Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 5.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.8 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 80.2

Total Profit: -20

The RSM Classic

16/11/2023 - 19/11/2023

Up to date as of: 5 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SWE Ludvig Aberg 14 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.67% 2.16% -3.5% 1
2 USA Russell Henley 16 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5% 2% -3% T13
3 USA Brian Harman 18 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.47% 3.89% -0.58% T44
4 USA Cameron Young 18 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.47% 1.07% -3.4% T38
5 CAN Corey Conners 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.27% 1.25% -2.02% T44
6 USA Eric Cole 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.5% 2.73% 0.23% T3 (tied w/2) 10.58 +40.2
7 USA JT Poston 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.5% 2.16% -0.34% T44 10.58
8 KOR Siwoo Kim 33 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.5% 0.87% -1.63% T71
9 USA Denny McCarthy 35 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.36% 2.53% 0.17% T5 (tied w/3) 9.99 +40
10 SWE Alexander Noren 35 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.36% 1.58% -0.78% T23
11 USA Brendon Todd 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.07% 1.3% -0.78% T28
12 USA J.J Spaun 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.07% 1.27% -0.8% T13
13 GER Stephan Jaeger 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 1.37% -0.48% T28
14 USA Billy Horschel 45 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 1.33% -0.52% MC
15 CAN Adam Svensson 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.73% 1.12% -0.61% T5
16 CAN Taylor Pendrith 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 1.11% -0.56% MC
17 USA Alex Smalley 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 0.95% -0.71% T44
18 USA Akshay Bhatia 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 0.83% -0.83% T38
19 USA Chris Kirk 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 0.74% -0.93% T28
20 USA Matt Kuchar 53 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.1/1) 1.85% 1.57% 1.48% -0.1% T53 6.66
21 USA Harris English 55 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.52% 0.98% -0.54% T28
22 USA Adam Schenk 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 1.91% 0.64% T19 5.37
23 COL Camilo Villegas 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 1.88% 0.61% T58 5.37
24 USA Davis Thompson 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 0.92% -0.34% T53
25 USA Benjamin Griffin 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 0.82% -0.45% T8
26 USA Luke List 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.23% 1.08% -0.15% T19 5.22
27 USA Mark Hubbard 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 1.21% 0.01% MC 5.07
28 USA Mackenzie Hughes 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 0.77% -0.43% 2
29 USA Doug Ghim 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 1.13% 0.08% MC 4.44
30 SWE Nicholas Lindheim 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.59% -0.46% T28
31 USA Keith Mitchell 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.02% 1.14% 0.11% MC 4.34
32 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.93% 0.66% -0.28% T58 3.96
33 BEL Thomas Detry 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.91% 0.98% 0.07% T28 3.87
34 USA Sam Ryder 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.84% 0.78% -0.06% T13 3.57
35 USA Taylor Montgomery 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.56% -0.28% T8 3.57
36 USA William Gordon 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.77% 0.58% -0.19% T36 3.24
37 USA Chad Ramey 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.89% 0.22% 2.86
38 USA Dylan Wu 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.81% 0.14% MC 2.86
39 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.66% -0.01% T28 2.86
40 USA Ryan Palmer 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.59% -0.09% MC 2.86
41 USA Ben Kohles 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.15% -0.52% T5
42 USA Chesson Hadley 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.67% 1.39% 0.72% T38 2.84
43 USA Webb Simpson 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.73% 0.15% MC
44 USA Cameron Champ 146 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.9/1) 0.68% 0.58% 0.51% -0.06% T58
45 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 1.12% 0.56% MC
46 USA Adam Long 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.78% 0.22% MC
47 USA Robby Shelton 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.67% 0.1% MC
48 USA Brandon Wu 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.45% -0.11% T58
49 USA Scott Stallings 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.23% -0.33% MC
50 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.55% 0.5% -0.05% T68
51 USA Austin Eckroat 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.54% 0.82% 0.28% T8
52 USA Vincent Whaley 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.54% 0.68% 0.13% T13
53 USA Ben Martin 160 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.62% 0.53% 0.32% -0.21% MC
54 USA Nick Hardy 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.67% 0.16% T23
55 USA Ryan Moore 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.48% 0.72% 0.24% T8
56 ENG Callum Tarren 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.48% 0.67% 0.19% MC
57 USA Patton Kizzire 175 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% 0.51% 0.03% T44
58 USA Troy Merritt 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% 0.45% -0.03% MC
59 USA Hayden Buckley 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.48% 0.37% -0.11% MC
60 USA Greyson Sigg 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.78% 0.36% T8
61 USA Carson Young 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.72% 0.29% T71
62 USA Justin Lower 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.7% 0.28% MC
63 USA Austin Smotherman 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.63% 0.21% T53
64 USA Austin Cook 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.51% 0.09% MC
65 USA Samuel Stevens 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.47% 0.05% MC
66 USA Kramer Hickok 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.45% 0.03% T73
67 USA Robert Streb 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.4% -0.03% T64
68 USA Tyler Duncan 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.32% -0.1% T3
69 USA Stewart Cink 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.38% 0.53% 0.14% T44
70 USA Kevin Kisner 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.17% -0.18% 78
71 USA Zac Blair 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.91% 0.57% MC
72 SCO Martin Laird 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.68% 0.34% MC
73 AUS Aaron Baddeley 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.6% 0.26% T64
74 SWE Henrik Norlander 250 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.32% -0.02% MC
75 USA Kevin Streelman 254 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.2/1) 0.39% 0.33% 0.67% 0.33% MC
76 USA Peter Kuest 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.6% 0.27% T13
77 AUS Kevin Yuan 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.15% -0.16%
78 USA Lanto Griffin 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.3% 0.44% 0.14% MC
79 USA Doc Redman 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.49% 0.21% MC
80 IRL Padraig Harrington 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.84% 0.57% MC
81 USA Zach Johnson 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.41% 0.14% MC
