Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 17.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ESP Jon Rahm 4 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 20% 17.07% 12.24% -4.82% 10
2 USA Justin Thomas 5 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 16.67% 14.22% 6.09% -8.13% 1
3 USA Xander Schauffele 8 (Betfair : 5 @ 1/5) 11.11% 9.48% 6.39% -3.09% T2
4 USA Dustin Johnson 10 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 9.09% 7.76% 2.22% -5.54% T7
5 USA Patrick Cantlay 12 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.56% 5.02% -1.54% 4
6 USA Patrick Reed 14 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 6.67% 5.69% 7.99% 2.3% T2
7 USA Gary Woodland 16 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.02% 3.72% -1.3% T7
8 USA Rickie Fowler 16 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 5.88% 5.02% 3.15% -1.87% T5
9 ENG Paul Casey 25 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.28% 5.35% 2.07% T19
10 USA Collin Morikawa 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.28% 4.97% 1.69% T7
11 USA Brendon Todd 40 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.08% 2.38% 0.3% 29
12 USA Matt Kuchar 45 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 1.78% -0.07% T14
13 CAN Corey Conners 50 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 3.48% 1.8% T19 20.66
14 CHI Joaquin Niemann 50 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 3.03% 1.35% T5 20.66
15 USA Cameron Champ 50 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 1.91% 0.24% T14
16 USA Matthew Wolff 60 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.4% 2.48% 1.08% T11
17 USA Kevin Kisner 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 3.43% 2.16% T14 15.73
18 USA Kevin Na 70 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.2% 2.48% 1.28% T32 14.84
19 USA Chez Reavie 70 (William Hill: 5 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 1.28% 0.08% T27
20 RSA Dylan Frittelli 72 (VBet: 4 @ 1/4) 1.37% 1.17% 3.31% 2.14% 31 14.44
21 USA JT Poston 76 (VBet: 4 @ 1/4) 1.3% 1.11% 2.64% 1.53% T11 13.69
22 USA Ryan Palmer 90 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.94% 2.31% 1.37% T17
23 USA Keith Mitchell 110 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.77% 1.09% 0.32% T32
24 USA Adam Long 125 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.68% 1.57% 0.9% T23
25 USA Lanto Griffin 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 2% 1.43% 13
26 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 1.57% 1% T19
27 USA Tyler Duncan 150 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 1.29% 0.72% T19
28 NIR Graeme McDowell 150 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 1.04% 0.48% T23
29 KOR Sunghoon Kang 150 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.94% 0.37% T25
30 USA Max Homa 200 (Unibet: 4 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.84% 0.41% T25
31 USA J.B. Holmes 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.77% 0.34% 30
32 USA Jim Herman 500 (Bet365: 4 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.91% 0.73% T27
33 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% 34
34 COL Sebastian Munoz 0% 0% 0% 0% T17

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 17.2 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 17.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Black Type 4 @ 1/4 22.1% 22.1%
2 William Hill 5 @ 1/5 22.7% 22.7%
3 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/5 23.8% 23.8%
4 Coral 5 @ 1/5 23.8% 23.8%
5 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/5 23.8% 23.8%
6 Boyle Sports 5 @ 1/5 24.1% 24.1%
7 Bet365 4 @ 1/4 24.1% 24.1%
8 Betway 5 @ 1/5 24.8% 24.8%
9 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/5 24.9% 24.9%
10 VBet 4 @ 1/4 26.1% 26.1%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 5 @ 1/5 27.4% 27.4%
12 Paddy Power 5 @ 1/5 27.4% 27.4%
13 Marathon Bet 4 @ 1/4 27.5% 27.5%
14 Unibet 4 @ 1/4 28.9% 28.9%
15 888Sport 4 @ 1/4 28.9% 28.9%
16 Betfred 5 @ 1/5 30.7% 30.7%
17 Skybet 5 @ 1/5 31.1% 31.1%
18 SportPesa 4 @ 1/4 32.5% 32.5%
19 10Bet 4 @ 1/4 32.5% 32.5%
20 MoPlay 4 @ 1/4 32.5% 32.5%
21 Sport Nation 4 @ 1/4 32.5% 32.5%