Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 40.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 22.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.1

Scandinavian Masters

22/08/2019 - 25/08/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Henrik Stenson 8 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.88% 5.07% -2.81% T3
2 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 9 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 10% 7.09% 5.3% -1.78% 2
3 SWE Alexander Noren 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 5.45% 2.01% -3.45% T40
4 RSA Erik van Rooyen 16 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.17% 3.04% -1.13% 1
5 ITA Andrea Pavan 20 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.38% 1.52% -1.86% T16
6 ESP Adria Arnaus 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.08% 1.57% -0.52% MC
7 ENG Andy Sullivan 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.08% 1.44% -0.65% T20
8 BEL Thomas Detry 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.08% 0.77% -1.32% T20
9 SCO Robert MacIntyre 35 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.97% 1.62% -0.35% MC
10 NED Joost Luiten 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.97% 0.86% -1.11% T29
11 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 1.96% 0.23% T68 7.76
12 ENG Jordan L Smith 45 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 1.42% -0.12% MC 6.92
13 USA Julian Suri 45 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 0.96% -0.58% MC
14 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.39% 1.27% -0.12% MC 6.24
15 ENG Tom Lewis 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.39% 0.87% -0.52% T59
16 SWE Marcus Kinhult 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.27% 1.22% -0.04% T20 5.68
17 ITA Edoardo Molinari 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.27% 1.11% -0.15% T75 5.68
18 FRA Victor Dubuisson 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.16% 0.61% -0.55% WD
19 ENG Aaron Rai 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.16% 0.51% -0.66% T29
20 RSA Haydn Porteous 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 1.12% 0.07% T29 4.75
21 SWE Rikard Karlberg 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 0.8% -0.25% T53
22 ENG Paul Waring 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.06% 0.74% -0.31% T20
23 MAS Gavin Green 66 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 0.7% -0.36% T16
24 SWE Alexander Bjork 70 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 0.74% -0.26% T20
25 FRA Benjamin Hebert 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.93% 1.81% 0.87% MC 4.19
26 FRA Alexander Levy 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.93% 0.45% -0.48% T5
27 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.77% -0.11% MC 3.93
28 ENG Andrew Johnston 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.88% 0.69% -0.18% T10 3.93
29 SCO Scott Jamieson 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.68% -0.19% MC
30 ENG Robert Rock 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.67% -0.2% T70
31 ENG Sam Horsfield 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.88% 0.64% -0.24% T10
32 ENG Chris Paisley 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.62% -0.26% MC
33 ENG Lee Slattery 80 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.88% 0.51% -0.36% T40
34 RSA George Coetzee 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 1.23% 0.45% MC 3.5
35 SWE David Lingmerth 90 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.78% 0.72% -0.06% MC 3.5
36 FRA Victor Perez 90 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.6% -0.18% T10 3.5
37 AUS Lucas Herbert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.78% 0.59% -0.19% MC
38 ENG Matthew Southgate 90 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.78% 0.52% -0.26% T10
39 AUS Jason Scrivener 90 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 0.43% -0.35% T20
40 GER Maximilian Kieffer 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.76% 0.05% MC 3.15
41 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.65% -0.05% MC 3.15
42 USA Sean Crocker 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.64% 0.93% 0.29% WD 2.87
43 ITA Nino Bertasio 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.64% 0.91% 0.27% WD 2.87
44 ESP Adrian Otaegui 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.64% 0.76% 0.12% MC 2.87
45 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 110 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.6% -0.04% T59 2.87
46 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.86% 0.3% T40 2.53
47 ENG Oliver Wilson 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.86% 0.3% 84 2.53
48 ENG Callum Shinkwin 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.84% 0.28% WD 2.53
49 SWE Robert Karlsson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.83% 0.27% MC 2.53
50 RSA Zander Lombard 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.78% 0.22% T16 2.53
51 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.56% 0.67% 0.11% MC 2.53
52 CHI Hugo Leon 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.63% 0.07% MC 2.53
53 AUS Minwoo Lee 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.45% -0.12% 83 2.53
54 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.4% -0.16% T20 2.53
55 ENG Jack Singh Brar 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.5% 1.01% 0.51% T37
56 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1% 0.53% T37
57 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.67% 0.2% MC
58 FRA Romain Wattel 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.58% 0.11% MC
59 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.4% -0.07% T75
60 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.36% -0.11% T5
61 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.33% -0.14% T10
62 WAL Bradley Dredge 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.26% -0.21% T47
63 ENG Chris Wood 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.19% -0.28% T53
64 ENG Oliver Fisher 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.6% 0.16% MC
65 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.56% 0.12% MC
66 RSA Dean Burmester 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.36% -0.08% T3
67 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.32% -0.12% T29
68 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.44% 0.27% -0.17% T53
69 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 1.09% 0.69% MC
70 USA Sihwan Kim 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.46% 0.06% T5
71 WAL Jamie Donaldson 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.39% -0.02% T5
72 SCO Stephen Gallacher 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.94% 0.58% T47
73 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.79% 0.44% T53
74 SWE Anton Karlsson 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.64% 0.29% T78
75 GER Max Schmitt 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.62% 0.27% 72
76 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.56% 0.21% MC
77 ARG Andres Romero 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.1% MC
78 USA John Catlin 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.45% 0.1% T29
79 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.38% 0.03% T40
80 USA Paul Peterson 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.32% -0.03% T59
