Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 9.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.2 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.9 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 227.7

Total Profit: +127.6

3M Open

27/07/2023 - 30/07/2023

Up to date as of: 9 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Cameron Young 14 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 6.67% 5.28% 0.58% -4.69% MC
2 KOR Sungjae Im 16 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.66% 0.66% -3.99% MC
3 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 16 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 5.88% 4.66% 0.59% -4.07% T30
4 USA Tony Finau 18.2 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.4/1) 5.21% 4.12% 0.67% -3.45% T7
5 AUT Sepp Straka 22 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.44% 0.91% -2.53% MC
6 ARG Emiliano Grillo 25 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.04% 0.89% -2.16% T10
7 USA Justin Thomas 25 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.04% 0.49% -2.55% MC
8 AUS Cameron Davis 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.33% 0.61% -1.72% T10
9 USA Gary Woodland 33 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.33% 0.53% -1.8% MC
10 SWE Ludvig Aberg 33 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.33% 0.33% -2% T64
11 CAN Adam Hadwin 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.2% 0.7% -1.49% MC
12 USA J.J Spaun 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.93% 1.33% -0.6% T37 8.45
13 ENG Aaron Rai 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.93% 0.4% -1.53% T20
14 USA Lucas Glover 40 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.93% 0.27% -1.66% MC
15 USA Sahith Theegala 45 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.72% 1.1% -0.62% MC
16 NZL Ryan Fox 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.72% 0.76% -0.96% MC
17 USA Eric Cole 45 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.72% 0.71% -1.01% T30
18 GER Stephan Jaeger 50 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 0.99% -0.57% T30 6.79
19 USA JT Poston 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.55% 0.61% -0.94% T2
20 USA Beau Hossler 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 0.52% -1.03% T13
21 USA Austin Eckroat 50 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.55% 0.47% -1.08% MC
22 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.26% 0.68% -0.57% MC 5.5
23 SWE Vincent Norrman 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.18% 1.1% -0.08% T50 5.17
24 USA Keith Mitchell 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.16% 1% -0.16% T5 (tied w/2) 5.09 +17.9
25 USA Patrick Rodgers 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.16% 0.98% -0.18% T37 5.09
26 USA Tom Hoge 70 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.11% 0.61% -0.51% T20 4.88
27 RSA Garrick Higgo 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.11% 0.28% -0.83% T13
28 USA Doug Ghim 70 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.11% 0.27% -0.84% T27
29 USA Mark Hubbard 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.04% 0.69% -0.36% MC 4.56
30 USA Greyson Sigg 80 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.69% -0.28% MC 4.28
31 CAN Adam Svensson 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.52% -0.45% T37 4.28
32 USA Lee Hodges 80 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.37% -0.61% 1 4.28 +209.7
33 AUS Kevin Yuan 80 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.98% 0.04% -0.94%
34 CAN Taylor Pendrith 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.92% 0.49% -0.43% MC 4.03
35 USA Chez Reavie 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.81% 0.03% MC 3.43
36 USA Samuel Stevens 100 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.65% -0.13% T10 3.43
37 USA Matthew NeSmith 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.65% -0.13% MC 3.43
38 USA Davis Thompson 100 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.33% -0.46% MC 3.43
39 USA Luke List 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.78% 0.21% -0.57% 3.43
40 SWE Alexander Noren 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.75% 0.42% -0.32% T13 3.27
41 USA Ryan Palmer 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.83% 0.12% MC 3.12
42 USA Benjamin Griffin 110 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.9% 0.71% 0.5% -0.21% T20 3.12
43 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.64% 0.31% -0.33% MC 2.8
44 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.78% 0.16% T27 2.75
45 USA Nate Lashley 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.28% -0.35% T57 2.75
46 USA William Gordon 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.63% 0.17% -0.46% MC 2.75
47 USA Matt Kuchar 133 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 21.4/1) 0.75% 0.59% 0.59% 0% T43
48 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.55% 0.24% -0.31% MC
49 USA Brandon Wu 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.55% 0.24% -0.31% T57
50 USA Carson Young 150 (Ladbrokes: 10 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 1% 0.47% MC
51 ENG Harry Hall 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.81% 0.28% MC
52 USA David Lipsky 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.59% 0.07% T43
53 USA Joel Dahmen 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.45% -0.08% MC
54 TPE C.T. Pan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.4% -0.12% 70
