Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 62.7

Total Profit: -37.4

Mauritius Open

15/12/2023 - 18/12/2023

Up to date as of: 4 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 RSA Louis Oosthuizen 7.64 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 2.4/1) 11.57% 9.71% 2.43% -7.28% 1
2 FRA Matthieu Pavon 13.7 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.6/1) 6.8% 5.71% 2.65% -3.06% MC
3 FRA Antoine Rozner 14 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.59% 1.39% -4.21% T29
4 RSA Jayden Trey Schaper 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.23% 1.16% -2.06% 6
5 GER Marcel Siem 27 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.8/1) 3.57% 3% 2.31% -0.69% T16
6 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.89% 1.45% -1.44% T3
7 RSA Louis de Jager 28 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.89% 1.12% -1.77% T34
8 ENG Laurie Canter 30 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.2/1) 3.23% 2.71% 1.86% -0.85% 2
9 ITA Renato Paratore 33 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.47% 0.95% -1.52% T18
10 ENG Paul Waring 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) 2.5% 2.1% 1.19% -0.91% T16
11 RSA Wilco Nienaber 39 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.5/1) 2.5% 2.1% 0.78% -1.31% T47
12 RSA Dylan Frittelli 45 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.82% 2.74% 0.91% MC 8.15
13 ENG Daniel A Brown 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.69% 0.04% T3 (tied w/3) 7.35 +49.6
14 DEN Jeff Winther 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.32% -0.32% T11 7.35
15 ENG Matthew Southgate 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.65% 1.15% -0.49% T47
16 RSA Jacques Kruyswijk 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 0.93% -0.72% T40
17 ITA Andrea Pavan 50 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 0.87% -0.77% T18
18 RSA Casey Jarvis 50 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.65% 0.76% -0.89% T25
19 ITA Guido Migliozzi 57 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 11.7/1) 1.72% 1.45% 1.21% -0.24% T40 6.47
20 RSA Oliver Bekker 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.33% 1.76% 0.42% T34 5.95
21 FRA Alexander Levy 66 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.25% 0.91% -0.34% T29 5.6
22 ENG Tom Lewis 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.25% 0.71% -0.54% MC
23 FRA Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.25% 0.64% -0.61% MC
24 ENG Andrew Johnston 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.25% 0.47% -0.78% WD
25 GER Marcel Schneider 70 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.18% 1.07% -0.11% T29 5.28
26 ENG Matthew Baldwin 73 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.9/1) 1.35% 1.13% 0.78% -0.36% T49
27 SWE Jens Dantorp 80 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.04% 1.39% 0.36% T49 4.63
28 RSA Darren Fichardt 80 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.04% 1.29% 0.25% T7 (tied w/3) 4.63 +13.1
29 NED Daan Huizing 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.01% 0.75% -0.26% 64 4.52
30 Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 82 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.1/1) 1.2% 1.01% 0.68% -0.33% MC 4.52
31 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.98% 0.69% -0.28% MC 4.36
32 FRA Jeong Weon Ko 85 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 1.16% 0.98% 0.59% -0.39% MC
33 NOR Kristian Krogh Johannessen 100 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.74% -0.09% T25 3.71
34 ENG Sam Bairstow 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.71% -0.12% T34 3.71
35 FRA David Ravetto 100 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% 0.57% -0.26% MC 3.71
36 ENG Andrew Wilson 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.83% 0.51% -0.32% MC 3.71
37 ITA Matteo Manassero 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.83% 0.49% -0.34% MC 3.71
38 RSA Brandon Stone 107 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.3/1) 0.93% 0.78% 0.38% -0.39% T40
39 JPN Kazuki Higa 110 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.76% 0.77% 0.01% T11 3.38
40 SWE Joakim Lagergren 110 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.76% 0.6% -0.16% T25 3.38
41 FRA Tom Vaillant 110 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.76% 0.35% -0.41% T18
42 USA John Catlin 125 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.68% 0.01% 10 2.98
43 Martin Couvra 125 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.67% 0.31% -0.35% MC 2.98
44 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.63% 0.52% -0.11% T49
45 RSA JC Ritchie 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.15% 0.6% MC
46 ENG Will Enefer 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 1.02% 0.47% MC
47 FRA Robin Sciot-Siegrist 150 (10bet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.65% 0.09%
48 Sam Jones 150 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.56% 0.62% 0.06% MC
49 DEN Sebastian Friedrichsen 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.44% 0.35% -0.09% MC
50 WAL Jamie Donaldson 195 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.1/1) 0.51% 0.43% 0.79% 0.36% MC
51 RSA Thomas Aiken 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 1.07% 0.65% T7