81 ENG James Morrison 200 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.26% -0.09% T29
82 SWE Oscar Lengden 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.26% -0.1% MC
83 FIN Kalle Samooja 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.31% 0.55% 0.23% T47
84 SCO Liam Johnston 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.87% 0.58% MC
85 FIN Kim Koivu 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.86% 0.57% MC
86 RSA Louis de Jager 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.67% 0.38% MC
87 SWE Niklas Lemke 250 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T20
88 CHN Wu Ashun 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.48% 0.2% T20
89 KOR Soomin Lee 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% MC
90 JPN Hideto Tanihara 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% MC
91 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.44% 0.15% T40
92 FRA Matthieu Pavon 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.28% 0.42% 0.14% T10
93 ENG Ben Evans 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% T66
94 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.63% 0.39% T5
95 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.38% 0.15% T29
96 RSA Justin Walters 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.36% 0.12% T59
97 ENG Steven Brown 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.11% MC
98 ENG Laurie Canter 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% MC
99 POR Ricardo Gouveia 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% 81
100 ENG Richard McEvoy 350 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.25% 0.05% MC
101 KOR Jeunghun Wang 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% T78
102 WAL Stuart Manley 350 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
103 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
104 ENG David Howell 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.19% -0.01% MC
105 DEN Thomas Bjorn 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.77% 0.6% MC
106 IRL Gavin Moynihan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.57% 0.4% T47
107 SCO David Law 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.56% 0.38% MC
108 NIR Michael Hoey 400 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.39% 0.21% MC
109 AUS Nick Cullen 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.33% 0.15% 82
110 ENG Ryan Evans 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.11% T29
111 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% MC
112 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% T40
113 SWE Philip Eriksson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.83% 0.69% MC
114 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.64% 0.5% WD
115 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.46% 0.32% T59
116 AUS Adam Bland 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.39% 0.25% T75
117 AUS Dimi Papadatos 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.37% 0.23% MC
118 SWE Henric Sturehed 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T59
119 GER Marcel Siem 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% MC
120 ENG Tom Murray 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% MC
121 FRA Adrien Saddier 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% 74
122 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% T37
123 KOR Hyowon Park 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% T66
124 SWE Christopher Sahlstrom 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
125 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% MC
126 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 500 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
127 SWE Simon Forsstrom 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.61% 0.49% MC
128 DEN Lasse Jensen 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.54% 0.42% MC
129 KOR Jinho Choi 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.38% 0.26% MC
130 ENG Jonathan Thomson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
131 AUS Sam Brazel 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
132 CAN Austin Connelly 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.26% 0.14% T47
133 KOR Minkyu Kim 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
134 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 750 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.52% 0.43% MC
135 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.29% 0.19% T40
136 AUS Deyen Lawson 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% T53
137 GER Bernd Ritthammer 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.15% T59
138 SUI Joel Girrbach 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
139 CRC Luis Gagne 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.22% 0.12% MC
140 SWE Alex Wennstam 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.2% 0.11% MC
141 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.53% 0.46% MC
142 ENG Max Orrin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.39% 0.32% T70
143 SWE Per Langfors 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.33% 0.26% T53
144 AUS Brett Rumford 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.23% 73
145 SWE Johan Edfors 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% T78
146 SWE Jarmo Sandelin 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
147 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% MC
148 ENG Scott Gregory 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.26% 0.21% MC
149 SWE Stefan Idstam 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.2% 0.17% MC
150 CHN Backjun Bobby An 0% 0% 0.2% 0% T68
151 SWE Johannes Axell 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
152 SWE David Nyfjall 0% 0% 0.2% 0% T47
153 SWE Albin Bergstrom 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
154 SWE Vincent Norrman 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC
155 SWE Joakim Wikstrom 0% 0% 0.2% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 40.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 22.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 61.9% 35.7%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 52.2% 35.8%
3 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 53.6% 37.1%
4 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 65% 38.3%
5 Coral 7 @ 1/5 67.1% 40.1%
6 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 69.2% 41.8%
7 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 61.5% 44.1%
8 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 61.6% 44.2%
9 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 72.7% 44.9%
10 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 63.7% 46.1%
11 Betway 5 @ 1/4 65.4% 47.6%
12 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 65.4% 47.6%
13 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
14 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
15 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
16 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 65.6% 47.8%
17 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 65.8% 48%
18 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 65% 50.5%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 65.2% 50.7%
20 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 72.4% 53.9%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 70.8% 55.8%