55 ENG Callum Tarren 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.52% 0.14% -0.38% T13
56 USA Taylor Montgomery 153 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 23.6/1) 0.65% 0.51% 0.3% -0.22% MC
57 USA Peter Kuest 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.48% 1.13% 0.65% T50
58 USA Ryan Gerard 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 1.04% 0.59% T57
59 SWE David Lingmerth 175 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.31% -0.14%
60 USA Stewart Cink 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.15% -0.3% T37
61 USA Dylan Wu 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.41% 0.39% -0.03% T5
62 USA Andrew Novak 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.91% 0.51% MC
63 USA Chad Ramey 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.69% 0.29% T53
64 RSA Erik van Rooyen 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.65% 0.26% MC
65 USA Troy Merritt 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.39% 0.53% 0.13% MC
66 USA Sam Bennett 201 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 28.7/1) 0.5% 0.39% 1.26% 0.87% MC
67 USA Michael Kim 220 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.6/1) 0.45% 0.36% 0.5% 0.15% MC
68 USA Mackenzie Hughes 229 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31.5/1) 0.43% 0.34% 0.3% -0.05% T30
69 USA Chesson Hadley 239 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 32.5/1) 0.42% 0.33% 0.82% 0.49% T27
70 USA Nick Hardy 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.32% 0.64% 0.32% T13
71 USA Kevin Streelman 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.32% 0.27% -0.05% T2
72 USA Billy Horschel 249 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 33.5/1) 0.4% 0.32% 0.21% -0.1% T13
73 USA Charley Hoffman 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.22% 0.9% MC
74 USA Scott Piercy 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.72% 0.4%
75 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.71% 0.4% MC
76 USA Robby Shelton 250 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.13% -0.19% MC
77 USA James Hahn 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.68% 0.37% T62
78 USA Ben Martin 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.3% 0.29% -0.01% MC
79 USA Adam Long 268 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.8/1) 0.37% 0.29% 0.89% 0.6% T37
80 USA Peter Malnati 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.29% 0.81% 0.53% MC
81 USA Trey Mullinax 275 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.36% 0.29% 0.13% -0.15% T50
82 USA Sam Ryder 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.28% 0.22% -0.06% T7
83 RSA MJ Daffue 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.27% 0.81% 0.54% T43
84 USA Trevor Cone 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 1.02% 0.76% T64
85 USA Zac Blair 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.28% 0.02% T13
86 USA Tyler Duncan 300 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.26% 0.21% -0.06% T20
87 USA Lanto Griffin 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.26% 0.12% -0.15% MC
88 ENG Matt Wallace 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.22% -0.04% T43
89 USA Patton Kizzire 307 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45/1) 0.32% 0.26% 0.17% -0.09% MC
90 USA Brice Garnett 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 1.19% 1% T53
91 USA Ryan Moore 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.98% 0.78% MC
92 USA Harry Higgs 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.87% 0.67% MC
93 USA Austin Smotherman 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.74% 0.54% MC
94 ARG Augusto Nunez 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% T72
95 USA Ryan Armour 400 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.1% -0.09% MC
96 SCO Martin Laird 431 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.7/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.8% 0.62% T2
97 USA Justin Lower 441 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.7/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.55% 0.37% T43
98 USA Frankie Capan 489 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 63.3/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.05% -0.12% T62
99 USA Jimmy Walker 499 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 64.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.19% 0.04% MC
100 USA Kevin Roy 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.68% 1.52% MC
101 USA Kelly Kraft 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.58% 1.43%
102 USA Robert Streb 500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.51% 1.36% MC
103 USA Cody Gribble 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.5% 1.34% MC
104 USA Richy Werenski 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 1.36% 1.2% MC
105 USA Doc Redman 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.16% 1.58% 1.42% T30
106 AUS Aaron Baddeley 508 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.1/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.9% 0.74% T7
107 USA Austin Cook 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 1.66% 1.53% MC
108 JPN Satoshi Kodaira 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.75% 0.62% MC
109 USA Andrew Landry 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.13% 0% MC
110 USA Jim Herman 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.08% -0.05% T72