52 DEN Jeppe Kristian Andersen 200 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.42% 0.78% 0.36% MC
53 USA Chase Hanna 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.61% 0.19% T59
54 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.51% 0.09% T34
55 ESP Ivan Cantero Gutierrez 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.42% 0.38% -0.03% MC
56 RSA Ryan Van Velzen 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.42% 0.44% 0.03% T40
57 ENG Robin Williams 211 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.7/1) 0.47% 0.4% 0.69% 0.29% MC
58 Angel Ayora 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.69% 0.3% 33
59 RSA Deon Germishuys 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.67% 0.28% T18
60 FRA Clement Sordet 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.56% 0.18% MC
61 RSA Jaco Prinsloo 234 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32/1) 0.43% 0.36% 0.49% 0.13% T25
62 RSA Jaco Van Zyl 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 1.05% 0.71% MC
63 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.5% 0.16% T54
64 RSA Pieter Moolman 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.41% 0.07% T29
65 RSA Louis Albertse 244 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33/1) 0.41% 0.34% 0.38% 0.04% MC
66 USA Nicolo Galletti 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 1.62% 1.28% MC
67 ENG Sam Hutsby 250 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.33% 0.36% 0.02% MC
68 DEN Nicolai B Kristensen 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.31% -0.01% MC
69 SCO Marc Warren 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.76% 0.45% T59
70 FIN Lauri Ruuska 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.33% 0.01% MC
71 ESP Santiago Tarrio 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.32% 0.31% 0%
72 RSA Neil Schietekat 273 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.3/1) 0.36% 0.31% 1.04% 0.74% MC
73 ARG Daniel Vancsik 293 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 43.5/1) 0.34% 0.29% 0.31% 0.03%
74 Matthis Besard 300 (Spreadex: 6 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 1.21% 0.93% MC
75 ENG Frank Kennedy 300 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 1.16% 0.88% MC
76 ENG Ashley Chesters 300 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.63% 0.35% MC
77 NED Lars Van Meijel 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.28% 0.47% 0.19% T18
78 DEN Soren Kjeldsen 303 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44.6/1) 0.33% 0.28% 0.96% 0.68% MC
79 AUS Haydn Barron 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% MC
80 RSA Dylan Naidoo 355 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 50.1/1) 0.28% 0.24% 1.01% 0.77% T11
81 WAL Oliver Farr 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.5% 0.29% T11
82 WAL Stuart Manley 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.48% 0.27% MC
83 ZIM Benjamin Follett-Smith 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% MC
84 ENG Bradley Bawden 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.31% 0.1% T34
85 ENG Steven Brown 421 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.38% 0.18% T40
86 DEN John Axelsen 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.72% 0.53% MC
87 USA Jordan Gumberg 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.17% 1.06% 0.89% T54
88 RSA Kyle Barker 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.43% 0.26% MC
89 RSA Hennie Otto 500 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.22% MC
90 DEN Oliver Hundeboll Jorgensen 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.29% 0.12% MC
91 ENG Garrick Porteous 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.54% 0.38% T40
92 RSA Nikhil Rama 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.12% 1.02% 0.89% MC
93 WAL Rhys Enoch 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.86% 0.73% MC
94 RSA Dylan Mostert 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.74% 0.63% MC
95 RSA Malcolm Mitchell 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.72% 0.61% MC
96 POL Mateusz Gradecki 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.71% 0.59% MC
97 POR Pedro Figueiredo 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.66% 0.55% T18
98 RSA MJ Viljoen 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.64% 0.53% MC
99 RSA Luke Jerling 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.63% 0.52% MC
100 Joshua Berry 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.58% 0.47% MC
101 RSA Jacques Blaauw 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.55% 0.44% MC
102 RSA Jacques de Villiers 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.55% 0.44% T3
103 RSA Haydn Porteous 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% 62
104 RSA Wynand Dingle 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.34% MC
105 RSA Tristen Strydom 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.45% 0.34% MC
106 RSA Anthony Michael 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.44% 0.33% T49
107 GRE Peter Karmis 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% T54
108 RSA Heinrich Bruiners 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
109 RSA Yurav Premlall 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
