Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.7 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 68.6

Total Profit: -31.6



# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 16 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.1% 1.65% -3.45% MC
2 ENG Jordan L Smith 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 5.1% 1.13% -3.97% T32
3 SCO Robert MacIntyre 18 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 4.56% 1.09% -3.48% T7
4 POL Adrian Meronk 21 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.8/1) 4.55% 3.94% 3.53% -0.41% T21
5 GER Yannik Paul 22 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.77% 1.68% -2.09% T38
6 FRA Antoine Rozner 25 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.34% 1.56% -1.78% T21
7 SWE Alexander Bjork 30 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.8% 1.1% -1.69% T14
8 ENG Richard Mansell 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.55% 1.22% -1.33% T43
9 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 33 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.55% 1.06% -1.49% 2
10 NED Joost Luiten 35 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.41% 1.86% -0.55% T3
11 SCO Grant Forrest 40 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 2.11% 1.75% -0.36% T43
12 THA Jazz Janewattananond 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.11% 1.41% -0.71% T61
13 SCO Calum Hill 45 (888sport: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.89% 0.92% -0.96% MC
14 ESP Jorge Campillo 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.81% 1.65% -0.16% T3 (tied w/4) 7.92 +28.3
15 ITA Guido Migliozzi 50 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.7% 0.91% -0.79% T14
16 FRA Matthieu Pavon 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.5% 1.17% -0.33% T52
17 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 60 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.42% 0.81% -0.61% MC
18 USA John Catlin 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.38% 1.09% -0.28% MC
19 GER Marcel Schneider 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.38% 0.79% -0.59% T38
20 GER Marcel Siem 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.29% 1.78% 0.48% MC 5.67
21 SCO Scott Jamieson 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.35% 0.06% T3 (tied w/4) 5.67 +40.3
22 MAS Gavin Green 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.29% 1.21% -0.09% T14 5.67
23 KOR Jeunghun Wang 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.29% 1.01% -0.29% T14
24 FRA Romain Langasque 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.28% 0.86% -0.41% T21
25 ENG Matthew Southgate 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 1.19% 0.12% MC 4.69
26 RSA Zander Lombard 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 1.15% 0.08% MC 4.69
27 CAN Aaron Cockerill 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.07% 0.97% -0.1% T21 4.69
28 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 1.01% 0.96% -0.05% T43 4.42
29 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.95% 1.11% 0.15% MC 4.18
30 AUS David Micheluzzi 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.9% 1.45% 0.55% T21 3.96
31 JPN Kazuki Higa 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.9% 0.85% -0.05% MC 3.96
32 FIN Mikko Korhonen 95 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.8/1) 1.04% 0.9% 0.61% -0.3% T38
33 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 1.58% 0.72% MC 3.77
34 ENG Daniel A Brown 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 1.36% 0.51% T32 3.77
35 NIR Tom McKibbin 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 1.04% 0.18% MC 3.77
36 ENG Andy Sullivan 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 0.9% 0.04% T10 3.77
37 SCO David Law 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.86% 0.8% -0.06% MC 3.77
38 SCO Richie Ramsay 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.86% 0.79% -0.07% T67 3.77
39 CHN Wu Ashun 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.82% 1.33% 0.51% T59 3.59
40 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.75% 0.92% 0.17% MC 3.28
41 ENG Matthew Baldwin 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 1.37% 0.68% MC 3.02
42 FRA Clement Sordet 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 1.05% 0.36% T7 3.02
43 RSA Louis de Jager 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.7% 0.01% MC 3.02
44 USA Johannes Veerman 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.65% -0.04% MC 3.02
45 NZL Daniel Hillier 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.55% -0.14% MC 3.02
46 NED Wil Besseling 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.52% -0.17% MC
47 ENG Paul Waring 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.51% -0.18% MC
48 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.39% -0.3% MC
49 KOR Sanghyun Park 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.69% 0.32% -0.36% T3
50 CHN Shao Yong-liang 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.69% 0.3% -0.39%
51 ENG Matthew Jordan 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.65% 1.13% 0.48%
52 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.6% 1.04% 0.44% 1
53 KOR Sangmoon Bae 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 0.3% -0.28% T14
54 KOR Soomin Lee 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.3% -0.28% WD
55 FIN Kalle Samooja 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.53% 0.6% 0.07% MC
56 SWE Joakim Lagergren 172 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.7/1) 0.58% 0.5% 1.04% 0.53% MC
57 ENG Jack Senior 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.49% 0.41% -0.08% MC
58 IND Shubhankar Sharma 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.48% 0.89% 0.42% T52
59 SWE Marcus Kinhult 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.48% 0.81% 0.33% T21
60 SWE Jens Dantorp 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 1.02% 0.59% MC
61 KOR Mingyu Cho 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.3% -0.14% T32
62 KOR Bio Kim 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.3% -0.14% T21
63 ESP Santiago Tarrio 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.43% 0.3% -0.14%
64 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.36% 0.77% 0.41% MC
65 ENG Daniel Gavins 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 1.2% 0.85% T14
66 USA Chase Hanna 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.84% 0.49% T43
67 NED Darius Van Driel 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.71% 0.37% MC
68 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.35% 0.66% 0.31% MC
69 RSA Deon Germishuys 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.55% 0.2% T61
70 KOR Minkyu Kim 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.3% -0.05% MC
71 KOR Hanbyeol Kim 250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.3% -0.05% T52
72 KOR Yongjun Bae 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.35% 0.3% -0.05% T52
73 ENG Marcus Armitage 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.4% 0.06% T71
74 KOR Junggon Hwang 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.3% -0.04% T21
75 FRA Julien Guerrier 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.67% 0.36% T52
76 RSA Shaun Norris 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.63% 0.34% WD
77 CHN Ding Wenyi 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.98% 0.69% T67
78 FRA David Ravetto 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.86% 0.57% MC
79 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.67% 0.38% T49
