Betting Market Analysis for Volvo China Open

Key

Odds: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

Implied: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

Normalised: The golfer's actual implied probability. (They sum to 100%).

Discrepancy: THE MONEY MAKER Predicted - Implied. This shows the value in the bet, the higher the better.

Value: The value of the odds and terms on offer. More info.

Forecast Table

Up to date as of: yesterday | OddsChecker

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep.
1 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 18/1 1.74% -3.42%
2 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 21/1 2.39% -2.23%
3 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 23/1 2.61% -1.57%
4 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 25/1 0.26% -3.56%
5 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 2.28% -0.97%
6 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 30/1 1.5% -1.75%
7 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 32/1 2.11% -0.91%
8 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 0.85% -1.59%
9 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 40/1 0.81% -1.63%
10 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 1.77% -0.38%
11 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 46/1 0.81% -1.33%
12 USA Quit Peeking 100/1 (Bet365: 7 @ 1/5) 0% 0% ≈ 51/1 1.79% -0.12%
13 FRA Frederic LaCroix 45 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.91% ≈ 51/1 1.15% -0.76%
14 NED Joost Luiten 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.79% ≈ 55/1 1.29% -0.5%
15 RSA Zander Lombard 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.63% ≈ 61/1 1.58% -0.04%
16 SWE Jesper Svensson 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.63% ≈ 61/1 1.21% -0.42%
17 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.63% ≈ 61/1 1.05% -0.58%
18 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.44% ≈ 68/1 1.38% -0.06%
19 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.8% 0.49%
20 ENG Dan Bradbury 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1.33% 0.02%
21 ITA Matteo Manassero 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 1% -0.31%
22 ESP Manuel Elvira 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 0.85% -0.47%
23 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.31% ≈ 75/1 0.8% -0.51%
24 ENG Andy Sullivan 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.24% ≈ 80/1 1.47% 0.24%
25 ESP Nacho Elvira 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% ≈ 91/1 1.82% 0.73%
26 SUI Joel Girrbach 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% ≈ 91/1 0.93% -0.16%
27 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.08% ≈ 91/1 0.84% -0.24%
28 USA Johannes Veerman 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.06% ≈ 94/1 1.91% 0.85%
29 ENG Matthew Jordan 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.06% ≈ 94/1 1.4% 0.34%
30 FRA Julien Guerrier 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.06% ≈ 94/1 0.92% -0.13%
31 NZL Daniel Hillier 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.06% ≈ 94/1 0.84% -0.22%
32 DEN Jeff Winther 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1% ≈ 99/1 2.19% 1.19%
33 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 1% ≈ 99/1 0.68% -0.32%
34 ENG Marcus Armitage 90 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.96% ≈ 103/1 0.98% 0.02%
35 ENG Paul Waring 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.88% -0.06%
36 MAS Gavin Green 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.94% ≈ 105/1 0.8% -0.14%
37 SCO Scott Jamieson 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.9% ≈ 111/1 1.35% 0.45%
38 IND Shubhankar Sharma 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.9% ≈ 111/1 1.04% 0.14%
39 RSA Brandon Stone 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.9% ≈ 111/1 0.73% -0.17%
40 ITA Guido Migliozzi 97 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 17.1/1) 1.02% 0.9% ≈ 111/1 0.69% -0.2%
41 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.56% 0.69%
42 FRA Ugo Coussaud 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.53% 0.66%
43 SCO Grant Forrest 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.52% 0.65%
44 NED Darius Van Driel 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.26% 0.39%
45 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 1.07% 0.2%
46 RSA Casey Jarvis 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.99% 0.12%
47 AUT Matthias Schwab 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.84% -0.03%
48 FRA Tom Vaillant 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.78% -0.09%
49 AUS Jason Scrivener 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.87% ≈ 114/1 0.67% -0.2%
50 RSA Louis de Jager 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.81% ≈ 122/1 1.03% 0.22%
51 SCO Calum Hill 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.81% ≈ 122/1 0.98% 0.16%
52 CAN Aaron Cockerill 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% ≈ 133/1 1.2% 0.46%
53 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 117 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.5/1) 0.85% 0.74% ≈ 133/1 0.71% -0.03%
54 FRA Julien Brun 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 1.09% 0.4%
55 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.63% -0.07%
56 ENG James Morrison 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.7% ≈ 143/1 0.61% -0.09%
57 CHN Wu Ashun 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.69% ≈ 144/1 0.52% -0.17%
58 ITA Francesco Laporta 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% ≈ 171/1 1.08% 0.5%
59 RSA Dylan Frittelli 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% ≈ 171/1 0.73% 0.15%
60 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.58% ≈ 171/1 0.47% -0.11%
61 FRA Adrien Saddier 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.5% ≈ 199/1 0.76% 0.26%
62 ENG Marco Penge 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.45% ≈ 222/1 0.73% 0.29%
63 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.95% 0.51%
64 AUT Lukas Nemecz 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.91% 0.47%
65 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.86% 0.42%
66 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.61% 0.18%
67 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.51% 0.07%
68 ENG Ross Fisher 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.44% 0.01%
