Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 28.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 93.8

Total Profit: -6.2



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 10 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.83% 2.71% -4.11% MC
2 USA Justin Thomas 11 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.26% 2.6% -3.66% T26
3 USA Bryson DeChambeau 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.01% 1.43% -3.58% T9
4 USA Xander Schauffele 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.58% 2.8% -0.78% T14
5 NIR Rory McIlroy 20 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.58% 1.87% -1.7% 1
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.27% 3.58% 0.31% T3
7 USA Patrick Reed 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.59% 2.05% -0.53% T6
8 USA Tony Finau 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.59% 1.87% -0.72% MC
9 USA Will Zalatoris 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.59% 1.85% -0.74% MC
10 USA Patrick Cantlay 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.42% 2.28% -0.14% MC 27.25
11 USA Max Homa 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.63% -0.58% MC
12 CHI Joaquin Niemann 33 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 1.41% -0.8% T18
13 MEX Abraham Ancer 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.09% 2.88% 0.79% 2 23.46 +93.8
14 CAN Corey Conners 35 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.78% 2.09% 2.24% 0.15% T43 23.46
15 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 1.68% -0.15% MC
16 USA Brian Harman 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% 2.39% 0.92% T18 16.56
17 USA Cameron Tringale 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.47% 1.26% -0.21% MC
18 IRL Shane Lowry 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 1.57% 0.34% T65
19 USA Keegan Bradley 60 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.23% 1.12% -0.11% T18
20 AUS Jason Day 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.23% 0.62% -0.61% MC
21 ARG Emiliano Grillo 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1% -0.12% T14
22 USA Russell Henley 66 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.82% -0.3% T72
23 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.06% 1.69% 0.64% T14
24 USA Bubba Watson 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.96% -0.1% T18
25 USA Rickie Fowler 70 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.06% 0.53% -0.53% MC
26 USA Harris English 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.73% 0.81% T43
27 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 1.08% 0.15% MC
28 USA Stewart Cink 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.99% 0.07% T37
29 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.94% 0.01% MC
30 AUS Matt Jones 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 1.87% 1.04% T37 9.29
31 ENG Matt Wallace 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 1.43% 0.6% T6
32 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.59% -0.24% T18
33 USA Kevin Streelman 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.86% 0.11% T26
34 USA Brendan Steele 100 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.78% 0.04% T70
35 MEX Carlos Ortiz 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.11% 0.51% T65
36 ENG Ian Poulter 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.88% 0.28% MC
37 USA Denny McCarthy 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.77% 0.17% MC
38 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.72% 0.12% T26
39 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.67% 0.08% T58
40 ITA Francesco Molinari 125 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.63% 0.04% MC
41 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.62% 0.02% T26
42 RSA Charl Schwartzel 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.49% -0.11% T14
43 USA Keith Mitchell 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.37% -0.23% T3
44 USA Ryan Moore 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.32% -0.27% T54
45 USA Gary Woodland 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.55% 0.02% 5
46 USA Talor Gooch 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.53% 0.45% -0.08% T26
47 USA Maverick McNealy 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.68% 0.18% MC
48 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.53% 0.03% T43
49 USA Aaron Wise 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.5% 0.01% T9
50 SCO Russell Knox 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.5% 0% T18
51 CAN Adam Hadwin 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.36% -0.14% MC
52 USA James Hahn 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.86% 0.43% MC
53 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.8% 0.38% T58
54 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.71% 0.29% MC
55 USA Mackenzie Hughes 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.71% 0.28% MC
56 USA Kyle Stanley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.55% 0.13% T26
57 AUT Sepp Straka 175 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.55% 0.13% T54
58 USA Zach Johnson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.54% 0.11% T51
59 USA Phil Mickelson 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.43% 0% 69
60 RSA Erik van Rooyen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.41% -0.01% MC
61 ENG Tom Lewis 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.39% -0.04% MC
62 USA Pat Perez 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.36% -0.07% T26
63 USA Michael Thompson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.91% 0.54% MC
64 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.67% 0.29% T58
65 SVK Rory Sabbatini 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.58% 0.21% MC
66 USA Luke List 200 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.4% 0.03% T6
67 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.4% 0.02% MC
68 AUS Lucas Herbert 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.35% -0.03% MC
69 USA Doc Redman 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.27% -0.11% MC
70 TPE C.T. Pan 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.65% 0.35% T18
71 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.63% 0.33% T26
72 USA JT Poston 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.57% 0.27% T26
73 USA Chase Seiffert 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.49% 0.19% MC
74 USA Adam Long 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.48% 0.18% MC
75 USA Wyndham Clark 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% T43
76 USA Troy Merritt 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% MC
77 USA Richy Werenski 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.45% 0.15% T37
78 USA Vaughn Taylor 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% MC
79 USA Harry Higgs 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% MC
