Betting Market Analysis for Truist Championship
Key
Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).
Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.
Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.
Forecast Table
Up to date as of: 3 days ago
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| # | Player | Bookies' Odds | Implied Impl. | Normalised Norm. | Predicted Pred. | Discrepancy Discrep. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 6/1 | 5.8% | -8.4% | |
| 2 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 16/1 | 2.88% | -3.04% | |
| 3 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 20/1 | 2.71% | -2.02% | |
| 4 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 3.31% | -0.86% | |
| 5 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 2.68% | -1.49% | |
| 6 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 23/1 | 1.47% | -2.71% | |
| 7 |
| Quit Peeking | 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) | 0% | 0% ≈ 31/1 | 1% | -2.09% | |
| 8 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 25 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 2.73% ≈ 36/1 | 2.48% | -0.25% | |
| 9 |
| Corey Conners | 25 (BoyleSports: 10 @ 1/5) | 3.85% | 2.73% ≈ 36/1 | 1.57% | -1.16% | |
| 10 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | 28 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 2.45% ≈ 40/1 | 1.98% | -0.47% | |
| 11 |
| Viktor Hovland | 28 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 3.45% | 2.45% ≈ 40/1 | 1.79% | -0.65% | |
| 12 |
| Russell Henley | 33 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.94% | 2.09% ≈ 47/1 | 2.19% | 0.1% | |
| 13 |
| Shane Lowry | 35 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.78% | 1.97% ≈ 50/1 | 1.85% | -0.12% | |
| 14 |
| Sepp Straka | 40 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.73% ≈ 57/1 | 1.91% | 0.18% | |
| 15 |
| Daniel Berger | 40 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.44% | 1.73% ≈ 57/1 | 1.2% | -0.53% | |
| 16 |
| Maverick McNealy | 45 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 1.97% | 0.43% | |
| 17 |
| Sungjae Im | 45 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 2.17% | 1.54% ≈ 64/1 | 1.83% | 0.29% | |
| 18 |
| Sam Burns | 50 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.26% | -0.13% | |
| 19 |
| Jason Day | 50 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.96% | 1.39% ≈ 71/1 | 1.17% | -0.22% | |
| 20 |
| Keegan Bradley | 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.58% | 0.31% | |
| 21 |
| Minwoo Lee | 55 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.79% | 1.27% ≈ 78/1 | 1.55% | 0.28% | |
| 22 |
| Robert MacIntyre | 60 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.78% | 0.61% | |
| 23 |
| Akshay Bhatia | 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.57% | 0.4% | |
| 24 |
| Andrew Novak | 60 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.4% | 0.23% | |
| 25 |
| Davis Thompson | 60 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.64% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.17% | 0.01% | |
| 26 |
| Denny McCarthy | 60 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.64% | 1.16% ≈ 85/1 | 1.11% | -0.05% | |
| 27 |
| Justin Rose | 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.06% ≈ 93/1 | 1.7% | 0.64% | |
| 28 |
| Wyndham Clark | 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.06% ≈ 93/1 | 1.68% | 0.62% | |
| 29 |
| J.J Spaun | 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 1.49% | 1.06% ≈ 93/1 | 1.55% | 0.49% | |
| 30 |
| Aaron Rai | 66 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.06% ≈ 93/1 | 1.54% | 0.48% | |
| 31 |
| Siwoo Kim | 66 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.49% | 1.06% ≈ 93/1 | 0.97% | -0.09% | |
| 32 |
| Brian Harman | 70 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.41% | 1% ≈ 99/1 | 1.73% | 0.73% | |
| 33 |
| Byeong Hun An | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.88% ≈ 113/1 | 1.24% | 0.36% | |
| 34 |
| Taylor Pendrith | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.88% ≈ 113/1 | 1.23% | 0.35% | |
| 35 |
| JT Poston | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.88% ≈ 113/1 | 1.22% | 0.34% | |
| 36 |
| Tony Finau | 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.88% ≈ 113/1 | 1.15% | 0.27% | |
| 37 |
| Benjamin Griffin | 80 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 1.23% | 0.88% ≈ 113/1 | 1.07% | 0.19% | |
| 38 |
| Keith Mitchell | 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.23% | 0.88% ≈ 113/1 | 0.75% | -0.13% | |
| 39 |
| Michael Kim | 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 1.1% | 0.78% ≈ 127/1 | 1.16% | 0.38% | |
| 40 |
| Sahith Theegala | 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 141/1 | 1.52% | 0.82% | |
| 41 |
| Harris English | 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 141/1 | 1.23% | 0.53% | |