80 RSA Bryce Easton 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.54% 0.25% MC
81 KOR Kyungnam Kang 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% T10
82 USA Seungsu Han 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% MC
83 KOR Yoseop Seo 300 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.29% 0.3% 0.01% MC
84 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.27% 0.61% 0.34% T59
85 FRA Alexander Levy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.51% 0.27% T32
86 ENG David Horsey 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.25% 0.45% 0.21% MC
87 ESP Nacho Elvira 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 0.67% 0.42% MC
88 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.24% 0.74% 0.5% MC
89 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 400 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.32% 0.1% T67
90 KOR Eunshin Park 400 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.22% 0.3% 0.08% T43
91 RSA Justin Walters 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.66% 0.44% T65
92 KOR Taehee Lee 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% MC
93 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 451 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.7% 0.51% MC
94 USA Joshua Lee 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.65% 0.47% T38
95 DEN John Axelsen 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.27% MC
96 KOR Inhoi Hur 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.12% T61
97 AUS Wonjoon Lee 500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.12% MC
98 KOR Jaemin Hwang 859 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.12% MC
99 KOR Wooyoung Cho(Am) 500 (Star Sports: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.12% MC
100 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% T32
101 ENG Todd Clements 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.41% 0.26% MC
102 ENG James Morrison 600 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.67% 0.52% T52
103 KOR Yeongsu Kim 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.31% 0.17% MC
104 KOR Bongsub Kim 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.3% 0.15% MC
105 KOR Doyeob Mun 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.3% 0.15% MC
106 KOR Kyongjun Moon 623 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.5/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
107 ENG John Parry 633 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.4/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.75% 0.61% MC
108 KOR Taehoon Kim 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
109 KOR Sungho Yun 719 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
110 ENG Oliver Wilson 729 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 84.7/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.66% 0.54% T21
111 KOR Jinho Choi 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
112 KOR Yunseok Gang 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.12% 0.3% 0.18% MC
113 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.81% 0.7% MC
114 DEN Thomas Bjorn 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.39% 0.28% MC
115 DEN Christoffer Bring 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% MC
116 KOR Guntaek Koh 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
117 KOR Jaemin Hwang 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19%
118 KOR Minjun Kim 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
119 KOR Sanghun Shin 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
120 KOR Taehoon Ok 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% T32
121 KOR Jaekyeong Lee 815 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 91.9/1) 0.12% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% MC
122 KOR Seonghyeon Jeon 844 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 94.2/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.3% 0.19% MC
123 IRL Gary Hurley 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.77% 0.67% MC
124 SWE Mikael Lindberg 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.67% 0.57% WD
125 KOR Sanghee Lee 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
126 KOR Taeho Kim 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
127 KOR Dongseop Maeng 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
128 KOR Hyungjoon Lee 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T43
129 KOR Junghwan Lee 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T10
130 KOR Junsung Kim 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
131 KOR Galam Jeon 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T21
132 KOR Jinsung Kim 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
133 KOR Osang Kwon 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
134 KOR Sungkug Park 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% T65
135 MAS C. M. Chong 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21%
136 KOR Dongeun Kim 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21% MC
137 USA Gunner Wiebe 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.64% 0.6% MC
138 IND Manu Gandas 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.49% 0.45% MC
139 KOR Dongmin Lee 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.3% 0.25% MC
140 KOR Minchel Choi 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.3% 0.26% MC
141 AUS Junseok Lee 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.3% 0.26% MC
142 KOR Jinjae Byun 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.3% 0.28% T49
143 KOR Sungmin Cho 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.3% 0.28% MC
144 KOR Jaeho Kim 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.3% 0.28% T14
145 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% T71
146 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 0% 0% 0% 0% T7
147 CAN Richard T Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% 70
149 KOR Jeongu Ham 0% 0% 0% 0% T61
150 CAN Justin Shin 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
151 KOR Hongtaek Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 KOR Kyeongjun Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 KOR Daihan Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 KOR Hanmil Jung 0% 0% 0% 0% T21
155 KOR Jiho Yang 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
156 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 0% 0% 0% 0% T10
158 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 KOR Heemin Chang 0% 0% 0% 0% T52

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.8 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.7 %

Key


Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 39.2% 22.9%
2 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 39.2% 22.9%
3 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 23.1%
4 Betway 7 @ 1/5 49.3% 23.2%
5 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.7% 23.2%
6 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.9% 23.5%
7 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 39.9% 23.5%
8 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 22.1% 24.5%
9 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 35%
10 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 63.6% 35%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 51.4% 36.1%
12 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 51.8% 36.3%
13 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 52.2% 36.8%
14 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 56.4% 40.7%
15 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 56.4% 40.7%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 63.4% 46.9%