Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 43.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 71.9

Total Profit: -28.2

Valero Texas Open

04/04/2019 - 07/04/2019

Up to date as of: 5 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Rickie Fowler 10 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.34% 6.79% 0.45% T17
2 USA Matt Kuchar 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.1% 2.8% -1.3% T7
3 USA Tony Finau 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.1% 1.88% -2.22% T61
4 USA Billy Horschel 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.32% 1.37% -1.95% MC
5 USA Jordan Spieth 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.32% 1.3% -2.02% T30
6 USA Jim Furyk 28 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% 2.13% -0.27% T23
7 KOR Sungjae Im 28 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% 1.57% -0.83% T20
8 USA Jason Kokrak 28 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.4% 1.13% -1.28% T7
9 USA Lucas Glover 33 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% 1.39% -0.66% T14
10 MEX Abraham Ancer 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.05% 1.38% -0.67% T42
11 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 1.75% 0.05% MC 7.49
12 USA Ryan Moore 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.7% 0.76% -0.94% 3
13 CHN Li Haotong 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.52% 1.55% 0.03% T52 6.68
14 VEN Jhonattan Vegas 45 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.52% 0.88% -0.63% T30
15 USA Luke List 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1.27% -0.1% MC
16 USA Ryan Palmer 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 1.03% -0.34% MC
17 NED Joost Luiten 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 0.99% -0.38% T63
18 USA Charley Hoffman 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.37% 0.87% -0.5% 2
19 AUS Aaron Baddeley 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.37% 0.6% -0.77% T30
20 USA J.B. Holmes 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% 1.27% 0.02% T71 5.49
21 USA Daniel Berger 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.25% 0.82% -0.42% MC
22 KOR Sunghoon Kang 60 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.14% 1.08% -0.06% T42
23 KOR Siwoo Kim 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.04% 1.41% 0.37% T4 (tied w/2) 4.59 +40.2
24 NIR Graeme McDowell 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 1.14% 0.1% T7 4.59
25 RSA Dylan Frittelli 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 1.01% -0.03% T42
26 CHI Joaquin Niemann 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.5% -0.54% MC
27 USA Jimmy Walker 66 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.04% 0.47% -0.57% T30
28 USA Andrew Putnam 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 0.98% 1.09% 0.11% T36 4.33
29 RSA Justin Harding 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.94% 1.08% MC 3.79
30 CAN Nick Taylor 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1.19% 0.33% T52 3.79
31 USA Russell Henley 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 1% 0.14% T52 3.79
32 USA Chesson Hadley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.93% 0.06% MC 3.79
33 USA Bud Cauley 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.88% 0.02% MC 3.79
34 ENG Luke Donald 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.87% 0.01% MC 3.79
35 USA Joel Dahmen 80 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.73% -0.13% T69
36 USA JT Poston 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.73% -0.13% T67
37 USA Austin Cook 80 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.56% -0.3% MC
38 USA Denny McCarthy 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.86% 0.5% -0.36% MC
39 AUS Matt Jones 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.83% 0.14% T30 3.04
40 USA Chris Kirk 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.83% 0.14% MC 3.04
41 USA Scott Stallings 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.75% 0.06% T23 3.04
42 USA Andrew Landry 100 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.7% 0.01% MC 3.04
43 USA Ollie Schniederjans 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.69% 0.56% -0.13% T36
44 USA Brian Harman 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.63% 0.75% 0.13% MC 2.77
45 SVK Rory Sabbatini 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.9% 0.35% T36 2.44
46 USA Vaughn Taylor 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.88% 0.33% T71 2.44
47 USA Nick Watney 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.82% 0.27% MC 2.44
48 USA Brian Gay 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.75% 0.19% T77 2.44
49 GER Martin Kaymer 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.74% 0.19% T42 2.44
50 USA Kyle Stanley 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.74% 0.19% T52 2.44
51 USA Kevin Streelman 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.73% 0.18% 6 2.44 +31.7
52 USA Ryan Armour 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.72% 0.17% T57 2.44
53 USA Chris Stroud 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.71% 0.15% MC 2.44
54 USA Trey Mullinax 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.61% 0.06% 76 2.44
55 TPE C.T. Pan 125 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.58% 0.02% MC 2.44
56 USA Sam Burns 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.57% 0.02% T23 2.44
57 USA Kramer Hickok 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.51% -0.05% MC
58 USA Kevin Tway 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.49% -0.07% MC
59 USA Wyndham Clark 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.48% -0.07% T20
60 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.55% 0.47% -0.08% T36
61 SCO Martin Laird 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.45% -0.11% T36
62 USA Brendan Steele 125 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.55% 0.45% -0.11% T42
63 RSA Ernie Els 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 1.2% 0.73% T57
64 USA Mackenzie Hughes 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.79% 0.33% T42
65 USA Brian Stuard 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.75% 0.28% T4
66 USA Harold Varner III 150 (Coral: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.64% 0.18% T23
67 USA Kelly Kraft 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.62% 0.16% MC
68 SWE Jonas Blixt 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.61% 0.14% T30
