Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 14.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.4 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.1 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 29.2

Total Profit: -70.8

BMW International Open

22/06/2023 - 25/06/2023

Up to date as of: 10 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 POL Adrian Meronk 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.41% 4.08% -1.32% T3
2 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 16 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.77% 1.08% -3.7%
3 FRA Victor Perez 25 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.12% 4.49% 1.37% T18 14.1
4 GER Yannik Paul 25 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.12% 1.2% -1.92%
5 JPN Takumi Kanaya 28 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.45% 2.8% 1.18% -1.62% MC
6 FRA Antoine Rozner 28 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.8% 1.09% -1.71% T43
7 SCO Robert MacIntyre 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.8% 1.07% -1.72% T18
8 FRA Romain Langasque 28 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.8% 1.01% -1.78% T38
9 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 30 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 3.23% 2.62% 2.94% 0.32% T52 11.83
10 ESP Jorge Campillo 30 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.62% 1.89% -0.73% T14
11 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 33 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.39% 0.78% -1.61% T59
12 GER Marcel Schneider 40 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.98% 0.86% -1.12% T14
13 NED Joost Luiten 45 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.76% 1.18% -0.59% 2
14 SCO Ewen Ferguson 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.59% 1.39% -0.2% MC 7.19
15 NIR Tom McKibbin 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.59% 1.39% -0.2% MC
16 GER Marcel Siem 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.59% 0.9% -0.69% T73
17 ENG Richard Mansell 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.59% 0.87% -0.72% T31
18 USA Sean Crocker 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.45% 0.77% -0.67% T14
19 ENG Paul Waring 55 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.45% 0.47% -0.98% MC
20 GER Maximilian Kieffer 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.29% 1.21% -0.08% T3 (tied w/4) 5.82 +29.2
21 FRA Matthieu Pavon 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.29% 1.01% -0.28% T7
22 ENG Matthew Southgate 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.21% 0.88% -0.33% MC
23 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.83% -0.38% T3
24 CAN Aaron Cockerill 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.77% -0.44% MC
25 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.63% -0.58% MC
26 RSA Wilco Nienaber 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.21% 0.43% -0.78% T26
27 FRA Frederic LaCroix 70 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.14% 0.82% -0.33% MC
28 FIN Sami Valimaki 75 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.32% 1.07% 0.79% -0.28% T18
29 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1% 1.01% 0.01% MC 4.53
30 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1% 0.67% -0.33% MC
31 FRA Clement Sordet 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.94% 0.98% 0.04% MC 4.27
32 ENG Dale Whitnell 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.94% 0.75% -0.2% MC 4.27
33 ENG Callum Shinkwin 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.94% 0.62% -0.32% MC
34 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.89% 1.1% 0.21% T31 4.03
35 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 90 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.89% 0.86% -0.03% MC 4.03
36 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.84% 0.64% -0.21% MC
37 SCO Calum Hill 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.96% 0.16% T10 3.63
38 RSA Zander Lombard 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.87% 0.06% MC 3.63
39 MAS Gavin Green 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.72% -0.08% T12 3.63
40 GER Hurly Long 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.66% -0.14% T38 3.63
41 SWE Marcus Kinhult 100 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.63% -0.17% T52 3.63
42 ITA Edoardo Molinari 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.63% -0.17% T18 3.63
43 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.8% 0.58% -0.22% MC
44 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.58% -0.22% T31
45 RSA Thriston Lawrence 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.8% 0.31% -0.5% 1
46 ENG Eddie Pepperell 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.77% 0.49% -0.28% MC
47 THA Jazz Janewattananond 110 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.73% 0.7% -0.03% MC 3.31
48 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.7% 0.88% 0.18% MC 3.16
49 FRA Julien Brun 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 0.88% 0.22% MC 2.96
50 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.65% 0.62% -0.04% MC 2.96
51 SCO Connor Syme 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.92% 0.27% T14 2.91
52 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.64% 0.78% 0.14% T47 2.91
53 ENG Matthew Baldwin 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.61% 0.8% 0.19% T73
54 ENG Dan Bradbury 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.56% 0.76% 0.2% T43
55 ENG Andy Sullivan 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.56% 0.69% 0.12% MC
56 RSA Deon Germishuys 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.88% 0.34% MC
57 GER Nick Bachem 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.83% 0.29% MC
58 ENG Luke Donald 150 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.77% 0.23% T47
59 RSA Oliver Bekker 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.54% 0.48% -0.05% MC
60 ITA Guido Migliozzi 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.49% 0.64% 0.15% T10
61 DEN John Axelsen 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.47% 0.85% 0.38% T18
62 ENG Daniel A Brown 175 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.75% 0.29% MC
63 ENG Tom Lewis 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.33% -0.13% T52
64 ARG Daniel Vancsik 175 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.22% -0.24%
65 ENG Daniel Gavins 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.42% 0.93% 0.51% T67
66 AUT Lukas Nemecz 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.82% 0.42% T47
67 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% MC
68 FRA Adrien Saddier 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% T31
69 RSA Justin Walters 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.4% 0.59% 0.19% T26
70 ENG Andrew Wilson 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.41% 0.01% MC
71 NZL Daniel Hillier 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.38% 0.65% 0.27% T3
72 IND Shubhankar Sharma 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.37% 0.66% 0.29% MC
73 ITA Renato Paratore 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.35% 0.42% 0.06% T38
74 RSA Bryce Easton 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.54% 0.22% T43
75 NED Daan Huizing 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.52% 0.2% T7
76 RSA JC Ritchie 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.49% 0.16% T31
77 GER Max Schmitt 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.43% 0.11% T18
78 DEN Jeff Winther 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.42% 0.1% MC
79 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.42% 0.09% MC
80 NED Wil Besseling 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.39% 0.06% MC
81 USA Chase Hanna 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.34% 0.02% MC
