Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 34.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 8.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.0

Total Won: 118.0

Total Profit: +18



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Lee Westwood 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.94% 0% 0% MC
2 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 14 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.94% 0% 0% T30
3 ENG Eddie Pepperell 14 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.94% 0% 0% MC
4 RSA Erik van Rooyen 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.94% 0% 0% T5
5 BEL Thomas Pieters 18 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.9% 0% 0% 1
6 ITA Andrea Pavan 25 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.85% 0% 0% T3
7 ENG Tom Lewis 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.85% 0% 0% WD
8 SCO Robert MacIntyre 25 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.85% 0% 0% T23
9 MAS Gavin Green 30 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.39% 0% 0% T58
10 USA Julian Suri 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.18% 0% 0% MC
11 ESP Adria Arnaus 45 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.61% 0% 0% 2 19.27 +118
12 FRA Victor Dubuisson 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.45% 0% 0% T39
13 ENG Lee Slattery 50 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.45% 0% 0% T39
14 AUT Matthias Schwab 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 0% 0% T5
15 ENG Aaron Rai 50 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.45% 0% 0% T39
16 SCO Scott Jamieson 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.32% 0% 0% T39
17 IRL Padraig Harrington 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.32% 0% 0% T58
18 RSA Haydn Porteous 55 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.32% 0% 0% T11
19 SWE Alexander Bjork 55 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.32% 0% 0% T23
20 RSA George Coetzee 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 0% 0% MC 14.53
21 ENG Paul Waring 60 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.21% 0% 0% T30
22 ITA Edoardo Molinari 66 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 0% 0% T14 13.23
23 FIN Mikko Korhonen 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.11% 0% 0% T39 13.23
24 RSA JC Ritchie 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.11% 0% 0% T48
25 ESP Adrian Otaegui 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.04% 0% 0% MC
26 ITA Nino Bertasio 70 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.04% 0% 0% MC 12.48
27 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0% 0% T58
28 ENG Callum Shinkwin 80 (Boyle Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0% 0% MC
29 AUS Jason Scrivener 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0% 0% T30
30 RSA Brandon Stone 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0% 0% MC
31 IRL Paul Dunne 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0% 0% T23
32 SCO Grant Forrest 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.91% 0% 0% MC
33 ITA Renato Paratore 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0% 0% T39
34 DEN Jeff Winther 90 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.81% 0% 0% 70 9.74
35 ENG Matthew Southgate 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.81% 0% 0% T30
36 WAL Jamie Donaldson 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% MC
37 FRA Alexander Levy 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% T18
38 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% T23
39 ENG Oliver Fisher 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% T51 8.78
40 SWE Rikard Karlberg 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% T5
41 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 100 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% MC
42 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% MC 8.78
43 RSA Dean Burmester 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.73% 0% 0% T58
44 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0% 0% T58
45 ENG David Horsey 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0% 0% MC
46 ENG Sam Horsfield 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.67% 0% 0% T3
47 SCO Stephen Gallacher 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC
48 RSA Ernie Els 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC
49 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC
50 WAL Bradley Dredge 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T39
51 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T18
52 USA Paul Peterson 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC
53 USA Sihwan Kim 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T51
54 DEN Joachim B Hansen 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T30
55 ENG Ashley Chesters 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% T18
56 FRA Matthieu Pavon 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.59% 0% 0% MC
57 SWE Robert Karlsson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% 10
58 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T30
59 SWE Niklas Lemke 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% MC
60 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T39
61 SWE Anton Karlsson 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% MC
62 FIN Kalle Samooja 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T51
63 GER Max Schmitt 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% MC
64 ENG Jack Singh Brar 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.49% 0% 0% T14
65 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.42% 0% 0% MC
66 FRA Romain Wattel 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T14
67 ENG James Morrison 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T30
68 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
69 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
70 ENG Steven Brown 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
71 NZL Josh Geary 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
72 NOR Espen Kofstad 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T48
73 CHI Hugo Leon 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T5
74 KOR Soomin Lee 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% DQ
75 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T23
76 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
77 RSA Zander Lombard 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T11
78 USA John Catlin 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% T30
79 ESP Pep Angles Ros 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
80 USA Johannes Veerman 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0% 0% MC
