Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.3 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 36.2

Total Profit: -63.9

Trophee Hassan II

13/04/2017 - 16/04/2017

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 NED Joost Luiten 17 5.56% 4.52% 2.68% -1.84% T13
2 RSA Dean Burmester 17 5.56% 4.52% 2.59% -1.94% T48
3 KOR Jeunghun Wang 21 4.55% 3.7% 1.84% -1.86% MC
4 RSA Brandon Stone 21 4.55% 3.7% 1.41% -2.29% MC
5 ENG Jordan L Smith 29 3.33% 2.71% 1.45% -1.27% T8
6 ENG James Morrison 31 3.13% 2.54% 1.22% -1.32% T13
7 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 38 2.56% 2.09% 2.13% 0.04% T13 8.97
8 FRA Alexander Levy 38 2.56% 2.09% 1.05% -1.04% T34
9 ITA Matteo Manassero 42 2.33% 1.89% 1.33% -0.56% T48
10 ESP Jorge Campillo 43 2.27% 1.85% 1.47% -0.38% T19
11 SCO Stephen Gallacher 43 2.27% 1.85% 1.01% -0.84% MC
12 RSA Dylan Frittelli 45 2.17% 1.77% 0.84% -0.93% T19
13 FIN Mikko Korhonen 46 2.13% 1.73% 1.63% -0.1% MC 7.44
14 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 47 2.08% 1.7% 1.28% -0.42% T34
15 SWE Alexander Bjork 48 2.04% 1.66% 1.73% 0.07% MC 7.14
16 RSA Richard Sterne 48 2.04% 1.66% 1.32% -0.34% MC
17 FRA Victor Dubuisson 48 2.04% 1.66% 1.24% -0.42% T4
18 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 49 2% 1.63% 1% -0.63% T34
19 IRL Paul Dunne 50 1.96% 1.6% 1.17% -0.42% 2
20 ENG David Horsey 51 1.92% 1.57% 1.48% -0.09% MC 6.73
21 ESP Nacho Elvira 55 1.79% 1.45% 1.73% 0.27% MC 6.25
22 ENG Chris Hanson 60 1.64% 1.33% 0.56% -0.77% T6
23 SCO Scott Jamieson 63 1.56% 1.27% 1.09% -0.19% MC
24 ESP Pep Angles Ros 63 1.56% 1.27% 0.79% -0.48% MC
25 ENG Richard Bland 65 1.52% 1.23% 0.73% -0.5% T34
26 SWE Joakim Lagergren 71 1.39% 1.13% 1.39% 0.26% T46 4.86
27 ESP Alejandro Canizares 73 1.35% 1.1% 1% -0.1% T48 4.73
28 GER Florian Fritsch 79 1.25% 1.02% 0.29% -0.73% MC
29 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 80 1.23% 1.01% 0.76% -0.25% MC
30 ESP Carlos Pigem 81 1.22% 0.99% 1.03% 0.04% T8 4.27
31 FRA Gregory Havret 82 1.2% 0.98% 0.75% -0.24% T19
32 ENG Anthony Wall 83 1.19% 0.97% 0.89% -0.08% T34 4.17
33 FIN Mikko Ilonen 83 1.19% 0.97% 0.62% -0.34% T34
34 SCO Richie Ramsay 85 1.16% 0.95% 0.88% -0.06% MC 4.07
35 FRA Gregory Bourdy 86 1.15% 0.94% 0.87% -0.06% T34 4.02
36 GER Maximilian Kieffer 87 1.14% 0.93% 0.85% -0.08% MC 3.98
37 RSA Hennie Otto 92 1.08% 0.88% 0.78% -0.09% MC 3.76
38 ENG Robert Rock 97 1.02% 0.83% 0.67% -0.16% MC
39 AUS Wade Ormsby 97 1.02% 0.83% 0.66% -0.17% T34
40 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 101 0.98% 0.8% 1.04% 0.24% T27 3.43
41 ENG Lee Slattery 104 0.95% 0.78% 0.52% -0.26% T60
42 WAL Jamie Donaldson 108 0.92% 0.75% 1.05% 0.31% MC 3.21
43 ENG Oliver Fisher 114 0.87% 0.71% 0.84% 0.13% MC 3.04
44 ENG Paul Waring 115 0.86% 0.7% 0.68% -0.02% 3 3.02 +36.2
45 RSA Jaco Ahlers 115 0.86% 0.7% 0.64% -0.07% MC 3.02
46 RSA Justin Walters 120 0.83% 0.67% 1.01% 0.33% MC 2.89
47 DEN Thomas Bjorn 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.98% 0.31% MC 2.89
48 SCO David Drysdale 120 0.83% 0.67% 0.98% 0.3% T19 2.89
49 SWE Robert Karlsson 130 0.76% 0.62% 1.36% 0.74% MC 2.67
50 ENG Chris Paisley 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.99% 0.37% T27 2.67
51 ITA Renato Paratore 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.49% -0.13% T8
52 ITA Nino Bertasio 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.41% -0.21% MC
53 AUS Richard Green 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.37% -0.25% MC
54 FRA Adrien Saddier 130 0.76% 0.62% 0.34% -0.28% T48
55 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 150 0.66% 0.54% 1.26% 0.72% MC
56 ITA Edoardo Molinari 150 0.66% 0.54% 1.21% 0.67% 1
57 ENG Eddie Pepperell 150 0.66% 0.54% 1.06% 0.52% MC
58 RSA Haydn Porteous 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.66% 0.12% T13
59 GER Marcel Siem 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.63% 0.09% MC
60 FRA Benjamin Hebert 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.63% 0.09% T19
61 DEN Lasse Jensen 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.61% 0.07% T4
62 FRA Julien Quesne 150 0.66% 0.54% 0.6% 0.07% MC
63 SWE Rikard Karlberg 160 0.62% 0.51% 1.17% 0.66% T27
64 ENG Callum Shinkwin 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.69% 0.19% MC
65 FRA Romain Wattel 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.69% 0.18% T27
66 SWE Anton Karlsson 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.41% -0.1% T48
67 DEN Jeff Winther 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.39% -0.11% T34
68 ENG Max Orrin 160 0.62% 0.51% 0.26% -0.25% T27
69 NIR Michael Hoey 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.72% 0.27% MC
