Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 347.7

Total Profit: +247.6

Saltire Energy Paul Lawrie Match Play

04/08/2016 - 07/08/2016

Up to date as of: 7 years ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Alexander Noren 10 9.09% 9.02% 4.85% -4.18% 2
2 ENG Chris Wood 13 7.14% 7.09% 5.36% -1.73% T17
3 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 16 5.88% 5.84% 8.31% 2.48% T9
4 FIN Mikko Ilonen 16 5.88% 5.84% 2.34% -3.5% T17
5 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 22 4.35% 4.32% 3.14% -1.18% T33
6 SCO Richie Ramsay 27 3.57% 3.54% 2.16% -1.38% T9
7 ENG Matthew Southgate 32 3.03% 3.01% 3.42% 0.41% T17 13.31
8 ENG Callum Shinkwin 32 3.03% 3.01% 2.95% -0.06% T33
9 ENG Richard Bland 32 3.03% 3.01% 1.89% -1.11% T17
10 SWE Johan Carlsson 32 3.03% 3.01% 1.69% -1.32% T5
11 ESP Jorge Campillo 45 2.17% 2.16% 3.26% 1.1% T33 9.55
12 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 45 2.17% 2.16% 3.07% 0.91% T33 9.55
13 ESP Alejandro Canizares 45 2.17% 2.16% 1.88% -0.28% T5
14 GER Maximilian Kieffer 45 2.17% 2.16% 1.59% -0.56% T5
15 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 45 2.17% 2.16% 1.53% -0.63% T33
16 SCO Marc Warren 45 2.17% 2.16% 1.29% -0.87% T9
17 ENG Robert Rock 57 1.72% 1.71% 2.6% 0.88% T17 7.58
18 ENG James Morrison 57 1.72% 1.71% 2.47% 0.75% 3 7.58 +47
19 SWE Magnus A Carlsson 57 1.72% 1.71% 2.28% 0.56% T17 7.58
20 FRA Benjamin Hebert 57 1.72% 1.71% 2.19% 0.48% T33 7.58
21 ENG David Horsey 57 1.72% 1.71% 1.76% 0.05% T17
22 ENG Robert Dinwiddie 57 1.72% 1.71% 1.48% -0.24% T33
23 SCO Paul Lawrie 57 1.72% 1.71% 1.3% -0.41% T17
24 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 57 1.72% 1.71% 1.24% -0.47% T33
25 ESP Eduardo De la Riva 67 1.47% 1.46% 2.79% 1.33% T17 6.46
26 THA Prom Meesawat 67 1.47% 1.46% 1.97% 0.51% T17 6.46
27 RSA Haydn Porteous 67 1.47% 1.46% 1.92% 0.46% T5 (tied w/4) 6.46 +34.9
28 SWE Kristoffer Broberg 67 1.47% 1.46% 1.45% -0.01% T33
29 FRA Gary Stal 67 1.47% 1.46% 1.39% -0.07% T33
30 SWE Pelle Edberg 67 1.47% 1.46% 0.95% -0.51% T33
31 FRA Sebastien Gros 67 1.47% 1.46% 0.95% -0.51% T33
32 NIR Michael Hoey 67 1.47% 1.46% 0.79% -0.67% T9
33 ENG Chris Paisley 92 1.08% 1.07% 2.48% 1.41% T9 4.73
34 ESP Nacho Elvira 92 1.08% 1.07% 2.08% 1.02% T9 4.73
35 ENG Anthony Wall 92 1.08% 1.07% 1.52% 0.46% 1 4.73 +265.8
36 USA David Lipsky 92 1.08% 1.07% 1.46% 0.4% T33
37 ENG Graeme Storm 92 1.08% 1.07% 1.41% 0.34% T17
38 AUS Richard Green 115 0.86% 0.86% 1.28% 0.42% T9 3.79
39 ITA Renato Paratore 115 0.86% 0.86% 1.22% 0.37% T17
40 ENG Daniel Brooks 115 0.86% 0.86% 1.09% 0.23% T9
41 SCO Craig Lee 115 0.86% 0.86% 1% 0.14% T17
42 ENG Oliver Fisher 150 0.66% 0.66% 1.41% 0.75% 4
43 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 0.66% 0.66% 1.11% 0.45% T33
44 FIN Roope Kakko 150 0.66% 0.66% 0.67% 0.02% T17
45 ENG Simon Khan 180 0.55% 0.55% 1.57% 1.03% T17
46 ENG Matt Ford 180 0.55% 0.55% 1.34% 0.79% T17
47 DEN Morten Orum Madsen 180 0.55% 0.55% 1.1% 0.55% T33
48 ENG John Parry 180 0.55% 0.55% 1.06% 0.51% T33
49 ENG Oliver Wilson 230 0.43% 0.43% 0.69% 0.26% T33
50 USA Chase Koepka 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.81% 0.48% T33
51 KOR Jin Jeong 300 0.33% 0.33% 0.44% 0.12% T33

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
...