69 ESP Santiago Tarrio 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.26% -0.18%
70 ENG Andrew Johnston 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.44% ≈ 228/1 0.25% -0.18%
71 THA Sarit Suwannarut 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.41% ≈ 245/1 0.26% -0.15%
72 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.39% ≈ 255/1 0.65% 0.26%
73 ITA Renato Paratore 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.37% ≈ 267/1 0.51% 0.14%
74 ESP Adria Arnaus 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.36% ≈ 278/1 0.82% 0.46%
75 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.95% 0.6%
76 ITA Andrea Pavan 250 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% ≈ 285/1 0.65% 0.3%
77 HKG Taichi Kho 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.32% ≈ 311/1 0.27% -0.05%
78 SCO David Law 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.46% 0.16%
79 SWE Marcus Kinhult 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.3% ≈ 334/1 0.4% 0.11%
80 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% ≈ 342/1 0.82% 0.53%
81 POR Ricardo Gouveia 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% ≈ 342/1 0.5% 0.21%
82 ENG Will Enefer 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% ≈ 399/1 0.75% 0.5%
83 Matthis Besard 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.25% ≈ 401/1 0.83% 0.58%
84 SWE Jens Dantorp 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% ≈ 434/1 0.95% 0.72%
85 ITA Filippo Celli 381 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 52.7/1) 0.26% 0.23% ≈ 434/1 0.68% 0.45%
86 GER Hurly Long 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% ≈ 445/1 0.96% 0.74%
87 DEN Sebastian Friedrichsen 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.22% ≈ 456/1 0.55% 0.33%
88 CHN Chen Guxin 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.21% ≈ 468/1 0.45% 0.24%
89 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.19% ≈ 524/1 0.48% 0.29%
90 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.18% ≈ 570/1 0.36% 0.18%
91 KOR Jeunghun Wang 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.18% ≈ 570/1 0.26% 0.08%
92 USA Chase Hanna 665 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.2/1) 0.15% 0.13% ≈ 758/1 0.66% 0.53%
93 RSA Ockie Strydom 750 (10bet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.58% 0.46%
94 CHN Zhou Ziqin 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.26% 0.14%
95 SCO Stephen Gallacher 750 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% ≈ 854/1 0.23% 0.11%
96 CHN Huang Wen-yi 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1139/1 0.26% 0.17%
97 CHN Jin Daxing 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1139/1 0.26% 0.17%
98 CHN Ye Jianfeng 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1139/1 0.26% 0.17%
99 CHN She Zihan 1000 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1139/1 0.26% 0.17%
100 CHN Li Linqiang 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1139/1 0.26% 0.17%
101 CHN Cao Tommy Senshou 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% ≈ 1139/1 0.26% 0.17%
102 CHN Jin Cheng 1250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% ≈ 1424/1 0.26% 0.19%
103 CHN Ma Chengyao 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1709/1 0.26% 0.2%
104 PHI Lloyd Jefferson Go 1510 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% ≈ 1720/1 0.26% 0.2%
105 SWE Jonas Blixt 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.37% 0.33%
106 USA Gunner Wiebe 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.22%
107 NZL Kieran Muir 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
108 CHN Zhang Huilin 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
109 HKG Shun Yat Hak 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
110 CHN Luo Xuewen 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
111 TPE K.P. Lin 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
112 CHN Liu Enhua 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
113 CHN Xue Han 2000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
114 CHN Fan Shiyu 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
115 CZE Gordan Brixi 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% ≈ 2278/1 0.26% 0.21%
116 USA Nicolas Paez 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
117 IND Om Prakash Chouhan 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
118 CHN Xiao Bowen 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
119 CHN Wu Tuxuan 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
120 CHN Zhang Jin 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
121 CHN Wu Hongfu 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
122 CHN Chen Yilong 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
123 KOR Woojin Jung 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
124 CHN Zhang LianWei 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
125 CHN Ye Wo-cheng 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
126 CHN Yang Yinong 2500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%
127 CHN Wu Di 2500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.04% ≈ 2847/1 0.26% 0.22%

Bookie Analysis

Overround of best available: 6.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 11.4% 14.2%
2 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 59.2% 21.4%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 39.9% 23.4%
4 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 40.3% 23.8%
5 Betway 7 @ 1/5 53.5% 26.6%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 43.6% 26.7%
7 BetVictor 5 @ 1/4 43.8% 26.9%
8 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 54% 27%
9 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 57.7% 30%
10 Coral 7 @ 1/5 57.7% 30%
11 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 45.6% 30.9%
12 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 60.2% 32.2%
13 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 60.2% 32.2%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 47.2% 32.3%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 49.6% 34.5%
16 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.7% 34.6%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 38.4%
18 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 53.9% 38.4%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.5%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.5%
21 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.5%