Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 15.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.5 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 28.4

Total Profit: -71.7

ISPS Handa World Invitational

17/08/2023 - 20/08/2023

Up to date as of: 8 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 14.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.8/1) 6.33% 5.18% 2.81% -2.37% MC
2 FRA Victor Perez 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.81% 1.76% -3.06% WD
3 SCO Ewen Ferguson 18 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 5.26% 4.31% 1.44% -2.87% T35
4 FRA Romain Langasque 20 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.9% 1.72% -2.17% MC
5 ENG Laurie Canter 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.56% 1.35% -2.21% MC
6 ESP Adrian Otaegui 22 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.56% 0.64% -2.91% T4
7 NIR Tom McKibbin 25 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.15% 0.86% -2.29% T20
8 SCO Calum Hill 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.82% 1.17% -1.66% T60
9 ENG Matthew Jordan 31 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.4/1) 3.13% 2.56% 0.67% -1.89% T35
10 ENG Matthew Southgate 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.41% 0.72% -1.68% T9
11 SCO David Law 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.41% 0.43% -1.98% T41
12 ENG Alex Fitzpatrick 35 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.27% 0.5% -1.77% 2
13 SWE Marcus Kinhult 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2% 1.85% -0.14% T12 8.72
14 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2% 0.67% -1.32% T39
15 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 42 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.9/1) 2.33% 1.9% 3.05% 1.14% T4 (tied w/5) 8.31 +14.8
16 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 45 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.3/1) 2.17% 1.78% 0.77% -1.01% MC
17 SCO Grant Forrest 48 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.7/1) 2.04% 1.67% 1.09% -0.58% T27 7.3
18 ENG Marcus Armitage 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.6% 2.78% 1.18% T39 7.01
19 ENG Brandon Robinson-Thompson 50 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.6% 0.61% -0.99% MC
20 DEN John Axelsen 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 0.6% -1% MC
21 ENG Eddie Pepperell 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.41% 0.46% -0.95% 3
22 ENG Richard Mansell 58 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.8/1) 1.69% 1.39% 0.46% -0.92% T24
23 ENG Daniel A Brown 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.34% 0.57% -0.78% 1
24 FRA Frederic LaCroix 60 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.34% 0.44% -0.9% T41
25 ENG Tom Lewis 60 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.34% 0.27% -1.07% T32
26 SCO Connor Syme 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.28% 0.5% -0.78% T4
27 ENG Paul Waring 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.22% 0.28% -0.94% 34
28 RSA Darren Fichardt 80 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.01% 0.68% -0.33% T41 4.42
29 FRA David Ravetto 80 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.01% 0.61% -0.4% MC 4.42
30 ENG Matthew Baldwin 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.48% -0.53% T9 4.42
31 RSA Casey Jarvis 80 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.01% 0.46% -0.56% MC 4.42
32 ITA Renato Paratore 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.39% -0.62% MC 4.42
33 ITA Matteo Manassero 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.17% -0.84% MC
34 USA John Catlin 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.95% 4.29% 3.34% MC 4.16
35 RSA Wilco Nienaber 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.93% 1.35% 0.42% T4 (tied w/5) 4.06 +13.6
36 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 100 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.81% 0% T50 3.54
37 ENG Ross McGowan 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.17% -0.64% MC
38 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.76% 0.44% -0.32% T12 3.31
39 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.74% 0.99% 0.25% MC 3.22
40 ENG James Morrison 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 4.69% 4.04% T27 2.84
41 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 125 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 2.09% 1.44% T17 2.84
42 SCO Craig Howie 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.58% -0.07% MC 2.84
43 RSA Bryce Easton 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.53% -0.12% MC 2.84
44 ENG Andrew Wilson 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.21% -0.44% MC 2.84
45 NIR Jonathan Caldwell 125 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.17% -0.48% MC 2.84
46 ITA Lorenzo Scalise 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.17% -0.48% MC 2.84
47 ESP Manuel Elvira 125 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.17% -0.48% T46 2.84
48 ENG Sam Bairstow 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.65% 0.17% -0.48% T17 2.84
49 ENG Jack Senior 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.15% -0.5% T24 2.84
50 RSA Louis de Jager 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.61% 2.36% 1.75% MC
51 ENG Daniel Gavins 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.36% -0.18% WD
52 JPN Kazuki Higa 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.36% -0.19% MC
53 FRA Ugo Coussaud 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.35% -0.2% MC
54 USA Julian Suri 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.29% -0.25% MC
55 KOR Jeunghun Wang 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.23% -0.31% T50
56 USA Jordan Gumberg 150 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.19% -0.35% T56
57 NED Darius Van Driel 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.53% 4.49% 3.96% T50
58 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.5% 0.29% -0.21% MC
59 USA Chase Hanna 175 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 4.78% 4.32% 59
60 GER Max Schmitt 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.47% 0.43% -0.04% T12
61 ESP Alejandro Canizares 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.54% 0.14%
62 ENG Todd Clements 200 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.36% -0.05% T46
63 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.27% -0.14% MC
64 SCO Marc Warren 225 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.44% 0.36% 0.29% -0.08% T20
65 RSA Thomas Aiken 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.33% -0.02% MC
66 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 4.81% 4.47% MC
67 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.33% 4.71% 4.37% T27
68 ENG John Parry 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.41% 0.09% T4
69 ENG David Coupland 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.17% -0.15% T46
70 ENG Alfie Plant 250 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.17% -0.15% MC
71 POR Ricardo Gouveia 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% T41
72 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 275 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.3% 5% 4.7% T50
