Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 18.0

Total Profit: -82.1

BMW SA Open hosted by the City of Ekurhuleni

11/01/2018 - 14/01/2018

Up to date as of: 6 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Branden Grace 6 14.29% 10.92% 4.06% -6.86% 2
2 RSA Charl Schwartzel 7 12.5% 9.56% 5.14% -4.42% T15
3 RSA Dylan Frittelli 17 5.56% 4.25% 1.97% -2.28% T20
4 RSA Dean Burmester 24 4% 3.06% 1.25% -1.81% T54
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 29 3.33% 2.55% 1.87% -0.68% MC
6 RSA George Coetzee 30 3.23% 2.47% 1.69% -0.78% T54
7 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 31 3.13% 2.39% 1.39% -1% MC
8 ENG James Morrison 37 2.63% 2.01% 1.13% -0.88% MC
9 RSA Erik van Rooyen 37 2.63% 2.01% 0.58% -1.43% T20
10 RSA Shaun Norris 44 2.22% 1.7% 0.62% -1.08% T20
11 ENG Chris Wood 45 2.17% 1.66% 1.73% 0.06% MC 7.48
12 FRA Matthieu Pavon 45 2.17% 1.66% 1.19% -0.47% T34
13 RSA Haydn Porteous 46 2.13% 1.63% 1.44% -0.18% MC
14 AUS Jason Scrivener 49 2% 1.53% 0.79% -0.74% MC
15 ENG Andy Sullivan 49 2% 1.53% 0.74% -0.79% T34
16 RSA Richard Sterne 51 1.92% 1.47% 1.95% 0.48% T20 6.62
17 ENG Matt Wallace 57 1.72% 1.32% 1.36% 0.04% T38 5.94
18 RSA Brandon Stone 58 1.69% 1.3% 1.24% -0.06% MC 5.84
19 BEL Thomas Detry 59 1.67% 1.27% 1.12% -0.15% MC
20 RSA Thomas Aiken 59 1.67% 1.27% 0.71% -0.56% MC
21 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 66 1.49% 1.14% 1.24% 0.1% MC 5.14
22 WAL Jamie Donaldson 69 1.43% 1.09% 2.3% 1.21% T34 4.92
23 FIN Mikko Korhonen 69 1.43% 1.09% 0.73% -0.36% MC
24 RSA Darren Fichardt 72 1.37% 1.05% 1.14% 0.09% T7 (tied w/4) 4.72 +9.1
25 RSA Retief Goosen 72 1.37% 1.05% 0.85% -0.2% T20
26 ENG Graeme Storm 73 1.35% 1.03% 1.02% -0.02% MC 4.65
27 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 73 1.35% 1.03% 0.88% -0.15% T15
28 ENG Aaron Rai 73 1.35% 1.03% 0.77% -0.26% MC
29 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 82 1.2% 0.92% 1.69% 0.77% T63 4.15
30 SCO Marc Warren 82 1.2% 0.92% 1.58% 0.66% T54 4.15
31 ESP Nacho Elvira 85 1.16% 0.89% 1.04% 0.15% T20 4
32 ENG Lee Slattery 92 1.08% 0.82% 1.18% 0.36% MC 3.7
33 FRA Clement Sordet 92 1.08% 0.82% 0.67% -0.15% MC 3.7
34 ZIM Scott Vincent 92 1.08% 0.82% 0.49% -0.33% T4
35 POR Ricardo Gouveia 97 1.02% 0.78% 0.78% 0% MC 3.52
36 ENG Richard Bland 101 0.98% 0.75% 0.37% -0.38% T31
37 DEN Jeff Winther 103 0.96% 0.74% 0.49% -0.24% T20
38 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 105 0.94% 0.72% 0.56% -0.16% MC
39 ENG Matthew Southgate 110 0.9% 0.69% 1.11% 0.42% MC 3.1
40 SCO David Drysdale 112 0.88% 0.68% 1.13% 0.46% T47 3.05
41 FRA Gregory Bourdy 114 0.87% 0.66% 1% 0.34% T54 3
42 KOR Jinho Choi 115 0.86% 0.66% 0.47% -0.19% MC
43 RSA Justin Walters 116 0.85% 0.65% 0.73% 0.07% T38 2.95
44 ESP Jorge Campillo 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.87% 0.24% T12 2.85
45 ENG Daniel Brooks 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.7% 0.07% MC 2.85
46 ENG Oliver Fisher 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.63% 0% T38 2.85
47 ITA Renato Paratore 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.61% -0.02% T7 (tied w/4) 2.85 +8.9
48 ITA Edoardo Molinari 120 0.83% 0.63% 0.58% -0.06% MC 2.85
49 RSA Jbe Kruger 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.81% 0.22% T51 2.63
50 CAN Austin Connelly 130 0.76% 0.58% 0.77% 0.19% T69 2.63
51 RSA Oliver Bekker 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.87% 0.37% MC
52 RSA Zander Lombard 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.82% 0.31% MC
53 RSA Keith Horne 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.56% 0.06% MC
54 FRA Julien Guerrier 150 0.66% 0.51% 0.36% -0.15% MC
55 RSA Hennie Otto 160 0.62% 0.47% 0.62% 0.14% T12
56 ENG Ashley Chesters 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.93% 0.51% MC
57 RSA Ernie Els 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.81% 0.39% T31
58 FRA Gregory Havret 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.79% 0.37% MC
59 ENG Ryan Evans 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.47% 0.04% T15
60 ENG Marcus Armitage 180 0.55% 0.42% 0.43% 0.01% T67
61 ENG Chris Paisley 190 0.52% 0.4% 1.03% 0.63% 1
62 AUS Brett Rumford 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.66% 0.26% 74
63 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.38% -0.02% MC
64 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.31% -0.1% T4
65 RSA Louis de Jager 190 0.52% 0.4% 0.23% -0.17% T43
66 RSA Jean Hugo 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.4% 0.02% T47
67 RSA Jaco Ahlers 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.34% -0.04% MC
68 ESP Pedro Oriol 200 0.5% 0.38% 0.31% -0.07% T43
69 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.84% 0.48% MC
70 ITA Andrea Pavan 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.51% 0.14% MC
71 ENG Ross McGowan 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.45% 0.09% MC
72 ESP Pep Angles Ros 210 0.47% 0.36% 0.41% 0.04% MC