70 ENG Tom Lewis 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.72% 0.27% T60
71 GER Bernd Ritthammer 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.54% 0.09% MC
72 POR Ricardo Gouveia 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.47% 0.02% T19
73 ENG David Howell 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.44% -0.01% MC
74 RSA Zander Lombard 180 0.55% 0.45% 0.34% -0.11% MC
75 WAL Stuart Manley 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.5% 0.07% MC
76 CHI Felipe Aguilar 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.49% 0.06% MC
77 USA Erik Compton 190 0.52% 0.43% 0.41% -0.02% MC
78 ENG Matthew Southgate 200 0.5% 0.41% 0.58% 0.17% 65
79 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.59% 0.21% T48
80 FRA Thomas Linard 210 0.47% 0.39% 0.38% -0.01% MC
81 ENG Mark Foster 220 0.45% 0.37% 0.45% 0.08% T48
82 SWE Jens Dantorp 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.73% 0.38% T66
83 ENG Nathan Kimsey 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.68% 0.32% MC
84 ESP Adrian Otaegui 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.57% 0.22% T56
85 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.45% 0.09% MC
86 USA Daniel Im 230 0.43% 0.35% 0.44% 0.08% T60
87 ENG Daniel Brooks 250 0.4% 0.32% 0.63% 0.3% T6
88 SWE Jens Fahrbring 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.74% 0.43% T13
89 SWE Johan Carlsson 260 0.38% 0.31% 0.61% 0.29% MC
90 FRA Sebastien Gros 270 0.37% 0.3% 0.32% 0.02% T46
91 ENG Simon Dyson 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.55% 0.26% MC
92 ENG Richard McEvoy 280 0.36% 0.29% 0.51% 0.22% MC
93 SWE Pontus Widegren 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.46% 0.18% MC
94 ENG Ben Evans 290 0.34% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% 71
95 FRA Clement Sordet 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.92% 0.65% MC
96 SWE Richard S. Johnson 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.69% 0.42% 69
97 AUS Nathan Holman 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.65% 0.38% MC
98 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.63% 0.36% T8
99 GER Sebastian Heisele 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.61% 0.34% T19
100 ENG Steven Tiley 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.53% 0.26% T56
101 SWE Pelle Edberg 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% T27
102 ENG James Heath 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.25% MC
103 SWE Johan Edfors 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.43% 0.16% T56
104 ENG Paul Maddy 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
105 FRA Gary Stal 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.4% 0.13% T34
106 ARG Ricardo Gonzalez 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% T48
107 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.39% 0.12% MC
108 ENG Matthew Nixon 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% T60
109 POR Jose-Filipe Lima 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.07% MC
110 ENG John Parry 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.33% 0.06% WD
111 NED Reinier Saxton 300 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% MC
112 USA Andrew Marshall 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% MC
113 FRA Damien Perrier 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T66
114 FRA Julien Guerrier 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.35% 0.15% T56
115 ARG Rafael Echenique 400 0.25% 0.2% 0.34% 0.14% 70
116 ENG Richard Finch 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.34% 0.18% MC
117 ENG Garrick Porteous 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.15% MC
118 ENG Jamie Rutherford 500 0.2% 0.16% 0.15% -0.01% MC
119 SWE Niclas Fasth 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
120 ENG Marcus Armitage 600 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% T66
121 CAN Mike Weir 750 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.2% MC
122 FRA Romain Langasque 0% 0% 1.08% 0% MC
123 BEL Thomas Detry 0% 0% 0.97% 0% MC
124 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 0% 0% 0.82% 0% T8
125 FRA Joel Stalter 0% 0% 0.66% 0% T19
126 KOR Y.E. Yang 0% 0% 0.56% 0% MC
127 FRA Matthieu Pavon 0% 0% 0.49% 0% T13
128 ENG Laurie Canter 0% 0% 0.36% 0% T34
129 ENG Sam Walker 0% 0% 0.35% 0% MC
130 ENG Aaron Rai 0% 0% 0.3% 0% T34
131 ENG Gary King 0% 0% 0.25% 0% MC
132 MAR Ahmed Marjane 0% 0% 0.18% 0% MC
133 NED Dylan Boshart 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC
134 MAR Yassine Touhami 0% 0% 0.16% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...