73 POR Ricardo Santos 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.28% 0.01% 11
74 SCO Sandy Scott 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.21% -0.07% T41
75 GER Max Rottluff 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.18% -0.09% T12
76 WAL Oliver Farr 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.17% -0.1% MC
77 THA Jazz Janewattananond 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.27% 0.35% 0.08% MC
78 SWE Niklas Lemke 322 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46.6/1) 0.31% 0.25% 0.26% 0.01% T17
79 POR Pedro Figueiredo 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.23% 0.47% 0.24% 38
80 CHI Felipe Aguilar 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.31% 0.07% MC
81 AUS Ryan Ruffels 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.21% 0.17% -0.03% MC
82 DEN Christoffer Bring 400 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.33% 0.12% WD
83 ENG Garrick Porteous 400 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.2% -0.01% MC
84 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.2% -0.01% MC
85 IRL Niall Kearney 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.17% -0.03% MC
86 NIR Dermot McElroy 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.17% -0.03% MC
87 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 400 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.16% -0.04% MC
88 ENG David Horsey 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.25% 0.06% MC
89 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 4.57% 4.4% MC
90 SCO Michael Stewart 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 1.22% 1.05% MC
91 SWE Mikael Lundberg 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.02% MC
92 ENG Tom Murray 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.02% MC
93 ITA Gregorio De Leo 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.18% 0.02% MC
94 AUS Jordan Zunic 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.17% 0.01% T50
95 USA Joshua Lee 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% T60
96 USA Gunner Wiebe 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.42% 0.28% MC
97 WAL Rhys Enoch 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.34% 0.2% 58
98 RSA Keenan Davidse 600 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.59% 0.45% MC
99 RSA Dylan Mostert 600 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
100 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 662 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% WD
101 ENG Marco Penge 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.2% 0.08% T20
102 FRA Gary Stal 750 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
103 POL Mateusz Gradecki 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
104 SWE Henric Sturehed 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% MC
105 AUS Connor McKinney 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% T56
106 IRL Damien McGrane 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% MC
107 ENG Gary Boyd 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.17% 0.07% T46
108 ESP Javier Sainz 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.13% 0.03% MC
109 IRL Ruaidhri McGee 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.17% 0.09% MC
110 ENG Jonathan Thomson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T32
111 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% T24
112 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% MC
113 IRL David Carey 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.16% MC
114 ENG Richard McEvoy 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
115 KOR Yeongsu Kim 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.15% MC
116 RSA Tristen Strydom 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
117 SCO Craig Lee 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.09% MC
118 FRA Mathieu Decottignies Lafon 1000 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09%
119 ESP Scott Fernandez 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% MC
120 ESP Victor Pastor Rufian 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T27
121 NOR Elias Bertheussen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.16% 0.08% MC
122 IND Manu Gandas 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.43% 0.38% T20
123 IRL John Murphy 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.28% 0.24% MC
124 ENG OJ Farrell 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21%
125 AUS Blake Windred 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.24% 0.19% MC
126 CHN Liu Yanwei 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.19% 0.14% MC
127 Daniel Whitby-Smith 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% MC
128 ESP Carlos Pigem 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
129 ENG David Dixon 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
130 USA Michael Feuerstein 2000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.17% 0.13% MC
131 CHN Ma Chengyao 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.25% 0.22% MC
132 SWE Tobias Eden 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.19% 0.16% MC
133 ENG David Howell 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.15% MC
134 NIR Cormac Sharvin 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14%
135 ISR Asaf Cohen 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% MC
136 ENG Habebul Islam 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% MC
137 Callan Barrow 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% T35
138 USA Matt Davidson 0% 0% 0% 0% T50
139 NIR Chris Ross 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 ESP David Borda Antonana 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 ENG Jamie Rutherford 0% 0% 0% 0% T27
143 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% T12
144 Max Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 Zak Morgan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 15.7 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.5 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 46.8% 21%
2 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 46.8% 21%
3 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 19.6% 21.6%
4 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 65.9% 26.4%
5 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 60.9% 32.6%
6 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50.6% 32.8%
7 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 50.9% 33.1%
8 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 53.5% 35.4%
9 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 53.5% 35.4%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.6% 35.5%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.8% 35.6%
12 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 35.8%
13 Betway 7 @ 1/5 65.3% 36.3%
14 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 53.6% 38%
15 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 53.8% 38.2%
16 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 67.8% 38.4%
17 Coral 7 @ 1/5 67.8% 38.4%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.7%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.7%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 41.2%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60.2% 43.9%