Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 40.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 244.6

Total Profit: +144.5

U.S. Open

13/06/2019 - 16/06/2019

Up to date as of: 4 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Dustin Johnson 8 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.89% 3.98% -3.92% T35
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 8 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 11.11% 7.89% 2.91% -4.99% T9
3 USA Brooks Koepka 9 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 10% 7.11% 2.61% -4.49% 2
4 USA Tiger Woods 11 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 5.92% 2.62% -3.31% T21
5 USA Patrick Cantlay 16 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.18% 1.45% -2.73% T21
6 USA Jordan Spieth 22 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.09% 1.31% -1.78% T65
7 USA Rickie Fowler 25 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.73% 1.2% -1.53% T43
8 USA Xander Schauffele 28 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.45% 1.68% -0.77% T3
9 ENG Justin Rose 28 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.45% 1.59% -0.86% T3
10 ESP Jon Rahm 28 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.45% 1.44% -1.01% T3
11 USA Justin Thomas 30 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.29% 1.2% -1.09% MC
12 AUS Adam Scott 33 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.09% 2.57% 0.48% T7 (tied w/2) 8.76 +33.3
13 AUS Jason Day 35 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.97% 1.56% -0.42% T21 8.27
14 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 35 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.97% 1.16% -0.82% T21
15 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 35 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.97% 0.79% -1.18% T65
16 ITA Francesco Molinari 40 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.73% 1.29% -0.44% T16
17 USA Matt Kuchar 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 2.63% 1.08% T16 6.48
18 USA Webb Simpson 45 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 1.61% 0.06% T16 6.48
19 USA Brandt Snedeker 45 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.54% 0.89% -0.66% 77
20 ENG Paul Casey 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 1.62% 0.35% T21 5.32
21 USA Phil Mickelson 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 1.03% -0.24% T52 5.32
22 USA Bryson DeChambeau 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 0.9% -0.37% T35 5.32
23 USA Tony Finau 55 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.27% 0.8% -0.46% MC
24 IRL Shane Lowry 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 2.58% 1.52% T28 4.45
25 SWE Henrik Stenson 66 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.06% 0.9% -0.16% T9 4.45
26 ESP Sergio Garcia 70 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1% 1.27% 0.27% T52 4.2
27 AUS Marc Leishman 75 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.93% 1.36% 0.43% T35 3.92
28 USA Gary Woodland 80 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.49% 0.62% 1 3.68 +180.3
29 USA Kevin Na 90 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.78% 1.02% 0.24% MC 3.28
30 USA Jim Furyk 100 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.46% 0.75% T28 2.95
31 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.16% 0.46% T7 (tied w/2) 2.95 +31
32 GER Martin Kaymer 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 1.1% 0.4% T35 2.95
33 NIR Graeme McDowell 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.96% 0.26% T16 2.95
34 ENG Matt Wallace 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.95% 0.25% T12 2.95
35 USA Patrick Reed 100 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.7% 0.82% 0.11% T32 2.95
36 USA Kevin Kisner 110 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.89% 0.25% T49 2.69
37 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 110 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.64% 0.75% 0.11% T12 2.69
38 ENG Ian Poulter 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.31% 0.75% MC 2.37
39 USA Bubba Watson 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 1.11% 0.54% MC 2.37
40 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 125 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.56% 0.75% 0.19% T21 2.37
41 USA Scott Piercy 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.66% 1.19% T52
42 USA Lucas Glover 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.25% 0.78% MC
43 USA Billy Horschel 150 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.02% 0.55% T32
44 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.69% 0.22% T58
45 USA Keegan Bradley 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.68% 0.21% MC
46 RSA Branden Grace 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.57% 0.1% MC
47 USA Jimmy Walker 150 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.41% -0.06% MC
48 USA Jason Dufner 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 1.1% 0.7% T35
49 SVK Rory Sabbatini 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.82% 0.42% T43
50 USA Charles Howell III 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.81% 0.4% T52
51 CHN Li Haotong 175 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.75% 0.35% T52
52 ENG Danny Willett 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.67% 0.27% T12
53 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.67% 0.27% T65
54 KOR Siwoo Kim 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.62% 0.21% MC
55 USA Daniel Berger 175 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.49% 0.08% T49
56 USA Andrew Putnam 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.76% 0.4% T43
57 BEL Thomas Pieters 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.73% 0.38% MC
58 RSA Erik van Rooyen 200 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.72% 0.36% T43
59 TPE C.T. Pan 200 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.71% 0.36% MC
60 SWE Alexander Noren 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.61% 0.25% MC
61 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.59% 0.24% MC
62 USA Zach Johnson 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.58% 0.22% T58
63 USA Luke List 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.54% 0.18% MC
64 AUS Cameron Smith 200 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.51% 0.15% T72
65 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 200 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.51% 0.15% 76
66 USA Aaron Wise 200 (Betfair : 10 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.46% 0.11% T35
67 USA Keith Mitchell 225 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% 0.74% 0.43% MC
