Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 40.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 497.3

Total Profit: +397.3



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Justin Thomas 11 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 8.33% 5.85% 2.69% -3.17% 2
2 ESP Jon Rahm 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.68% 2.4% -2.29% T27
3 USA Patrick Cantlay 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.68% 1.73% -2.95% T7
4 USA Brooks Koepka 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.68% 1.11% -3.57% MC
5 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.13% 1% -3.13% T22
6 USA Xander Schauffele 18 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.7% 2.29% -1.41% T14
7 NOR Viktor Hovland 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% 1.32% -1.38% 3
8 ENG Justin Rose 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.7% 0.55% -2.15% MC
9 USA Rickie Fowler 30 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.27% 0.55% -1.71% T22
10 USA Collin Morikawa 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.07% 2.2% 0.13% 1 23.91 +497.3
11 USA Patrick Reed 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.95% 2.84% 0.89% T39 22.58
12 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% 2.43% 0.72% 63 19.83
13 USA Matt Kuchar 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% 1.6% -0.12% T39
14 AUS Marc Leishman 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.71% 1.38% -0.34% MC
15 USA Jordan Spieth 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 0.68% -0.84% MC
16 CHI Joaquin Niemann 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.53% 0.43% -1.1% T31
17 USA Gary Woodland 50 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.38% 1.34% -0.04% T5
18 CAN Adam Hadwin 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% 0.85% -0.4% T35
19 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.15% 1.8% 0.65% T27 13.33
20 USA Kevin Streelman 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 1.1% 0.05% T7
21 USA Cameron Champ 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 0.8% -0.25% 67
22 USA Matthew Wolff 66 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.05% 0.61% -0.44% MC
23 USA Bubba Watson 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 1.56% 0.57% MC 11.45
24 KOR Byeong Hun An 70 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.99% 0.83% -0.16% MC
25 AUS Jason Day 70 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.64% -0.34% T7
26 USA Scottie Scheffler 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.54% -0.45% MC
27 CAN Corey Conners 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.99% 0.44% -0.55% T39
28 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 80 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 1.2% 0.33% T65
29 USA Harold Varner III 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.93% 0.07% MC
30 USA Phil Mickelson 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.87% 0.46% -0.41% T58
31 USA Joel Dahmen 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% 2.58% 1.81% MC 8.94
32 USA Russell Henley 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.79% 0.02% T7
33 USA Billy Horschel 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.77% 0.71% -0.06% T7
34 USA Ryan Armour 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.71% -0.06% MC
35 IRL Shane Lowry 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.48% -0.29% T39
36 USA Brandt Snedeker 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.02% 0.32% MC
37 ENG Ian Poulter 100 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.94% 0.24% T5
38 SVK Rory Sabbatini 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.49% -0.2% T17
39 USA Max Homa 110 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.63% 1.77% 1.14% MC
40 USA Scott Stallings 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 1.03% 0.39% T58
41 USA Jason Kokrak 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.5% -0.14% MC
42 USA Chris Kirk 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.21% -0.42% MC
43 USA Maverick McNealy 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.31% 0.75% MC
44 USA Patrick Rodgers 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.11% 0.56% MC
45 USA Mark Hubbard 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.1% 0.54% WD
46 USA Brendan Steele 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.75% 0.19% T52
47 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.62% 0.07% MC
48 USA Lanto Griffin 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.55% -0.01% MC
49 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.54% -0.02% T39
50 ARG Emiliano Grillo 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.52% -0.04% MC
51 ENG Matt Wallace 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.31% -0.25% T39
52 USA Zach Johnson 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.95% 0.49% T31
53 USA Bud Cauley 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.94% 0.47% MC
54 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.93% 0.46% MC
55 USA Chez Reavie 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.84% 0.38% T17
56 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.83% 0.36% T48
57 USA Michael Thompson 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.69% 0.22% MC
58 USA Luke List 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.65% 0.18% MC
59 USA Brian Stuard 150 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.54% 0.08% MC
60 AUT Sepp Straka 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.47% 0.01% T14
61 USA Kyle Stanley 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.4% -0.06% MC
62 USA Troy Merritt 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.38% -0.08% T22
63 USA Jason Dufner 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.33% -0.13% T56
64 USA Andrew Landry 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 1.62% 1.23% MC
65 USA Sam Burns 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.92% 0.52% T17
66 USA Tom Hoge 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.85% 0.45% MC
67 USA Cameron Tringale 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.64% 0.24% MC
68 USA Charles Howell III 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.35% -0.05% MC
69 USA Jim Furyk 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.24% -0.16% MC
70 CAN Nick Taylor 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 1.29% 0.94% T48
71 USA J.B. Holmes 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.12% 0.77% WD
72 USA Joseph Bramlett 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.85% 0.5% MC
73 USA Charley Hoffman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.83% 0.48% T7
74 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.83% 0.48% MC
75 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.81% 0.46% T35
76 USA Adam Long 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.62% 0.27% T52
77 USA Harry Higgs 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.6% 0.25% MC
78 USA Pat Perez 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.53% 0.18% T39
79 RSA Dylan Frittelli 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.49% 0.14% MC
80 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.45% 0.1% MC
