Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 33.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 63.5

Total Profit: -36.6



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Lee Westwood 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.97% 0% 0% MC
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 14 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.97% 0% 0% T30
3 ENG Eddie Pepperell 14 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.97% 0% 0% MC
4 RSA Erik van Rooyen 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.97% 0% 0% T5
5 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.92% 0% 0% 1
6 ITA Andrea Pavan 25 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.87% 0% 0% T3
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 0% 0% T23
8 ENG Tom Lewis 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.87% 0% 0% WD
9 MAS Gavin Green 30 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.4% 0% 0% T58
10 USA Julian Suri 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.19% 0% 0% MC
11 ESP Adria Arnaus 45 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.62% 0% 0% 2
12 FRA Victor Dubuisson 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 0% 0% T39
13 ENG Lee Slattery 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.46% 0% 0% T39
14 AUT Matthias Schwab 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0% 0% T5
15 ENG Aaron Rai 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.46% 0% 0% T39
16 SCO Scott Jamieson 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 0% 0% T39
17 IRL Padraig Harrington 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 0% 0% T58
18 RSA Haydn Porteous 55 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.33% 0% 0% T11
19 SWE Alexander Bjork 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.33% 0% 0% T23
20 RSA George Coetzee 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 0% 0% MC 5.46
21 ENG Paul Waring 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.22% 0% 0% T30 5.46
22 ITA Edoardo Molinari 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 0% 0% T14 4.97
23 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 0% 0% T39 4.97
24 RSA JC Ritchie 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0% 0% T48 4.97
25 ESP Adrian Otaegui 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0% 0% MC
26 ITA Nino Bertasio 70 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.05% 0% 0% MC 4.69
27 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0% 0% T58 4.11
28 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0% 0% MC 4.11
29 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0% 0% T30
30 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0% 0% MC
31 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0% 0% T23
32 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.92% 0% 0% MC 4.11
33 ITA Renato Paratore 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0% 0% T39 3.66
34 DEN Jeff Winther 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.82% 0% 0% 70 3.66
35 ENG Matthew Southgate 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.82% 0% 0% T30 3.66
36 WAL Jamie Donaldson 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% MC 3.3
37 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% T23 3.3
38 ENG Oliver Fisher 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% T51 3.3
39 SWE Rikard Karlberg 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% T5 (tied w/5) 3.3 +20.8
40 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% MC
41 RSA Dean Burmester 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% T58
42 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% MC 3.3
43 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0% 0% T18
44 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0% 0% T58
45 ENG David Horsey 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0% 0% MC 3
46 ENG Sam Horsfield 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0% 0% T3 (tied w/2) 3 +42.8
47 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC 2.65
48 WAL Bradley Dredge 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T39 2.65
49 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T18 2.65
50 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T51 2.65
51 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T18 2.65
52 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC 2.65
53 USA Paul Peterson 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC 2.65
54 RSA Ernie Els 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC 2.65
55 SCO Stephen Gallacher 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC 2.65
56 SWE Robert Karlsson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% 10
57 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T30
58 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T39
59 SWE Anton Karlsson 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% MC
60 FIN Kalle Samooja 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T51
61 GER Max Schmitt 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% MC
62 ENG Jack Singh Brar 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T14
63 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% MC
64 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0% 0% MC
65 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T14
66 ENG James Morrison 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T30
67 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
68 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
69 ENG Steven Brown 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
70 NZL Josh Geary 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
71 NOR Espen Kofstad 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T48
72 CHI Hugo Leon 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T5
73 KOR Soomin Lee 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% DQ
74 RSA Zander Lombard 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T11
75 USA John Catlin 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T30
76 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
77 USA Johannes Veerman 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
78 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
79 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T23
80 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0% 0% T14
81 ENG Matthew Nixon 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% T58
82 WAL Stuart Manley 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% 67
83 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
84 IRL Gavin Moynihan 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
85 SWE Christopher Sahlstrom 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
86 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
87 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
88 KOR Jeunghun Wang 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0% 0% MC
89 RSA Justin Walters 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0% 0% T58
90 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
91 AUS Nick Cullen 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
92 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% T48
93 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
94 SCO David Law 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
95 ENG Ryan Evans 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
96 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
97 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T18
98 KOR Hyowon Park 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
99 RSA Bryce Easton 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T51
100 FIN Kim Koivu 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T11
101 USA Berry Henson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T23
102 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
103 ENG David Howell 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% T30
104 AUS Adam Bland 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% MC
105 AUS Sam Brazel 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% MC
106 ESP Pedro Oriol 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% MC
107 ENG Chris Hanson 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0% 0% T58
108 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T58
109 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
110 AUS Brett Rumford 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
111 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
112 DEN Lasse Jensen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
113 AUS Dimi Papadatos 500 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T39
114 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
115 KOR Jinho Choi 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
116 ENG Tom Murray 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T51
117 USA Jarin Todd 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
118 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
119 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T5
120 RSA Wilco Nienaber 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T51
121 ENG Jonathan Thomson 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
122 CAN Austin Connelly 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% WD
123 AUS Deyen Lawson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
124 ENG Nick McCarthy 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
125 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% T23
126 SUI Joel Girrbach 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
127 SCO Duncan Stewart 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
128 ENG Chris Lloyd 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% 68
129 ENG Max Orrin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
130 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
131 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
132 CZE Stanislav Matus 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
133 ENG Daniel Gavins 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% T18
134 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% T51
135 GER Philipp Mejow 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
136 SWE Per Langfors 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
137 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
138 ENG Scott Gregory 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
139 CZE Jan Cafourek 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
140 CZE Filip Mruzek 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
141 CZE Michal Pospisil 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0% 0% MC
142 CZE Ales Korinek 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
143 CZE Simon Zach 2000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
144 SVK Petr Valasek 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
145 GER Aaron Leitmannstetter 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
146 CZE Daniel Suchan 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
147 CZE Petr Gal-jr 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
148 CZE Lukas Tintera 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
149 CZE Jakub Bares 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 SVK Pavol Mach 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 CZE Filip Raza 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 CZE Jiri Zuska(AM) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 CZE Stefan Palenik 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 CZE Petr Hruby 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 ENG Liam Robinson 0% 0% 0% 0% 69

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 33.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.2 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54% 29%
2 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.2% 29.1%
3 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 30.8%
4 Coral 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 30.9%
5 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 31.4%
6 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 47.7% 31.7%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.3% 35.1%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 51.8% 35.4%
9 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 53% 36.4%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63.5% 36.9%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
14 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
15 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
16 Betway 5 @ 1/4 57.9% 40.8%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.8%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 41.9%
19 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 63.7% 46%
20 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 63.6% 49.1%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 65% 50.4%