Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 29.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 9.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 175.6

Total Profit: +75.5



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Billy Horschel 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5% 2.6% -2.41% T36
2 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5% 1.6% -3.41% T7
3 IRL Shane Lowry 16 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.42% 3.01% -1.4% T4
4 SWE Alexander Noren 16 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.42% 2.62% -1.8% T12
5 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 3.95% 1.49% -2.46% T2
6 RSA Branden Grace 28 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.59% 2.12% -0.46% T27 28.47
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.39% -0.81% MC
8 BEL Thomas Pieters 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 0.86% -1.35% T39
9 FRA Victor Perez 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.21% 0.36% -1.85% MC
10 BEL Thomas Detry 40 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.83% 1.2% -0.64% MC
11 ENG Sam Horsfield 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 0.83% -1% MC
12 USA Johannes Veerman 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.62% 0.14% MC 16.19
13 SCO Calum Hill 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.07% -0.4% T17
14 ITA Guido Migliozzi 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 1.68% 0.34% T17 14.75
15 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.34% 1.63% 0.29% WD 14.75
16 ENG Richard Bland 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 2.01% 0.78% T4 (tied w/2) 13.54 +88
17 GER Martin Kaymer 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.31% 0.08% T45
18 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 1.04% -0.19% MC
19 RSA Dean Burmester 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.5% 0.38% T7 (tied w/2) 12.33 +87.5
20 WAL Jamie Donaldson 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.1% -0.02% WD
21 ENG Laurie Canter 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.78% -0.34% MC
22 ENG Matthew Jordan 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.91% -0.15% MC
23 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.37% 0.44% T14
24 USA Troy Merritt 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.34% 0.41% T27
25 RSA Justin Harding 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.3% 0.37% T54
26 ENG Jordan L Smith 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.78% -0.14% MC
27 NED Joost Luiten 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.73% -0.2% MC
28 FRA Antoine Rozner 80 (Bet Victor: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.67% -0.26% MC
29 NZL Ryan Fox 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.64% -0.28% T54
30 ENG Andy Sullivan 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.61% -0.32% T54
31 USA John Catlin 85 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.16% 0.87% 0.88% 0% T54
32 ENG Marcus Armitage 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1.19% 0.36% T51
33 AUS Minwoo Lee 90 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 1% 0.18% 58
34 GER Marcel Siem 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.75% -0.08% T45
35 SCO Richie Ramsay 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.63% -0.19% T17
36 ENG Ross Fisher 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0.43% -0.39% MC
37 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.12% 0.37% MC
38 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 1.09% 0.34% MC
39 POL Adrian Meronk 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 1.07% 0.32% MC
40 GER Matthias Schmid 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.9% 0.15% T9
41 IND Shubhankar Sharma 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.83% 0.08% MC
42 SWE Alexander Bjork 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.8% 0.06% T45
43 SWE Vincent Norrman 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.75% 0.01% MC
44 ENG Danny Willett 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.74% 0.69% -0.05% 1
45 ENG Tom Lewis 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.58% -0.16% T45
46 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.5% -0.24% MC
47 SWE Joakim Lagergren 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.62% 0.75% 0.13% T2
48 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.23% 0.63% MC
49 ITA Edoardo Molinari 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.14% 0.54% MC
50 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.83% 0.24% MC
51 FRA Alexander Levy 125 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.66% 0.07% MC
52 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.58% -0.02% MC
53 ENG Eddie Pepperell 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.55% -0.04% T17
54 FRA Victor Dubuisson 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.51% -0.09% MC
55 RSA George Coetzee 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.5% -0.09% MC
56 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.5% -0.1% MC
57 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.44% -0.15% T39
58 RSA Brandon Stone 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.42% -0.11% MC
59 GER Maximilian Kieffer 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.22% 0.72% MC
60 ENG David Horsey 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.92% 0.42% T39
61 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.88% 0.38% MC
62 ENG Matthew Southgate 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.87% 0.37% MC
63 DEN Joachim B Hansen 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.61% 0.11% MC
64 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 150 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% T9
65 THA Jazz Janewattananond 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.58% 0.08% MC
66 ENG James Morrison 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.54% 0.04% MC
67 ESP Adrian Otaegui 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.49% 0% T27
68 ESP Adria Arnaus 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.43% -0.06% T24
69 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.38% -0.11% MC
70 ESP Alejandro Canizares 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.93% 0.5% MC
71 SCO David Law 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.78% 0.35% MC
72 SCO Grant Forrest 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.65% 0.22% T27
73 IRL Padraig Harrington 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.59% 0.16% MC
74 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.32% -0.1% MC
75 AUS Maverick Antcliff 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.75% 0.37% MC
76 ENG Ashley Chesters 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.63% 0.26% MC
77 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.48% 0.1% MC
78 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.46% 0.09% T51
79 RSA Wilco Nienaber 200 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.44% 0.06% T36
80 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.31% -0.06% T27
81 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.29% -0.09% MC
82 ENG Luke Donald 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0.5% 0.16% T27
83 ENG Jack Senior 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.07% 0.77% MC
84 FRA Romain Langasque 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.3% MC
85 SCO Connor Syme 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% MC
86 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.53% 0.23% MC
