Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 8.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.1 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 33.2

Total Profit: -66.9

Genesis Scottish Open

13/07/2023 - 16/07/2023

Up to date as of: 9 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 6.5 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 13.33% 11.1% 3.94% -7.16% T3
2 NIR Rory McIlroy 9 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 10% 8.33% 2.7% -5.63% 1
3 USA Xander Schauffele 16.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.1/1) 5.62% 4.68% 1.62% -3.06% T42
4 USA Patrick Cantlay 17 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.2/1) 5.56% 4.63% 1.61% -3.02% MC
5 ENG Tyrrell Hatton 20 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.97% 2.24% -1.73% T6
6 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 20 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 4.76% 3.97% 1.71% -2.26% T6
7 USA Jordan Spieth 22 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 4.35% 3.62% 1.69% -1.94% MC
8 NOR Viktor Hovland 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) 4.17% 3.47% 3.16% -0.31% T25 15.29
9 USA Rickie Fowler 23 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.2/1) 4.17% 3.47% 2.84% -0.63% T42
10 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 32 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 6.5/1) 3.03% 2.52% 1.75% -0.77% MC
11 USA Max Homa 33 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 2.94% 2.45% 1.95% -0.5% T12 (tied w/7) 10.8 +5
12 AUS Minwoo Lee 33 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 2.94% 2.45% 1.36% -1.09% T35
13 IRL Shane Lowry 40 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.44% 2.03% 1.32% -0.71% T12
14 USA Justin Thomas 45 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.17% 1.81% 0.89% -0.92% T60
15 SWE Ludvig Aberg 45 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 2.17% 1.81% 0.79% -1.02% MC
16 USA Wyndham Clark 52 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 10.9/1) 1.89% 1.57% 1.92% 0.35% T25 6.93
17 NZL Ryan Fox 60 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.64% 1.37% 1.51% 0.14% T12 (tied w/7) 6.02 +4.7
18 KOR Tom Kim 60 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.64% 1.37% 1.22% -0.14% T6 (tied w/5) 6.02 +23.5
19 ENG Aaron Rai 60 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.64% 1.37% 0.87% -0.5% MC 6.02
20 USA Alex Smalley 60 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.64% 1.37% 0.8% -0.56% MC 6.02
21 ENG Justin Rose 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.22% 1.84% 0.61% MC 5.4
22 AUS Lucas Herbert 70 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.17% 1.18% 0.01% T60 5.17
23 USA Sam Burns 72 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.8/1) 1.37% 1.14% 1.13% -0.01% T19 5.03
24 KOR Sungjae Im 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.03% 1.4% 0.37% MC 4.53
25 AUS Adam Scott 80 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.9/1) 1.23% 1.03% 1.15% 0.12% MC 4.53
26 SWE Alexander Noren 80 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.23% 1.03% 0.74% -0.29% MC 4.53
27 CAN Corey Conners 85 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 15.5/1) 1.16% 0.97% 1.1% 0.14% T19 4.27
28 SCO Robert MacIntyre 90 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.92% 0.34% -0.57% 2
29 USA Sahith Theegala 100 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.82% 1.59% 0.76% MC 3.64
30 POL Adrian Meronk 123 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 20.2/1) 0.81% 0.67% 0.84% 0.17% MC 2.96
31 BEL Thomas Detry 125 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.66% 0.53% -0.13% T42 2.92
32 KOR Byeong Hun An 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.55% 0.6% 0.04% T3
33 USA Kurt Kitayama 156 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24/1) 0.64% 0.53% 1.52% 0.99% T54
34 AUS Cameron Davis 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.51% 1.17% 0.66% MC
35 USA Gary Woodland 163 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 24.7/1) 0.61% 0.51% 0.8% 0.29% T25
36 DEN Rasmus Hojgaard 166 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 25.1/1) 0.6% 0.5% 0.79% 0.29% MC
37 USA Brian Harman 175 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26/1) 0.57% 0.47% 1.07% 0.59% T12
38 IRL Seamus Power 181 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 26.7/1) 0.55% 0.46% 0.76% 0.3%
39 FRA Victor Perez 200 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 1.41% 0.99% T35
40 USA Patrick Rodgers 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.53% 0.12% MC
41 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 205 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 29.1/1) 0.49% 0.4% 0.53% 0.13% T6
42 SWE Alexander Bjork 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.39% 1.04% 0.66% T35
43 ENG Jordan L Smith 215 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 30.1/1) 0.46% 0.39% 0.35% -0.04% T12
44 USA Eric Cole 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.37% 0.85% 0.48% T60
45 FRA Romain Langasque 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.4% 0.07% T25
46 ENG Matthew Jordan 250 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.34% 0% 77
47 USA Keith Mitchell 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.3% 1.18% 0.88% MC
48 IRL Padraig Harrington 283 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.4/1) 0.35% 0.29% 0.49% 0.2% T42
49 USA Brandon Wu 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.69% 0.41% MC
50 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 297 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 44/1) 0.34% 0.28% 0.43% 0.15% MC
51 USA Taylor Montgomery 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.93% 0.65% MC
52 ENG Harry Hall 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.54% 0.27% T60
