Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 66.1

Total Profit: -34.1

3M Open

04/07/2019 - 07/07/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Brooks Koepka 8 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 11.11% 8.47% 3.55% -4.92% 65
2 AUS Jason Day 11 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.35% 2.74% -3.61% T66
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 11 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 8.33% 6.35% 2.48% -3.87% T7
4 USA Bryson DeChambeau 16 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 5.88% 4.48% 2.72% -1.77% T2
5 USA Patrick Reed 25 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.85% 2.93% 1.98% -0.95% T23
6 USA Tony Finau 30 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.46% 1.04% -1.42% T23
7 SVK Rory Sabbatini 33 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.24% 1.49% -0.75% MC
8 NOR Viktor Hovland 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.24% 0.88% -1.36% T13
9 CHI Joaquin Niemann 33 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.24% 0.76% -1.48% T23
10 USA Kevin Streelman 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.63% -0.23% T34 8.31
11 USA Kevin Na 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.86% 1.36% -0.5% WD
12 KOR Sungjae Im 40 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.86% 1.31% -0.55% T15
13 USA Keegan Bradley 40 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.86% 1.29% -0.57% T46
14 USA Phil Mickelson 50 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 3.06% 1.57% MC 6.68
15 USA Scott Piercy 50 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.49% 1.22% -0.27% T15
16 USA Ryan Moore 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.49% 0.91% -0.59% MC
17 USA Charles Howell III 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 1.22% -0.14% T23 6.08
18 CAN Adam Hadwin 55 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.36% 0.84% -0.52% 4
19 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Marathon Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 1.84% 0.9% T7 4.21
20 USA Nate Lashley 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 1.09% 0.15% MC 4.21
21 USA Daniel Berger 80 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 1.04% 0.1% T15 4.21
22 USA Jimmy Walker 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.94% 0.84% -0.1% T74 4.21
23 USA Collin Morikawa 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.79% -0.16% T2 (tied w/2) 4.21 +44.2
24 USA Brian Harman 80 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.94% 0.71% -0.23% T7 4.21
25 USA Nick Watney 90 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 1.09% 0.25% MC 3.75
26 USA Charley Hoffman 90 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.84% 0.74% -0.1% MC 3.75
27 USA Keith Mitchell 90 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.84% 0.6% -0.24% T66
28 NZL Danny Lee 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.23% 0.48% MC 3.38
29 KOR Sunghoon Kang 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1.14% 0.38% MC 3.38
30 USA Mackenzie Hughes 100 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.11% 0.36% T66 3.38
31 USA Talor Gooch 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 1% 0.25% 73 3.38
32 USA Peter Malnati 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.86% 0.11% T46 3.38
33 USA Jason Dufner 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.81% 0.05% T66 3.38
34 USA J.J Spaun 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.76% 0% T66 3.38
35 USA Luke List 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.75% 0% MC 3.38
36 USA Pat Perez 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.41% -0.34% T53
37 USA Cameron Champ 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.37% -0.39% MC
38 USA Wyndham Clark 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.69% 0.66% -0.02% T5 (tied w/2) 3.07 +21.9
39 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 125 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.77% 0.16% MC 2.71
40 USA Bud Cauley 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.74% 0.14% T34 2.71
41 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.74% 0.13% T42 2.71
42 USA Cameron Tringale 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.68% 0.08% T42 2.71
43 USA Doc Redman 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.46% -0.15% MC 2.71
44 AUT Sepp Straka 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.39% -0.22% MC 2.71
45 RSA Dylan Frittelli 140 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.54% 0.57% 0.03% T46
46 USA Michael Thompson 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.21% 0.71% 85
47 SWE Jonas Blixt 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.11% 0.61% MC
48 USA Max Homa 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.03% 0.52% T79
49 KOR Siwoo Kim 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.98% 0.48% MC
50 CAN Corey Conners 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.77% 0.27% T46
51 USA Sam Burns 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.64% 0.13% T7
52 CAN Nick Taylor 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.6% 0.09% T46
53 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.59% 0.09% MC
54 USA Denny McCarthy 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.58% 0.08% T23
55 USA Matt Every 150 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 0.52% 0.02% T79
56 USA Brendan Steele 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.51% 0% T53
57 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.43% -0.07% T34
58 USA Wes Roach 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.43% -0.04% MC
59 USA Troy Merritt 175 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.6% 0.16% T7
60 USA Peter Uihlein 175 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.51% 0.08% MC
61 USA Austin Cook 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.42% -0.02% MC
62 USA Matthew Wolff 175 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.32% -0.11% 1
63 USA Scott Stallings 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 1.2% 0.82% T74
64 USA Adam Long 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1% 0.62% MC
65 AUS Matt Jones 200 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.89% 0.51% MC
66 USA Alex Prugh 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.56% 0.18% MC
67 USA Russell Henley 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.51% 0.13% MC
68 USA Ted Potter-jr 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.47% 0.09% MC
69 USA Bill Haas 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.45% 0.08% T74
70 USA Hank Lebioda 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.44% 0.06% T34
71 USA Brice Garnett 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.43% 0.05% T23
72 MEX Roberto Diaz 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.42% 0.04% T79
