Market Analysis

Bookie Overround: 18.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.6 %

Total Probability Staked: 22.4 %

Results

Total Staked: 100.1

Total Won: 47.1

Total Profit: -53.1

Corales Puntacana Championship

23/03/2023 - 26/03/2023

Up to date as of: one year ago | Results

# Player Bookies' Odds Implied Impl. Normalised Norm. Predicted Pred. Discrepancy Discrep. Pos. Pos. Stake Returns
1 USA Wyndham Clark 10 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 9.09% 7.42% 4.17% -3.25% 6
2 BEL Thomas Detry 20 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.89% 3.15% -0.74% T8
3 CAN Taylor Pendrith 20 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 4.76% 3.89% 1.23% -2.66% T70
4 USA Joel Dahmen 25 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 5.5/1) 3.85% 3.14% 4.98% 1.84% T50 14.04
5 ENG Matt Wallace 25 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.85% 3.14% 1.2% -1.94% 1
6 USA Ben Martin 28 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.81% 1.5% -1.31% T8
7 DEN Nicolai Hojgaard 28 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 3.45% 2.81% 1.13% -1.69% 2
8 USA Patrick Rodgers 33 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.4% 1.94% -0.46% MC
9 RSA Erik van Rooyen 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.4% 1.17% -1.23% T56
10 USA Kramer Hickok 33 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 2.94% 2.4% 0.82% -1.59% T46
11 ARG Emiliano Grillo 35 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 2.78% 2.27% 1.47% -0.8% T70
12 USA Tyler Duncan 40 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.99% 1.62% -0.37% T3
13 USA Chad Ramey 40 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 2.44% 1.99% 0.96% -1.04%
14 USA Adam Long 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.6% 1.55% -0.05% MC
15 USA Michael Kim 50 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 1.96% 1.6% 1.53% -0.07% T26
16 AUS Cameron Percy 50 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.96% 1.6% 0.61% -0.99% T68
17 USA Ryan Gerard 55 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.46% 2.46% 1% MC 6.52
18 USA Dylan Wu 55 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.46% 1.42% -0.04% T16
19 USA Mark Hubbard 55 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.46% 1.31% -0.15% T29
20 USA Samuel Stevens 55 (888sport: 5 @ 1/4) 1.79% 1.46% 1.28% -0.17% T3
21 RSA MJ Daffue 55 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.79% 1.46% 1.17% -0.29% T29
22 USA Nick Hardy 60 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.64% 1.34% 1.01% -0.33% T13
23 PAR Fabrizio Zanotti 62 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 12.4/1) 1.59% 1.3% 1.04% -0.25% T29
24 ENG Harry Hall 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 1.47% 0.25% T13 5.45
25 USA Scott Piercy 66 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 1.43% 0.22% T29 5.45
26 USA Chesson Hadley 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.22% 1.29% 0.07% MC 5.45
27 USA Cody Gribble 66 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.92% -0.3% T50
28 USA Doug Ghim 66 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.49% 1.22% 0.88% -0.34% T16
29 USA Charley Hoffman 66 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.49% 1.22% 0.74% -0.48% MC
30 USA Andrew Novak 75 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 14.2/1) 1.32% 1.07% 1.11% 0.04% T46 4.81
31 USA Justin Lower 75 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 1.32% 1.07% 1.1% 0.02% MC 4.81
32 AUS Aaron Baddeley 80 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 1.54% 0.53% T46 4.51
33 USA Kevin Tway 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.01% 1.27% 0.27% T38 4.51
34 AUT Matthias Schwab 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 1% -0.01% T8 4.51
35 USA Sean O'Hair 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 1% -0.01% T29 4.51
36 USA Harry Higgs 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.98% -0.03% T38 4.51
37 SWE Henrik Norlander 80 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 1.23% 1.01% 0.97% -0.04% T22
38 SWE Vincent Norrman 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.74% -0.26% T16
39 USA Hank Lebioda 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.51% -0.5% T64
40 ESP Santiago Tarrio 80 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.23% 1.01% 0.27% -0.74%
41 ARG Augusto Nunez 90 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 0% T26 4.01
42 USA Harrison Endycott 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 1.02% 0.21% T58 3.62
43 USA Austin Eckroat 100 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 1.01% 0.2% 5 3.62 +47.1
44 CHN Yuan Carl Yechun 100 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.99% 0.18% 3.62
45 USA Ryan Moore 100 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.99% 0.81% 0.97% 0.17% MC 3.62
46 USA Brice Garnett 100 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.72% -0.09% T8
47 USA Chris Stroud 100 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.99% 0.81% 0.57% -0.24% T38
48 SCO Russell Knox 105 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 18.1/1) 0.94% 0.77% 1.2% 0.43% T58 3.45
49 USA Kevin Chappell 110 (Bet Victor: 5 @ 1/4) 0.9% 0.74% 0.83% 0.09% T16 3.29
50 USA Jason Dufner 125 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.96% 0.31% T58 2.9
51 USA Paul Haley-II 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.81% 0.17% T35 2.9
52 USA Kevin Roy 125 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.79% 0.65% 0.5% -0.15% T50
53 USA Trevor Werbylo 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 1.1% 0.56% T64
54 USA Austin Cook 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 1.01% 0.47% T13
55 KOR Seungyul Noh 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.99% 0.45% T38