53 USA Lee Hodges 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.52% 0.24% T12
54 USA Joseph Bramlett 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.45% 0.18% MC
55 RSA Thriston Lawrence 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.34% 0.06% MC
56 ENG Matthew Southgate 300 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.31% 0.03% MC
57 ENG Danny Willett 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.28% 0.3% 0.03% MC
58 RSA Garrick Higgo 325 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 47/1) 0.31% 0.26% 0.33% 0.08% T19
59 CAN Nick Taylor 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.25% 1.25% 1% T19
60 USA Andrew Putnam 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.84% 0.6% T42
61 GER Yannik Paul 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.25% 0.51% 0.26% T25
62 SCO Ewen Ferguson 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.47% 0.23% T12
63 ENG Matt Wallace 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.41% 0.17% T42
64 DEN Thorbjorn Olesen 345 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.1/1) 0.29% 0.24% 0.99% 0.75% T25
65 NZL Daniel Hillier 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.58% 0.34% T54
66 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 350 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.28% 0.24% 0.55% 0.32% MC
67 AUS Kevin Yuan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.24% 0.07% -0.17%
68 USA Austin Eckroat 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.23% 0.71% 0.48% T65
69 USA JT Poston 393 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 53.9/1) 0.25% 0.21% 0.84% 0.63% T6
70 USA Benjamin Griffin 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.75% 0.54% T25
71 USA Michael Kim 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.69% 0.49% MC
72 USA Scott Stallings 400 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.25% 0.21% 0.51% 0.3% MC
73 SCO Grant Forrest 400 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.44% 0.24% 11
74 ENG Callum Tarren 400 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.33% 0.12% MC
75 USA Luke List 400 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.21% 0.31% 0.11% T35
76 SCO David Law 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.21% 0.28% 0.07% MC
77 SCO Calum Hill 411 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 55.7/1) 0.24% 0.2% 0.43% 0.23% T25
78 SCO Richie Ramsay 430 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 57.6/1) 0.23% 0.19% 0.22% 0.03% T42
79 NED Joost Luiten 450 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 59.6/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.86% 0.67% T54
80 USA Davis Riley 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.44% 0.26% T35
81 ESP Adrian Otaegui 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.18% 0.33% 0.15% MC
82 GER Marcel Siem 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.17% 0.44% 0.28% T42
83 MAS Gavin Green 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.38% 0.22% T68
84 USA Ben Martin 500 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.34% 0.18% T42
85 USA Jimmy Walker 500 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.2% 0.17% 0.32% 0.15% MC
86 ITA Guido Migliozzi 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.3% 0.14% T54
87 ENG Ross Fisher 500 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.24% 0.07% MC
88 NIR Tom McKibbin 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.17% 0.22% 0.05% T35
89 FRA Matthieu Pavon 517 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.39% 0.23% MC
90 USA Mackenzie Hughes 527 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.8/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.7% 0.55% MC
91 USA Billy Horschel 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% T65
92 FRA Antoine Rozner 528 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 66.9/1) 0.19% 0.16% 0.35% 0.2% T68
93 ESP Pablo Larrazabal 548 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.8/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.46% 0.31% MC
94 TPE C.T. Pan 565 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.3/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.71% 0.56% MC
95 USA Dylan Wu 585 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.1/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.61% 0.47% MC
96 SWE Sebastian Soderberg 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.36% 0.22% T42
97 ENG Paul Waring 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.28% 0.14% WD
98 SWE Simon Forsstrom 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.24% 0.1% MC
99 ENG Callum Shinkwin 600 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.19% 0.06% MC
100 ITA Edoardo Molinari 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.18% 0.04% MC
101 USA Sean Crocker 600 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.17% 0.03% T19
102 ENG Eddie Pepperell 607 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 74.1/1) 0.16% 0.14% 0.21% 0.07% MC
103 GER Maximilian Kieffer 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.45% 0.32% T42
104 FIN Kalle Samooja 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.27% 0.15% MC
105 USA Tom Hoge 665 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.2/1) 0.15% 0.13% 0.67% 0.55% T19
106 ITA Francesco Molinari 714 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.4/1) 0.14% 0.12% 0.31% 0.19% MC
107 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.43% 0.32% 73
108 ESP Jorge Campillo 763 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.6/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.48% 0.37% T42
109 USA William Gordon 777 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 88.7/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.26% 0.15% T25