73 SWE Jens Dantorp 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.66% 0.31% T38
74 ENG Charlie Ford 220 0.45% 0.35% 0.22% -0.12% 11
75 RSA Jacques Blaauw 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.57% 0.24% T4
76 RSA Merrick Bremner 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.55% 0.22% MC
77 FRA Adrien Saddier 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.54% 0.21% T7
78 WAL Oliver Farr 230 0.43% 0.33% 0.44% 0.11% 75
79 SCO Doug McGuigan 250 0.4% 0.3% 0.51% 0.21% MC
80 BRA Adilson da Silva 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.59% 0.3% T20
81 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.21% -0.09% MC
82 SWE Jonathan Agren 260 0.38% 0.29% 0.19% -0.11% MC
83 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 270 0.37% 0.28% 0.5% 0.22% MC
84 KOR Soomin Lee 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.76% 0.49% T31
85 DEN Lasse Jensen 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.56% 0.29% MC
86 RSA Alex Haindl 280 0.36% 0.27% 0.31% 0.04% MC
87 RSA Ockie Strydom 290 0.34% 0.26% 1.09% 0.83% T20
88 RSA Daniel Greene 290 0.34% 0.26% 0.2% -0.06% MC
89 RSA Anthony Michael 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.82% 0.57% T20
90 SWE Pontus Widegren 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.77% 0.52% 73
91 ENG David Howell 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.7% 0.45% WD
92 RSA James Kingston 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.4% 0.15% T54
93 RSA Ulrich Van Den Berg 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T54
94 RSA Jared Harvey 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.31% 0.06% MC
95 RSA Neil Schietekat 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% 0% T15
96 KOR Rakhyun Cho 300 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% -0.01% MC
97 RSA Tjaart Van Der Walt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.78% 0.58% MC
98 RSA Garth Mulroy 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.68% 0.49% MC
99 RSA Justin Harding 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.53% 0.34% T47
100 RSA Ruan de Smidt 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.49% 0.3% T54
101 GRE Peter Karmis 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.41% 0.22% MC
102 RSA Vaughn Groenewald 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.36% 0.17% T43
103 ENG Toby Tree 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.15% MC
104 RSA Titch Moore 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% MC
105 RSA Keenan Davidse 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% T43
106 RSA MJ Viljoen 400 0.25% 0.19% 0.21% 0.01% T65
107 RSA Colin Nel 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.49% 0.33% T71
108 RSA JC Ritchie 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% 3
109 CAN Mike Weir 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.43% 0.27% MC
110 NZL Josh Geary 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
111 RSA Jake Roos 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.26% 0.11% T71
112 RSA Riekus Nortje 500 0.2% 0.15% 0.21% 0.05% MC
113 RSA Trevor Immelman 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.71% 0.59% MC
114 ZAM Madalitso Muthiya 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.58% 0.46% MC
115 RSA Chris Swanepoel 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% MC
116 RSA Andrew Curlewis 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.31% 0.18% MC
117 RSA Tyrone Ferreira 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.3% 0.17% T38
118 RSA JJ Senekal 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.26% 0.14% MC
119 RSA Breyten Meyer 600 0.17% 0.13% 0.19% 0.06% T54
120 RSA Rhys West 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.43% 0.33% T54
121 RSA Christiaan Basson 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.29% 0.19% MC
122 RSA Wallie Coetsee 750 0.13% 0.1% 0.22% 0.12% MC
123 RSA Jean-Paul Strydom 0% 0% 0.9% 0% MC
124 ZIM Mark Williams 0% 0% 0.88% 0% T20
125 SWE Marcus Kinhult 0% 0% 0.56% 0% T12
126 ENG Sam Horsfield 0% 0% 0.49% 0% MC
127 USA Chase Koepka 0% 0% 0.35% 0% T7
128 RSA James Kamte 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
129 ZIM Marc Cayeux 0% 0% 0.34% 0% MC
130 ESP Scott Fernandez 0% 0% 0.25% 0% MC
131 RSA Kyle McClatchie 0% 0% 0.23% 0% T15
132 RSA Jovan Rebula 0% 0% 0.22% 0% MC
133 SCO Bradley Neil 0% 0% 0.21% 0% T51
134 RSA Tyrone Ryan 0% 0% 0.21% 0% MC
135 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% 0.21% 0% T67
136 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
137 RSA Makgetha Mazibuko 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
138 USA Zack Byrd 0% 0% 0.19% 0% T65
139 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0.19% 0% T47
140 RSA Andre Nel 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
141 RSA Jacquin Hess 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC
142 RSA Louis Albertse 0% 0% 0.19% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...