Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 37.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.0 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 205.8

Total Profit: +105.8



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Bryson DeChambeau 9 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 6.97% 2.98% -3.99% MC
2 USA Justin Thomas 10 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.34% 1.98% -4.36% T18
3 NIR Rory McIlroy 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.65% 2.51% -2.14% T32
4 USA Dustin Johnson 14 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.65% 2.16% -2.49% MC
5 USA Patrick Cantlay 15 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 6.25% 4.36% 1.54% -2.82% T32
6 USA Collin Morikawa 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.03% 2.14% -0.89% T48
7 NOR Viktor Hovland 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.03% 1.94% -1.09% T48
8 ESP Jon Rahm 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.03% 1.61% -1.42% 1
9 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 22 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.03% 1.07% -1.96% MC
10 USA Webb Simpson 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 2.1% -0.58% MC
11 USA Brooks Koepka 25 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 0.82% -1.86% T62
12 USA Tiger Woods 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.68% 0.79% -1.89% T40
13 USA Xander Schauffele 28 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% 1.57% -0.83% T13
14 USA Daniel Berger 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 2.4% 0.7% MC 21.19
15 USA Gary Woodland 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 1.33% -0.38% T22
16 USA Rickie Fowler 40 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 0.46% -1.24% MC
17 MEX Abraham Ancer 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.52% 2.24% 0.72% T58 18.89
18 USA Tony Finau 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% 1.72% 0.47% 8 15.52 +93.1
19 USA Patrick Reed 55 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% 1.58% 0.34% T10
20 AUS Jason Day 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 0.5% -0.64% T4
21 CHI Joaquin Niemann 66 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.04% 0.77% -0.27% MC
22 ENG Justin Rose 66 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.49% -0.55% MC
23 USA Kevin Streelman 70 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.41% 0.98% 1.59% 0.61% T54 12.24
24 AUS Marc Leishman 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 1.57% 0.58% T40
25 ENG Paul Casey 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.95% -0.04% MC
26 USA Billy Horschel 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.92% -0.06% T13
27 USA Jordan Spieth 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 0.73% -0.25% T13
28 ESP Sergio Garcia 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.56% 0.7% T32 10.73
29 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.86% 1.56% 0.7% 3 10.73 +112.7
30 KOR Sungjae Im 80 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.86% 1.56% 0.7% MC 10.73
31 CAN Adam Hadwin 80 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.29% 0.43% T54
32 USA Matt Kuchar 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.86% 1.26% 0.4% T32
33 USA Kevin Kisner 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.99% 0.22% MC
34 USA Harris English 90 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.77% 0.97% 0.2% T13
35 ENG Ian Poulter 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.69% 1.33% 0.64% MC
36 KOR Byeong Hun An 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.64% -0.05% MC
37 USA Kevin Na 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 1.49% 0.94% 9
38 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.97% 0.42% T32
39 USA Keegan Bradley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.86% 0.3% T68
40 SVK Rory Sabbatini 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.72% 0.16% MC
41 USA Matthew Wolff 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.7% 0.15% T22
42 ENG Danny Willett 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.56% 0.01% T32
43 USA Doc Redman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.52% -0.03% MC
44 USA Scottie Scheffler 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.49% -0.06% T22
45 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.49% -0.06% 61
46 USA JT Poston 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.88% 0.42% MC
47 USA Cameron Champ 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.87% 0.4% MC
48 IRL Shane Lowry 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.76% 0.3% MC
49 CAN Corey Conners 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.68% 0.22% T22
50 USA Phil Mickelson 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.65% 0.19% T54
51 ENG Matt Wallace 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.5% 0.04% T4
52 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.49% 0.03% T54
53 USA Max Homa 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 1.01% 0.61% MC
54 USA Lucas Glover 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.82% 0.43% T38
55 USA Brendon Todd 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.6% 0.21% T22
56 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.88% 1.54% T22
57 USA Joel Dahmen 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.7% 1.36% 74
58 USA Mark Hubbard 200 (Boyle Sports: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.19% 0.84% 72
59 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 1.03% 0.68% T18
60 USA Brendan Steele 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.82% 0.47% T13
61 USA Mackenzie Hughes 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.8% 0.45% T6
62 AUT Matthias Schwab 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.77% 0.42% MC
63 USA Jason Kokrak 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.74% 0.39% WD
64 USA Chez Reavie 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.72% 0.38% T22
65 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.69% 0.34% MC
66 RSA Erik van Rooyen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.63% 0.28% T22
67 USA Zach Johnson 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.61% 0.26% T58
68 USA Troy Merritt 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.54% 0.19% MC
