Betting Market Analysis for Omega European Masters

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.


Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 11/1 3.37% -5.3%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 16/1 2.14% -3.86%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 3.67% -1.53%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.67% -1.43%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.11% -2%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 26/1 2.57% -1.14%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 28/1 1.97% -1.42%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 3.88% 0.87%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.33% -0.36%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 2.1% -0.6%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 36/1 0.08% -2.61%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 43/1 0.1% -2.2%
13 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 2.07% 0.54%
14 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 64/1 1.86% 0.33%
15 FIN Sami Valimaki 55 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 1.59% 0.19%
16 ITA Francesco Laporta 55 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 0.93% -0.47%
17 Angel Ayora 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 0.81% -0.59%
18 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 55 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.39% ≈ 71/1 0.7% -0.69%
19 RSA Erik van Rooyen 60 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 2.23% 0.95%
20 USA Patrick Rodgers 60 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.28% ≈ 77/1 1.8% 0.52%
21 FRA Adrien Saddier 66 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.44% 0.28%
22 FRA Antoine Rozner 66 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.29% 0.13%
23 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 66 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.16% ≈ 85/1 1.04% -0.13%
24 ITA Matteo Manassero 70 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.32% 0.22%
25 ENG Matthew Jordan 70 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% ≈ 90/1 1.23% 0.13%
26 ENG Richard Mansell 75 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 1.12% 0.09%
27 FIN Oliver Lindell 75 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.03% ≈ 96/1 0.92% -0.11%
28 ESP Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra 80 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 1.02% 0.05%
29 ESP Jorge Campillo 90 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 1.39% 0.53%
30 GER Marcel Schneider 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 0.83% -0.02%
31 GER Marcel Siem 90 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 0.73% -0.13%
32 CHN Ding Wenyi 90 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.86% ≈ 116/1 0.47% -0.39%
33 Martin Couvra 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 1.47% 0.7%
34 FRA Romain Langasque 100 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 1.28% 0.51%
35 RSA Brandon Stone 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% ≈ 128/1 0.73% -0.04%
36 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 110 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 1.04% 0.34%
37 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 110 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.96% 0.26%
38 AUS Jason Scrivener 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.71% 0.01%
39 ENG Danny Willett 110 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.7% ≈ 141/1 0.47% -0.23%
40 ENG Todd Clements 125 (BetVictor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.83% 0.21%
41 DEN Jacob Skov Olesen 125 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% ≈ 160/1 0.58% -0.04%
42 USA John Catlin 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.93% 0.41%
43 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 150 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.92% 0.41%
44 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.89% 0.38%
45 ITA Guido Migliozzi 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.85% 0.34%
46 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.68% 0.16%
47 SCO Martin Laird 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.62% 0.11%
48 ENG Ben Schmidt 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.55% 0.03%
49 SWE Alexander Bjork 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% ≈ 192/1 0.32% -0.2%
50 ENG Marcus Armitage 175 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.82% 0.38%
51 FRA Ugo Coussaud 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.77% 0.33%
52 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.55% 0.11%
53 ENG Eddie Pepperell 175 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.33% -0.11%
54 ENG Nathan Kimsey 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.32% -0.12%
55 ESP Miguel A Jimenez 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.44% ≈ 225/1 0.06% -0.38%
56 ITA Andrea Pavan 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.58% 0.19%
57 SCO Scott Jamieson 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.52% 0.13%
58 MAS Gavin Green 200 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.48% 0.1%
59 USA Davis Bryant 200 (PricedUp: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% ≈ 257/1 0.4% 0.01%
60 CAN Aaron Cockerill 225 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 289/1 0.56% 0.22%
61 FRA Tom Vaillant 225 (Star Sports: 6 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.35% ≈ 289/1 0.43% 0.08%
62 SWE Joakim Lagergren 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.81% 0.5%
63 ENG Robin Williams 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.74% 0.43%
64 ESP Manuel Elvira 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.72% 0.41%
65 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.71% 0.4%
66 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.67% 0.35%
67 JPN Yuto Katsuragawa 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.64% 0.32%
68 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.54% 0.23%
69 RSA Casey Jarvis 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.5% 0.19%
70 ITA Gregorio De Leo 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.41% 0.1%
71 GER Maximilian Kieffer 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.37% 0.06%
72 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.37% 0.05%
73 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% ≈ 321/1 0.31% 0%
74 RSA Dylan Frittelli 275 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.36% 0.28% ≈ 353/1 0.51% 0.23%
75 FRA David Ravetto 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 385/1 0.74% 0.48%
76 ESP Adrian Otaegui 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 385/1 0.57% 0.31%
77 ENG Jack Senior 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 385/1 0.53% 0.27%
78 AUT Bernd Wiesberger 300 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 385/1 0.52% 0.26%
79 USA Troy Merritt 300 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 385/1 0.49% 0.23%
80 NOR Andreas Halvorsen 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 385/1 0.43% 0.17%
81 SWE Mikael Lindberg 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% ≈ 385/1 0.38% 0.12%
82 ESP Nacho Elvira 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.75% 0.53%
83 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 350 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.56% 0.34%
