Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.8 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 85.6

Total Profit: -14.5

Fortinet Australian PGA Championship

24/11/2022 - 27/11/2022

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 AUS Cameron Smith 3.5 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 22.22% 16.68% 6.57% -10.12% 1
2 AUS Adam Scott 9 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 10% 7.51% 4.05% -3.46% T28
3 NZL Ryan Fox 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.01% 4.07% -0.93% MC
4 AUS Minwoo Lee 14 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.01% 2.77% -2.23% T4
5 AUS Cameron Davis 16 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.42% 3.83% -0.58% T7
6 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.95% 3.21% -0.74% MC
7 AUS Lucas Herbert 18 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 5.26% 3.95% 2.54% -1.41%
8 POL Adrian Meronk 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.26% 3.05% -0.21% T34 14.34
9 AUS Marc Leishman 22 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.26% 1.32% -1.94% T12
10 KOR Jeunghun Wang 33 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.21% 0.33% -1.88% T48
11 AUS Brad Kennedy 40 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 2.19% 0.36% T12 8.04
12 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 40 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.83% 1.01% -0.82% T57
13 JPN Takumi Kanaya 45 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.17% 1.63% 0.43% -1.2% T7
14 ENG Matthew Jordan 50 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 1.17% -0.3% MC 6.47
15 AUS Jason Scrivener 50 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.47% 0.9% -0.57% T2 (tied w/2) 6.47 +35.6
16 JPN Ryo Hisatsune 66 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.12% 4.05% 2.93% T2 (tied w/2) 4.92 +43.1
17 USA Harrison Endycott 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.23% 0.11% T18 4.92
18 JPN Masahiro Kawamura 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.1% -0.02% T7 (tied w/5) 4.92 +7
19 ENG Tom Lewis 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 1.08% -0.04% T34 4.92
20 AUS Jediah Morgan 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.33% -0.79% MC
21 AUS Travis Smyth 66 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.12% 0.33% -0.79% T62
22 NZL Daniel Hillier 70 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.41% 1.06% 1.19% 0.13% T70 4.65
23 AUS Anthony Quayle 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 4.06% 3.13% T57 4.07
24 ESP Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 2.3% 1.37% T28 4.07
25 AUS Maverick Antcliff 80 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.93% 0.88% -0.05% T28 4.07
26 AUS David Micheluzzi 90 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.1% 0.83% 1.03% 0.2% 6 3.63
27 AUS Wade Ormsby 100 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.74% 0.36% -0.38% T34 3.27
28 AUS Todd Sinnott 110 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.68% 3.96% 3.28% T28 2.97
29 ESP Alejandro Canizares 125 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.85% 0.26% T12 2.62
30 ENG David Horsey 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.57% -0.02% MC 2.62
31 AUS Daniel Gale 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.34% -0.25% MC 2.62
32 AUS Adam Bland 125 (VBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% T62 2.62
33 AUS Michael Sim 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% T41 2.62
34 AUS Connor McKinney 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% T41 2.62
35 AUS Hayden Hopewell 125 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.6% 0.33% -0.27% 56 2.62
36 ENG John Parry 150 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.66% 0.5% 2% 1.5% T4
37 AUS Justin Warren 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.35% -0.15% T70
38 AUS Louis Dobbelaar 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.34% -0.15% MC
39 AUS James Marchesani 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.33% -0.17% MC
40 AUS Aaron Wilkin 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.33% -0.17% T53
41 AUS Jack Thompson 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.33% -0.17% T48
42 AUS Harrison Crowe 150 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.5% 0.33% -0.17% T41
43 AUS Scott Hend 175 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.72% 0.29% T18
44 AUS Zach Murray 175 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.57% 0.43% 0.44% 0.02% MC
45 AUS Deyen Lawson 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.33% -0.1% T41
46 NZL Nick Voke 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.33% -0.1% T18
47 AUS Cameron John 175 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.43% 0.33% -0.1% T28
48 WAL Oliver Farr 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.69% 0.32% MC
49 AUS Jake McLeod 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.52% 0.14% T18
50 AUS Blake Windred 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.35% -0.02% MC
51 AUS Matthew Griffin 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.35% -0.03% T57
52 AUS Josh Armstrong 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.34% -0.03% MC
53 AUS Brett Rumford 200 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.37% 0.33% -0.05% MC
54 AUS Andrew Martin 200 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.37% 0.33% -0.05% T53
55 AUS Dimi Papadatos 250 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.3% 0.93% 0.64% MC
56 AUS Greg Chalmers 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% T7
57 NZL Josh Geary 250 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.39% 0.09% T53
58 AUS Jordan Zunic 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.37% 0.07% T62
59 AUS Matthew Millar 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% MC
60 AUS Brett Rankin 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% MC
61 USA Devon Bling 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% MC
62 AUS Andrew Mckenzie(Aus) 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03%
63 AUS John Lyras 250 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.3% 0.33% 0.03% T34
64 AUS Nathan Barbieri 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% T41
65 AUS Elvis Smylie 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.34% 0.09% T12
66 AUS Michael Wright 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
67 AUS Lincoln Tighe 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
68 AUS Jamie Arnold 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T48
69 AUS Kade McBride 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% T34
70 AUS Lawry Flynn 300 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.25% 0.33% 0.08% MC
71 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.25% 0.32% 0.07% T18
72 AUS Jarryd Felton 350 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.21% 0.47% 0.26% T28
73 AUS Aaron Pike 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.34% 0.16% T48
74 AUS Marcus Fraser 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% 69
75 AUS Nick Flanagan 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T18