73 USA Sam Ryder 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.41% 0.03% T34
74 USA Bronson Burgoon 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.35% -0.03% T34
75 GER Stephan Jaeger 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.03% T66
76 USA Adam Schenk 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.04% MC
77 USA Josh Teater 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.34% 0.56% 0.22% MC
78 USA Zack Sucher 250 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.84% 0.53% T58
79 USA Harris English 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.73% 0.42% MC
80 USA Scott Brown 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.68% 0.37% T15
81 USA Ryan Armour 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.62% 0.31% T42
82 USA Andrew Landry 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.55% 0.25% MC
83 USA Trey Mullinax 250 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.47% 0.17% MC
84 COL Sebastian Munoz 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% 72
85 USA Ryan Blaum 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% T74
86 USA Brian Gay 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.82% 0.57% T56
87 IND Anirban Lahiri 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.65% 0.4% 84
88 KOR Sangmoon Bae 300 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.59% 0.34% MC
89 USA Shawn Stefani 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.58% 0.33% T15
90 USA Roberto Castro 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.57% 0.32% T46
91 USA Robert Streb 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.48% 0.23% T34
92 CAN Roger Sloan 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.42% 0.16% T15
93 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.35% 0.09% 83
94 CAN Benjamin Silverman 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
95 AUS Cameron Davis 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% MC
96 CAN David Hearn 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.28% 0.03% T58
97 MEX Carlos Ortiz 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.59% 0.37% T5
98 USA Ollie Schniederjans 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.52% 0.31% MC
99 USA Scott Langley 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.37% 0.16% MC
100 SWE David Lingmerth 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.37% 0.15% MC
101 USA Brandon Harkins 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% 0.27% 0.06% MC
102 USA Joey Garber 350 (Betfred: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.25% 0.04% T7
103 USA Chris Stroud 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.52% 0.33% MC
104 USA Patton Kizzire 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.5% 0.31% T34
105 USA Tom Hoge 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.4% 0.21% T23
106 USA Sam Saunders 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T23
107 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.31% 0.12% WD
108 USA Dominic Bozzelli 400 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.26% 0.07% MC
109 AUS Curtis Luck 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% T58
110 USA Cody Gribble 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% MC
111 USA Johnson Wagner 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.58% 0.43% T23
112 USA Ben Crane 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.52% 0.37% MC
113 SWE Freddie Jacobson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.5% 0.35% MC
114 USA Kramer Hickok 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.48% 0.32% T42
115 USA Hunter Mahan 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.42% 0.26% MC
116 USA Robert Garrigus 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.41% 0.25% T74
117 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.36% 0.21% MC
118 CAN Adam Svensson 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% T15
119 ARG Julian Etulain 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.34% 0.19% MC
120 USA Colt Knost 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
121 RSA Tyrone van Aswegen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.32% 0.17% T53
122 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.3% 0.15% MC
123 USA Chase Wright 500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.29% 0.14% T23
124 USA Martin Piller 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
125 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.27% 0.12% T46
126 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.24% 0.09% MC
127 USA Seth Reeves 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.2% 0.05% MC
128 DEN Oliver Suhr 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.16% 0.01% T58
129 USA Charlie Danielson 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.11% -0.04% T15
130 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.44% 0.31% T58
131 ARG Fabian Gomez 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.34% 0.21% T13
132 USA Brady Schnell 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% MC
133 USA Derek Fathauer 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.13% WD
134 USA Tom Lovelady 600 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.22% 0.1% MC
135 USA Kyle Jones 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.13% 0.01% T58
136 USA J.J. Henry 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.41% 0.31% MC
137 USA Chad Collins 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.36% 0.26% MC
138 USA Chad Campbell 750 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.31% 0.21% MC
139 AUS Rod Pampling 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.27% 0.17% T56
140 USA Martin Trainer 750 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
141 USA Chris Thompson 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.26% 0.16% MC
142 KOR Meenwhee Kim 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
143 USA Smylie Kaufman 750 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
144 USA Anders Albertson 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% 82
145 USA John Chin 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.12% MC
146 IND Arjun Atwal 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.19% 0.11% T23
147 USA Mark Baldwin 1000 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.1% MC
148 USA Tim Herron 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.14% 0.07% MC
149 MEX Alvaro Ortiz Becerra 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.09% 0.02% MC
150 USA Michael Kim 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.24% 0.18% MC
151 USA Kris Blanks 1500 (Skybet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.22% MC
152 USA Will Claxton 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% MC
153 USA Paul Dwyer 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.09% 0.04% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...