Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 31.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.9 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 192.2

Total Profit: +92.1

Open de France

21/09/2023 - 24/09/2023

Up to date as of: 7 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 KOR Woohyun Kim 10 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 6.51% 0.06% -6.45%
2 AUS Minwoo Lee 11 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 8.33% 5.97% 1.09% -4.88% T64
3 NZL Ryan Fox 14 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 4.78% 1.36% -3.42% MC
4 ENG Aaron Rai 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.22% 1.02% -3.2% MC
5 SWE Alexander Bjork 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.22% 0.66% -3.55% MC
6 BEL Thomas Detry 18 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.77% 0.54% -3.23% T35
7 ENG Jordan L Smith 22 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.12% 0.88% -2.24% T2
8 USA Billy Horschel 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.12% 0.3% -2.81% T20
9 GER Yannik Paul 25 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 3.85% 2.76% 0.32% -2.44% T6
10 SCO Robert MacIntyre 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.11% 0.63% -1.48% MC
11 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 33 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.11% 0.41% -1.7% T10
12 ESP Adrian Otaegui 35 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.99% 0.41% -1.58% T16
13 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 35 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.99% 0.33% -1.66% 4
14 FRA Antoine Rozner 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 1.99% 0.28% -1.71% MC
15 FRA Victor Perez 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.75% 0.31% -1.44% MC
16 SCO Connor Syme 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.41% 0.48% -0.93% MC
17 ENG Nathan Kimsey 55 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% 1.8% 0.52% T14 5.67
18 ESP Jorge Campillo 55 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.28% 0.35% -0.93% T41
19 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.4% -0.77% T51
20 SCO Richie Ramsay 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.29% -0.89% T20
21 ENG Matthew Southgate 60 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.17% 0.28% -0.9% T20
22 ITA Guido Migliozzi 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.07% 0.41% -0.66% T47 4.74
23 FRA Julien Brun 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.35% -0.72% T6
24 SCO Calum Hill 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.07% 0.34% -0.73% T10
25 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 1.66% 0.65% MC 4.47
26 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 1.48% 0.47% 1 4.47 +192.2
27 SCO Grant Forrest 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.54% -0.46% MC 4.47
28 ENG Laurie Canter 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.43% -0.58% T47 4.47
29 GER Marcel Siem 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.41% -0.6% MC 4.47
30 SCO Ewen Ferguson 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.31% -0.7% T10 4.47
31 ENG Callum Shinkwin 70 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.01% 0.18% -0.83% T51
32 GER Marcel Schneider 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 1.39% 0.51% MC 3.92
33 RSA Thriston Lawrence 80 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.44% -0.45% T35 3.92
34 NIR Tom McKibbin 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.4% -0.49% MC 3.92
35 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.88% 0.33% -0.55% MC 3.92
36 FRA Adrien Saddier 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.79% 1.08% T16 3.14
37 SWE Marcus Kinhult 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.71% 1% T41 3.14
38 FRA Julien Guerrier 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.68% 0.97% MC 3.14
39 FRA Matthieu Pavon 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 1.52% 0.81% MC 3.14
40 ENG Daniel A Brown 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.35% -0.36% T41 3.14
41 ENG Matthew Jordan 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.26% -0.45% MC 3.14
42 ENG Richard Mansell 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.71% 0.15% -0.56% T28 3.14
43 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.58% 1.01% MC 2.52
44 GER Maximilian Kieffer 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 1.53% 0.96% MC 2.52
45 NZL Daniel Hillier 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.47% -0.1% MC 2.52
46 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.43% -0.14% MC 2.52
47 ITA Renato Paratore 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.29% -0.28% T47 2.52
48 ENG Matthew Baldwin 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.27% -0.3% T35 2.52
49 SCO David Law 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.23% -0.34% T14 2.52
50 RSA Wilco Nienaber 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.19% -0.38% MC 2.52
51 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.17% -0.4% MC 2.52
52 ENG Paul Waring 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.57% 0.16% -0.41% 61 2.52
53 ENG Andy Sullivan 140 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.71% 0.51% 1.77% 1.26% T16
54 USA Sean Crocker 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 1.57% 1.09% WD
55 GER Nick Bachem 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.25% -0.22% T20
56 ENG Dan Bradbury 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.21% -0.27% MC
57 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.47% 0.17% -0.31% T47
58 ENG James Morrison 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 2.25% 1.84% MC
59 USA Johannes Veerman 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.83% 1.42% T28
60 RSA Louis de Jager 175 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.74% 1.33% T35
61 ENG Marcus Armitage 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.64% 1.23% MC
62 ENG Dale Whitnell 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 1.5% 1.09% MC
63 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.41% 0.18% -0.23% 66
64 WAL Jamie Donaldson 175 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.41% 0.15% -0.26%
65 ITA Edoardo Molinari 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.36% 1.78% 1.43% T28
66 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.2% -0.16% T20
67 ENG Ross Fisher 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.13% -0.22% MC
68 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.36% 0.12% -0.23%
69 SWE Simon Forsstrom 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.29% 2.38% 2.1% T41
70 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 1.89% 1.6% MC
71 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 250 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.32% 0.04% MC
72 RSA Zander Lombard 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.29% 0.14% -0.14% T10
73 DEN Jeff Winther 275 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.26% 0.23% -0.03% T2
74 NED Darius Van Driel 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 2.51% 2.27% MC
75 SWE Mikael Lindberg 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 2.29% 2.06% MC
76 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 2.29% 2.05% MC
77 FRA Alexander Levy 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 2.19% 1.95% T20
78 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.67% 1.43% T56
79 RSA JC Ritchie 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.24% 1.63% 1.39% MC
80 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.6% 1.36% MC
81 USA John Catlin 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 1.51% 1.28% MC
82 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.21% -0.03% 60
83 DEN John Axelsen 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.15% -0.08% T16