76 NOR Kristoffer Reitan 400 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
77 AUS Tom Power Horan 400 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T12
78 NZL Denzel Ieremia 400 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% T18
79 AUS Haydn Barron 400 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.19% 0.33% 0.14% MC
80 FRA Pierre Pineau 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.92% 0.77% T48
81 AUS John Senden 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.38% 0.23%
82 USA Gunner Wiebe 500 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T18
83 AUS Scott Strange 500 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T41
84 AUS Sam Brazel 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T7
85 AUS Tim Hart 500 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
86 AUS Adam Blyth 500 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
87 NZL Harry Bateman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
88 CHN Liu Yanwei 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T18
89 AUS Ben Wharton 500 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% MC
90 AUS Lucas Higgins 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% 75
91 AUS Jay Mackenzie 500 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18%
92 USA Derek Ackerman 500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.15% 0.33% 0.18% T34
93 AUS Austin Bautista 500 (QuinnBet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.15% 0.28% 0.13% MC
94 NZL Luke Toomey 600 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.12% 0.33% 0.2% MC
95 ITA Andrea Pavan 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.53% 0.43% MC
96 NZL Ben Campbell 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.25%
97 AUS Ashley Hall 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
98 AUS Matthew Stieger 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
99 AUS Jason Norris 750 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
100 AUS Blake Proverbs 750 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% MC
101 AUS Blake Collyer 750 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.1% 0.33% 0.23% T62
102 ENG David Howell 1000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.78% 0.71% MC
103 ENG Richard McEvoy 1000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.7% 0.63% MC
104 SCO Liam Johnston 1000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.4% T62
105 AUS Jake Higginbottom 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
106 AUS David Bransdon 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T73
107 AUS Scott Arnold 1000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T70
108 AUS Peter Cooke 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T73
109 AUS Jack Munro 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T62
110 AUS Rohan Blizard 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T76
111 AUS Peter Fowler 1000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
112 AUS Maxwell McCardle 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
113 AUS Peter Wilson 1000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T57
114 AUS Darren Beck 1000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
115 AUS Cory Crawford 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T34
116 NZL Kieran Muir 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
117 AUS Simon Hawkes 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
118 NZL Ryan Chisnall 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
119 AUS Shae Wools-Cobb 1000 (Betfair : 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
120 RSA Luke Brown 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25%
121 AUS Samuel Eaves 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T18
122 AUS Andre Stolz 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
123 AUS Charlie Dann 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T76
124 KOR Changgi Lee 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% T12
125 AUS James Grierson 1000 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.33% 0.25% MC
126 AUS Peter Lonard 1500 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
127 USA Chris Crabtree 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
128 AUS Brenton Fowler 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
129 NZL Mark Hutson 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
130 AUS Andrew Campbell 1500 (Skybet: 7 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 0.33% 0.28% MC
131 AUS Steven Jeffress 2000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% MC
132 AUS Ben Eccles 2000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% MC
133 AUS Peter O'Malley 2000 (William Hill: 7 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.33% 0.29% MC
134 BRA Rafael Becker 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
135 AUS David Klein 0% 0% 0% 0% T41
136 AUS Christopher Wood 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
137 AUS Brett Coletta 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
138 GER Dennis Meyerrose 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
139 AUS Andrew Evans 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
140 AUS Steve Allan 0% 0% 0% 0% T62
141 AUS Jordan Mullaney 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
142 AUS Daniel J Loypur 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
143 NZL Luke Brown(Mar1995) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
144 AUS Jackson Bugdalski 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
145 Kit Bittle 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 Lawrence Curtis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 Callan Barrow 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
148 Darcy Brereton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
149 Jak Carter 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 Mitchell Smith 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 Lachlan Barker 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
152 Will Heffernan 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 James Mee 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
154 Tyron-Jaye Gooding-King 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 Daniel O'Loughlin 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 Jayden Cripps 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 Ben A Campbell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Edward Donoghue 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 Aiden Didone 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 Zinyo Garcia 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 0.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 William Hill 7 @ 1/5 46.1% 21.5%
2 Skybet 7 @ 1/5 50.7% 25.4%
3 Betfair Sportsbook 7 @ 1/5 55.6% 29.2%
4 Paddy Power 7 @ 1/5 55.6% 29.2%
5 QuinnBet 5 @ 1/4 47.6% 31%
6 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 48% 31.3%
7 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 48% 31.3%
8 Betway 7 @ 1/5 58.6% 31.8%
9 888Sport 6 @ 1/5 47.5% 33.1%
10 VBet 5 @ 1/4 57.6% 39.8%
11 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 62.4% 44%