Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 36.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 97.2

Total Profit: -2.9

British Masters hosted by Tommy Fleetwood

09/05/2019 - 12/05/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 7 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 12.5% 9.13% 2.29% -6.84% T8
2 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 18 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.84% 1.67% -2.17% T35
3 ENG Eddie Pepperell 18 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.84% 0.89% -2.96% T2
4 ENG Matt Wallace 22 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.17% 1.85% -1.33% T2
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.81% 1.28% -1.53% T6
6 NED Joost Luiten 25 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.81% 1.26% -1.55% T8
7 FRA Victor Dubuisson 30 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.36% 1.12% -1.24% T23
8 ENG Lee Westwood 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.15% 1.83% -0.32% T35
9 ENG Andy Sullivan 33 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.15% 1.11% -1.03% MC
10 ENG Tom Lewis 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 1.38% -0.41% T53
11 NZL Ryan Fox 40 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.78% 0.85% -0.93% MC
12 ENG Ross Fisher 45 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.59% 0.77% -0.82% T15
13 RSA Richard Sterne 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 2.04% 0.61% T58 6.34
14 GER Martin Kaymer 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.91% 0.48% T8 (tied w/7) 6.34 +14.9
15 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.09% -0.34% T53
16 FRA Romain Langasque 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 1.02% -0.41% MC
17 BEL Thomas Detry 50 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.43% 0.67% -0.76% T15
18 FRA Benjamin Hebert 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 1.08% -0.22% MC 5.77
19 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.98% -0.33% T42
20 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.75% -0.55% T70
21 IRL Paul Dunne 55 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.3% 0.47% -0.84% T70
22 ESP Adrian Otaegui 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.49% 0.4% MC 4.82
23 ENG Paul Waring 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 1.03% -0.06% T6 (tied w/2) 4.82 +34.2
24 ESP Nacho Elvira 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.69% -0.4% T42
25 ENG Sam Horsfield 66 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.09% 0.62% -0.47% 74
26 RSA George Coetzee 70 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.03% 1.12% 0.1% MC 4.55
27 AUS Minwoo Lee 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.86% -0.04% MC 3.99
28 FRA Alexander Levy 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.78% -0.12% MC 3.99
29 GER Maximilian Kieffer 80 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.9% 0.68% -0.22% T58 3.99
30 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 1.34% 0.54% MC 3.55
31 AUS Scott Hend 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.94% 0.14% T35 3.55
32 AUS Lucas Herbert 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.8% 0.51% -0.3% T35
33 AUT Matthias Schwab 90 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.8% 0.48% -0.32% T42
34 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.94% 0.21% T58 3.2
35 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.93% 0.21% T8 (tied w/7) 3.2 +14.4
36 SCO Stephen Gallacher 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.79% 0.07% MC 3.2
37 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.79% 0.07% T42 3.2
38 ENG Robert Rock 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.74% 0.01% T25 3.2
39 ENG Aaron Rai 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.68% -0.04% MC 3.2
40 ITA Andrea Pavan 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.64% -0.09% T15 3.2
41 ESP Adria Arnaus 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.58% -0.15% MC 3.2
42 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.56% -0.16% 5 3.2 +33.6
43 ENG Chris Paisley 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.72% 0.52% -0.2% MC 3.2
44 ENG Callum Shinkwin 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.72% 0.49% -0.23% MC 3.2
45 MAS Gavin Green 110 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.66% 0.53% -0.13% T15 2.91
46 FRA Clement Sordet 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 1.05% 0.48% MC 2.57
47 IND Gaganjeet Bhullar 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.66% 0.08% T25 2.57
48 WAL Bradley Dredge 125 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.63% 0.05% MC 2.57
49 ENG Matthew Southgate 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.58% 0.45% -0.13% MC 2.57
50 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.92% 0.43% T58
51 ENG Lee Slattery 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.9% 0.41% MC
52 AUS Wade Ormsby 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.87% 0.39% MC
53 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.86% 0.37% T15
54 THA Thongchai Jaidee 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.79% 0.31% T35
55 ENG James Morrison 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.78% 0.3% MC
56 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.76% 0.28% MC
57 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.76% 0.28% MC
58 RSA Dean Burmester 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.74% 0.26% T42
59 CHN Wu Ashun 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.66% 0.18% MC
60 RSA Brandon Stone 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.66% 0.18% MC
61 RSA Darren Fichardt 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.64% 0.15% MC
62 ENG David Horsey 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.58% 0.09% T30
63 ENG Ashley Chesters 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.51% 0.02% T42
64 SWE Marcus Kinhult 150 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.51% 0.02% 1
65 FRA Victor Perez 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.48% 0.5% 0.02% T15
66 IND Shubhankar Sharma 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.48% 0.36% -0.12% MC
67 ENG Oliver Wilson 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.89% 0.47% T8
68 JPN Hideto Tanihara 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.62% 0.2% MC
69 NIR Michael Hoey 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.61% 0.19% T30
70 SCO Connor Syme 175 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.39% -0.02% T42
71 ITA Guido Migliozzi 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.82% 0.45% T35
72 SCO Marc Warren 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.73% 0.37% DQ