| 42 |
| Rasmus Hojgaard | 100 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 141/1 | 1.07% | 0.36% | |
| 43 |
| Will Zalatoris | 100 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.99% | 0.7% ≈ 141/1 | 0.7% | 0% | |
| 44 |
| Eric Cole | 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.64% ≈ 155/1 | 1.06% | 0.42% | |
| 45 |
| Matthew Fitzpatrick | 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.9% | 0.64% ≈ 155/1 | 0.76% | 0.12% | |
| 46 |
| Lucas Glover | 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.36% | 0.8% | |
| 47 |
| Tom Hoge | 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.28% | 0.72% | |
| 48 |
| Adam Scott | 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.24% | 0.67% | |
| 49 |
| Stephan Jaeger | 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.21% | 0.65% | |
| 50 |
| Samuel Stevens | 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 1.03% | 0.47% | |
| 51 |
| Ryan Gerard | 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.79% | 0.56% ≈ 176/1 | 0.84% | 0.27% | |
| 52 |
| Thomas Detry | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.53% | 1.06% | |
| 53 |
| Nick Taylor | 150 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.32% | 0.85% | |
| 54 |
| Max Greyserman | 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.24% | 0.77% | |
| 55 |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 150 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 1.02% | 0.55% | |
| 56 |
| Jacob Bridgeman | 150 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.9% | 0.43% | |
| 57 |
| Alexander Noren | 150 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.71% | 0.24% | |
| 58 |
| Michael Thorbjornsen | 150 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.66% | 0.47% ≈ 212/1 | 0.4% | -0.07% | |
| 59 |
| Max Homa | 160 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.62% | 0.44% ≈ 226/1 | 0.78% | 0.34% | |
| 60 |
| Austin Eckroat | 175 (Star Sports: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 247/1 | 1.04% | 0.63% | |
| 61 |
| Erik van Rooyen | 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 247/1 | 0.99% | 0.59% | |
| 62 |
| Rickie Fowler | 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.57% | 0.4% ≈ 247/1 | 0.51% | 0.11% | |
| 63 |
| Cameron Davis | 200 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 282/1 | 1.01% | 0.66% | |
| 64 |
| Joe Highsmith | 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 282/1 | 0.96% | 0.6% | |
| 65 |
| Cameron Young | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 282/1 | 0.9% | 0.54% | |
| 66 |
| Gary Woodland | 200 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.5% | 0.35% ≈ 282/1 | 0.62% | 0.27% | |
| 67 |
| Chris Kirk | 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 353/1 | 0.74% | 0.46% | |
| 68 |
| Garrick Higgo | 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.4% | 0.28% ≈ 353/1 | 0.51% | 0.23% | |
| 69 |
| Adam Hadwin | 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.33% | 0.24% ≈ 423/1 | 0.72% | 0.48% | |
| 70 |
| Brian Campbell | 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.28% | 0.2% ≈ 493/1 | 0.69% | 0.49% | |
| 71 |
| Matthieu Pavon | 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) | 0.2% | 0.14% ≈ 705/1 | 1.03% | 0.89% | |
| 72 |
| Nick Dunlap | 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) | 0.17% | 0.12% ≈ 846/1 | 0.91% | 0.79% | |
Bookie Analysis
Overround of best available: 29.4 %
Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.1 %
Key
Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?
True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.
| # | Bookie | Terms | Overround | True Overround |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BoyleSports | 10 @ 1/5 | 90.9% | 25.1% |
| 2 | Bet365 | 5 @ 1/4 | 43.1% | 25.2% |
| 3 | Star Sports | 5 @ 1/4 | 43.2% | 25.3% |
| 4 | Betfred | 5 @ 1/4 | 43.6% | 25.6% |
| 5 | Skybet | 6 @ 1/5 | 41.9% | 25.9% |
| 6 | Spreadex | 6 @ 1/5 | 42.7% | 26.7% |
| 7 | Sporting Index | 6 @ 1/5 | 42.7% | 26.7% |
| 8 | Ladbrokes | 8 @ 1/5 | 71.1% | 29.1% |
| 9 | Coral | 8 @ 1/5 | 71.1% | 29.1% |
| 10 | VBet | 6 @ 1/5 | 46.2% | 29.8% |
| 11 | LiveScore Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 47.7% | 31% |
| 12 | BetVictor | 5 @ 1/4 | 50.7% | 31.8% |
| 13 | 10Bet | 6 @ 1/5 | 48.4% | 31.8% |
| 14 | Unibet | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.1% | 32.3% |
| 15 | BetMGM UK | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.1% | 32.3% |
| 16 | William Hill | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.1% | 32.5% |
| 17 | 888Sport | 6 @ 1/5 | 49.1% | 32.5% |
| 18 | Betfair Sportsbook | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.6% | 37.2% |
| 19 | Paddy Power | 6 @ 1/5 | 54.6% | 37.2% |
| 20 | Betway | 6 @ 1/5 | 57.7% | 40.1% |
| 21 | QuinnBet | 1 @ 1/1 | 50.5% | 50.5% |