Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 48.2

Total Profit: -51.9

Jonsson Workwear Open

23/03/2023 - 26/03/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 ENG Jordan L Smith 21 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.8/1) 4.55% 3.87% 2.19% -1.67% T24
2 ESP Adria Arnaus 22 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.7% 1.31% -2.38% MC
3 NED Joost Luiten 22 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 4.35% 3.7% 1.28% -2.42% T43
4 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 28 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.93% 0.9% -2.03% T43
5 FRA Julien Brun 33 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.5% 1.4% -1.1% T24
6 RSA Thriston Lawrence 33 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 2.94% 2.5% 1.12% -1.38% T52
7 RSA Wilco Nienaber 33 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.5% 0.83% -1.67% T32
8 RSA Oliver Bekker 35 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.36% 0.75% -1.61% MC
9 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 40 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.07% 1.45% -0.62% T17
10 MAS Gavin Green 40 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.07% 1.31% -0.77% T6
11 USA John Catlin 45 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 1.53% -0.31% T52
12 NIR Tom McKibbin 45 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.85% 1.42% -0.43% T71
13 FRA Matthieu Pavon 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.77% 1.79% 0.02% T32 7.84
14 FIN Sami Valimaki 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 1.66% -0.01% T24 7.38
15 ENG Dale Whitnell 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 1.44% -0.22% MC
16 RSA Zander Lombard 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 1.44% -0.23% T2
17 RSA Shaun Norris 50 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 0.98% -0.69% T58
18 ESP Adrian Otaegui 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.6% 1.87% 0.26% MC 7.11
19 SCO Ewen Ferguson 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.6% 0.81% -0.8% T4
20 RSA Louis de Jager 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.52% 0.75% -0.77% T52
21 RSA Hennie Du Plessis 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.52% 0.59% -0.93% T2
22 FRA Romain Langasque 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.47% 1.31% -0.15% T9 6.49
23 RSA George Coetzee 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.35% 0.7% -0.65% T40
24 RSA Casey Jarvis 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 1.18% -0.09% MC 5.62
25 ARG Daniel Vancsik 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 0.29% -0.98%
26 SCO Connor Syme 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.25% 1.87% 0.62% T58 5.54
27 GER Marcel Schneider 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.25% 1.25% 0% T13 5.54
28 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.25% 0.94% -0.31% MC
29 RSA Brandon Stone 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.25% 0.53% -0.72% MC
30 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 70 (William Hill: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 0.76% -0.44% T6
31 GER Nick Bachem 70 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 0.4% -0.8% 1
32 ENG Matthew Baldwin 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.16% 0.85% -0.31% T32
33 ENG Ross Fisher 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.16% 0.64% -0.53% T40
34 ENG Matthew Southgate 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.12% 1.07% -0.05% MC 4.96
35 SCO Calum Hill 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.12% 0.75% -0.36% T46
36 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 80 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 1.22% 0.17% MC 4.65
37 ENG Paul Waring 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.05% 1.16% 0.11% T64 4.65
38 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 1.06% 0.01% T52 4.65
39 FRA Clement Sordet 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.79% -0.26% T40
40 RSA Jaco Ahlers 80 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.74% -0.31% MC
41 RSA Pieter Moolman 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.29% -0.76% MC
42 FIN Mikko Korhonen 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.99% 0.45% -0.54% T17
43 SCO David Law 90 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.93% 0.76% -0.17% MC
44 ENG Dan Bradbury 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.72% -0.12% MC 3.73
45 RSA JC Ritchie 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.84% 0.67% -0.17% MC
46 AUT Lukas Nemecz 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.8% 0.8% -0.01% MC 3.56
47 SWE Joakim Lagergren 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.77% 1.17% 0.4% T6 3.4
48 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 110 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.77% 0.94% 0.17% MC 3.4
49 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.73% 1.13% 0.39% T9 3.25
50 FIN Kalle Samooja 115 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 19.3/1) 0.86% 0.73% 0.76% 0.03% T24 3.25
51 GER Hurly Long 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 1.85% 1.16% T32 3.04
52 ENG Daniel Gavins 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.99% 0.31% 77 3.04
53 RSA Justin Harding 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 0.71% 0.03% MC 3.04
54 RSA Ockie Strydom 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.67% 1.42% 0.75% T4 (tied w/2) 2.99 +48.2
55 RSA Bryce Easton 125 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.51% -0.17% MC 2.99
56 ENG Daniel A Brown 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.63% 0.81% 0.17% T17
57 ENG Andy Sullivan 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.59% 0.73% 0.13% T24
58 DEN Jeff Winther 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.12% 0.56% MC
59 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.68% 0.11% T17
60 NED Wil Besseling 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.68% 0.11% MC
61 FRA David Ravetto 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.56% 0.56% 0% MC
62 WAL Jamie Donaldson 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.53% 1.02% 0.49% T24
63 RSA Justin Walters 160 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.62% 0.53% 0.77% 0.24% T46
64 ESP Nacho Elvira 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.52% 1.2% 0.68% MC
65 SWE Simon Forsstrom 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.52% 0.83% 0.31% MC
66 FRA Julien Guerrier 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.52% 0.7% 0.19% T24
67 RSA JJ Senekal 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.52% 0.61% 0.09% MC
68 SWE Jens Dantorp 175 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.48% 0.96% 0.47% T64
69 RSA Thomas Aiken 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.47% 0.51% 0.04% T73
70 RSA Dylan Mostert 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.44% 1.37% 0.93% T64
71 RSA Jbe Kruger 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 1.07% 0.65% T43
72 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.47% 0.05% MC
73 KOR Yeongsu Kim 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.41% -0.01% MC
74 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.57% 0.21% T9
75 NED Daan Huizing 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.35% 0.53% 0.18% MC
76 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.62% 0.28% T64
77 RSA James Du Preez Jnr 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.46% 0.13% T24