56 USA Kyle Westmoreland 150 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.98% 0.44% T50
57 ESP Angel Hidalgo Portillo 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.95% 0.41% MC
58 USA Brent Grant 150 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.9% 0.36% T8
59 USA Richy Werenski 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.85% 0.31% MC
60 ARG Fabian Gomez 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.77% 0.23% MC
61 SWE Jonas Blixt 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.77% 0.23% MC
62 USA Carson Young 150 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.68% 0.14% T38
63 USA Scott Harrington 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.55% 0.01% T46
64 PUR Rafael Campos 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.53% -0.01% T38
65 USA Scott Brown 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.45% -0.1% T64
66 KOR Sangmoon Bae 150 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.66% 0.54% 0.29% -0.25% 72
67 USA Tyson Alexander 175 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 2.88% 2.42% T26
68 USA Kelly Kraft 175 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.57% 0.46% 0.72% 0.25% T16
69 USA Ryan Brehm 191 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 27.7/1) 0.52% 0.43% 1.11% 0.68% MC
70 USA William McGirt 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.93% 0.52% MC
71 USA Wesley Bryan 200 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.9% 0.49% MC
72 AUS Geoff Ogilvy 200 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.81% 0.41% MC
73 USA Trevor Cone 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.54% 0.13% MC
74 USA Grayson Murray 200 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% MC
75 USA Jonathan Byrd 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.5% 0.09% T16
76 USA Bill Haas 200 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.5% 0.41% 0.46% 0.06% T24
77 CAN Michael Gligic 200 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.5% 0.41% 0.39% -0.02% T68
78 USA Martin Trainer 250 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.77% 0.45% T22
79 USA Brandon Matthews 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.45% 0.12% T35
80 USA Erik Compton 250 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.4% 0.33% 0.27% -0.06% T29
81 USA Brian Stuard 287 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 42.9/1) 0.35% 0.28% 0.83% 0.54% MC
82 AUS Greg Chalmers 300 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.9% 0.63% T56
83 COL Camilo Villegas 300 (BoyleSports: 8 @ 1/5) 0.33% 0.27% 0.4% 0.12% T64
84 USA Max McGreevy 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.72% 0.49% T50
85 KOR Sunghoon Kang 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.49% 0.26% T38
86 USA D.J. Trahan 350 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.28% 0.23% 0.46% 0.22% MC
87 USA Derek Ernst 400 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.25% 0.2% 0.83% 0.63% MC
88 USA Thomas Longbella 400 (Skybet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.25% 0.2% 0.27% 0.07% MC
89 USA Ben Crane 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.42% 0.26% T58
90 USA Tommy Gainey 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.33% 0.16% MC
91 USA Dominic Bozzelli 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11% MC
92 USA Paul Goydos 500 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.2% 0.16% 0.27% 0.11%
93 USA George McNeill 600 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.17% 0.14% 0.52% 0.39% T62
94 USA Bo Van Pelt 600 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.17% 0.14% 0.29% 0.15% MC
95 USA Ricky Barnes 671 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 79.7/1) 0.15% 0.12% 0.4% 0.28% 7
96 USA Chris Nido 710 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 83.1/1) 0.14% 0.11% 0.28% 0.17% T50
97 USA Stephen Stallings Jr 750 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.19% T62
98 CAN David Hearn 758 (Betfair Exchange: 5 @ 87.1/1) 0.13% 0.11% 0.29% 0.18% MC
99 IND Arjun Atwal 1000 (Ladbrokes: 7 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.47% 0.39% MC
100 Cougar Collins 1000 (Unibet: 6 @ 1/5) 0.1% 0.08% 0.27% 0.19% MC
101 USA J.J. Henry 1250 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.08% 0.07% 0.29% 0.22% MC
102 USA Robert Garrigus 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.32% 0.26% MC
103 USA D.A. Points 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.29% 0.23% T38
104 DOM Juan Jose Guerra 1500 (Bet365: 5 @ 1/4) 0.07% 0.05% 0.27% 0.21% MC
105 USA Kevin Stadler 2000 (LiveScore Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.53% 0.49% MC
106 USA John Rollins 2000 (Betfred: 5 @ 1/4) 0.05% 0.04% 0.29% 0.25% MC
107 DOM Hiram Silfa 2500 (Betway: 7 @ 1/5) 0.04% 0.03% 0.29% 0.26%
108 DOM Rhadames Pena 2500 (10Bet: 5 @ 1/4) 0.04% 0.03% 0.27% 0.24% MC
109 USA Matt Every 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
110 ENG Brian Davis 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
111 USA Jeff Overton 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
112 USA Ted Potter-jr 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
113 ARG Estanislao Goya 0% 0% 0% 0% T35
114 ESP Pablo Martin Benavides 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
115 SWE Richard S. Johnson 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
116 SWE Daniel Chopra 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
117 USA Omar Uresti 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
118 USA Justin Hicks 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
119 PAR Carlos Franco 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
120 USA Akshay Bhatia 0% 0% 0% 0% T24
121 GER Matthias Schmid 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
122 Justin Kim 0% 0% 0% 0% MC
123 Kyle Maxwell 0% 0% 0% 0% MC