111 USA Hank Lebioda 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.13% 0.07% -0.06% MC
112 USA Kevin Tway 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.12% 1% 0.88% MC
113 SCO Russell Knox 643 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.3/1) 0.16% 0.12% 0.63% 0.51% T53
114 USA Kramer Hickok 652 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.1/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.83% 0.71% T30
115 USA Brent Grant 662 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.9/1) 0.15% 0.12% 1.12% 1% MC
116 CAN Michael Gligic 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.72% 1.62% MC
117 USA Scott Harrington 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.68% 1.57% MC
118 USA Kyle Westmoreland 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.59% 1.48% MC
119 USA Martin Trainer 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.55% 1.45% MC
120 USA Ryan Brehm 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.44% 1.34% MC
121 AUT Matthias Schwab 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 1.21% 1.11% T64
122 RSA Dylan Frittelli 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.76% 0.66% MC
123 USA Tyson Alexander 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.57% 0.47% T20
124 SWE Henrik Norlander 787 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.6/1) 0.13% 0.1% 1.39% 1.29% T57
125 USA Sean O'Hair 835 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.5/1) 0.12% 0.09% 1.73% 1.64% MC
126 USA Brandt Snedeker 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 1.83% 1.75% T53
127 USA Harrison Endycott 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.97% 0.88% MC
128 COL Nicolas Echavarria 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.82% 0.74% MC
129 AUS Cameron Percy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
130 USA Jason Dufner 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% T20
131 ENG Benjamin Taylor 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.06% 71
132 USA Jonathan Byrd 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.11% 0.03% MC
133 USA Preston Summerhays 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.05% -0.04% MC
134 USA Trevor Werbylo 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.72% 1.64% WD
135 USA Brian Stuard 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.68% 1.6% MC
136 USA Brandon Matthews 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.66% 1.58% MC
137 USA Max McGreevy 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 1.26% 1.18% T30
138 USA Paul Haley-II 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.66% 0.58% T43
139 USA Brian Gay 1000 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.07% -0.01% MC
140 USA Nick Watney 1500 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.07% 0.05% 1.48% 1.43% MC
141 CAN David Hearn 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.04% 0.01% MC
142 USA Chad Collins 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.04% 0.01% MC
143 KOR Seungyul Noh 0% 0% 0% 0% 69
144 USA Kevin Chappell 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
145 USA Chris Stroud 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
146 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
147 USA Grayson Murray 0% 0% 0% 0% T57
148 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T43
149 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
150 AUS Daniel Gale 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
151 JPN Kaito Onishi 0% 0% 0% 0% T64
152 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T37
153 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% T20
154 Thomas Lehman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 Derek Hitchner 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
156 Caleb VanArragon 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 Alex Gaugert 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 Eric Rolland 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
159 Noah Hofman 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 9.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 0.2 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 6.2% 8.1%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 49.5% 14%
3 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 51% 15%
4 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 52% 15.9%
5 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 52% 15.9%
6 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 75.1% 15.9%
7 Coral 10 @ 1/5 75.1% 15.9%
8 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 64% 25%
9 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.4% 25.6%
10 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 43% 26.1%
11 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 44.7% 27.6%
12 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 45.3% 28.1%
13 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 30.7%
14 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 30.7%
15 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 58.8% 30.9%
16 VBet 5 @ 1/4 49% 31.5%
17 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 57.1% 38.6%
18 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.7%
19 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 55.5% 39.7%
20 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 57.2% 41.3%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 58.9% 42.8%
22 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 58.9% 42.8%