78 CAN Aaron Cockerill 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.33% 0.62% 0.29% T13
79 RSA Darren Fichardt 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.32% 0.49% 0.18% 70
80 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 300 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.77% 0.49% T58
81 RSA Deon Germishuys 300 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.6% 0.32% T58
82 RSA Dylan Naidoo 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.39% 0.11% MC
83 ENG Todd Clements 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.28% 0.54% 0.27% MC
84 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.79% 0.55% T17
85 ENG John Parry 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.67% 0.43% MC
86 ENG Oliver Wilson 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.52% 0.27% T46
87 SWE Anton Karlsson 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% MC
88 RSA Jean Hugo 400 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.49% 0.27% MC
89 RSA Hennie Otto 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.45% 0.24% MC
90 RSA Louis Albertse 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.54% 0.33% T32
91 RSA Martin Vorster 403 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.9/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.38% 0.17% T32
92 RSA Ruan Korb 451 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.19% 0.39% 0.2% MC
93 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 479 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 62.3/1) 0.21% 0.18% 0.27% 0.1% T46
94 RSA Neil Schietekat 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 0.5% 0.33% T58
95 FRA Joel Stalter 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.55% 0.38% MC
96 DEN John Axelsen 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.52% 0.35% MC
97 RSA Keenan Davidse 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.51% 0.34% T17
98 USA Joshua Lee 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.45% 0.29% T64
99 RSA Estiaan Conradie 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% MC
100 RSA Trevor Fisher Jr 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.21% 78
101 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% T32
102 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.45% 0.31% T13
103 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.54% 0.4% MC
104 RSA Luke Jerling 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.53% 0.39% MC
105 RSA Tristen Strydom 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.43% 0.29% MC
106 IND Manu Gandas 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% MC
107 RSA Jake Redman 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.3% 0.16% MC
108 RSA Albert Venter 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.48% 0.35% MC
109 ENG Sam Hutsby 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.26% T73
110 RSA Jacques Blaauw 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.36% 0.25% MC
111 SWE Mikael Lindberg 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% T52
112 POL Mateusz Gradecki 750 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% MC
113 RSA MJ Viljoen 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.42% 0.32% T64
114 RSA CJ du Plessis 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.33% 0.23% MC
115 RSA Luke Brown 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.56% 0.47% MC
116 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.56% 0.47% MC
117 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.49% 0.4% MC
118 RSA Martin Rohwer 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.48% 0.4% T71
119 RSA Kyle Barker 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.39% MC
120 RSA Anthony Michael 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.34% 0.25% MC
121 RSA Merrick Bremner 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T46
122 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 1000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.32% 0.24% T73
123 RSA Herman Loubser 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% MC
124 RSA Michael Palmer 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.18% MC
125 RSA Wynand Dingle 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.7% 0.63% T17
126 USA Gunner Wiebe 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.59% 0.53% MC
127 POR Stephen Ferreira 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.33% 0.28% MC
128 CHN Ma Chengyao 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.32% 0.27% 76
129 RSA Rupert Kaminski 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.27% 0.21% MC
130 RSA Ruan Conradie 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.49% 0.45% MC
131 RSA Combrinck Smit 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.43% 0.39% MC
132 SWE Tobias Eden 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.42% 0.38% MC
133 RSA Alex Haindl 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.41% 0.37% MC
134 RSA Lyle Rowe 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% T46
135 SWE Philip Eriksson 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.27% 0.22% T58
136 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T32
137 RSA Callum Mowat 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 RSA Paul Boshoff 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 RSA Jacques de Villiers 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
141 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T13
142 RSA Makgetha Mazibuko 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 RSA Musiwalo Nethunzwi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 RSA Jason Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 ENG Bradley Bawden 0% 0% 0% 0% T52
146 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 0% 0% 0% 0% T9
147 RSA Franklin Manchest 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 RSA Adriel Poonan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 RSA Evance Vukeya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 RSA Siyanda Mwandla 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 RSA Therion Nel 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 RSA Luca Filippi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 SWZ James Pennington 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 RSA Adam Breen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 7.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betway 7 @ 1/5 50% 23.4%
2 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 41.8% 24.9%
3 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.4% 25.4%
4 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 42.5% 25.4%
5 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 66.4% 26.5%
6 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 47.2% 29.7%
7 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 47.2% 29.7%
8 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 59.5% 31.3%
9 Coral 7 @ 1/5 59.5% 31.3%
10 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 50.4% 32.5%
11 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.1% 33.8%
12 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 53.1% 34.9%
13 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 50.4% 35%
14 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 53.9% 35.6%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 53.3% 37.6%
16 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 56.8% 40.7%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 58.8% 42.5%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 58.8% 42.5%
19 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 68.4% 60.1%