Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 39.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 294.9

Total Profit: +194.8

Travelers Championship

20/06/2019 - 23/06/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Brooks Koepka 8 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.96% 4.24% -3.71% T57
2 USA Patrick Cantlay 10 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.51% 2.51% -3.99% T15
3 USA Jordan Spieth 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.21% 1.62% -2.59% MC
4 USA Justin Thomas 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.77% 2.2% -1.57% T36
5 ENG Paul Casey 18 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.77% 1.81% -1.96% T5
6 AUS Jason Day 22 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.11% 2.22% -0.9% T8
7 ITA Francesco Molinari 22 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.11% 2.17% -0.94% T57
8 USA Bryson DeChambeau 28 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.47% 1.74% -0.73% T8
9 USA Bubba Watson 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.31% 1.59% -0.72% T54
10 AUS Marc Leishman 30 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.31% 1.58% -0.73% T21
11 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 33 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.11% 2% -0.11% T36 9.12
12 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 33 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.11% 1.48% -0.62% T13
13 USA Tony Finau 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.99% 1.12% -0.86% MC
14 USA Brandt Snedeker 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.56% 1.28% -0.28% T43
15 USA Patrick Reed 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 1.21% -0.19% T30 6.08
16 ARG Emiliano Grillo 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.4% 0.95% -0.45% T60
17 USA Phil Mickelson 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 1.91% 0.73% MC 5.09
18 USA Chez Reavie 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.17% 1.42% 0.25% 1 5.09 +196
19 USA Kevin Streelman 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.17% 0.98% -0.19% T15 5.09
20 USA Ryan Moore 60 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.73% -0.45% T15
21 USA Daniel Berger 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.32% 0.25% MC 4.63
22 USA Jason Kokrak 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 1.2% 0.13% MC 4.63
23 SCO Russell Knox 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.83% -0.24% T21
24 USA Charley Hoffman 66 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.56% -0.51% MC
25 NOR Viktor Hovland 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.51% -0.56% T54
26 KOR Sungjae Im 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.85% -0.16% T21 4.37
27 KOR Byeong Hun An 75 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 0.94% 1.01% 0.07% MC 4.08
28 USA Kevin Kisner 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.19% 0.31% T15 3.83
29 USA Lucas Glover 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.02% 0.14% MC 3.83
30 CAN Adam Hadwin 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.99% 0.11% MC 3.83
31 USA Keegan Bradley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.98% 0.09% T2 (tied w/2) 3.83 +32.6
32 TPE C.T. Pan 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 0.97% 0.18% T36 3.41
33 USA Russell Henley 90 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.79% 0.55% -0.24% MC
34 KOR Sunghoon Kang 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.1% 0.39% T78 3.07
35 USA Andrew Putnam 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.01% 0.3% T57 3.07
36 CHI Joaquin Niemann 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.6% -0.11% T5 (tied w/3) 3.07 +32.2
37 USA Brian Harman 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.6% -0.11% T8 (tied w/5) 3.07 +6.5
38 USA Bud Cauley 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.57% -0.14% MC 3.07
39 NZL Danny Lee 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.56% -0.15% MC 3.07
40 MEX Abraham Ancer 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.94% 0.38% T8 (tied w/5) 2.46 +6.4
41 KOR Siwoo Kim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.92% 0.35% MC 2.46
42 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.73% 0.16% T36 2.46
43 AUS Cameron Smith 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.72% 0.15% MC 2.46
44 USA Nick Watney 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.57% 0% T30 2.46
45 USA Kevin Tway 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.38% -0.19% T5 (tied w/3) 2.46 +21.3
46 USA Matthew Wolff 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.2% -0.37% T80
47 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.85% 0.37% T43
48 USA J.B. Holmes 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.81% 0.33% MC
49 USA Troy Merritt 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.63% 0.15% T71
50 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Ladbrokes: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.47% 0.63% 0.15% T51
51 USA Austin Cook 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.59% 0.11% MC
52 COL Sebastian Munoz 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.53% 0.06% MC
53 USA Chesson Hadley 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.48% 0% MC
54 USA Collin Morikawa 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.4% -0.08% T36
55 USA Beau Hossler 150 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.36% -0.12% T78
56 USA Brian Stuard 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.85% 0.44% MC
57 AUS Matt Jones 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.75% 0.35% T71
58 USA Peter Malnati 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.64% 0.23% T30
59 SCO Martin Laird 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T21
60 RSA Dylan Frittelli 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.45% 0.04% MC
61 USA Max Homa 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.99% 0.64% MC
62 USA Vaughn Taylor 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.83% 0.47% 4
63 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.72% 0.36% MC
64 CAN Nick Taylor 200 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.65% 0.29% T71
65 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.55% 0.2% T13
66 USA Harold Varner III 200 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.53% 0.18% T21
67 USA Sam Burns 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.49% 0.14% T43
68 USA Harris English 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.46% 0.1% T71
69 USA Peter Uihlein 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.41% 0.05% MC
70 USA Cameron Tringale 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.41% 0.05% T71
71 USA Cameron Champ 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.32% -0.03% MC
72 USA Trey Mullinax 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.27% -0.09% MC
