Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 30.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.2

Total Won: 0.0

Total Profit: -100.2

Andalucia Masters

19/10/2023 - 22/10/2023

Up to date as of: 6 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Wyndham Clark 10 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.87% 2.07% -4.8% T56
2 NZL Ryan Fox 11 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 8.33% 6.3% 1.24% -5.06% T52
3 POL Adrian Meronk 20 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.6% 0.71% -2.89% 1
4 ENG Jordan L Smith 22 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.29% 0.82% -2.47% T34
5 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 25 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.91% 0.4% -2.5% T26
6 SWE Alexander Bjork 28 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.61% 0.84% -1.77% MC
7 NED Joost Luiten 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.61% 0.82% -1.79% MC
8 FRA Romain Langasque 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.22% 0.71% -1.52% MC
9 SCO Robert MacIntyre 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.22% 0.6% -1.62% T26
10 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 33 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.22% 0.47% -1.75% T9
11 ENG Nathan Kimsey 40 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 1.53% -0.32% MC 8.06
12 ESP Adrian Otaegui 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.84% 0.47% -1.38% T9
13 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 45 (10bet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.64% 1.85% 0.21% T39 7.19
14 ENG Matthew Southgate 45 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.64% 0.32% -1.32% T46
15 USA Matt Kuchar 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 0.6% -0.88% T19
16 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.48% 0.38% -1.1% T26
17 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.48% 0.38% -1.11% T13
18 FRA Matthieu Pavon 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.35% 0.87% -0.48% T9 5.91
19 FRA Victor Perez 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.35% 0.38% -0.97% T9
20 SCO Calum Hill 55 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.35% 0.29% -1.06% MC
21 FRA Julien Brun 60 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.24% 0.52% -0.72% MC
22 FRA Julien Guerrier 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 1.16% 0.03% MC 4.94
23 SCO Connor Syme 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.36% -0.77% T26
24 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.36% -0.77% MC
25 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.31% -0.82% T7
26 RSA Thriston Lawrence 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.3% -0.83% T34
27 NZL Daniel Hillier 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.13% 0.28% -0.85% T19
28 FIN Sami Valimaki 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.23% -0.9% MC
29 ENG Richard Mansell 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.13% 0.16% -0.97% 3
30 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 1.55% 0.48% 4.66
31 ESP Jorge Campillo 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.38% -0.69% T19
32 ENG Daniel A Brown 70 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.07% 0.32% -0.75% T39
33 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 0.3% -0.76% MC
34 SCO Grant Forrest 70 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.07% 0.28% -0.79% MC
35 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 75 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 0.99% 0.27% -0.72% MC
36 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 1.01% 0.08% T19 4.08
37 SCO Richie Ramsay 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.42% -0.51% T19 4.08
38 NIR Tom McKibbin 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.27% -0.66% T34 4.08
39 SCO David Law 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.26% -0.68% T46
40 MAS Gavin Green 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.93% 0.2% -0.73% T56
41 ENG Callum Shinkwin 90 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.83% 0.24% -0.59% T63 3.64
42 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 1.75% 1% MC 3.28
43 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.32% -0.43% MC 3.28
44 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.31% -0.44% T26 3.28
45 ENG Eddie Pepperell 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.25% -0.5% T43 3.28
46 RSA Zander Lombard 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.23% -0.52% T46 3.28
47 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.22% -0.53% T26 3.28
48 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.19% -0.56% MC 3.28
49 ENG Dan Bradbury 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.75% 0.17% -0.58% T13 3.28
50 GER Nick Bachem 100 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.75% 0.17% -0.58% T13 3.28
51 ITA Francesco Molinari 110 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 0.17% -0.52% T63 2.98
52 AUS Jason Scrivener 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 2.03% 1.43% T59 2.63
53 GER Marcel Schneider 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.32% 0.72% MC 2.63
54 ITA Edoardo Molinari 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 1.3% 0.7% MC 2.63
55 SWE Marcus Kinhult 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.19% 0.59% MC 2.63
56 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 1.08% 0.48% MC 2.63
57 ENG Matthew Jordan 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.38% -0.22% T13 2.63
58 IND Shubhankar Sharma 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.29% -0.31% MC 2.63
59 FIN Kalle Samooja 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.19% -0.41% MC 2.63
60 USA Johannes Veerman 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.67% 1.17% MC
61 RSA Louis de Jager 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 1.62% 1.11% T4
62 SCO Scott Jamieson 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.58% 1.08% MC
63 ENG Marcus Armitage 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 1.34% 0.84% T13
64 USA Sean Crocker 150 (10bet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.93% 0.43% T43
65 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.32% -0.18% 6
66 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.2% -0.3% T59