82 USA Maverick McNealy 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.2% -0.06% T58
83 USA Andrew Novak 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.39% 0.13% T73
84 TPE C.T. Pan 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.25% 0.31% 0.07% WD
85 BRA Fred Biondi 350 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.32% 0.08% T23
86 USA Grayson Murray 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.73% 0.49% MC
87 USA Scott Piercy 362 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.68% 0.45% T38
88 USA Peter Malnati 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.68% 0.47% MC
89 USA Kevin Chappell 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% MC
90 KOR Seungyul Noh 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.44% 0.22%
91 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.4% 0.19% MC
92 USA Ryan Gerard 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.37% 0.16% MC
93 ITA Francesco Molinari 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% MC
94 RSA MJ Daffue 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.48% 0.26% MC
95 USA Josh Teater 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.16% -0.03% MC
96 USA Kelly Kraft 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.7% 0.51% T19
97 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.67% 0.48% T75
98 USA Kevin Roy 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.28% 0.11% MC
99 KOR Sunghoon Kang 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.68% 0.51% MC
100 USA Jason Dufner 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.2% MC
101 AUT Matthias Schwab 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.37% 0.2% MC
102 USA Harry Higgs 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.35% 0.18% T68
103 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.33% 0.16% MC
104 USA Andrew Landry 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08%
105 RSA Dylan Frittelli 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% MC
106 USA Charley Hoffman 538 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 67.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.5% 0.34% T13
107 SWE David Lingmerth 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.49% 0.35% MC
108 COL Nicolas Echavarria 597 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 73.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.22% 0.08% T44
109 USA Trevor Cone 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
110 SCO Russell Knox 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.48% 0.34% T44
111 USA Harrison Endycott 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.28% 0.15% MC
112 USA Brent Grant 685 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 80.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.45% 0.32% T64
113 USA Kevin Tway 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.44% 0.32% T23
114 USA Ryan Armour 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.12% 1.27% 1.15% MC
115 USA Martin Trainer 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.58% 0.46% MC
116 USA William McGirt 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.49% 0.38% T28
117 USA Max McGreevy 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.35% MC
118 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.39% 0.27% MC
119 AUS Cameron Percy 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% 77
120 USA Tyson Alexander 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.42% 0.31% MC
121 USA Sean O'Hair 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.43% 0.34% MC
122 USA Cody Gribble 920 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 100.4/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.37% 0.27% T53
123 USA Kyle Westmoreland 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.75% 0.66% MC
124 USA Chris Stroud 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.49% 0.4% MC
125 USA Ryan Brehm 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.42% 0.33% MC
126 USA Wesley Bryan 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% T44
127 ARG Augusto Nunez 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
128 USA Brian Gay 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T38
129 USA Richy Werenski 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.16% MC
130 USA Hank Lebioda 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
131 USA Scott Harrington 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.22% 0.13% MC
132 USA Trevor Werbylo 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
133 SWE Jonas Blixt 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
134 USA Jonathan Byrd 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% MC
135 USA Paul Haley-II 1500 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.36% 0.3% MC
136 USA Jim Herman 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% MC
137 USA Brian Stuard 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
138 CAN Michael Gligic 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.26% 0.22% MC
139 Ben Carr 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.63% 0.6% T68
140 USA Ricky Barnes 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.62% 0.58% T36
141 USA Ben Crane 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.56% 0.53% T58
142 USA Nick Watney 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.21% MC
143 USA Davis Love III 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.15% 0.13% MC
144 AUS Greg Chalmers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 ARG Fabian Gomez 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 USA Tommy Gainey 0% 0% 0% 0% T53
147 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T19
148 PUR Rafael Campos 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 USA Curtis Thompson 0% 0% 0% 0% T75
150 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
151 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 USA Matt Atkins 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
153 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 USA Jacob Solomon 0% 0% 0% 0% T23
156 David Ford 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 Maxwell Ford 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Jacob Tilton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 5.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: -1.8 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 8.3% 11.6%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 49.6% 14%
3 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 53.1% 16.7%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 54.4% 17.7%
5 VBet 8 @ 1/5 55.8% 18.7%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 44.2% 18.9%
7 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 35.5% 19.5%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 36.7% 20.6%
9 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 37.6% 21.4%
10 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 59.9% 21.9%
11 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 60% 21.9%
12 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 60% 21.9%
13 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 53% 26.1%
14 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.9% 27.8%
15 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 44.7% 30.1%
16 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 72% 31.1%
17 Coral 8 @ 1/5 72% 31.1%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55% 39.3%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55% 39.3%
20 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 55% 39.3%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 40%
22 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 55.7% 40%
23 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 63.3% 46.8%
24 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 63.3% 46.8%