73 AUT Sepp Straka 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.24% -0.11% MC
74 SWE Jonas Blixt 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.32% 1.05% 0.73% MC
75 USA Scott Brown 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.94% 0.65% T60
76 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.74% 0.46% MC
77 USA JT Poston 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 0.7% 0.42% MC
78 USA Scott Stallings 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.59% 0.31% MC
79 IND Anirban Lahiri 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
80 USA Brendan Steele 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.5% 0.22% T21
81 USA Hank Lebioda 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.43% 0.15% T51
82 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.4% 0.11% T30
83 USA Alex Prugh 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.28% -0.01% 20
84 USA Ryan Armour 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.57% 0.33% T54
85 USA Andrew Landry 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.51% 0.28% T43
86 USA Shawn Stefani 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.51% 0.28% T71
87 USA Brian Gay 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.49% 0.25% MC
88 USA Patton Kizzire 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.42% 0.18% MC
89 USA Sam Ryder 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.35% 0.11% T51
90 USA Kramer Hickok 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.34% 0.1% T60
91 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.31% 0.08% T43
92 USA Wes Roach 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% MC
93 USA Denny McCarthy 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 0.3% 0.06% MC
94 CAN Benjamin Silverman 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.01% MC
95 USA Adam Schenk 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.24% 0.01% MC
96 IRL Seamus Power 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.24% 0% T66
97 GER Stephan Jaeger 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.35% 0.14% T30
98 IRL Padraig Harrington 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.13% MC
99 USA Ollie Schniederjans 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.34% 0.13% MC
100 KOR Sangmoon Bae 350 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% T43
101 MEX Carlos Ortiz 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.5% 0.32% MC
102 CAN Roger Sloan 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.41% 0.23% MC
103 USA Wyndham Clark 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% T15
104 USA Sam Saunders 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.37% 0.19% 70
105 USA Scott Langley 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.36% 0.18% T66
106 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.28% 0.1% MC
107 USA Tom Hoge 400 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.27% 0.1% T80
108 USA Zack Sucher 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.25% 0.07% T2
109 AUS Curtis Luck 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.24% 0.06% MC
110 USA Chip McDaniel 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.23% 0.05% T43
111 USA Brandon Harkins 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.16% -0.02% T60
112 USA Adam Long 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.61% 0.47% T21
113 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.48% 0.33% MC
114 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% MC
115 USA Chris Stroud 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% MC
116 USA Boo Weekley 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.3% MC
117 ARG Fabian Gomez 500 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.41% 0.26% MC
118 USA Ryan Blaum 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.38% 0.24% T36
119 USA Robert Streb 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T21
120 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.21% MC
121 USA Bronson Burgoon 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.35% 0.21% T60
122 USA Josh Teater 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T36
123 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
124 USA Hunter Mahan 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.3% 0.15% MC
125 USA Cody Gribble 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T21
126 AUS Cameron Davis 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.13% T43
127 MEX Roberto Diaz 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.27% 0.13% T8
128 USA Joey Garber 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
129 USA Jim Knous 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
130 GER Alex Cejka 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.23% 0.08% 82
131 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% T60
132 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.2% 0.06% MC
133 USA Chase Wright 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.17% 0.03% MC
134 DEN Oliver Suhr 500 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.1% -0.04% MC
135 USA J.J. Henry 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.39% 0.28% MC
136 USA Brady Schnell 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.27% 0.15% 68
137 ARG Julian Etulain 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.23% 0.11% MC
138 CAN Adam Svensson 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.2% 0.08% MC
139 KOR Meenwhee Kim 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.43% 0.34% MC
140 USA Chris Thompson 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% MC
141 USA Seth Reeves 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.14% 0.05% 69
142 USA Brandon Hagy 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.12% 0.03% MC
143 USA Kyle Jones 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 1.37% 1.3% MC
144 SWE Freddie Jacobson 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.47% 0.39% T30
145 AUS Rod Pampling 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.34% 0.27% MC
146 USA Martin Trainer 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.3% 0.22% MC
147 USA Jim Herman 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% T71
148 USA Anders Albertson 1000 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
149 USA Michael Kim 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.14% 0.07% MC
150 USA Ryan McCormick 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% MC
151 USA Michael Miller 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.07% 0% MC
152 USA John Chin 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.06% 0.17% 0.11% MC
153 USA Jim Renner 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.1% 0.05% MC
154 USA Dominic Bozzelli 0% 0% 0.23% 0% MC
155 USA Chad Collins 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 39.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 12.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...