82 FRA David Ravetto 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.7% 0.39% MC
83 ESP Borja Virto Astudillo 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.85% 0.58% T31
84 CHN Shao Yong-liang 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.22% -0.05%
85 RSA Darren Fichardt 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% T38
86 GER Sebastian Heisele 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.22% -0.02% MC
87 ITA Filippo Celli 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.23% 0.73% 0.5% T31
88 ESP Santiago Tarrio 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.23% 0.22% -0.01%
89 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.63% 0.4% MC
90 NED Darius Van Driel 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.48% 0.25% T12
91 ENG Todd Clements 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.89% 0.66% MC
92 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.73% 0.53% T52
93 FRA Alexander Levy 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.55% 0.35% T52
94 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.36% 0.16% MC
95 ENG John Parry 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.31% 0.11% MC
96 GER Thomas Rosenmuller 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% T26
97 AUS Elvis Smylie 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% MC
98 GER Jonas Baumgartner 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.22% 0.02% T52
99 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.2% 0.55% 0.35% T62
100 WAL Jamie Donaldson 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.71% 0.54% T26
101 ESP Nacho Elvira 469 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 61.4/1) 0.21% 0.17% 0.47% 0.3% T59
102 ENG Jack Senior 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.29% 0.12% MC
103 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 500 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.59% 0.43%
104 SWE Mikael Lindberg 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.52% 0.36% T18
105 DEN Lucas Bjerregaard 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.36% 0.2% MC
106 GER Philipp Mejow 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.22% 0.06% T62
107 RSA Ockie Strydom 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.14% 1% 0.86% MC
108 ENG James Morrison 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.84% 0.69% MC
109 RSA Thomas Aiken 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.45% 0.32% MC
110 POR Ricardo Santos 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% T69
111 SWE Niklas Lemke 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.35% 0.22% T47
112 ENG Garrick Porteous 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.13% 0.25% 0.11% MC
113 GER Alex Cejka 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.22% 0.09% MC
114 ENG Sam Hutsby 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% MC
115 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 739 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.5/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% MC
116 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.75% 0.65% T26
117 KOR Yeongsu Kim 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.67% 0.56% MC
118 IRL John Murphy 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% MC
119 GER Marc Hammer 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.44% 0.33% T59
120 POL Mateusz Gradecki 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.41% 0.3% T69
121 DEN Thomas Bjorn 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18%
122 BEL Christopher Mivis 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% MC
123 ENG Oliver Wilson 767 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.9/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.46% 0.36% T38
124 ESP Emilio Cuartero Blanco 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.1% 0.37% 0.26% MC
125 SCO Marc Warren 806 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.1/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.45% 0.35% MC
126 USA Joshua Lee 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.4% 0.31% MC
127 FRA Pierre Pineau 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.54% 0.46% WD
128 GER Jannik De Bruyn 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.51% 0.43% T62
129 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.44% 0.35% MC
130 ENG David Horsey 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
131 SCO Stephen Gallacher 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.2% MC
132 ESP Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% MC
133 FRA Gary Stal 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.51% 0.43% T62
134 DEN Christoffer Bring 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.39% 76
135 FRA Joel Stalter 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.41% 0.33% MC
136 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% T69
137 AUS Blake Windred 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
138 ENG OJ Farrell 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% T52
139 GER Anton Albers 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% MC
140 GER Michael Hirmer 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% T67
141 USA Gunner Wiebe 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.55% 0.49% MC
142 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.44% 0.39% MC
143 RSA Tristen Strydom 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.25% 0.2% T62
144 IND Manu Gandas 2000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.36% 0.32% T43
145 ENG Richard McEvoy 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.36% 0.32% MC
146 ENG David Howell 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% MC
147 SWE Tobias Eden 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.4% 0.37% MC
148 CHN Ma Chengyao 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.37% 0.34% MC
149 CHI Felipe Aguilar 0% 0% 0% 0% T69
150 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% 75
152 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 NOR Elias Bertheussen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% T47
155 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T18
157 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 0% 0% 0% 0% T7
159 Rasmus Rosin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Tim Wiedemeyer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 14.9 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 9.4 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 16% 19.3%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.8% 22.4%
3 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 39.2% 22.8%
4 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 39.2% 22.8%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.3% 22.8%
6 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 40.1% 23.6%
7 Betway 7 @ 1/5 50.3% 23.9%
8 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 63.4% 24.5%
9 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 30.7%
10 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 61.4% 33.1%
11 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51% 35.7%
12 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 52.1% 36.7%
13 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 67.8% 38.4%
14 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 67.8% 38.4%
15 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 56.3% 40.4%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 59.3% 40.5%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 59.5% 40.7%
18 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 72.9% 42.6%
19 Coral 7 @ 1/5 72.9% 42.6%
20 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 43.5%
21 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 59.7% 43.5%
22 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 61.6% 45.3%