Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 21.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 38.4

Total Profit: -61.7

Barbasol Championship

18/07/2019 - 21/07/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Troy Merritt 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.59% 1.89% -1.7% MC
2 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 25 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 3.18% 2.13% -1.04% T64
3 SCO Martin Laird 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.18% 1.95% -1.22% T6
4 USA JT Poston 28 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.85% 2.04% -0.81% T29
5 USA Beau Hossler 28 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.85% 0.86% -1.99% MC
6 AUT Sepp Straka 30 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.66% 0.91% -1.75% 3
7 USA Jason Dufner 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 2.61% 0.18% T18 10.65
8 NZL Danny Lee 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 1.66% -0.77% MC
9 USA Peter Malnati 33 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.43% 1.62% -0.81% T73
10 USA Denny McCarthy 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.43% 1.23% -1.19% T11
11 CAN Nick Taylor 35 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.29% 1.45% -0.85% T15
12 USA Shawn Stefani 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 1.76% -0.25% T39
13 USA Brian Stuard 40 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 1.38% -0.63% MC
14 USA Austin Cook 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.01% 1.26% -0.76% T4
15 USA Bill Haas 40 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.01% 1.08% -0.93% T11
16 USA Adam Schenk 40 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 0.94% -1.07% T18
17 USA Wes Roach 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 0.8% -1.21% T45
18 USA Brice Garnett 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.01% 0.65% -1.36% T18
19 USA Johnson Wagner 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.62% 1.56% -0.06% 79 7.1
20 USA Sam Saunders 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.62% 1.03% -0.59% 77
21 COL Sebastian Munoz 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.62% 0.7% -0.92% T9
22 USA Robert Streb 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.47% 1.27% -0.21% MC 6.47
23 CAN Adam Svensson 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.47% 0.42% -1.06% MC
24 USA Richy Werenski 60 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.35% 0.64% -0.71% T24
25 AUS Matt Jones 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 1.63% 0.39% T4 (tied w/2) 5.41 +38.4
26 USA Zack Sucher 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 1.14% -0.1% T24 5.41
27 USA Joey Garber 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 1.07% -0.16% MC 5.41
28 USA Ryan Armour 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 1.05% -0.19% T53 5.41
29 USA Roberto Castro 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.93% -0.31% T22
30 USA Hank Lebioda 66 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.9% -0.33% T70
31 USA Josh Teater 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.23% 0.84% -0.39% T6
32 GER Stephan Jaeger 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.8% -0.44% T22
33 USA Patrick Rodgers 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.23% 0.69% -0.54% MC
34 USA Peter Uihlein 70 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.16% 1.61% 0.44% T53 5.1
35 USA Harris English 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 1.48% 0.46% T29 4.47
36 USA Brian Gay 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.02% 1.37% 0.35% MC 4.47
37 USA Ollie Schniederjans 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 1.17% 0.15% MC 4.47
38 USA Tyler Duncan 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.86% -0.16% MC 4.47
39 USA Trey Mullinax 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.7% -0.32% MC
40 MEX Roberto Diaz 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.64% -0.38% MC
41 IRL Seamus Power 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.02% 0.47% -0.55% T53
42 USA Jonathan Byrd 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.08% 0.27% T64 3.59
43 USA Alex Prugh 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.96% 0.14% T29 3.59
44 ARG Andres Romero 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.69% -0.13% MC 3.59
45 USA Kramer Hickok 100 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.61% -0.21% T24
46 USA Brandon Harkins 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.82% 0.56% -0.26% T53
47 CAN David Hearn 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 0.54% -0.28% T45
48 ARG Fabian Gomez 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.74% 1.05% 0.31% T36 3.26
49 USA Brendon Todd 125 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 1.21% 0.56% T53 2.88
50 USA Dominic Bozzelli 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.81% 0.16% T9 2.88
51 USA Ryan Blaum 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.81% 0.15% T15 2.88
52 USA Tom Hoge 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.8% 0.15% T36 2.88
53 USA Chip McDaniel 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.57% -0.08% 68 2.88
54 CAN Benjamin Silverman 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.55% -0.11% T39 2.88
55 USA Chase Wright 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.43% -0.22% T29
56 AUS Cameron Davis 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.66% 0.41% -0.25% T11
