Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 11.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Total Probability Staked: 23.7 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 204.0

Total Profit: +103.9

Travelers Championship

22/06/2023 - 25/06/2023

Up to date as of: 10 months ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Scottie Scheffler 6 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 14.29% 11.43% 3.99% -7.44% T4
2 USA Patrick Cantlay 11 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 8.33% 6.67% 2.19% -4.47% T4
3 ESP Jon Rahm 12.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.4/1) 7.35% 5.88% 3.62% -2.27% CUT
4 NIR Rory McIlroy 13.8 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 3.6/1) 6.76% 5.41% 2.04% -3.37% T7
5 USA Xander Schauffele 16.6 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 4.1/1) 5.68% 4.55% 2.09% -2.46% T19
6 NOR Viktor Hovland 20 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.81% 1.77% -2.05% T29
7 USA Collin Morikawa 20 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 4.76% 3.81% 1.16% -2.66% CUT
8 ENG Tommy Fleetwood 30 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 3.23% 2.58% 2.08% -0.5% CUT
9 KOR Tom Kim 35 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.22% 0.89% -1.34% T38
10 USA Rickie Fowler 40 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 1.65% -0.3% T13 8.23
11 ENG Matthew Fitzpatrick 40 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.95% 1.61% -0.34% T49 8.23
12 USA Russell Henley 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% 1.07% -0.88% T19
13 JPN Hideki Matsuyama 40 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 2.44% 1.95% 1% -0.96% T13
14 USA Tony Finau 41 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 7.7/1) 2.38% 1.91% 1.3% -0.61% T45
15 KOR Siwoo Kim 45 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 2.17% 1.74% 1.8% 0.06% CUT 7.33
16 KOR Sungjae Im 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 1.14% -0.43% T29
17 USA Cameron Young 50 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.57% 1.12% -0.45% T60
18 USA Brian Harman 60 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.64% 1.31% 0.63% -0.68% T2
19 USA Max Homa 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.27% 1.87% 0.6% CUT 5.36
20 USA Harris English 66 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.19% 1.61% 0.41% T60 5.04
21 USA Justin Thomas 66 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.19% 1.19% 0% T9 5.04
22 USA Wyndham Clark 67 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.1/1) 1.47% 1.18% 2.55% 1.37% T29 4.96
23 AUS Jason Day 68 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 13.2/1) 1.45% 1.16% 1.4% 0.24% T45 4.89
24 CAN Corey Conners 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 1.53% 0.4% T9 4.75
25 AUS Minwoo Lee 70 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.41% 1.13% 1.28% 0.16% T9 4.75
26 USA Sahith Theegala 80 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 0.99% 1.4% 0.41% T52 4.17
27 USA Andrew Putnam 90 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.1% 0.88% 1.22% 0.34% T45 3.71
28 USA Keegan Bradley 90 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.88% 0.98% 0.1% 1 3.71 +204
29 USA Gary Woodland 90 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 1.1% 0.88% 0.88% 0% T33 3.71
30 IRL Shane Lowry 92 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 16.4/1) 1.08% 0.86% 1.58% 0.72% T19 3.63
31 USA Austin Eckroat 100 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.79% 0.65% -0.14% T24 3.34
32 USA Denny McCarthy 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.75% 1.71% 0.95% T7 3.19
33 GER Stephan Jaeger 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.83% 0.2% T64 2.68
34 USA Eric Cole 125 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.79% 0.64% 0.74% 0.11% T24 2.68
35 USA Patrick Rodgers 125 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.79% 0.64% 0.72% 0.09% CUT 2.68
36 USA Beau Hossler 125 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.79% 0.64% 0.56% -0.08% CUT 2.68
37 ENG Aaron Rai 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.47% -0.16% T24 2.68
38 SWE Ludvig Aberg 125 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.64% 0.37% -0.26% T24 2.68
39 AUS Adam Scott 143 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 22.5/1) 0.69% 0.56% 1.53% 0.98% T19
40 TPE C.T. Pan 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 1.3% 0.77% CUT
41 ARG Emiliano Grillo 150 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.66% 0.53% 0.94% 0.41% T15
42 USA Mark Hubbard 150 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.53% 0.88% 0.35% CUT
43 AUT Sepp Straka 175 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 1.03% 0.57% T38
44 USA Lee Hodges 175 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.45% 0.56% 0.1% CUT
45 USA Taylor Moore 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.83% 0.43% CUT
46 CAN Adam Svensson 200 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.5% 0.4% 0.75% 0.36% CUT
47 USA Chez Reavie 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.45% 0.05% T4
48 USA William Gordon 200 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.24% -0.16% CUT
49 USA Nick Hardy 200 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.4% 0.16% -0.24% T38
50 USA Matt Kuchar 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.36% 1.13% 0.78% CUT
51 KOR Byeong Hun An 224 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 31/1) 0.44% 0.36% 0.48% 0.13% CUT
52 AUS Lucas Herbert 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 1.37% 1.05% T15
53 USA J.J Spaun 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 1.09% 0.77% CUT