81 USA Richy Werenski 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.4% 0.05% T35
82 KOR Siwoo Kim 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.35% 0% 64
83 SWE Henrik Norlander 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.34% -0.01% T31
84 USA Matthew NeSmith 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.96% 0.68% MC
85 RSA Charl Schwartzel 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% MC
86 USA Adam Schenk 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% T39
87 NZL Danny Lee 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.51% 0.23% MC
88 MEX Carlos Ortiz 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% T61
89 USA Sam Ryder 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% T7
90 KOR Seungyul Noh 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.37% 0.09% MC
91 USA Aaron Wise 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.29% 0.01% MC
92 SCO Russell Knox 250 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.29% 0.01% MC
93 USA Chesson Hadley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.28% 0% T52
94 USA Brandon Wu 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.18% -0.1% MC
95 USA Talor Gooch 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 1.08% 0.85% T17
96 AUS Matt Jones 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.56% 0.33% T14
97 USA Brice Garnett 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.46% 0.23% MC
98 USA Chris Stroud 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% T48
99 USA Nate Lashley 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.29% 0.06% MC
100 NIR Graeme McDowell 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.64% 0.44% T35
101 AUS Cameron Davis 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.62% 0.42% MC
102 USA Jonathan Byrd 350 (Boyle Sports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.44% 0.24% MC
103 USA Patton Kizzire 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% MC
104 USA Keith Mitchell 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% MC
105 USA J.J Spaun 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% T52
106 USA Jimmy Walker 350 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% MC
107 USA Andrew Putnam 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.29% 0.09% T58
108 TPE C.T. Pan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.15% -0.05% T48
109 USA James Hahn 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.53% 0.36% MC
110 USA Zac Blair 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
111 USA Austin Cook 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.29% 0.11% T39
112 ENG Luke Donald 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.07% MC
113 USA Jamie Lovemark 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
114 USA Grayson Murray 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% WD
115 USA Steve Stricker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% T56
116 USA Ted Potter-jr 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
117 AUS Aaron Baddeley 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
118 USA Tyler McCumber 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
119 CHN Zhang Xinjun 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
120 USA Peter Malnati 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T65
121 USA Beau Hossler 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
122 USA Denny McCarthy 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
123 USA Nick Watney 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
124 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% T61
125 USA Kevin Tway 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
126 USA Scott Harrington 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
127 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
128 USA Chase Seiffert 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% 4
129 USA Brian Gay 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.16% 0.02% T27
130 USA Stewart Cink 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% T17
131 AUS Cameron Percy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% WD
132 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.09% -0.05% MC
133 NZL Tim Wilkinson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.45% 0.33% T31
134 USA Robby Shelton 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
135 USA Hank Lebioda 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.28% 0.17% MC
136 USA Jim Herman 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
137 USA Mark Anderson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.09% MC
138 CAN Roger Sloan 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% T27
139 CAN David Hearn 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.18% 0.06% MC
140 USA Robert Streb 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.11% 0% MC
141 USA D.J. Trahan 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.1% -0.02% MC
142 USA Bo Hoag 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.1% -0.02% MC
143 DEN Sebastian Cappelen 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
144 USA Rob Oppenheim 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.19% 0.1% MC
145 USA Matt Every 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% WD
146 FIJ Vijay Singh 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
147 USA Davis Love III 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
148 USA Bo Van Pelt 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.12% 0.05% WD
149 USA Kevin Stadler 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
150 USA Jerry Kelly 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% T22
151 USA Chase Koepka 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% MC
152 USA Martin Trainer 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.18% 0.13% MC
153 USA Michael Kim 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% MC
154 USA Donnie Trosper 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.07% MC
155 RSA MJ Daffue 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% T22
156 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 40.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 52.5% 18.1%
2 Boyle Sports 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 25%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 25.1%
4 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 60.6% 29.2%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 29.3%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 30.6%
7 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 30.6%
8 Coral 7 @ 1/5 63.8% 37.2%
9 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 64.3% 37.7%
10 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 66.8% 39.7%
11 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 56.7% 39.7%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
14 Sport Nation 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 40.1%
15 Betway 7 @ 1/5 67.3% 40.2%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.3% 40.3%
17 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 57.1% 43.3%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 59.2% 45.1%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 60% 45.8%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 61.4% 47.1%