110 ENG Richard Mansell 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.3% 0.19% MC
111 USA Sam Ryder 873 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 96.6/1) 0.11% 0.1% 0.53% 0.44% MC
112 ESP Rafael Cabrera Bello 881 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 97.2/1) 0.11% 0.09% 0.2% 0.1% MC
113 GER Marcel Schneider 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.51% 0.42% T25
114 USA Chad Ramey 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.51% 0.42%
115 ENG Dan Bradbury 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.34% 0.25% 75
116 AUS Aaron Baddeley 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.33% 0.24% MC
117 ENG Luke Donald 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.24% MC
118 FIN Sami Valimaki 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% 76
119 WAL Jamie Donaldson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.32% 0.23% MC
120 SCO Connor Syme 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.31% 0.22% 74
121 USA Charley Hoffman 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.28% 0.2% MC
122 SCO Scott Jamieson 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.26% 0.17% MC
123 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.09% 0.21% 0.12% MC
124 USA Zac Blair 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.39% MC
125 ESP Adria Arnaus 979 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 105/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% T68
126 RSA Zander Lombard 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.42% 0.34% MC
127 ENG Oliver Wilson 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% MC
128 SWE David Lingmerth 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% T3
129 CHN Wu Ashun 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% T65
130 FIN Tapio Pulkkanen 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.23% 0.14% T35
131 IND Shubhankar Sharma 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% MC
132 ENG Marcus Armitage 1000 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% MC
133 RSA Justin Walters 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1%
134 SWE Joakim Lagergren 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% T54
135 GER Hurly Long 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.08% MC
136 KOR Bio Kim 1000 (888sport: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
137 ENG Matthew Baldwin 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% MC
138 RSA Oliver Bekker 1000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% MC
139 ENG Dale Whitnell 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.13% 0.05% T60
140 USA Harrison Endycott 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.23% 0.18% MC
141 GER Nick Bachem 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.06% 0.18% 0.13% MC
142 ENG Daniel Gavins 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.25% 0.21% MC
143 GER Nicolai Von Dellingshausen 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.16% 0.12% MC
144 USA Chase Hanna 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.14% 0.1% MC
145 NED Wil Besseling 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.1% 0.06% MC
146 KOR Yoseop Seo 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03% MC
147 CHN Shao Yong-liang 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03%
148 RSA Ockie Strydom 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.23% 0.2% MC
149 BEL Nicolas Colsaerts 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.13% 0.09% MC
150 KOR Yeongsu Kim 5000 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.02% 0.02% 0.25% 0.23% MC
151 DEN Thomas Bjorn 5000 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.02% 0.02% 0.14% 0.12%
152 CHN Hao Tong Li 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
153 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 0% 0% 0% 0% 72
154 USA Troy Merritt 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
155 RSA Erik van Rooyen 0% 0% 0% 0% T68
156 RSA Dylan Frittelli 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
157 USA Robby Shelton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
158 FRA Julien Brun 0% 0% 0% 0% T54
159 USA Doug Ghim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
160 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 8.0 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 1.1 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 9.1% 7.8%
2 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 46.8% 12.3%
3 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 51.5% 15.9%
4 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 53.3% 17.3%
5 Coral 12 @ 1/6 80.3% 19.5%
6 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 80.3% 20%
7 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 58.2% 21%
8 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 67.4% 28%
9 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 67.4% 28%
10 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 46.9% 29.8%
11 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 48.2% 31%
12 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 31.8%
13 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 49.2% 31.9%
14 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 51.4% 33.8%
15 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 51.4% 33.8%
16 Betway 7 @ 1/5 62.9% 34.8%
17 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 50.6% 35.6%
18 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 54.1% 38.7%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 54.8% 39.4%
20 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 58.3% 39.9%
21 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 61.3% 45.3%
22 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 61.3% 45.3%
23 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 80.4% 49.3%