80 USA John Huh 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% MC
81 NZL Danny Lee 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.24% -0.06% WD
82 USA Scott Stallings 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.22% -0.08% T43
83 IRL Seamus Power 250 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% T54
84 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.14% -0.16% T43
85 USA Andrew Putnam 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.82% 0.57% T43
86 SWE Henrik Norlander 300 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.55% 0.3% MC
87 KOR Byeong Hun An 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.3% 0.05% MC
88 USA Robert Streb 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.78% 0.57% MC
89 USA Brandon Hagy 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.7% 0.49% T26
90 USA Sam Ryder 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.54% 0.33% MC
91 CAN Roger Sloan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.54% 0.32% T58
92 USA Chesson Hadley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.53% 0.31% MC
93 USA Brice Garnett 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.53% 0.31% MC
94 USA Nate Lashley 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.46% 0.24% MC
95 USA Bronson Burgoon 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.42% 0.21% MC
96 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.39% 0.18% MC
97 USA Tyler McCumber 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% MC
98 USA Patrick Rodgers 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.36% 0.15% T37
99 USA Chez Reavie 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% MC
100 USA Brian Stuard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.27% 0.06% T37
101 USA J.B. Holmes 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.13% -0.08% MC
102 USA Bo Hoag 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.62% 0.43% MC
103 USA Vincent Whaley 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% T26
104 USA Tyler Duncan 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.27% 0.08% MC
105 USA Ben Martin 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.23% 0.04% T11
106 USA William Gordon 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% MC
107 USA Akshay Bhatia 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.12% -0.06% MC
108 AUS Cameron Percy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
109 CAN Michael Gligic 500 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.4% 0.25% T58
110 USA Bo Van Pelt 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.35% 0.2% T65
111 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T72
112 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T72
113 USA Joseph Bramlett 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% MC
114 USA Scott Brown 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
115 USA Beau Hossler 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.23% 0.09% 77
116 USA Austin Cook 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.06% MC
117 USA Hank Lebioda 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% T51
118 USA Mark Hubbard 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% MC
119 USA Scott Piercy 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.19% 0.04% T11
120 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.17% 0.02% MC
121 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.12% -0.03% MC
122 USA Peter Malnati 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.48% 0.35% T43
123 PUR Rafael Campos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.39% 0.27% MC
124 USA Scott Harrington 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% MC
125 USA Ryan Armour 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.25% 0.12% MC
126 USA Grayson Murray 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.11% MC
127 USA Kramer Hickok 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% T51
128 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.08% MC
129 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.07% MC
130 USA Ryan Brehm 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.19% 0.07% MC
131 CAN David Hearn 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% MC
132 USA Rob Oppenheim 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.16% 0.04% MC
133 KOR Seungyul Noh 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.14% 0.02% WD
134 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.13% 0.01% 76
135 USA Sean O'Hair 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.11% -0.01% T37
136 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.23% 0.13% T11
137 KOR K.J. Choi 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.21% 0.11% T70
138 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T72
139 USA Kelly Kraft 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.02% MC
140 USA Johnson Wagner 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.01% T58
141 SWE Jonas Blixt 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.01% T65
142 USA Bill Haas 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.08% -0.02% MC
143 CHN Zhang Xinjun 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.07% MC
144 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
145 USA Patrick Cover 1000 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.04% MC
146 USA Hunter Mahan 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% T54
147 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.15% 0.1% MC
148 USA Martin Trainer 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.21% 0.17% MC
149 USA D.A. Points 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.1% 0.06% MC
150 USA Cory Schneider 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.1% 0.07% MC
151 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 NZL Tim Wilkinson 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
153 USA J.J Spaun 0% 0% 0% 0% T18
154 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Keenan Huskey 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 28.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 54.8% 19.9%
2 Betfred 8 @ 1/5 55.2% 20.2%
3 VBet 5 @ 1/4 35.5% 20.8%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 35.5% 20.9%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 23.9%
6 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 23.9%
7 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 60.8% 24.7%
8 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 61% 24.7%
9 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 92% 29.5%
10 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.6% 36.2%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 56.4% 39.7%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.4% 40.8%
13 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 58.1% 44.1%
14 Redzone 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
15 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
16 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%
17 Mansion Bet 6 @ 1/5 59.8% 45.8%