73 SWE Anton Karlsson 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.7% 0.34% MC
74 SCO Robert MacIntyre 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.69% 0.33% T2
75 SWE Peter Hanson 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% WD
76 SCO David Drysdale 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.68% 0.32% MC
77 RSA Haydn Porteous 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.51% 0.15% T25
78 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.48% 0.11% T42
79 RSA Louis de Jager 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
80 ENG Oliver Fisher 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.45% 0.08% T35
81 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.42% 0.06% MC
82 ENG Jack Singh Brar 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.38% 0.02% T53
83 FRA Matthieu Pavon 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.02% MC
84 RSA Justin Walters 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.02% MC
85 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 200 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.34% -0.03% MC
86 AUS Jake McLeod 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.82% 0.53% MC
87 ESP Alvaro Quiros 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.74% 0.45% WD
88 ENG Matthew Baldwin 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% T70
89 SCO Grant Forrest 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.58% 0.29% T68
90 FIN Kalle Samooja 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.53% 0.24% MC
91 ESP Alejandro Canizares 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
92 ITA Nino Bertasio 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.21% T23
93 ENG Matthew Jordan 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% T15
94 USA John Catlin 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.47% 0.18% MC
95 AUS Nick Cullen 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.42% 0.13% MC
96 ITA Renato Paratore 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.39% 0.1% T8
97 ENG Matthew Nixon 250 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.38% 0.09% MC
98 POR Ricardo Gouveia 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.33% 0.03% MC
99 WAL Jamie Donaldson 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.03% 73
100 AUS Dimi Papadatos 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.69% 0.45% T15
101 SCO David Law 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.59% 0.35% T53
102 ITA Lorenzo Gagli 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% 75
103 AUS Sam Brazel 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% MC
104 GER Marcel Siem 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.54% 0.3% MC
105 SWE Joakim Lagergren 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% MC
106 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.49% 0.25% MC
107 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% MC
108 FRA Gregory Bourdy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% T25
109 FRA Romain Wattel 300 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% MC
110 ENG Jack Senior 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.29% 0.05% T58
111 WAL Oliver Farr 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% T68
112 CAN Austin Connelly 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.19% -0.05% MC
113 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.89% 0.68% 76
114 RSA Zander Lombard 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.63% 0.42% MC
115 SWE Niklas Lemke 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% T8
116 DEN Lasse Jensen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.44% 0.23% T30
117 ITA Edoardo Molinari 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.63% 0.45% T30
118 SWE Robert Karlsson 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.62% 0.44% T58
119 ITA Matteo Manassero 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.58% 0.4% MC
120 JPN Yusaku Miyazato 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.51% 0.32% MC
121 FIN Kim Koivu 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.47% 0.29% MC
122 GER Max Schmitt 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.46% 0.28% MC
123 ENG Tom Murray 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% MC
124 SWE Rikard Karlberg 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.41% 0.22% MC
125 ENG Richard McEvoy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.38% 0.2% T53
126 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.34% 0.16% MC
127 IRL Gavin Moynihan 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% MC
128 ENG Steven Brown 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.32% 0.14% T58
129 ENG Jonathan Thomson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.09% MC
130 SCO Liam Johnston 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.66% 0.52% T42
131 ENG Max Orrin 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.65% 0.51% MC
132 WAL Stuart Manley 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.27% T58
133 AUS Deyen Lawson 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.39% 0.24% MC
134 SWE Jens Dantorp 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T58
135 CHI Hugo Leon 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% T30
136 ENG Ben Evans 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.15% MC
137 GER Bernd Ritthammer 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
138 ENG David Howell 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.51% 0.39% T42
139 SWE Per Langfors 750 (Betfred: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4% MC
140 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.41% 0.31% MC
141 SUI Joel Girrbach 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.34% 0.24% MC
142 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% T58
143 ESP David Borda Antonana 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% MC
144 ENG David Dixon 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.28% 0.21% MC
145 ITA Filippo Bergamaschi 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.27% 0.2% MC
146 NOR Espen Kofstad 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% MC
147 ENG Matthew Cort 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
148 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
149 ENG Scott Gregory 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.18% 0.12% MC
150 ENG Daniel Gavins 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.21% 0.16% MC
151 IND S.S.P. Chawrasia 0% 0% 0.7% 0% MC
152 ENG Andrew Johnston 0% 0% 0.45% 0% T42
153 ESP Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 0% 0% 0.4% 0% T25

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 36.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...