84 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.4% 0.18%
85 SWE Niklas Lemke 350 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.34% 0.12%
86 RSA MJ Daffue 350 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.2% -0.03%
87 RSA Richard Sterne 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.17% -0.06%
88 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 350 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.22% ≈ 449/1 0.12% -0.1%
89 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 400 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% ≈ 513/1 0.41% 0.22%
90 ENG Matthew Southgate 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.4% 0.23%
91 AUT Lukas Nemecz 450 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.22% 0.17% ≈ 577/1 0.35% 0.18%
92 NED Darius Van Driel 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.74% 0.59%
93 USA Ryggs Johnston 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.46% 0.31%
94 ENG Andrew Wilson 500 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.38% 0.23%
95 ENG Callum Tarren 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.36% 0.21%
96 SUI Joel Girrbach 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.35% 0.19%
97 RSA Zander Lombard 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.29% 0.14%
98 NED Wil Besseling 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% ≈ 641/1 0.13% -0.02%
99 KOR Minkyu Kim 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.7% 0.57%
100 DEN Hamish Brown 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.54% 0.41%
101 IND Shubhankar Sharma 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.41% 0.28%
102 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.4% 0.27%
103 FRA Benjamin Hebert 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.35% 0.22%
104 IND Veer Ahlawat 600 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.35% 0.22%
105 RSA Thomas Aiken 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.31% 0.18%
106 GER Jannik De Bruyn 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.28% 0.15%
107 NED Daan Huizing 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.23% 0.1%
108 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 600 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% ≈ 769/1 0.11% -0.02%
109 USA Brandon Wu 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.4% 0.3%
110 USA Jordan Gumberg 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.36% 0.26%
111 FRA Alexander Levy 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.33% 0.23%
112 ENG Dale Whitnell 750 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.29% 0.18%
113 ESP Albert Boneta 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.2% 0.1%
114 SUI Benjamin Rusch 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.14% 0.03%
115 USA Harrison Endycott 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.1% 0%
116 FRA Julien Brun 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0.1% -0.01%
117 NOR Michael Alexander Mjaaseth(Am) 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% ≈ 961/1 0% -0.1%
118 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.41% 0.34%
119 RSA Deon Germishuys 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.41% 0.33%
120 ESP Joel Moscatel Nachshon 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.39% 0.31%
121 ENG Matthew Baldwin 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.39% 0.31%
122 AUT Matthias Schwab 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.18% 0.1%
123 SUI Ronan Kleu 1000 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.18% 0.1%
124 KOR Sunghoon Kang 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0.1% 0.03%
125 UKR Lev Grinberg 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% ≈ 1282/1 0% -0.08%
126 SWE Bjorn Akesson 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1922/1 0.27% 0.22%
127 AUS Daniel Gale 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1922/1 0.16% 0.11%
128 SUI Cedric Gugler 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1922/1 0.16% 0.11%
129 RSA Justin Harding 1500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1922/1 0.14% 0.09%
130 USA Corey Shaun 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% ≈ 1922/1 0.1% 0.04%
131 SWE Christofer Blomstrand 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2563/1 0.26% 0.22%
132 RSA Louis Albertse 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2563/1 0.19% 0.16%
133 ESP Santiago Tarrio 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2563/1 0.11% 0.07%
134 CHN Zihao Jin 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.22% 0.19%
135 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.21% 0.18%
136 SVK Tadeas Tetak 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.18% 0.15%
137 ENG Sam Hutsby 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.14% 0.11%
138 Alexander George Frances 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.14% 0.1%
139 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.12% 0.09%
140 FRA Jean Bekirian 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.11% 0.08%
141 GER Alexander Knappe 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0.09% 0.06%
142 Bastien Amat 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% ≈ 3204/1 0% -0.03%
143 FRA Pierre Pineau 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3844/1 0.23% 0.21%
144 ENG Frank Kennedy 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3844/1 0.17% 0.14%
145 RSA Ockie Strydom 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3844/1 0.14% 0.11%
146 SUI Max Schliesing 3000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.03% 0.03% ≈ 3844/1 0% -0.03%
147 USA Erik Barnes 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6407/1 0.17% 0.15%
148 USA Martin Trainer 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6407/1 0.12% 0.11%
149 RSA Neil Schietekat 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% ≈ 6407/1 0.12% 0.1%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 27.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.1 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 PricedUp 6 @ 1/5 38.2% 24.3%
2 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 42.3% 25.7%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 42.8% 26.2%
4 BresBet 6 @ 1/5 40.8% 26.7%
5 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 43.5% 26.7%
6 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 42.6% 28.3%
7 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 43% 28.7%
8 Paddy Power 6 @ 1/5 43% 28.7%
9 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 45.9% 31.3%
10 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 59.2% 31.5%
11 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.2% 31.5%
12 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 31.7%
13 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 46.4% 31.7%
14 VBet 6 @ 1/5 47.5% 32.7%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.3% 34.4%
16 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 34.9%
17 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 35.8%
18 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 80.4% 37.9%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.8%
20 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.8%
21 Virgin Bet 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.8%
22 Betway 6 @ 1/5 59.3% 43.4%