54 USA JT Poston 250 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.4% 0.32% 0.67% 0.35% CUT
55 USA Hayden Buckley 250 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.4% 0.32% 0.63% 0.31% CUT
56 USA Kevin Streelman 250 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.32% 0.3% -0.02% CUT
57 IRL Seamus Power 259 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 39.8/1) 0.38% 0.31% 0.72% 0.41% CUT
58 AUS Cameron Davis 264 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 40.3/1) 0.38% 0.3% 1.31% 1.01% T33
59 KOR Kyounghoon Lee 277 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 41.8/1) 0.36% 0.29% 0.59% 0.31% CUT
60 USA Brendon Todd 300 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.33% 0.27% 0.77% 0.51% CUT
61 USA Mackenzie Hughes 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.59% 0.33%
62 USA Joseph Bramlett 300 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.57% 0.31% CUT
63 USA Scott Stallings 300 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.33% 0.27% 0.52% 0.26% CUT
64 RSA Garrick Higgo 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.34% 0.08% CUT
65 AUS Kevin Yuan 300 (Skybet: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.06% -0.2%
66 RSA Christiaan Bezuidenhout 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.62% 0.36% CUT
67 BEL Thomas Detry 313 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 45.7/1) 0.32% 0.25% 0.35% 0.09% CUT
68 USA Sam Bennett 335 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48/1) 0.3% 0.24% 0.6% 0.36% CUT
69 USA Tom Hoge 342 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 48.7/1) 0.29% 0.23% 0.69% 0.46% T60
70 USA Matthew NeSmith 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.47% 0.24% CUT
71 USA Brandon Wu 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.42% 0.2% CUT
72 USA Alex Smalley 352 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 49.8/1) 0.28% 0.23% 0.38% 0.15% T9
73 USA Kurt Kitayama 364 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.73% 0.51% CUT
74 USA Adam Schenk 371 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 51.7/1) 0.27% 0.22% 0.83% 0.61% CUT
75 USA Dylan Wu 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.45% 0.25% CUT
76 USA Ryan Palmer 400 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% T33
77 USA Luke List 400 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.42% 0.22% T33
78 USA Samuel Stevens 420 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 56.6/1) 0.24% 0.19% 0.43% 0.24% CUT
79 USA Davis Riley 440 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 58.6/1) 0.23% 0.18% 0.43% 0.25% T45
80 USA Doug Ghim 460 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 60.5/1) 0.22% 0.17% 0.23% 0.06% T15
81 USA Davis Thompson 500 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.53% 0.37% CUT
82 USA David Lipsky 500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.2% 0.16% 0.49% 0.33% T56
83 USA Tyler Duncan 500 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.32% 0.16% CUT
84 USA Charley Hoffman 500 (Betfair : 8 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.31% 0.15% CUT
85 USA Chad Ramey 500 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.2% 0.16% 0.25% 0.09% T38
86 KOR Seonghyeon Kim 509 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 65.2/1) 0.2% 0.16% 0.4% 0.24% CUT
87 USA Michael Kim 548 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 68.8/1) 0.18% 0.15% 0.45% 0.3% T38
88 SWE Vincent Norrman 556 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.5/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% CUT
89 ENG Harry Hall 558 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 69.7/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.59% 0.45% T56
90 USA Benjamin Griffin 567 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 70.5/1) 0.18% 0.14% 0.68% 0.54% CUT
91 USA Nate Lashley 575 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 71.2/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.62% 0.48% CUT
92 USA Ben Martin 587 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 72.3/1) 0.17% 0.14% 0.35% 0.22% 63
93 USA Sam Ryder 626 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 75.8/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.38% 0.25% CUT
94 USA Billy Horschel 636 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 76.7/1) 0.16% 0.13% 0.57% 0.45% CUT
95 ENG Matt Wallace 646 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 77.5/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.32% 0.2% CUT
96 USA Joel Dahmen 656 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 78.4/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.2% 0.07% CUT
97 USA Michael Thorbjornsen 705 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 82.6/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.19% 0.08% CUT
98 USA Webb Simpson 734 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 85.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.18% 0.07% T52
99 USA Zach Johnson 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.37% 0.27% T29
100 USA Kramer Hickok 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.22% CUT
101 USA Peter Malnati 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.32% 0.21% CUT
102 USA Justin Lower 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.3% 0.19% CUT
103 ENG Benjamin Taylor 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% CUT
104 USA Kevin Tway 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.23% 0.12% T52
105 SWE David Lingmerth 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.22% 0.11% CUT
106 USA Adam Long 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.2% 0.09% CUT
