Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.6 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 38.1

Total Profit: -62

Singapore Classic

09/02/2023 - 12/02/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 SCO Robert MacIntyre 16.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.1/1) 5.62% 4.8% 2.87% -1.93% MC
2 ENG Jordan L Smith 21 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.8/1) 4.55% 3.88% 2.75% -1.13% T17
3 NZL Ryan Fox 21 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.8/1) 4.55% 3.88% 1.92% -1.96% T17
4 ESP Adrian Otaegui 25 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.28% 4.42% 1.14% T30 14.53
5 FRA Antoine Rozner 28 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.94% 2.57% -0.38% T6
6 SWE Alexander Bjork 29 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.1/1) 3.33% 2.85% 1.37% -1.47% T42
7 ESP Adria Arnaus 31 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.4/1) 3.13% 2.67% 1.02% -1.65% MC
8 USA Johannes Veerman 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.51% 1.16% -1.35% MC
9 JPN Rikuya Hoshino 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.86% 1.04% -0.82% MC
10 ENG Richard Mansell 47 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 8.5/1) 2.08% 1.78% 1.01% -0.76% T6
11 GER Marcel Schneider 50 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 1.33% -0.35% T3
12 RSA Thriston Lawrence 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.67% 1.17% -0.51% MC
13 SCO Connor Syme 50 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.67% 0.9% -0.77% T65
14 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 55 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.52% 1.4% -0.12% MC
15 ENG Marcus Armitage 60 (Sporting Index: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.4% 0.77% -0.63% MC
16 FRA Julien Brun 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.36% 1.42% 0.07% T12 6
17 FRA Romain Langasque 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.36% 1.21% -0.14% T63
18 ENG Matthew Jordan 63 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.5/1) 1.56% 1.33% 1.64% 0.31% T17 5.91
19 CHN Wu Ashun 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.27% 1.22% -0.05% T12 5.64
20 GER Maximilian Kieffer 66 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 1.04% -0.24% MC
21 MAS Gavin Green 66 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.27% 1.01% -0.26% MC
22 GER Yannik Paul 66 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 0.92% -0.35% T34
23 SCO Richie Ramsay 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 0.84% -0.43% T55
24 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 66 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.27% 0.69% -0.59% T23
25 RSA George Coetzee 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.26% 1.5% 0.25% MC 5.56
26 DEN Marcus Helligkilde 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.26% 1.34% 0.08% T17 5.56
27 SWE Marcus Kinhult 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.26% 0.71% -0.55% MC
28 ENG Andrew Johnston 70 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 1.1% -0.1%
29 USA John Catlin 70 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.2% 0.42% -0.78% MC
30 FIN Sami Valimaki 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.15% 1.26% 0.1% 2 5.11 +38.1
31 DEN Niklas Norgaard Moller 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.12% 0.76% -0.36% T38
32 FRA Matthieu Pavon 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.09% 1.19% 0.1% T6 4.85
33 THA Kiradech Aphibarnrat 77 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.5/1) 1.28% 1.09% 0.56% -0.53% T49
34 ENG Nathan Kimsey 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 1.32% 0.26% T30 4.67
35 FIN Mikko Korhonen 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.05% 0.64% -0.41% MC
36 JPN Taiga Semikawa 80 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.05% 0.4% -0.66% T60
37 SCO Ewen Ferguson 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.03% 0.94% -0.09% MC 4.55
38 SCO Calum Hill 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.03% 0.66% -0.37% T67
39 SCO Scott Jamieson 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.99% 1.06% 0.06% T23 4.4
40 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 87 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.8/1) 1.14% 0.97% 0.68% -0.29% MC
41 NED Wil Besseling 90 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.2/1) 1.1% 0.94% 0.43% -0.5% T63
42 ESP Jorge Campillo 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.92% 0.79% -0.13% MC
43 ENG Ross Fisher 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.92% 0.62% -0.29% T49
44 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.85% 1.6% 0.75% MC 3.74
45 RSA Zander Lombard 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.85% 1.35% 0.51% T6 3.74
46 ENG Matthew Southgate 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.85% 0.8% -0.05% T12 3.74
47 ENG Paul Waring 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.55% -0.29% T6
48 KOR Jeunghun Wang 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.85% 0.52% -0.33% T3
49 FIN Kalle Samooja 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.85% 0.5% -0.35% T42
50 ENG Dan Bradbury 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.81% 1.66% 0.86% T34 3.57
51 ENG Dale Whitnell 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.79% 1.07% 0.28% T12 3.5
52 SCO Grant Forrest 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.69% 1.12% 0.43% T6 3.05
53 WAL Jamie Donaldson 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.82% 0.14% T42 3
54 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 125 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.67% -0.01% T23 3
55 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 125 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.68% 0.6% -0.08% MC 3
56 RSA Louis de Jager 126 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.6/1) 0.79% 0.67% 1.06% 0.39% MC 2.98
57 NIR Tom McKibbin 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.64% 0.82% 0.18% T12
58 ENG Andy Sullivan 136 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.7/1) 0.73% 0.62% 0.84% 0.21% T17
59 GER Marcel Siem 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.59% 0.63% 0.03% T17
60 FRA Julien Guerrier 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.59% 0.45% -0.14% T38
61 SWE Joakim Lagergren 150 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.57% 1.03% 0.46% T38
62 USA Chase Hanna 150 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.67% 0.1% T42
63 NZL Daniel Hillier 150 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.6% 0.04% MC
64 ENG Daniel A Brown 150 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.42% -0.14% T38
65 ARG Daniel Vancsik 150 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.57% 0.23% -0.34%
66 DEN Jeff Winther 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.55% 1.3% 0.75% T23
67 ENG Eddie Pepperell 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 1.53% 1.02% MC
68 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.51% 0.84% 0.33% MC
69 GER Hurly Long 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.49% 0.4% -0.09% T30