67 ENG Matthew Baldwin 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.47% 0.25% -0.22% T52
68 ENG Ross Fisher 175 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.16% -0.27% T52
69 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 2.46% 2.08% MC
70 NED Wil Besseling 200 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 2.33% 1.96% T26
71 ENG Andy Sullivan 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 1.56% 1.19% MC
72 CAN Aaron Cockerill 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.38% 1.28% 0.9% MC
73 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.24% -0.14% T34
74 ESP Adria Arnaus 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.15% -0.22% T19
75 RSA Oliver Bekker 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.38% 0.13% -0.25% MC
76 NED Daan Huizing 225 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.44% 0.33% 2.41% 2.08% T39
77 ENG James Morrison 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 2.95% 2.64% T46
78 AUT Lukas Nemecz 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 2.43% 2.12% MC
79 SWE Jens Dantorp 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 1.15% 0.85% T56
80 JPN Kazuki Higa 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.22% -0.08% T52
81 GER Hurly Long 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% -0.1% MC
82 WAL Jamie Donaldson 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.18% -0.12% MC
83 ENG Todd Clements 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.16% -0.14% MC
84 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.12% -0.18% T46
85 ESP Santiago Tarrio 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.08% -0.23%
86 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 2.43% 2.18% MC
87 SWE Simon Forsstrom 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 1.39% 1.14% MC
88 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 1.3% 1.05% MC
89 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.25% -0.01% MC
90 RSA Bryce Easton 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.23% -0.02% MC
91 ENG John Parry 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.22% -0.03%
92 SWE Mikael Lindberg 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 2.41% 2.2% T59
93 USA John Catlin 350 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 2.37% 2.15% T39
94 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 1.4% 1.18% T13
95 SCO Marc Warren 350 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.22% 0.12% -0.09% T43
96 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 2.56% 2.37% T59
97 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 2.47% 2.28% T26
98 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 2.37% 2.18% MC
99 RSA JC Ritchie 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 1.31% 1.12% MC
100 ENG Dale Whitnell 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 1% 0.81% MC
101 ENG Oliver Wilson 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.24% 0.05% MC
102 RSA Deon Germishuys 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.15% -0.04% T66
103 ARG Daniel Vancsik 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.08% -0.11%
104 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 500 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 2.43% 2.28% MC
105 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 2.32% 2.17% T7
106 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.22% 0.07% MC
107 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.15% -0.01% MC
108 ESP Pep Angles Ros 600 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.08% -0.05% MC
109 FRA Clement Sordet 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 1.45% 1.35% T19
110 RSA Justin Walters 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.41% 0.31% MC
111 USA Chase Hanna 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 2.52% 2.45% T4
112 KOR Jeunghun Wang 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.09% MC
113 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 1.89% 1.86% MC
114 ENG Daniel Gavins 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% 65
115 ESP Alejandro Canizares 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04%
116 RSA Ockie Strydom 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04% MC
117 ESP Alvaro Quiros 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.08% 0.04% MC
118 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 2.58% 2.55% T34
119 THA Jazz Janewattananond 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.15% MC
120 DEN Thomas Bjorn 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% T46
121 IND Manu Gandas 5000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.12% 0.1% MC
122 ESP Carlos Pigem 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.07% 0.06% MC
123 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
124 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
125 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T66
126 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% 2
127 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
128 Jaime Montojo 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 30.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 11.3 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 41% 24.2%
2 Betway 7 @ 1/5 51.2% 24.4%
3 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.5%
4 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 46.6% 29.1%
5 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 45.3% 30.2%
6 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 59.4% 31.2%
7 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 34.4%
8 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 77.5% 34.9%
9 Coral 8 @ 1/5 77.5% 34.9%
10 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 50.8% 35.2%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 35.6%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 35.7%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 65.6% 36.2%
14 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 65.6% 36.2%
15 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.7% 38.9%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.9% 40.6%
17 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 58.4% 42%
18 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 58.4% 42%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 60.1% 43.5%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 60.1% 43.5%
21 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 60.1% 43.5%