69 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% MC
70 USA Brian Harman 200 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.45% 0.1% MC
71 RSA Branden Grace 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.44% 0.09% MC
72 ARG Emiliano Grillo 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.37% 0.03% MC
73 USA Ryan Moore 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.29% -0.06% T40
74 SWE Alexander Noren 200 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.24% -0.11% MC
75 USA Maverick McNealy 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 1.4% 1.12% MC
76 CAN Nick Taylor 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.93% 0.66% MC
77 USA Talor Gooch 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.88% 0.6% MC
78 USA Lanto Griffin 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.73% 0.45% T44
79 USA Brian Stuard 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.72% 0.44% MC
80 USA Ryan Palmer 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.44% 0.16% 2
81 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.43% 0.16% T6
82 USA Jim Furyk 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% T48
83 USA Luke List 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.41% 0.13% T10
84 USA Bud Cauley 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.38% 0.1% T44
85 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.35% 0.08% MC
86 USA Jason Dufner 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% T44
87 USA Tyler Duncan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% T68
88 USA Andrew Landry 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.28% 0.01% MC
89 CHN Li Haotong 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.26% -0.02% MC
90 NIR Graeme McDowell 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.25% 0.58% 0.32% MC
91 USA Scott Piercy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.55% 0.32% T62
92 USA Tom Hoge 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.54% 0.31% MC
93 USA Matthew NeSmith 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% MC
94 MEX Carlos Ortiz 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.38% 0.15% T48
95 RSA Dylan Frittelli 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.09% T22
96 USA Charles Howell III 300 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.23% 0.21% -0.02% T48
97 AUS Cameron Smith 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.21% -0.02% T68
98 KOR Siwoo Kim 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.39% 0.19% T18
99 USA Wyndham Clark 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
100 NZL Danny Lee 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% WD
101 USA Adam Long 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.64% 0.47% MC
102 USA Harry Higgs 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.54% 0.36% MC
103 RSA Charl Schwartzel 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.43% 0.25% MC
104 USA Vaughn Taylor 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.34% 0.17% MC
105 USA Stewart Cink 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.34% 0.16% T62
106 TPE C.T. Pan 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.33% 0.15% T44
107 THA Jazz Janewattananond 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.12% -0.05% MC
108 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.4% 0.26% T62
109 FRA Victor Perez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.26% MC
110 USA Nate Lashley 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.25% WD
111 AUS Jason Scrivener 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.33% 0.19% MC
112 USA Keith Mitchell 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T22
113 USA Steve Stricker 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T18
114 USA Andrew Putnam 500 (GentingBet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.07% -0.06% MC
115 USA Zac Blair 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.33% 0.22% MC
116 USA Kevin Tway 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
117 USA Denny McCarthy 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.15% 0.03% T58
118 CHN Zhang Xinjun 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.37% 0.27% T10
119 USA Bo Hoag 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.15% 0.05% T62
120 SWE David Lingmerth 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.09% 0% MC
121 RSA Ernie Els 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.23% 0.16% MC
122 USA Scott Harrington 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% T40
123 KOR K.J. Choi 1000 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
124 USA Andy Ogletree 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% MC
125 USA William McGirt 1000 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.1% 0.03% T68
126 FIJ Vijay Singh 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.1% 0.05% T62
127 USA Jim Herman 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% MC
128 SWE Carl Pettersson 1500 (Sportingbet: 6 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% T38
129 USA Peter Kuest 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.03% 0.1% 0.07% MC
130 KOR Sunghoon Kang 0% 0% 0% 0% 73
131 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T48

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 37.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 10.3 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 49% 15.5%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 59.3% 23.6%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 62.6% 26.2%
4 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 62.6% 26.2%
5 Sportingbet 6 @ 1/4 58.8% 27.9%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.5% 28.9%
7 Boyle Sports 10 @ 1/5 92.5% 29.9%
8 VBet 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 32.3%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 59.7% 33.9%
10 GentingBet 7 @ 1/5 60.4% 34.5%
11 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 61.1% 35.1%
12 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 40.3%
13 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.1% 42.4%
14 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 58.9% 44.9%
15 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.9% 45.9%
16 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 106.3% 90.2%
17 SportPesa 6 @ 1/5 1267.8% 1192.7%
18 Sport Nation 6 @ 1/5 1279.3% 1203.6%