87 ESP Jorge Campillo 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% T17
88 ITA Renato Paratore 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% MC
89 FRA Benjamin Hebert 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% T45
90 SCO Scott Jamieson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% MC
91 RSA MJ Daffue 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.18% -0.12% T27
92 SCO Ewen Ferguson 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.15% -0.15% T17
93 RSA Justin Walters 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0.98% 0.71% MC
94 FRA Matthieu Pavon 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.59% 0.34% T12
95 ITA Nino Bertasio 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.52% 0.27% MC
96 DEN Jeff Winther 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.17% T14
97 FRA Julien Guerrier 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.38% 0.14% MC
98 SCO David Drysdale 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% 59
99 RSA Louis de Jager 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% MC
100 ENG Robert Rock 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.18% -0.07% MC
101 SCO Marc Warren 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.18% -0.07% MC
102 RSA Jaco Ahlers 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.16% -0.09% MC
103 SCO Stephen Gallacher 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.41% 0.19% T39
104 USA Julian Suri 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% T36
105 FIN Sami Valimaki 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.35% 0.13% MC
106 ENG Paul Waring 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
107 ENG Steven Brown 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% MC
108 ENG Chris Wood 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% MC
109 ENG Chris Paisley 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.23% 0.02% MC
110 SWE Marcus Kinhult 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0.2% -0.01% MC
111 POR Ricardo Santos 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.88% 0.73% MC
112 ENG Oliver Fisher 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% 60
113 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% 6
114 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% MC
115 AUS Bryden MacPherson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.28% MC
116 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% T39
117 AUS Scott Hend 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
118 MAS Gavin Green 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
119 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% MC
120 WAL Rhys Enoch 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T39
121 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.31% 0.16% T17
122 ENG Richard McEvoy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
123 NZL Josh Geary 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% MC
124 ESP Alvaro Quiros 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T27
125 ENG Oliver Wilson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.08% MC
126 FRA Robin Roussel 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
127 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
128 IRL Paul Dunne 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.18% 0.03% MC
129 BRA Adilson da Silva 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
130 RSA Neil Schietekat 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
131 AUS Travis Smyth 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
132 NZL Denzel Ieremia 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% MC
133 IRL John Murphy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% 0% T9
134 NIR Michael Hoey 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% T24
135 ENG Ben Schmidt 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.14% -0.01% MC
136 CHN Li Haotong 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.11% -0.04% T14
137 KOR Taehee Lee 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.37% 0.25% MC
138 NIR Cormac Sharvin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.34% 0.21% MC
139 SWE Peter Hanson 600 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.22% 0.1% MC
140 RSA Thriston Lawrence 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.02% MC
141 RSA Ruan Conradie 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.02% MC
142 RSA Thomas Aiken 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% T24
143 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% MC
144 DEN Thomas Bjorn 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% MC
145 ENG Graeme Storm 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.2% MC
146 ITA Andrea Pavan 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
147 IND Ajeetesh Sandhu 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
148 USA Berry Henson 1000 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.19% MC
149 ENG David Howell 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.26% 0.18% MC
150 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
151 ENG Joe Long 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.09% MC
152 AUS Brett Rankin 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.07% T51
153 RSA Martin Rohwer 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.07% MC
154 RSA Haydn Porteous 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.15% 0.07% MC
155 ENG Angus Flanagan 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
156 AUS Deyen Lawson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.05% T27
157 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.31% 0.26% MC
158 ENG Matty Lamb 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.14% 0.09% MC
159 THA Suradit Yongcharoenchai 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.12% 0.08% MC
160 ESP Javier Ballesteros 3000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.03% 0.03% 0.15% 0.12% MC
161 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
162 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
163 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
164 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
165 USA McClure Meissner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
166 ENG Benjamin Jones 0% 0% 0% 0% T45
167 ENG Jack Dyer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
168 ENG Russell Chrystie 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 29.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 55.6% 18.7%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 23.3%
3 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 52.4% 25.9%
4 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 43.3% 29%
5 Parimatch 6 @ 1/5 43.3% 29%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 29.3%
7 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 29.3%
8 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 56.5% 29.3%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 57.2% 29.8%
10 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 47.6% 30.4%
11 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 31.7%
12 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 31.7%
13 Mansion Bet 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 31.7%
14 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 47.9% 33.1%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.3% 35.4%
16 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 64.5% 35.9%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52% 36.9%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56% 40.4%