110 RSA Hennie O'Kennedy 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
111 RSA Stefan Wears Taylor 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
112 RSA Martin Vorster 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.38% 0.27% MC
113 SUI Benjamin Rusch 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% MC
114 RSA Jovan Rebula 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% MC
115 Conner Mackenzie 750 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.35% 0.24% MC
116 DEN Soren Broholt Lind 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% T18
117 DEN Jonathan Goth-Rasmussen 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% MC
118 RSA Sean Bradley 750 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22% MC
119 Karabo Mokoena 750 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.33% 0.22%
120 FRA Julien Quesne 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.31% 0.2% MC
121 RSA Keenan Davidse 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.54% 0.45% MC
122 RSA Rupert Kaminski 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.48% 0.39% T34
123 RSA JJ Senekal 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.35% 0.26% MC
124 MRI Pierre Pellegrin 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% MC
125 SWE Anton Karlsson 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.38% 0.3% MC
126 RSA Estiaan Conradie 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.23% MC
127 RSA Jake Redman 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.78% 0.69% T54
128 RSA Lyle Rowe 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% T7
129 DEN Joachim B Hansen 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
130 RSA Ruan Korb 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
131 RSA Albert Venter 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
132 ZIM Robson Chinhoi 1000 (Ladbrokes: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.38% 0.3% MC
133 AUS Andrew Martin 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.36% 0.28% T59
134 RSA Ruan Conradie 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27%
135 RSA Keagan Thomas 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
136 Jonothan Broomhead 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% MC
137 RSA Martin Rohwer 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
138 RSA Rhys West 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.24% MC
139 Danie Van Niekerk 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.24% T54
140 RSA Jared Harvey 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23%
141 RSA Hayden Griffiths 1000 (bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.31% 0.23% MC
142 RSA Merrick Bremner 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% MC
143 RSA Combrinck Smit 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22%
144 Aneurin Gounden 1500 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.06% 0.31% 0.26% MC
145 RSA Danie van Tonder 0% 0% 0% 0% T40
146 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% T11
147 USA Matt Davidson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 GER Max Rottluff 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 RSA Rourke Van der Spuy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 RSA Toto Thimba 0% 0% 0% 0% 63
151 USA Clancy Waugh 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 RSA Vaughn Van Deventer 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 GER Frederik Schott 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 RSA Luca Filippi 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 FRA Oihan Guillamoundeguy 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 USA Dan Erickson 0% 0% 0% 0% T49
157 RSA Adam Breen 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Keegan Mclachlan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 David Wicks(Sept1993) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Stuart Krog 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
161 Regan Steyn 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 12.3 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 6.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 13.4% 13.4%
2 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 57.8% 20.6%
3 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.7% 27.8%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 54.6% 27.9%
5 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 54.6% 27.9%
6 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 45.4% 28.5%
7 10Bet 6 @ 1/5 44.7% 30.3%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.2% 30.8%
9 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 45.6% 31%
10 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 45.6% 31%
11 BetMGM UK 6 @ 1/5 45.6% 31%
12 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 48.7% 31.4%
13 Ladbrokes 8 @ 1/5 73.5% 32.7%
14 Coral 8 @ 1/5 73.5% 32.7%
15 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 48.3% 33.5%
16 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 50.9% 35.9%
17 Star Sports 6 @ 1/5 52% 36.8%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37.2%
19 Sporting Index 6 @ 1/5 52.4% 37.2%
20 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 53% 37.7%
21 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 56% 37.9%
22 VBet 5 @ 1/4 56.5% 38.3%