 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.9/1) 0.95% 0.9% 0.66% -0.24% T11
37 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.83% 1.81% 0.99% T45 3.62
38 ENG Ashley Chesters 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.83% 1.04% 0.21% MC 3.62
39 DEN Jeff Winther 113 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19/1) 0.88% 0.83% 0.8% -0.02% 1 3.62 +242.6
40 ENG Dale Whitnell 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.75% 0.9% 0.15% T49 3.27
41 ENG Matthew Southgate 132 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.3/1) 0.75% 0.71% 1.28% 0.57% T65 3.1
42 ESP Nacho Elvira 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.66% 1.26% 0.6% T49
43 ITA Nino Bertasio 142 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.4/1) 0.7% 0.66% 0.74% 0.08% T20
44 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.62% 0.8% 0.18% T5
45 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.62% 0.74% 0.12% MC
46 ENG Garrick Porteous 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.62% 0.64% 0.01% T34
47 WAL Rhys Enoch 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.58% 0.65% 0.07% T61
48 SWE Marcus Kinhult 161 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.5/1) 0.62% 0.58% 0.35% -0.23% MC
49 SCO David Drysdale 170 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.5/1) 0.58% 0.55% 0.59% 0.04% WD
50 MAS Gavin Green 175 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.54% 0.68% 0.14% T54
51 CHN Wu Ashun 180 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.5/1) 0.55% 0.52% 0.67% 0.14% T16
52 WAL Oliver Farr 199 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.5/1) 0.5% 0.47% 0.96% 0.49% T34
53 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.47% 0.75% 0.28% T54
54 SWE Niklas Lemke 200 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.47% 0.54% 0.07% T7
55 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 208 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.4/1) 0.48% 0.45% 0.75% 0.3% MC
56 USA Sihwan Kim 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.43% 1.18% 0.75% T65
57 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.43% 0.96% 0.53% T49
58 FRA Adrien Saddier 218 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.4/1) 0.46% 0.43% 0.77% 0.34% T54
59 RSA Louis de Jager 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.42% 0.57% 0.15% T26
60 CAN Aaron Cockerill 237 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.3/1) 0.42% 0.4% 0.69% 0.29% T26
61 ENG Toby Tree 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.38% 0.75% 0.37% MC
62 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.38% 0.63% 0.25% T26
63 CZE Ondrej Lieser 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% T45
64 ENG Lee Slattery 265 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.5/1) 0.38% 0.35% 0.52% 0.16% MC
65 ENG Ross McGowan 284 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.6/1) 0.35% 0.33% 1.16% 0.83% T61
66 ENG David Coupland 294 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.6/1) 0.34% 0.32% 0.71% 0.39% MC
67 ENG Oliver Wilson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.31% 3.62% 3.31% T11
68 NED Lars Van Meijel 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.31% 0.5% 0.19% T54
69 SWE Rikard Karlberg 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.29% 0.72% 0.42% T40
70 RSA Thomas Aiken 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% 71
71 AUS Scott Hend 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.28% 0.57% 0.28% T20
72 GER Max Schmitt 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.28% 0.41% 0.12% MC
73 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 332 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47.7/1) 0.3% 0.28% 0.31% 0.02% 72
74 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% MC
75 FRA Jean-Baptiste Gonnet 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.27% 0.33% 0.07% T26
76 RSA Bryce Easton 360 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.6/1) 0.28% 0.26% 0.76% 0.5% T7
77 POR Ricardo Santos 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.24% 1.02% 0.78% MC
78 NZL Josh Geary 389 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.5/1) 0.26% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% T40
79 ENG Matt Ford 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.24% 0.58% 0.34% MC
80 ESP Pep Angles Ros 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% T2
81 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 465 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61/1) 0.21% 0.2% 0.43% 0.22% T65
82 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% 0.52% 0.33% MC
83 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% MC
84 FRA Gregory Havret 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% 0.41% 0.23% MC
85 POR Pedro Figueiredo 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% 0.38% 0.19% T26
86 SWE Joel Sjoholm 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.19% 0.32% 0.13% T68
87 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 550 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.9/1) 0.18% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% MC
88 RSA Haydn Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.16% 0.47% 0.31% MC
89 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
90 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 645 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.15% 0.59% 0.44% T68
91 ENG Oliver Fisher 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.79% 0.65% MC
92 FRA Robin Roussel 674 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80/1) 0.15% 0.14% 0.44% 0.3% T26
93 IRL Paul Dunne 693 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.6/1) 0.14% 0.14% 0.47% 0.33% MC
94 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 721 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84/1) 0.14% 0.13% 0.58% 0.45% MC
95 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 750 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 86.5/1) 0.13% 0.13% 0.24% 0.11% MC
96 SWE Jens Fahrbring 797 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 90.4/1) 0.13% 0.12% 0.34% 0.23% MC
97 ESP Carlos Pigem 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% T61
98 FRA Romain Wattel 854 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 95.1/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% MC
99 NIR Cormac Sharvin 883 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.4/1) 0.11% 0.11% 0.56% 0.46% T61
100 ENG Richard McEvoy 892 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.1/1) 0.11% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% MC
101 FRA Damien Perrier 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.66% 0.56% T40
102 FRA Joel Stalter 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.62% 0.52% T54
103 ENG David Howell 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.49% 0.39% T54
104 USA Tyler Koivisto 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.44% 0.34% MC
105 SCO Liam Johnston 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% MC
106 IRL Gavin Moynihan 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
107 ESP Jacobo Pastor Lopez 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% T49
108 USA Samuel Del Val 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% MC
109 ESP Toni Ferrer 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
110 FRA Gregory Bourdy 949 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 102.7/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
111 ENG Frank Kennedy 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.21% MC
112 ESP Carlos Aguilar 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
113 FRA Clement Sordet 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
114 ENG Jordan Wrisdale 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
115 SWE Philip Eriksson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
116 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
117 SCO Daniel Young 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
118 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
119 ESP Victor Miron 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 3.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -2.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 10.8% 10.8%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.4% 19%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 45.2% 19.3%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 45.2% 19.3%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 36% 19.6%
6 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 36% 19.6%
7 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 36% 19.6%
8 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 35.1% 20.9%
9 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 35.1% 20.9%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 38.5% 21.8%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 38.3% 23.8%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 41.1% 24.1%
13 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 55.1% 27.5%
14 Betway 6 @ 1/5 42.5% 27.5%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 44.5% 29.4%
16 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 44.7% 29.5%
17 Betfred 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 30.6%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 47.3% 31.8%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.2% 33.6%