Market Analysis

Overround of best available: 18.4 %

Overround of 'true value' of best available: 3.6 %

Key

Overround: The best available odds and each way terms from the bookies. How do we calculate this?

True Overround: The implied probability of the effective value of the odds from the bookies.

# Bookie Terms Overround True Overround
1 Ladbrokes 7 @ 1/5 43.3% 17.6%
2 Coral 7 @ 1/5 43.3% 17.6%
3 888Sport 5 @ 1/4 38.4% 21.6%
4 BoyleSports 8 @ 1/5 61.4% 22.4%
5 Bet365 5 @ 1/4 41% 23.9%
6 Betway 7 @ 1/5 52% 24.7%
7 LiveScore Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.2% 25%
8 10Bet 5 @ 1/4 42.6% 25.3%
9 Skybet 6 @ 1/5 41.5% 26.6%
10 Betfred 5 @ 1/4 44.2% 26.7%
11 Bet Victor 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 27.3%
12 Parimatch 5 @ 1/4 44.8% 27.3%
13 Unibet 6 @ 1/5 43.4% 28.3%
14 BetUK 6 @ 1/5 43.4% 28.3%
15 QuinnBet 6 @ 1/5 48.7% 33%
16 William Hill 6 @ 1/5 49.8% 34%
17 Betfair Exchange 1 @ 1/1 75.8% 71.9%