Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 26.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.2 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 78.2

Total Profit: -22

ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP

19/10/2023 - 22/10/2023

Up to date as of: 6 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Xander Schauffele 7.5 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 11.76% 9.21% 2.13% -7.08% T38
2 USA Collin Morikawa 12 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 7.69% 6.02% 0.87% -5.15% 1
3 KOR Sungjae Im 14 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.22% 1.35% -3.87% T12
4 USA Rickie Fowler 16 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.6% 2.82% -1.78% T64
5 AUS Minwoo Lee 16 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.6% 2.1% -2.51% T6
6 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.6% 1.32% -3.29% T51
7 USA Sahith Theegala 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.12% 1.67% -2.45% T19
8 AUS Cameron Davis 22 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.4% 2.5% -0.9% T12
9 USA Keegan Bradley 22 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.4% 2.14% -1.26% T19
10 AUS Adam Scott 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.7% 1.62% -1.08% T41
11 USA Eric Cole 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.3% 2.58% 0.28% T2 (tied w/2) 10.38 +39.4
12 USA Beau Hossler 40 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 2.69% 0.79% T2 (tied w/2) 8.61 +38.7
13 USA Adam Schenk 40 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.91% 1.49% -0.42% T51
14 ENG Aaron Rai 45 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.7% 1.31% -0.39% T21
15 CAN Adam Svensson 45 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.7% 1.28% -0.42% T41
16 SWE Vincent Norrman 50 (888sport: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.53% 3.19% 1.65% T38 6.92
17 ARG Emiliano Grillo 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 2.18% 0.64% T10 6.92
18 USA J.J Spaun 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 1.86% 0.32% T6 6.92
19 SWE Alexander Noren 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 1.12% -0.42% T48
20 BEL Thomas Detry 50 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 1.06% -0.47% T51
21 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 50 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.53% 0.96% -0.57% T31
22 USA Cameron Champ 55 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.4% 3.2% 1.81% T59 6.3
23 USA Keith Mitchell 66 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% 1.66% 0.49% T21 5.27
24 CAN Nick Taylor 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.99% -0.17% T21
25 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.17% 0.78% -0.38% T41
26 USA Taylor Moore 66 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.75% -0.42% T21
27 USA Kurt Kitayama 66 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.66% -0.51% T16
28 USA Benjamin Griffin 66 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.17% 0.57% -0.6% T64
29 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 70 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.1% 2.69% 1.59% T51 4.97
30 USA Tom Hoge 70 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.1% 0.81% -0.29% T48
31 USA Sam Ryder 75 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.03% 0.85% -0.18% T64
32 USA Akshay Bhatia 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 2.17% 1.21% T21 4.36
33 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 2.12% 1.15% T6 4.36
34 USA Mark Hubbard 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 1.68% 0.71% T31 4.36
35 USA Lee Hodges 80 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.97% 1.58% 0.61% T21 4.36
36 RSA Garrick Higgo 80 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.59% -0.38%
37 ENG Matt Wallace 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.51% -0.46% T68
38 JPN Takumi Kanaya 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 0.97% 0.15% -0.81% T31
39 ENG Callum Tarren 90 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.86% 0.94% 0.08% T31 3.88
40 USA Taylor Montgomery 95 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.04% 0.82% 0.38% -0.43% T16
41 USA Samuel Stevens 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 1.52% 0.74% T59 3.5
42 USA Joel Dahmen 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1.48% 0.71% T59 3.5
43 USA Dylan Wu 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 1.07% 0.29% T59 3.5
44 USA Michael Kim 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.92% 0.14% T41 3.5
45 USA Davis Riley 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.77% 0.77% -0.01% T31
46 USA Brandon Wu 100 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.77% 0.62% -0.16% T51
47 USA Mackenzie Hughes 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.7% 0.41% -0.29% T48
48 USA Nick Hardy 120 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.83% 0.65% 2.23% 1.58% T41 2.92
49 USA Matthew NeSmith 125 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 1.32% 0.69% 15 2.8
50 USA Austin Eckroat 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.62% 0.64% 0.02% T68 2.8
51 USA Hayden Buckley 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.62% 0.33% -0.29% 72
52 USA Nate Lashley 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.52% 0.77% 0.25% T41
53 AUS Kevin Yuan 175 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.44% 0.13% -0.31%
54 USA Andrew Novak 200 (Spreadex: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.39% 2.49% 2.1% T51
55 ENG Harry Hall 200 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 2.07% 1.68% T21
56 USA David Lipsky 200 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 1.96% 1.57% T51
57 USA William Gordon 200 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.41% 0.02% T21
58 USA Justin Lower 250 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 1.71% 1.4% T41
59 USA Robby Shelton 250 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.31% 0.41% 0.1% T4
60 AUS Aaron Baddeley 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 2.53% 2.27% T21
61 USA Zac Blair 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 1.02% 0.76% T38
62 JPN Taiga Semikawa 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.13% -0.13% T73
63 JPN Ryutaro Nagano 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 1.6% 1.4% T21
64 JPN Ryo Ishikawa 400 (10bet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.51% 0.31% T4
65 SWE David Lingmerth 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.37% 0.18% T73
66 JPN Yuki Inamori 400 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.13% -0.06% T16
67 ENG Benjamin Taylor 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.56% 0.41%
68 JPN Shugo Imahira 500 (Unibet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.13% -0.03% T68
69 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 750 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 2.89% 2.79% T12
70 USA Tyson Alexander 750 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 1.65% 1.54% 76
71 USA Trevor Werbylo 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 4.99% 4.95% T68
72 JPN Kaito Onishi 2000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% T64
73 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 2000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.23% 0.2% T73
74 JPN Kensei Hirata(AM) 2000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% T6
75 KOR Younghan Song 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% T31
76 JPN Mikumu Horikawa 2000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% T31
77 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T10
78 JPN Toru Nakajima 0% 0% 0% 0% T51
79 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T59

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 26.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 41.3% 15.3%
2 888Sport 7 @ 1/5 42.4% 16.2%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 33.7% 17%
4 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 37.7% 20.5%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 37.9% 20.7%
6 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 38% 20.8%
7 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 38% 20.8%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.2% 21.7%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 49.8% 22.2%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.8% 22.2%
11 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 62.4% 22.5%
12 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 38.5% 23.1%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 40.4% 24.9%
14 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 66.2% 25.4%
15 Coral 8 @ 1/5 66.2% 25.4%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 26.8%
17 Spreadex 5 @ 1/4 46.9% 28.6%
18 VBet 5 @ 1/4 47.1% 28.8%
19 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 31.7%
20 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 48.2% 31.7%
21 Unibet 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 33.4%
22 BetUK 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 33.4%
23 BetMGM UK 5 @ 1/4 52.3% 33.4%
24 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 52.7% 35.7%