69 USA Adam Schenk 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.53% 0.07% T7
70 MEX Carlos Ortiz 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.51% 0.05% MC
71 CAN Roger Sloan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.49% 0.03% MC
72 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.44% -0.02% T14
73 USA Peter Uihlein 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.4% -0.06% MC
74 AUS Curtis Luck 150 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.32% -0.14% 80
75 USA Scottie Scheffler 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.46% 0.23% -0.23% T20
76 CAN Corey Conners 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.69% 0.29% 1
77 USA Harris English 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.65% 0.26% MC
78 NZL Danny Lee 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.62% 0.23% T7
79 USA Roberto Castro 175 (Betfred: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.5% 0.11% MC
80 USA J.J Spaun 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.46% 0.07% MC
81 USA Adam Long 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.39% 0% MC
82 USA Richy Werenski 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.4% 0.39% 0% T61
83 USA Grayson Murray 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.3% -0.1% WD
84 CAN Benjamin Silverman 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.4% 0.28% -0.12% MC
85 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.89% 0.55% MC
86 IRL Padraig Harrington 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.79% 0.45% T71
87 USA D.J. Trahan 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.6% 0.25% MC
88 USA Ryan Blaum 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.58% 0.23% MC
89 USA Sam Saunders 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.53% 0.18% T42
90 ARG Julian Etulain 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.52% 0.18% WD
91 COL Sebastian Munoz 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.43% 0.09% MC
92 USA Peter Malnati 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.36% 0.02% T23
93 USA Hudson Swafford 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.35% 0.01% MC
94 USA Shawn Stefani 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.35% 0.29% -0.06% MC
95 USA Scott Brown 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.69% 0.41% T7
96 USA Sam Ryder 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.49% 0.22% T42
97 AUT Sepp Straka 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.46% 0.19% MC
98 ARG Fabian Gomez 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% T23
99 USA Scott Langley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.45% 0.17% MC
100 USA Tom Hoge 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
101 AUS Cameron Davis 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
102 MEX Roberto Diaz 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.28% 0.31% 0.04% T57
103 USA Hunter Mahan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.47% 0.24% T71
104 USA Davis Love III 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.43% 0.19% MC
105 USA Hank Lebioda 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.42% 0.18% T17
106 USA Robert Streb 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.39% 0.16% T63
107 GER Stephan Jaeger 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.33% 0.1% MC
108 USA Josh Teater 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% T57
109 USA Brandon Harkins 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.3% 0.07% MC
110 USA Chip McDaniel 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.29% 0.06% T71
111 USA Anders Albertson 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.29% 0.05% T77
112 IRL Seamus Power 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.27% 0.04% MC
113 USA Brady Schnell 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.23% 0.19% -0.04% MC
114 USA George McNeill 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.56% 0.36% MC
115 USA Cameron Tringale 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.49% 0.29% T17
116 USA Martin Trainer 350 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.46% 0.26% 66
117 USA Max Homa 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.41% 0.21% T42
118 USA Tyler Duncan 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.18% -0.02% MC
119 AUS John Senden 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.39% 0.21% MC
120 USA Seth Reeves 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.35% 0.17% MC
121 USA Jim Knous 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.3% 0.12% T63
122 CAN Adam Svensson 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.28% 0.11% T42
123 USA Brandon Hagy 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.17% 0.25% 0.07% MC
124 USA Alex Prugh 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.17% 0.21% 0.03% MC
125 KOR K.J. Choi 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.82% 0.69% T69
126 USA Morgan Hoffmann 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% T67
127 USA J.J. Henry 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
128 MEX Jose de Jesus Rodriguez 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% T23
129 USA Cody Gribble 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.25% 0.11% MC
130 USA Jim Herman 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
131 USA Chase Wright 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
132 NOR Kristoffer Ventura 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% 0% T36
133 USA Kyle Jones 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.13% 0% T52
134 USA Roland Thatcher 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
135 USA D.A. Points 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.29% 0.18% WD
136 USA Smylie Kaufman 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.12% 0.24% 0.13% MC
137 USA Kenny Perry 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.09% 0.38% 0.29% MC
138 AUS Rod Pampling 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.09% 0.27% 0.17% MC
139 USA Zack Fischer 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.17% 0.1% T14
140 FRA Paul Barjon 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.09% MC
141 KOR Byeong Hun An 0% 0% 1.01% 0% T7
142 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0.46% 0% T77

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 43.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 14.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...