84 FRA Ugo Coussaud 300 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.24% 0.11% -0.13% MC
85 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 2.43% 2.23% MC
86 ESP Nacho Elvira 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.2% 0.23% 0.03% MC
87 FRA David Ravetto 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.2% 0.21% 0.01% MC
88 NED Daan Huizing 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 2.32% 2.14% T51
89 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 1.99% 1.81% MC
90 SWE Jens Dantorp 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 1.8% 1.62% T28
91 NED Wil Besseling 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 1.72% 1.54% T41
92 AUT Lukas Nemecz 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 1.6% 1.42% 5
93 GER Max Schmitt 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.2% 0.02% T62
94 SWE Niklas Lemke 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.15% -0.03% MC
95 JPN Kazuki Higa 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.13% -0.05% T6
96 ENG John Gough 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.13% -0.05% T51
97 RSA Bryce Easton 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.12% -0.06% T20
98 RSA Keenan Davidse 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.11% -0.06%
99 ENG Andrew Wilson 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.18% 0.11% -0.07% T35
100 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 400 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.09% -0.09% T20
101 ESP Santiago Tarrio 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.18% 0.06% -0.12%
102 USA Chase Hanna 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 2.21% 2.07% MC
103 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 2.17% 2.03% MC
104 SWE Joakim Lagergren 500 (QuinnBet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 1.68% 1.53% WD
105 THA Jazz Janewattananond 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.15% 0.01% MC
106 ENG Daniel Gavins 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% 0% WD
107 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.14% -0.01% MC
108 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.02% MC
109 KOR Jeunghun Wang 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.12% -0.03%
110 RSA Thomas Aiken 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.11% -0.03% MC
111 ENG Ross McGowan 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.07% -0.07% T67
112 FRA Jeremy Gandon 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.06% -0.08% MC
113 ESP Alejandro Canizares 500 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.14% 0.06% -0.08% MC
114 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 2.05% 1.93% T41
115 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.21% 0.09% T56
116 ENG Garrick Porteous 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.09% -0.03% MC
117 IRL Mark Power 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.55% 0.46% MC
118 ENG John Parry 750 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.19% 0.09% T28
119 SCO Marc Warren 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.15% 0.05% T56
120 ENG David Horsey 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.11% 0.01% MC
121 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.08% -0.01% MC
122 CHN Shao Yong-liang 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.06% -0.03%
123 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 2.04% 1.96% WD
124 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 1.43% 1.35% MC
125 FRA Gregory Havret 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.07% 0.16% 0.08% MC
126 USA Joshua Lee 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.11% 0.04% MC
127 WAL Rhys Enoch 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.09% 0.02% MC
128 FRA Gregory Bourdy 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.07% 0.06% -0.01% MC
129 USA Gunner Wiebe 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.17% 0.12% MC
130 FRA Gary Stal 1500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.02% MC
131 FRA Jerome Lando-Casanova 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.01% MC
132 DEN Benjamin Henry Poke 1500 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.06% 0.01%
133 POR Pedro Figueiredo 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% MC
134 ENG OJ Farrell 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.1% T51
135 IND Manu Gandas 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.11% 0.07% MC
136 IRL John Murphy 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.11% 0.07% MC
137 DEN Christoffer Bring 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03% T64
138 FRA Joel Stalter 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03% T67
139 FRA Raphael Jacquelin 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.06% 0.03% MC
140 ENG Gary Boyd 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.14% 0.11%
141 ENG Frank Kennedy 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.12% 0.1% MC
142 ENG Richard McEvoy 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% MC
143 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% T62
144 RSA Tristen Strydom 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
145 ENG Oliver Fisher 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03%
146 ENG Graeme Storm 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
147 Hugo Le Goff 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
148 ENG David Howell 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
149 AUS Blake Windred 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.06% 0.03% MC
150 SWE Tobias Eden 2500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.05% 0.02% MC
151 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T28
152 KOR Tom Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% T6
153 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 SWE David Nyfjall 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T28
156 FRA Oihan Guillamoundeguy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 FRA Clement Guichard 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Darren Strachan 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
159 Andoni Etchenique 0% 0% 0% 0% T56
160 Maxime LegrosAm) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 Oscar Couilleau 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 31.5 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.9 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 48.6% 13.4%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 51.5% 15.8%
3 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 81.1% 20.2%
4 Coral 10 @ 1/5 81.1% 20.2%
5 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 23.3%
6 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 23.3%
7 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.8%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 53% 26.4%
9 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 45.4% 28.4%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 45.7% 28.6%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 45.7% 28.6%
12 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 68.6% 28.7%
13 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 57.7% 30.2%
14 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.8% 31.4%
15 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 50.4% 32.8%
16 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.5% 35.5%
17 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 51.2% 36.1%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 38.8%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 38.8%
20 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 38.8%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 59.9% 43.9%
22 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 59.9% 43.9%