107 COL Nicolas Echavarria 750 (Coral: 12 @ 1/6) 0.13% 0.11% 0.19% 0.09% CUT
108 USA James Hahn 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% CUT
109 USA Doc Redman 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.14% 0.04% CUT
110 USA Troy Merritt 750 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.1% 0% CUT
111 USA Benjamin James 750 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.13% 0.11% 0.06% -0.04% CUT
112 ENG Danny Willett 763 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.6/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.24% 0.14% CUT
113 USA Robby Shelton 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.37% 0.27% CUT
114 USA Andrew Novak 783 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 89.2/1) 0.13% 0.1% 0.35% 0.24% CUT
115 USA Patton Kizzire 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.23% 0.14% CUT
116 USA Cameron Champ 822 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 92.4/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.19% 0.1% CUT
117 USA Carson Young 832 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 93.3/1) 0.12% 0.1% 0.32% 0.22% T15
118 CAN Taylor Pendrith 842 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 94.1/1) 0.12% 0.09% 0.27% 0.17% CUT
119 RSA Erik van Rooyen 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.37% 0.29% CUT
120 ITA Francesco Molinari 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.35% 0.27% CUT
121 USA Scott Piercy 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.3% 0.22% WD
122 USA Stewart Cink 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.29% 0.21% CUT
123 USA Jimmy Walker 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% CUT
124 USA Austin Smotherman 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.28% 0.2% CUT
125 USA Lucas Glover 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.25% 0.17% CUT
126 USA Greyson Sigg 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.21% 0.13% T19
127 USA Chesson Hadley 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T24
128 ENG Callum Tarren 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.2% 0.12% T33
129 USA Lanto Griffin 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% CUT
130 USA Trey Mullinax 959 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 103.5/1) 0.1% 0.08% 0.18% 0.1% CUT
131 USA Kevin Kisner 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19%
132 USA Richy Werenski 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.24% 0.16% CUT
133 USA Ryan Moore 1000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.1% 0.08% 0.22% 0.14% CUT
134 AUT Matthias Schwab 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.17% 0.09% CUT
135 SCO Martin Laird 1000 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.15% 0.07% CUT
136 USA Paul Haley-II 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.3% 0.25% CUT
137 USA Jason Dufner 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.14% CUT
138 USA Zac Blair 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.15% 0.11% T2
139 SCO Russell Knox 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.13% 0.09% T49
140 USA J.B. Holmes 2000 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03% CUT
141 USA Brian Gay 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03% CUT
142 USA Robert Streb 2000 (William Hill: 8 @ 1/5) 0.05% 0.04% 0.07% 0.03% CUT
143 USA Ryan Brehm 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.17% 0.14% CUT
144 USA Kelly Kraft 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.14% 0.11% T38
145 USA Jim Herman 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.12% 0.09% CUT
146 USA Andrew Landry 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.12% 0.08% 67
147 USA Nick Watney 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.08% CUT
148 USA Max McGreevy 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.11% 0.07% CUT
149 USA Tyson Alexander 2500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.09% 0.06% CUT
150 USA Andrew Svoboda 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% T64
151 USA Kyle Reifers 0% 0% 0% 0% T38
152 USA Ryan Blaum 0% 0% 0% 0% 66
153 USA Brett Stegmaier 0% 0% 0% 0% T56
154 DEN Oliver Suhr 0% 0% 0% 0% T56
155 CHN Marty Dou Zecheng 0% 0% 0% 0% T52
156 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 0% 0% 0% 0% CUT
157 TPE Yu Chun-an(am) 0% 0% 0% 0% T49

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 11.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 2.0 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 12.1% 10.3%
2 Skybet 8 @ 1/5 55.5% 19%
3 888Sport 8 @ 1/5 55.7% 19.2%
4 Coral 12 @ 1/6 83.2% 21.6%
5 Ladbrokes 10 @ 1/5 83.2% 22.1%
6 William Hill 8 @ 1/5 60.5% 22.9%
7 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.4% 23.2%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 39.5% 23.3%
9 Betway 7 @ 1/5 50.1% 24.1%
10 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 24.2%
11 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 40.5% 24.2%
12 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 63.1% 24.9%
13 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 42.9% 26.3%
14 Betfair Sportsbook 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26.4%
15 Paddy Power 8 @ 1/5 65.2% 26.4%
16 Star Sports 7 @ 1/5 54.4% 27.7%
17 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 49.4% 32%
18 Sporting Index 5 @ 1/4 57.8% 39.6%
19 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 42.3%
20 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 57.9% 42.3%
21 Spreadex 6 @ 1/5 58.2% 42.5%
22 VBet 5 @ 1/4 65.3% 46.2%
23 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 66.7% 50.1%
24 BetGoodwin 6 @ 1/5 66.7% 50.1%