68 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 225 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.31% 0.45% 0.14% MC
69 RSA Justin Harding 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.76% 0.48% MC
70 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.63% 0.35% MC
71 USA Joel Dahmen 250 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.54% 0.26% MC
72 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 250 (Betfred: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.52% 0.23% MC
73 USA Kyle Stanley 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% T65
74 USA Scottie Scheffler 250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.28% -0.01% MC
75 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.68% 0.45% MC
76 USA Chez Reavie 300 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.6% 0.36% T3
77 AUS Matt Jones 300 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.53% 0.29% MC
78 NOR Viktor Hovland 300 (Coral: 10 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.25% 0.02% T12
79 USA J.B. Holmes 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.67% 0.47% MC
80 MEX Abraham Ancer 350 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.58% 0.37% T49
81 CAN Nick Taylor 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.46% 0.28% T43
82 NZL Ryan Fox 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.42% 0.24% MC
83 USA Harris English 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.4% 0.22% T58
84 USA Richard H. Lee 400 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.11% -0.06% MC
85 USA Brian Stuard 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.66% 0.52% T65
86 USA Chan Kim 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.48% 0.34% MC
87 ENG Luke Donald 500 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.45% 0.31% T72
88 JPN Shugo Imahira 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
89 RSA Dean Burmester 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
90 USA Chesson Hadley 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T9
91 SWE Marcus Kinhult 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.13% T32
92 ENG Sam Horsfield 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
93 IND Anirban Lahiri 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.26% 0.12% MC
94 USA Ollie Schniederjans 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
95 USA Luke Guthrie 500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.19% 0.05% MC
96 USA Roberto Castro 600 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.17% MC
97 RSA Ernie Els 750 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.5% 0.41% MC
98 USA Patton Kizzire 750 (Unibet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.49% 0.4% MC
99 ESP Adria Arnaus 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% T58
100 USA Nate Lashley 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.29% 0.19% T28
101 USA Sam Saunders 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.24% 0.14% MC
102 USA Tom Hoge 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.21% 0.11% T43
103 AUT Sepp Straka 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.18% 0.08% T28
104 USA Joseph Bramlett 750 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.07% -0.03% MC
105 AUS Marcus Fraser 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.36% 0.29% MC
106 USA Cody Gribble 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
107 USA Zac Blair 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
108 JPN Mikumu Horikawa 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.25% 0.18% MC
109 FRA Clement Sordet 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.2% 0.13% T72
110 USA Brendon Todd 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% MC
111 USA Alex Prugh 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.19% 0.12% T21
112 USA Stewart Hagestad 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% MC
113 FRA Matthieu Pavon 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
114 ENG Lee Slattery 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.13% 0.06% MC
115 CRC Luis Gagne 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% MC
116 NZL Daniel Hillier 1000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.06% -0.01% MC
117 MEX Carlos Ortiz 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.26% 0.2% T52
118 ARG Julian Etulain 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.25% 0.2% MC
119 USA Billy Hurley III 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.2% 0.14% T72
120 RSA Justin Walters 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.2% 0.14% T65
121 ITA Renato Paratore 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.17% 0.11% MC
122 USA Rob Oppenheim 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.09% 0.03% MC
123 ENG Callum Tarren 1250 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.08% 0.06% 0.06% 0.01% MC
124 USA David Toms 1500 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.28% 0.24% MC
125 USA Matt Parziale 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.23% 0.18% MC
126 JPN Kodai Ichihara 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.2% 0.15% MC
127 RSA Merrick Bremner 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.16% 0.11% MC
128 CAN Mike Weir 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.13% 0.08% MC
129 USA Chip McDaniel 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.12% 0.07% 78
130 WAL Rhys Enoch 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.11% 0.06% 71
131 RSA Jovan Rebula 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.08% 0.03% MC
132 AUS Brett Drewitt 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.07% 0.02% MC
133 USA Charlie Danielson 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.02% T58
134 NOR Andreas Halvorsen 1500 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.05% 0.01% MC
135 ENG Brian Davis 2000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.13% MC
136 USA Andy Pope 2000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.11% 0.08% T58
137 USA Connor Arendell 2000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.04% MC
138 USA Ryan Sullivan 2000 (Skybet: 10 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.05% 0.02% MC
139 USA Devon Bling 2000 (Bet365: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.05% 0.02% MC
140 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 0.7% 0% T16
141 USA Collin Morikawa 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T35
142 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
143 CHI Guillermo Pereira 0% 0% 0.05% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 40.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...