70 ENG Matthew Baldwin 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.92% 0.5% MC
71 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.56% 0.14% T49
72 CHN Hao Tong Li 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.4% -0.02% MC
73 FRA Alexander Levy 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.3% -0.13% 69
74 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.41% 0.7% 0.29% T23
75 FRA Clement Sordet 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 1.22% 0.88% T30
76 ENG Oliver Wilson 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.66% 0.32% MC
77 FRA David Ravetto 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.55% 0.21% T23
78 ESP Nacho Elvira 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.34% 0.44% 0.1% MC
79 RSA Bryce Easton 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% MC
80 ESP Alejandro Del Rey 250 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.4% 0.05% T3
81 ESP Santiago Tarrio 250 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.34% 0.23% -0.11%
82 RSA Justin Walters 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 0.83% 0.52% MC
83 SWE Simon Forsstrom 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.56% 0.28% T58
84 SWE Jens Dantorp 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% MC
85 DEN Martin Leth Simonsen 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.42% 0.13% MC
86 ENG John Parry 300 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.4% 0.11% MC
87 GER Nick Bachem 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.27% -0.02% MC
88 NED Darius Van Driel 316 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 46/1) 0.32% 0.27% 0.71% 0.44% MC
89 RSA Ockie Strydom 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.48% 0.24% 1
90 USA Joshua Lee 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% MC
91 THA Ratchanon Chantananuwat 391 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.7/1) 0.26% 0.22% 0.23% 0.01% MC
92 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.9% 0.69%
93 IRL Gary Hurley 400 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.83% 0.61% MC
94 ENG Todd Clements 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.41% 0.2% T49
95 CHN Ding Wenyi 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.34% 0.13% T23
96 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 401 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 54.7/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.3% 0.09% MC
97 SCO Marc Warren 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.49% 0.29% MC
98 SWE Jens Fahrbring 500 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.6% 0.43% MC
99 AUS Anthony Quayle 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.5% 0.33% T34
100 DEN Thomas Bjorn 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.43% 0.26% MC
101 RSA Deon Germishuys 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.41% 0.24% T42
102 SUI Jeremy Freiburghaus 500 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.25% 0.08% MC
103 FRA Joel Stalter 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.86% 0.7% T55
104 ENG David Horsey 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.59% 0.44%
105 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.42% 0.26% T65
106 ENG James Morrison 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% MC
107 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.32% 0.18% MC
108 CHN Chen Guxin 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.23% 0.09% MC
109 SWE Mikael Lindberg 695 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 81.8/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.26% 0.13% MC
110 USA Gunner Wiebe 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.62% 0.51% MC
111 IND Manu Gandas 750 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.14% MC
112 AUS Aaron Pike 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.25% 0.13% MC
113 AUS Blake Windred 800 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.12% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
114 USA Julian Suri 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.37% 0.28% MC
115 DEN John Axelsen 902 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 98.9/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.23% 0.13% T55
116 DEN Christoffer Bring 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.62% 0.53% MC
117 HKG Taichi Kho 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
118 RSA Albert Venter 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.23% 0.14% MC
119 ENG Sam Hutsby 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% T60
120 POR Pedro Figueiredo 1000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.45% 0.36% T42
121 SWE Tobias Eden 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
122 RSA Jake Redman 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.3% 0.21%
123 RSA MJ Viljoen 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.21% MC
124 AUS Louis Dobbelaar 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% WD
125 ISL Gudmundur Kristjansson 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.29% 0.2% T49
126 CHN Ma Chengyao 1000 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.09% 0.25% 0.17% MC
127 FRA Gary Stal 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
128 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
129 AUS Dimi Papadatos 0% 0% 0% 0% T42
130 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T58
131 GER Alexander Knappe 0% 0% 0% 0% T34
132 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
133 JPN Aguri Iwasaki 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
134 IRL John Murphy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 THA Amarin R Kraivixien 0% 0% 0% 0% T60
136 Ryan Ang 0% 0% 0% 0% T67

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.6 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 5.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.2% 11.9%
2 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 38% 21.5%
3 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 38.4% 21.8%
4 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 41% 24.1%
5 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.5%
6 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.5%
7 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.1% 26.8%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 30.1%
9 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 58.1% 30.1%
10 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 46.1% 31%
11 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 73.2% 31.6%
12 Betway 7 @ 1/5 61.5% 32.9%
13 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 49.9% 34.4%
14 VBet 5 @ 1/4 53.2% 34.8%
15 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 64.4% 35.3%
16 Coral 7 @ 1/5 64.4% 35.3%
17 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37%
18 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 52.8% 37%
19 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 54.3% 38.3%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 60% 43.5%
21 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 65.1% 45.4%