81 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.33% 0% 0% T14
82 ENG Matthew Nixon 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% T58
83 WAL Stuart Manley 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% 67
84 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
85 GER Marcel Schneider 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
86 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 250 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
87 IRL Gavin Moynihan 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
88 SWE Christopher Sahlstrom 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0% 0% MC
89 KOR Jeunghun Wang 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0% 0% MC
90 RSA Justin Walters 275 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.27% 0% 0% T58
91 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
92 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
93 AUS Nick Cullen 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
94 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% T48
95 FRA Adrien Saddier 300 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
96 SCO David Law 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
97 ENG Ryan Evans 300 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0% 0% MC
98 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
99 USA Berry Henson 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T23
100 ENG Ben Evans 350 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T18
101 KOR Hyowon Park 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% MC
102 RSA Bryce Easton 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T51
103 FIN Kim Koivu 350 (Sportingbet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0% 0% T11
104 ENG David Howell 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% T30
105 AUS Adam Bland 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
106 AUS Sam Brazel 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
107 ESP Pedro Oriol 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% MC
108 ENG Chris Hanson 400 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0% 0% T58
109 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T58
110 ITA Matteo Manassero 500 (Black Type: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
111 AUS Brett Rumford 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
112 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
113 DEN Lasse Jensen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
114 AUS Dimi Papadatos 500 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T39
115 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
116 KOR Jinho Choi 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
117 ENG Tom Murray 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T51
118 USA Jarin Todd 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
119 KOR Yikeun Chang 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
120 CAN Austin Connelly 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% WD
121 ENG Jonathan Thomson 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% MC
122 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T5
123 RSA Wilco Nienaber 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0% 0% T51
124 ENG Max Orrin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
125 ENG Chris Lloyd 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% 68
126 SCO Duncan Stewart 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
127 SUI Joel Girrbach 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
128 AUS Deyen Lawson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
129 ENG Nick McCarthy 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% MC
130 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0% 0% T23
131 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
132 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
133 CZE Stanislav Matus 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% MC
134 ENG Daniel Gavins 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0% 0% T18
135 RSA Mathiam KEYSER 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% T51
136 GER Philipp Mejow 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
137 SWE Per Langfors 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
138 ESP David Borda Antonana 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
139 CZE Filip Mruzek 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
140 ENG Scott Gregory 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
141 CZE Jan Cafourek 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0% 0% MC
142 CZE Michal Pospisil 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0% 0% MC
143 CZE Ales Korinek 2000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
144 CZE Simon Zach 2000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0% 0% MC
145 SVK Petr Valasek 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
146 GER Aaron Leitmannstetter 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
147 CZE Lukas Tintera 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
148 CZE Petr Gal-jr 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
149 CZE Daniel Suchan 2500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0% 0% MC
150 ENG Liam Robinson 0% 0% 0% 0% 69
151 CZE Jakub Bares 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 SVK Pavol Mach 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 CZE Filip Raza 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 CZE Jiri Zuska(AM) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 CZE Stefan Palenik 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 CZE Petr Hruby 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 34.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.9 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfred 7 @ 1/5 54% 29%
2 Boyle Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.2% 29.1%
3 Skybet 5 @ 1/4 46.7% 30.8%
4 Coral 7 @ 1/5 56.3% 30.9%
5 Sportingbet 5 @ 1/4 47.4% 31.4%
6 Ladbrokes 5 @ 1/4 47.7% 31.7%
7 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 61.3% 35.1%
8 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 51.8% 35.4%
9 Black Type 5 @ 1/4 53% 36.4%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63.5% 36.9%
11 Redzone 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
12 SportPesa 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
14 Bethard 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
15 MoPlay 5 @ 1/4 56.2% 39.2%
16 Betway 5 @ 1/4 57.9% 40.8%
17 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 41.8%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 41.9%
19 Marathon Bet 5 @ 1/4 63.7% 46%
20 Bet Victor 6 @ 1/5 63.6% 49.1%
21 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 65% 50.4%