57 USA Kelly Kraft 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 1% 0.46% 2
58 SWE David Lingmerth 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.81% 0.26% MC
59 USA D.J. Trahan 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.75% 0.21% T6
60 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.65% 0.1% T39
61 USA Hunter Mahan 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.47% 1.95% 1.48% T45
62 SWE Freddie Jacobson 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.83% 0.36% T70
63 KOR Y.E. Yang 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.82% 0.35% MC
64 USA Robert Garrigus 175 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.71% 0.24% T64
65 USA Cody Gribble 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.86% 0.45% T29
66 USA David Toms 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.85% 0.44% T29
67 USA J.J. Henry 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.83% 0.42% MC
68 USA Berry Henson 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.81% 0.4% MC
69 USA Scott Langley 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.59% 0.18% T29
70 USA Martin Piller 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.52% 0.11% MC
71 USA Seth Reeves 200 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% MC
72 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T53
73 USA Tom Lovelady 200 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.41% 0% T36
74 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 1.39% 1.06% T53
75 USA Billy Hurley III 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 1.18% 0.85% T24
76 AUS John Senden 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.89% 0.56% MC
77 USA Chad Campbell 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.66% 0.34% MC
78 USA Ricky Barnes 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.59% 0.26% T45
79 ARG Julian Etulain 250 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T64
80 KOR Meenwhee Kim 250 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.56% 0.23% T45
81 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.53% 0.2% T11
82 USA Kyle Jones 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.42% 0.09% T15
83 AUS Rod Pampling 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.55% 0.27% T53
84 USA Derek Fathauer 300 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% MC
85 USA Brady Schnell 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.2% WD
86 USA Chris Thompson 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.47% 0.19% MC
87 USA Anders Albertson 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.42% 0.14% T18
88 USA George McNeill 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.72% 0.48% T53
89 USA Boo Weekley 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.71% 0.47% 69
90 IND Arjun Atwal 350 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.64% 0.41% 72
91 USA Jason Bohn 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.57% 0.36% MC
92 USA John Merrick 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.56% 0.35% T75
93 USA Hunter Stewart 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.21% 0.01% MC
94 KOR Charlie Wi 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.73% 0.56% T73
95 USA Chad Collins 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.71% 0.54% MC
96 USA Jim Herman 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.59% 0.42% 1
97 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.49% 0.32% T39
98 USA Parker McLachlin 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.37% 0.2% MC
99 ZIM Brendon de Jonge 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.17% MC
100 CAN Mike Weir 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.3% 0.13% MC
101 USA Steve Flesch 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.12% MC
102 USA John Chin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% T39
103 SWE Daniel Chopra 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.72% 0.61% T53
104 USA Tim Herron 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
105 ENG Brian Davis 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.85% 0.77% MC
106 USA Derek Ernst 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.59% 0.51% MC
107 USA John Daly 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.55% 0.47% MC
108 USA Will Mackenzie 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.55% 0.46% 78
109 USA Charlie Beljan 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.46% 0.38% T45
110 USA John Rollins 1000 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.33% MC
111 USA Omar Uresti 1000 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% MC
112 USA Eric Axley 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.2% MC
113 USA Will Claxton 1000 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
114 CAN Chris Wilson 1000 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
115 USA Troy Matteson 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.51% 0.45% MC
116 USA Rick Cochran 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% T45
117 AUS Robert Allenby 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.57% 0.51% MC
118 USA Mark Wilson 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.56% 0.5% MC
119 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.97% 0% T24
120 USA Heath Slocum 0% 0% 0.6% 0% T75
121 AUS Steve Allan 0% 0% 0.49% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 21.1 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...